Best NFL Picks Today

Find the best NFL bets today - Sept. 13, 2026. Free expert and computer picks for every NFL game.

New Computer Picks powered by Odds Shark

Predicted Score

ARI logo
ARI
ARI

18.48 @ 25.73

LAC
LAC logo
LAC

Cardinals vs Chargers · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

ARI logo
ARI
ARI

18.48

+9.5 -110

o47.0 -112

+400

LAC logo
LAC
LAC

25.73

-9.5 -105

u47.5 -110

-500

Green Bay @ Minnesota
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

GB logo
GB
GB

23.99 @ 25.10

MIN
MIN logo
MIN

Packers vs Vikings · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

GB logo
GB
GB

23.99

+2.5 -110

o45.5 -110

+115

MIN logo
MIN
MIN

25.10

-2.5 -105

u46.5 -115

-127

Top Projection Kyler Murray o224.5 Passing Yards (-105)
o215.5-115
Miami @ Las Vegas
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

19.71 @ 22.41

LV
LV logo
LV

Dolphins vs Raiders · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

MIA logo
MIA
MIA

19.71

+3.5 -120

o40.0 -108

+142

LV logo
LV
LV

22.41

-3.5 +105

u40.5 -110

-155

Top Projection Kirk Cousins o0.5 Rushing Yards (+115)
o0.5+122
Washington @ Philadelphia
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

19.29 @ 24.10

PHI
PHI logo
PHI

Commanders vs Eagles · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

WAS logo
WAS
WAS

19.29

+6.5 -115

o44.0 -110

+225

PHI logo
PHI
PHI

24.10

-6.5 +100

u44.5 -115

-250

Top Projection Jacory Croskey-Merritt o40.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
o39.5-113
Dallas @ N.Y. Giants
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

DAL logo
DAL
DAL

26.08 @ 23.54

NYG
NYG logo
NYG

Cowboys vs Giants · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

DAL logo
DAL
DAL

26.08

-2.5 -123

o47.5 -105

-164

NYG logo
NYG
NYG

23.54

+2.5 +102

u48.5 -123

+145

Top Projection Jaxson Dart o204.5 Passing Yards (-125)
o204.5-125
Denver @ Kansas City
Matchup Stats

Predicted Score

DEN logo
DEN
DEN

21.87 @ 21.02

KC
KC logo
KC

Broncos vs Chiefs · Prediction & Game Odds

Team

Predicted Score

Spread

Total

ML

DEN logo
DEN
DEN

21.87

+2.5 -102

o43.5 -108

+120

KC logo
KC
KC

21.02

-2.5 -105

u43.5 -108

-130

Top Projection Patrick Mahomes o15.5 Rushing Yards (+105)
o13.5-114
Arizona Cardinals image thumbnail ARI @ Los Angeles Chargers image thumbnail LAC Sun, Sep 13 • 4:25 PM ET
Receiving Yards
Michael Wilson logo Michael Wilson o43.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 hours ago
Geoff Clark logo
Geoff Clark
Betting Analyst

Michael Wilson had a breakout season in 2025, catching 78 balls for 1,006 yards and seven touchdowns. He is lining up across from the Chargers' worst cornerback, Cam Hart. 

Receptions Made
Trey McBride logo Trey McBride o5.5 Receptions Made (-154)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 hours ago
Ed Scimia logo
Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst

Every NFL fan knows Trey McBride is going to catch balls. Jacoby Brissett will lean heavily on his tight end against a Los Angeles Chargers team that ranked 10th in the NFL in defensive EPA per pass last year. I'm backing McBride to get 7+ receptions at 60% or less. 

View 16 Picks
Green Bay Packers image thumbnail GB @ Minnesota Vikings image thumbnail MIN Sun, Sep 13 • 4:25 PM ET
Receiving Yards
Justin Jefferson logo Justin Jefferson o71.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Player projections call for 85+ yards from Justin Jefferson, who will be targeted early and often by new Vikings QB Kyler Murray. Jefferson is elite versus zone coverage – which is what we’ll see from the Packers – and they didn’t bring in Murray to just hand the ball off. 

