Seattle Seahawks

1st in NFC West (5 - 2 - 0)

Next Game

Sun, Nov 2 20:20 ET

Player Props

Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kenneth Walker III Score a Touchdown Props • Seattle

Kenneth Walker III
K. Walker III
running back RB • Seattle
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.51
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.51
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 134.2 offensive plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week. Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume. While Kenneth Walker III has been responsible for 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Seattle's offense near the goal line in this week's contest at 6.3%. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 10th-highest clip in the league against the Washington Commanders defense this year (72.6% Adjusted Completion%). The Commanders linebackers profile as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

Kenneth Walker III

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.51
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.51

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 134.2 offensive plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week. Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume. While Kenneth Walker III has been responsible for 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more important option in Seattle's offense near the goal line in this week's contest at 6.3%. Opposing teams have completed passes at the 10th-highest clip in the league against the Washington Commanders defense this year (72.6% Adjusted Completion%). The Commanders linebackers profile as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

All Matchup props

Deebo Samuel Score a Touchdown Props • Washington

Deebo Samuel
D. Samuel
wide receiver WR • Washington
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.48
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.48
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs this week, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Commanders are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 68.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most among all teams this week. The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Opposing teams have averaged 42.0 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: most in football. Deebo Samuel Sr. has accrued significantly more air yards this year (48.0 per game) than he did last year (37.0 per game).

Deebo Samuel

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.48
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.48

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs this week, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Commanders are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 68.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most among all teams this week. The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Opposing teams have averaged 42.0 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: most in football. Deebo Samuel Sr. has accrued significantly more air yards this year (48.0 per game) than he did last year (37.0 per game).

All Matchup props

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Score a Touchdown Props • Seattle

Jaxon Smith-Njigba
J. Smith-Njigba
wide receiver WR • Seattle
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 134.2 offensive plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week. Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume. The model projects Jaxon Smith-Njigba to be a more integral piece of his team's passing offense near the end zone in this contest (31.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (17.4% in games he has played). Jaxon Smith-Njigba has totaled far more air yards this year (125.0 per game) than he did last year (73.0 per game). Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 93.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 57.6.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.7

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 134.2 offensive plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week. Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume. The model projects Jaxon Smith-Njigba to be a more integral piece of his team's passing offense near the end zone in this contest (31.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (17.4% in games he has played). Jaxon Smith-Njigba has totaled far more air yards this year (125.0 per game) than he did last year (73.0 per game). Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 93.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 57.6.

All Matchup props

Jayden Daniels Score a Touchdown Props • Washington

Jayden Daniels
J. Daniels
quarterback QB • Washington
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.28
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.28
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs this week, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Commanders are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 68.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most among all teams this week. The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Opposing teams have averaged 42.0 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: most in football. This year, the tough Seattle Seahawks run defense has yielded a measly 0.29 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing offenses: the lowest rate in football.

Jayden Daniels

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.28
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.28

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs this week, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Commanders are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 68.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most among all teams this week. The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Opposing teams have averaged 42.0 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: most in football. This year, the tough Seattle Seahawks run defense has yielded a measly 0.29 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing offenses: the lowest rate in football.

All Matchup props

Jacory Croskey-Merritt Score a Touchdown Props • Washington

Jacory Croskey-Merritt
J. Croskey-Merritt
running back RB • Washington
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.48
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.48
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs this week, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Commanders are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 68.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most among all teams this week. The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Opposing teams have averaged 42.0 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: most in football. This year, the tough Seattle Seahawks run defense has yielded a measly 0.29 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing offenses: the lowest rate in football.

Jacory Croskey-Merritt

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.48
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.48

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs this week, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Commanders are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 68.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most among all teams this week. The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Opposing teams have averaged 42.0 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: most in football. This year, the tough Seattle Seahawks run defense has yielded a measly 0.29 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing offenses: the lowest rate in football.

All Matchup props

AJ Barner Score a Touchdown Props • Seattle

AJ Barner
A. Barner
tight end TE • Seattle
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.29
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.29
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 134.2 offensive plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week. Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume. This year, the weak Washington Commanders pass defense has been torched for a staggering 82.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 6th-highest rate in football. This year, the weak Commanders defense has given up a monstrous 0.62 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing TEs: the 5th-worst rate in the league. The Commanders linebackers profile as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

AJ Barner

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.29
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.29

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 134.2 offensive plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week. Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume. This year, the weak Washington Commanders pass defense has been torched for a staggering 82.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 6th-highest rate in football. This year, the weak Commanders defense has given up a monstrous 0.62 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing TEs: the 5th-worst rate in the league. The Commanders linebackers profile as the 2nd-worst LB corps in the league this year in pass coverage.

All Matchup props

Zach Ertz Score a Touchdown Props • Washington

Zach Ertz
Z. Ertz
tight end TE • Washington
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.29
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.29
Best Odds
Projection Rating

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs this week, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Commanders are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 68.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most among all teams this week. The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Opposing teams have averaged 42.0 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: most in football. Zach Ertz has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 23.8% this year, which ranks him in the 94th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Zach Ertz

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.29
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.29

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Commanders are underdogs this week, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their normal game plan. Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Commanders are predicted by our trusted projection set to run 68.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 5th-most among all teams this week. The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced run volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Opposing teams have averaged 42.0 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: most in football. Zach Ertz has been heavily involved in his team's offense near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of 23.8% this year, which ranks him in the 94th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

All Matchup props

Sam Darnold Score a Touchdown Props • Seattle

Sam Darnold
S. Darnold
quarterback QB • Seattle
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.05
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.05
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 134.2 offensive plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week. Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume. Totaling zero red zone carries this year, Sam Darnold's lack of mobility marks him as a no threat as a ball-carrier near the end zone. Sam Darnold grades out as one of the most on-target QBs in football this year with an outstanding 68.3% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 76th percentile. The running touchdown field reads "0" on Sam Darnold's stats page this year.

Sam Darnold

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.05
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.05

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to have 134.2 offensive plays run: the 4th-most on the slate this week. Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being projected in this game) typically mean increased passing effectiveness, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume. Totaling zero red zone carries this year, Sam Darnold's lack of mobility marks him as a no threat as a ball-carrier near the end zone. Sam Darnold grades out as one of the most on-target QBs in football this year with an outstanding 68.3% Adjusted Completion%, ranking in the 76th percentile. The running touchdown field reads "0" on Sam Darnold's stats page this year.

All Matchup props

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV
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