Panthers @ Packers Picks & Props

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The model projects Josh Jacobs to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass game near the goal line this week (7.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Carolina's unit has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in football.

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Panthers, who are enormous -13-point underdogs.. At the moment, the 4th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL in the red zone (60.5% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers.. The Carolina Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 41.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.. The Carolina O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Panthers, who are enormous -13-point underdogs.. At the moment, the 4th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL in the red zone (60.5% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers.. The Carolina Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 41.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.. Our trusted projections expect Rico Dowdle to be much more involved in his offense's air attack near the goal line this week (8.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (2.3% in games he has played).

With a high 20.0% Red Zone Target% (81st percentile) this year, Romeo Doubs rates as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume near the end zone in the league.. Romeo Doubs has compiled many more air yards this year (85.0 per game) than he did last year (66.0 per game).. Romeo Doubs's 59.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 48.6.. Romeo Doubs ranks in the 93rd percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging an excellent 0.50 per game.. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Carolina's unit has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in football.

Tucker Kraft has totaled a monstrous 25.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile among TEs.. Tucker Kraft's 36.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 27.6.. Tucker Kraft's 82.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a remarkable boost in his receiving prowess over last year's 78.5% rate.. With a terrific rate of 0.75 per game through the air (98th percentile), Tucker Kraft stands as one of the top receiving TD-scorers in the league among tight ends this year.. The Carolina Panthers pass defense has conceded the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (83.2%) to tight ends this year (83.2%).

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Panthers, who are enormous -13-point underdogs.. At the moment, the 4th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL in the red zone (60.5% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers.. The Carolina Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 41.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.. The Carolina O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Panthers, who are enormous -13-point underdogs.. At the moment, the 4th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL in the red zone (60.5% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers.. The Carolina Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 41.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.. Taking on a mere 0.0% of his offense's red zone carries this year (3rd percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Bryce Young's one-dimensionality makes him no threat with his legs near the goal line.

The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 58.1% pass rate.. Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Panthers are forecasted by the predictive model to run just 62.0 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.. The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.. Rico Dowdle's play as a receiver has declined this season, notching a mere 1.4 adjusted catches vs 2.4 last season.. The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the best safety corps in football this year in defending receivers.

This game's line implies an extreme rushing game script for the Packers, who are a huge favorite by 13 points.. The projections expect the Green Bay Packers to be the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have just 124.8 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.. Romeo Doubs's 64.2% Adjusted Catch% this year illustrates a significant decline in his pass-catching ability over last year's 68.3% figure.. This year, the stout Panthers defense has conceded a measly 60.5% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wide receivers: the 5th-lowest rate in the NFL.

This game's line implies an extreme rushing game script for the Packers, who are a huge favorite by 13 points.. The projections expect the Green Bay Packers to be the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have just 124.7 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.. The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Panthers, who are enormous -13-point underdogs.. The Carolina Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 41.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.. The Carolina O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.. The Packers pass defense has conceded the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (81.2%) versus TEs this year (81.2%).

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Panthers, who are enormous -13-point underdogs.. The Carolina Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 41.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.. The Carolina O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

This game's line implies an extreme rushing game script for the Packers, who are a huge favorite by 13 points.. The projections expect the Green Bay Packers to be the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have just 124.7 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.. The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.. Josh Jacobs's 80.8% Adjusted Catch% this season conveys an impressive decrease in his receiving prowess over last season's 88.4% rate.

Jordan Love's throwing accuracy has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 65.9% to 71.3%.. The Carolina Panthers linebackers project as the 5th-worst unit in the league this year with their pass rush.

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Panthers, who are enormous -13-point underdogs.. At the moment, the 4th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL in the red zone (60.5% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers.. The Carolina Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 41.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.. The Carolina O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Panthers, who are enormous -13-point underdogs.. The Carolina Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 41.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.. The Carolina O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.. This year, the anemic Green Bay Packers defense has given up a monstrous 73.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 9th-highest rate in the NFL.

Jordan Love's throwing accuracy has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 65.9% to 71.3%.. The Carolina Panthers linebackers project as the 5th-worst unit in the league this year with their pass rush.

This game's line implies an extreme rushing game script for the Packers, who are a huge favorite by 13 points.. The projections expect the Green Bay Packers to be the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have just 124.8 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.. The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.. In this game, Jordan Love is anticipated by the predictive model to wind up with the 6th-fewest pass attempts among all QBs with 31.1.

The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 58.1% pass rate.. Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Panthers are forecasted by the predictive model to run just 62.0 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.. The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Panthers, who are enormous -13-point underdogs.. The Carolina Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 41.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.. The Carolina O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.. This year, the anemic Green Bay Packers defense has given up a monstrous 73.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 9th-highest rate in the NFL.