Passing Touchdowns
Kyler Murray logo Kyler Murray o1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+114)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 hours ago
Jason Logan logo
Jason Logan
Senior Betting Analyst

Kyler Murray has a good idea of the defense he’ll face in Week 1. He played it every day in practice for the past three years. Former Arizona coach Jonathan Gannon is the new defensive coordinator in Green Bay. On top of being able to find Jefferson and Jordan Addison for deep TD connections, Murray’s ability to make plays outside the pocket gives O’Connell a new twist inside the 20-yard line. He has excellent jump ball options in burly WR Jauan Jennings and TE T.J. Hockenson. Projections tick as high as 1.6 TD passes and isn’t here just to hand the ball off. I’d play his 2+ touchdowns as high as 48%.

View 25 Picks
Miami Dolphins image thumbnail MIA @ Las Vegas Raiders image thumbnail LV Sun, Sep 13 • 4:25 PM ET
Passing Completions
Kirk Cousins logo Kirk Cousins o19.5 Passing Completions (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Geoff Clark logo
Geoff Clark
Betting Analyst

Cousins completed 21+ passes in four of his eight starts with the Falcons last season, and in 2024, he connected on 20+ passes in nine of his 14 games. 

Anytime Touchdown
Malik Willis logo Malik Willis Score a Touchdown (Yes: +313)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Geoff Clark logo
Geoff Clark
Betting Analyst

Miami QB Malik Willis is one of the best running quarterbacks in the NFL, and RB De'Vone Achane is slight and injury-prone, so Willis could get goal-line carries

View 16 Picks
Washington Commanders image thumbnail WAS @ Philadelphia Eagles image thumbnail PHI Sun, Sep 13 • 4:25 PM ET
Passing Yards
Jalen Hurts logo Jalen Hurts o199.5 Passing Yards (-149)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 hours ago
Ed Scimia logo
Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst

Jalen Hurts doesn't always air the ball out for the Philadelphia Eagles, but he has an excellent chance to start his season off with big numbers against the Washington Commanders in Week 1. Washington has installed a completely new defense for 2026, and while that will probably lead to more pressure on quarterbacks this season, I'm unconvinced it'll pay dividends right away against a veteran quarterback. Hurts will punish this new-look defense, and I'm backing him to throw for 225+ yards at 50% probability or lower.

Anytime Touchdown
Saquon Barkley logo Saquon Barkley Score a Touchdown (Yes: -116)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 days ago
Neil Parker logo
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I recommend Barkley to score to -130 because he's run all over Washington with 428 rushing yards and five touchdowns across a mere three games since joining the Eagles. Additionally, he had his best game of 2025 with a season-high 5.19 yards after contact per attempt and PFF grade against the Commanders in Week 16. And, while the Washington defense is set to improve, it’s still a stop unit that ranked 28th in rush defense DVOA and allowed the fourth-highest rushing success rate in 2025. Finally, Philadelphia didn't bring in competition for Barkley's role over the offseason, and he garnered a 74% snap share with 33.8% of the touches and 48.3% of the carries inside the red zone last year.

View 17 Picks
Dallas Cowboys image thumbnail DAL @ New York Giants image thumbnail NYG Sun, Sep 13 • 8:20 PM ET
Rushing Yards
Jaxson Dart logo Jaxson Dart o29.5 Rushing Yards (-120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 hours ago
Geoff Clark logo
Geoff Clark
Betting Analyst

Giants QB Jaxson Dart ran for at least 32 yards in eight of his 12 starts last season and had seven games of 48+ rushing yards. Dallas's defense was 30th in rushing yards allowed to opposing quarterbacks last season. 

Anytime Touchdown
CeeDee Lamb logo CeeDee Lamb Score a Touchdown (Yes: +140)
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 hours ago
Ed Scimia logo
Ed Scimia
Betting Analyst

The New York Giants were mediocre against the pass last year, allowing 25 touchdown throws and -0.02 EPA per pass. CeeDee Lamb took advantage of that in their first meeting last year, getting 112 yards on nine catches. I'm backing Lamb to get a touchdown at up to 45%.

