Seattle Seahawks Picks
2nd in NFC West
(2 - 1 - 0)
Next Game
Sun, Oct 4
16:25 ET
LAC @ SEA Picks
NFL PicksEV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.. With a fantastic record of 211.0 adjusted passing yards per game (80th percentile), Justin Herbert ranks among the top QBs in the league since the start of last season.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Sam Darnold's passing accuracy has gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 67.9% to 73.0%.. Sam Darnold's passing efficiency has improved this year, notching 10.09 adjusted yards-per-target vs a mere 8.17 mark last year.. When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The Chargers have been the 9th-most run-focused team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 47.6% run rate.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7 points.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
At a -7-point disadvantage, the Chargers are enormous underdogs in this game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their usual game plan.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).. Opposing teams have averaged 35.6 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in football.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been very bad since the start of last season, projecting as the 2nd-worst in the league.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The projections expect Jaxon Smith-Njigba to garner 11.5 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been heavily involved in his team's passing attack, garnering a Target Share of 36.3% since the start of last season, which places him in the 100th percentile among wideouts.. When it comes to air yards, Jaxon Smith-Njigba grades out in the towering 99th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, averaging a striking 111.0 per game.. With an exceptional 90.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba ranks as one of the top WRs in the league in the league.. Jaxon Smith-Njigba's sure-handedness have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion Rate jumping from 75.3% to 78.9%.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Chargers have been the 9th-most run-focused team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 47.6% run rate.. The 6th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Chargers since the start of last season (a massive 59.5 per game on average).
Consensus Picks
More ConsensusLAC @ SEA · Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
SPREAD
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL
Over
42.5 Total
44.40 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.9
DIFFERENCE
9.52%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
J. Herbert
(QB)
o191.5 Passing Yards
206.58 OVER
PROJECTION
+15.1
DIFFERENCE
23.01%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
S. Darnold
(QB)
o230.5 Passing Yards
240.44 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.9
DIFFERENCE
19.64%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
O. Hampton
(RB)
o43.5 Rushing Yards
63.95 OVER
PROJECTION
+20.5
DIFFERENCE
26.16%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
J. Price
(RB)
o39.5 Rushing Yards
45.15 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.7
DIFFERENCE
21.89%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
L. McConkey
(WR)
o41.5 Receiving Yards
51.30 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.8
DIFFERENCE
24.86%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
A. Barner
(TE)
o29.5 Receiving Yards
33.74 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.2
DIFFERENCE
20.69%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
J. Smith-Njigba
(WR)
o86.5 Receiving Yards
95.24 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.7
DIFFERENCE
20.26%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS MADE
L. McConkey
(WR)
o3.5 Receptions Made
4.14 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
3.02%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS MADE
J. Smith-Njigba
(WR)
o6.5 Receptions Made
7.12 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-1.52%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
O. Hampton
(RB)
o13.5 Rushing Attempts
14.76 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
19.9%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING ATTEMPTS
S. Darnold
(QB)
o30.5 Passing Attempts
31.70 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
11.92%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING ATTEMPTS
J. Herbert
(QB)
o29.5 Passing Attempts
29.69 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.09%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING COMPLETIONS
J. Herbert
(QB)
o18.5 Passing Completions
19.32 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
6.15%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING COMPLETIONS
S. Darnold
(QB)
u21.5 Passing Completions
20.92 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
3.23%
EV
|
|||||||
|
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
J. Herbert
(QB)
Anytime Touchdown
0.18 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
14.61%
EV
|
|||||||
|
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
L. McConkey
(WR)
Anytime Touchdown
0.27 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
10.67%
EV
|
|||||||
|
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
J. Smith-Njigba
(WR)
Anytime Touchdown
0.59 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
8.74%
EV
|
|||||||
|
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
O. Gadsden
(TE)
Anytime Touchdown
0.24 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
7.09%
EV
|
|||||||
|
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
S. Darnold
(QB)
Anytime Touchdown
0.1 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
4.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
A. Barner
(TE)
Anytime Touchdown
0.26 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-5.82%
EV
|
|||||||
|
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
J. Price
(RB)
Anytime Touchdown
0.38 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-9.14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
O. Hampton
(RB)
Anytime Touchdown
0.31 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-27.86%
EV
|
|||||||
|
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
S. Darnold
(QB)
u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.40 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
8.72%
EV
|
|||||||
|
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
J. Herbert
(QB)
o0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.85 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
6.35%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
SPREAD
TOTAL
Over
42.5 Total
44.40 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.9
DIFFERENCE
9.52%
EV
PASSING YARDS
J. Herbert
(QB)
o191.5 Passing Yards
206.58 OVER
PROJECTION
+15.1
DIFFERENCE
23.01%
EV
PASSING YARDS
S. Darnold
(QB)
o230.5 Passing Yards
240.44 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.9
DIFFERENCE
19.64%
EV
RUSHING YARDS
O. Hampton
(RB)
o43.5 Rushing Yards
63.95 OVER
PROJECTION
+20.5
DIFFERENCE
26.16%
EV
RUSHING YARDS
J. Price
(RB)
o39.5 Rushing Yards
45.15 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.7
DIFFERENCE
21.89%
EV
RECEIVING YARDS
L. McConkey
(WR)
o41.5 Receiving Yards
51.30 OVER
PROJECTION
+9.8
DIFFERENCE
24.86%
EV
RECEIVING YARDS
A. Barner
(TE)
o29.5 Receiving Yards
33.74 OVER
PROJECTION
+4.2
DIFFERENCE
20.69%
EV
RECEIVING YARDS
J. Smith-Njigba
(WR)
o86.5 Receiving Yards
95.24 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.7
DIFFERENCE
20.26%
EV
RECEPTIONS MADE
L. McConkey
(WR)
o3.5 Receptions Made
4.14 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
3.02%
EV
RECEPTIONS MADE
J. Smith-Njigba
(WR)
o6.5 Receptions Made
7.12 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-1.52%
EV
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
O. Hampton
(RB)
o13.5 Rushing Attempts
14.76 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.3
DIFFERENCE
19.9%
EV
PASSING ATTEMPTS
S. Darnold
(QB)
o30.5 Passing Attempts
31.70 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.2
DIFFERENCE
11.92%
EV
PASSING ATTEMPTS
J. Herbert
(QB)
o29.5 Passing Attempts
29.69 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.09%
EV
PASSING COMPLETIONS
J. Herbert
(QB)
o18.5 Passing Completions
19.32 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
6.15%
EV
PASSING COMPLETIONS
S. Darnold
(QB)
u21.5 Passing Completions
20.92 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
3.23%
EV
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
J. Herbert
(QB)
Anytime Touchdown
0.18 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
14.61%
EV
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
L. McConkey
(WR)
Anytime Touchdown
0.27 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
10.67%
EV
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
J. Smith-Njigba
(WR)
Anytime Touchdown
0.59 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
8.74%
EV
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
O. Gadsden
(TE)
Anytime Touchdown
0.24 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
7.09%
EV
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
S. Darnold
(QB)
Anytime Touchdown
0.1 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
4.62%
EV
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
A. Barner
(TE)
Anytime Touchdown
0.26 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-5.82%
EV
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
J. Price
(RB)
Anytime Touchdown
0.38 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-9.14%
EV
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
O. Hampton
(RB)
Anytime Touchdown
0.31 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-27.86%
EV
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
S. Darnold
(QB)
u0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.40 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
8.72%
EV
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
J. Herbert
(QB)
o0.5 Interceptions Thrown
0.85 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
6.35%
EV
LAC @ SEA · Trends
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