With a terrific tally of 222.0 adjusted passing yards per game (82nd percentile), Jordan Love ranks among the top quarterbacks in the league this year.. Jordan Love's throwing accuracy has gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 65.9% to 71.3%.. Jordan Love comes in as one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the NFL this year, averaging an exceptional 8.35 adjusted yards-per-target while ranking in the 94th percentile.. The Carolina Panthers linebackers project as the 5th-worst unit in the league this year with their pass rush.

The leading projections forecast the Panthers to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 58.1% pass rate.. Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Panthers are forecasted by the predictive model to run just 62.0 offensive plays in this game: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.. The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.. The Green Bay Packers safeties grade out as the best safety corps in football this year in defending receivers.

This game's line implies an extreme rushing game script for the Packers, who are a huge favorite by 13 points.. The projections expect the Green Bay Packers to be the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have just 124.7 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.. The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.. In logging only 0.27 interceptions per game this year, Jordan Love rates among the leading quarterbacks in the NFL (79th percentile).

The leading projections forecast Josh Jacobs to accrue 3.3 targets in this contest, on balance, ranking him in the 81st percentile when it comes to RBs.. With a remarkable 11.9% Target% (90th percentile) this year, Josh Jacobs has been as one of the RB receiving threats with the most usage in football.. Josh Jacobs comes in as one of the best RBs in the pass game this year, averaging a stellar 22.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 91st percentile.. Josh Jacobs rates as one of the most efficient pass-catchers in the league among running backs, averaging an excellent 7.82 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 82nd percentile.. The Carolina Panthers linebackers project as the 5th-worst unit in the league this year with their pass rush.

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Panthers, who are enormous -13-point underdogs.. The Carolina Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 41.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.. The Carolina O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.. The Packers pass defense has conceded the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (81.2%) versus TEs this year (81.2%).

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Panthers, who are enormous -13-point underdogs.. The Carolina Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 41.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.. The Carolina O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.. The Packers defense has been gouged for the 9th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (159.0) to WRs this year.

Romeo Doubs has compiled many more air yards this year (85.0 per game) than he did last year (66.0 per game).. Romeo Doubs's 59.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 48.6.. Romeo Doubs rates as one of the best wide receivers in the NFL this year, averaging an exceptional 46.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 77th percentile.. The Carolina Panthers linebackers project as the 5th-worst unit in the league this year with their pass rush.

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Panthers, who are enormous -13-point underdogs.. The Carolina Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 41.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.. Rico Dowdle's 47.3% Snap% this season indicates a meaningful reduction in his offensive volume over last season's 57.4% mark.. As it relates to air yards, Rico Dowdle ranks in the lofty 85th percentile among RBs this year, accumulating a staggering 2.0 per game. (due to most of their targets being behind the line of scrimmage, that is far more noteworthy than it appears since most RBs have negative air yards).

This game's line implies an extreme rushing game script for the Packers, who are a huge favorite by 13 points.. The projections expect the Green Bay Packers to be the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.4% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is predicted by the projections to have just 124.8 plays on offense run: the 2nd-fewest out of all the games this week.. The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.. Tucker Kraft's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year represents a noteable drop-off in his efficiency in the open field over last year's 9.2% mark.

The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers to be the 6th-most run-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 41.9% run rate.. The Carolina Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.. The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers to be the 6th-most run-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 41.9% run rate.. The Carolina Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.. The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.. In this week's contest, Rico Dowdle is forecasted by the projections to secure a spot in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs with 16.2 carries.. With a stellar rate of 64.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (93rd percentile), Rico Dowdle places as one of the leading pure runners in the NFL this year.

This game's line implies an extreme rushing game script for the Packers, who are a huge favorite by 13 points.. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to run on 47.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.. Jordan Love has been much more involved in his offense's run game this season (9.0% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last season (3.9%).. Jordan Love's 14.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this season reflects a substantial improvement in his rushing prowess over last season's 6.0 rate.

This game's line implies an extreme rushing game script for the Packers, who are a huge favorite by 13 points.. Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to run on 47.6% of their opportunities: the 2nd-greatest clip among all teams this week.. The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.. In this game, Josh Jacobs is expected by our trusted projection set to place in the 93rd percentile when it comes to running backs with 17.5 rush attempts.. Josh Jacobs has earned 63.8% of his team's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.

The predictive model expects the Carolina Panthers to be the 6th-most run-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 41.9% run rate.. The Carolina Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game.. The weather forecast calls for 14-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.. In this week's contest, Rico Dowdle is forecasted by the projections to secure a spot in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs with 16.2 carries.. While Rico Dowdle has garnered 49.5% of his team's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be much more involved in Carolina's run game this week at 64.0%.