View 22 Picks
Denver Broncos image thumbnail DEN @ Kansas City Chiefs image thumbnail KC Mon, Sep 14 • 8:15 PM ET
Rushing Yards
Patrick Mahomes logo Patrick Mahomes o14.5 Rushing Yards (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

The projection is calling for 23.03 rushing yards, and a total I'm playing to 18.5. If you’re Denver DC Vance Joseph, your game plan has to make Patrick Mahomes mobile and test that rebuilt knee, and that isn’t a debate. The Chiefs are going to want to run the ball with their new toy in Kenneth Walker and an undrafted rookie tackle protecting Mahomes' backside, but when Mahomes drops back, his instinct will kick in, his knee will be an afterthought, and he can top this prop in one third-and-long carry. The injured knee is already priced into Mahomes' rushing total, which sits at 14.5 yards when it was 24 yards on average last year and as high as 30.5. He won't want to run, but the QB does not get to dictate that vs. a defense that might be getting in the backfield all game. 

Spread
Denver Broncos image thumbnail DEN +2.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Josh Inglis logo
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

I know both quarterbacks are coming back from injuries, but Patrick Mahomes' ligaments worry me, and worry me even more when his backside protection is going to be a second-string undrafted rookie facing off vs. Nik Bonitto and this Denver pass rush. The Chiefs have concerns on the other side of the ball as well. This is a secondary that lost 75% of its starters and a few more depth pieces. It's a brand new group and one that might take some time to execute the system. Denver should even be a little better in its deep passing game with the addition of Jaylen Waddle and the chemistry he is building with Bo Nix. Sorry, Chiefs fans. 

View 20 Picks

For every matchup in an NFL season, our NFL computer produces selections for a variety of different betting angles. Our computer picks are based on a proprietary algorithm that values each team in the current week to produce moneyline, spread, and point total selections.

The table above, below the game picks, tracks our NFL computer's results over the last 100 games, outlining the record and profit for selections, based on $100 unit size. We track the profit based on both opening and closing lines for every matchup.

How to Use NFL Computer Picks

The easiest way to utilize our computer picks is to simply follow our selections for every matchup, what you'd call ailing the computer." But there are other ways to utilize our NFL computer picks, as well.

You can use our NFL computer as a jumping-off point to do more research into specific lines, cross-referencing with expert picks, which can be found above the selections for some matchups, recent NFL betting trends, and more.

As well, you can gauge the confidence of the matchup. The larger the projected score, the more confident the computer is in a specific pick.

Or, if you want to implement a system, betting only on underdogs, for example, you can look for matchups in which our computer likes the underdog to inform which picks you're going to hone in on for a given week.

We have these computer picks for every sport you're looking to wager on, as well:

Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark

Moneyline

NFL moneyline picks are the simplest way to get in on the NFL action. All you have to do is simply bet on which team you think will win the game.

For moneyline picks, the favorite is represented with a minus sign (-) in front of the odds, while the underdog has a plus (+). However, you don't get the same profit for picking an underdog compared to a favorite. If the favored team is -120, a $100 bet on them would pay out $80 in profit and $180 total, if they win the game. The underdog winning at +150 would pay out a $150 profit, $250 total.

We have a complete breakdown of how to read NFL moneyline odds for these NFL computer picks.

Spread

While moneyline picks are the simplest, picking NFL games against the spread is probably the most common wager for regular NFL bettors.

To bet an NFL spread, you wager on whether a team will win by a certain number of points or more or if they'll lose by fewer points than the spread. For example, if the spread is -6.5 for the New England Patriots, you would win the bet if they win the game by 7 points or more. Or if a team is +6.5, you're betting on if they'll win outright or lose by fewer than 6.5 points.

There is a correlation between moneyline odds and the spread, as books set these lines based on the same information.

You can read more about NFL spreads here.

Totals (Over/Under)

If you aren’t entirely sold on which NFL team will win or cover in an NFL game, you can still use our NFL computer picks to bet on the point total.

As opposed to taking a side, in total or Over/Under betting, you wager on whether both NFL teams will combine for a final score of more than (Over) or less than (Under) the total number of points set by oddsmakers.

The computer picks, and your handicapping of totals is more about how you think both teams will score points, not which team has the edge to win.

More NFL Picks & Betting Tools

Our NFL Computer Picks are a great way to place weekly football wagers, but you should also consider handicapping games yourself using some of our other tools. If you're looking to bet on long-term futures this football season, check out some of our other dedicated pages:

Best Football Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on NFL picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. Our NFL betting sites guide offers secure banking, the best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service options for you.

NFL Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our NFL picks?

Covers NFL picks are released two to three days before each game on the NFL schedule.

What kinds of NFL picks do we make?

Covers provides free NFL picks covering many markets, including point spreads, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.