The Seahawks struggle to defend scrambling quarterbacks through the air and Jayden Daniels is one of the best in the league at doing just that.
JSN has hit this number in all but one game this season and the Commanders give up big plays at one of the highest rates in the NFL.
Washington struggles to stop runs to the outside and Kenneth Walker is the more heavily used running back for the Seahawks on outside runs.
While Washington Commanders QB Jayden Daniels has only eclipsed this line twice this season — 233 yards in Week 1 and 231 in Week 5 — the Seahawks have allowed at least 229 passing yards in three straight games and four of seven this season. This should be a back-and-forth game, with the Commanders relying on the passing game throughout. We’ll take advantage of that with this best bet.
There’s nothing wrong with taking the square side in a high-scoring matchup, and I’m sticking with the Seahawks’ red-zone favorite—not the longer-priced Kenneth Walker. Does Walker deserve more work? Probably. But Seattle clearly trusts Zach Charbonnet when it matters most. Since Week 4, Charbonnet has 15 red-zone carries to Walker’s eight, and he’s turned four of them into touchdowns while Walker hasn’t scored once. Inside the 5-yard line, the split is even more telling—seven carries for Charbonnet to just one for Walker. He’s the back you want to bet on to find the end zone Sunday night.
Daniels will be under center on Sunday Night Football, his top target won’t. Receiver Terry McLaurin reaggravated his quad injury on Monday and will not suit up against the Seahawks. That’s a sizable loss to this offense, considering the competition. Seattle is among the defensive boogeymen this season, with the stop unit really taking shape in MacDonald’s second season with the Seahawks. They enter Week 9 sitting among the Top 10 in many of the “crown jewel” analytics, including No. 3 in Defensive DVOA at FTN. The heart of this group has been the defensive line, which is cooking up “Instant Pot” levels of pass pressure. Seattle is sixth in pressure rate and among the leaders in hurries, QB hits, and sacks. All of that chaos is coming despite MacDonald dialing up the blitz at one of the lowest rates in the land.