Carolina @ Green Bay Picks & Props

The model projects Josh Jacobs to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass game near the goal line this week (7.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played). When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Carolina's unit has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in football.

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Panthers, who are enormous -13-point underdogs. At the moment, the 4th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL in the red zone (60.5% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers. The Carolina Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 41.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. Our trusted projections expect Rico Dowdle to be much more involved in his offense's air attack near the goal line this week (8.6% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (2.3% in games he has played).

With a high 20.0% Red Zone Target% (81st percentile) this year, Romeo Doubs rates as one of the wide receivers with the highest volume near the end zone in the league. Romeo Doubs has compiled many more air yards this year (85.0 per game) than he did last year (66.0 per game). Romeo Doubs's 59.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 48.6. Romeo Doubs ranks in the 93rd percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging an excellent 0.50 per game. When it comes to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Carolina's unit has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in football.

Tucker Kraft has totaled a monstrous 25.0 air yards per game this year: 79th percentile among TEs. Tucker Kraft's 36.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 27.6. Tucker Kraft's 82.4% Adjusted Catch Rate this year conveys a remarkable boost in his receiving prowess over last year's 78.5% rate. With a terrific rate of 0.75 per game through the air (98th percentile), Tucker Kraft stands as one of the top receiving TD-scorers in the league among tight ends this year. The Carolina Panthers pass defense has conceded the 5th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (83.2%) to tight ends this year (83.2%).

This game's line suggests an extreme throwing game script for the Panthers, who are enormous -13-point underdogs. At the moment, the 4th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL in the red zone (60.5% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Panthers. The Carolina Panthers have called the 6th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game. Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 41.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL. The Carolina O-line ranks as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing attack metrics across the board.