Rams @ Panthers Picks & Props

The Panthers are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (60.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Panthers. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 129.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.4 per game) this year. The model projects Tommy Tremble to be a more integral piece of his team's passing attack near the goal line this week (13.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (6.8% in games he has played).

At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.7% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Rams. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have 129.5 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. Colby Parkinson's 76.5% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a meaningful growth in his pass-catching talent over last year's 65.2% mark. Colby Parkinson grades out in the 94th percentile among tight ends as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an excellent 0.50 per game. This year, the deficient Carolina Panthers pass defense has surrendered a whopping 79.8% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 4th-worst rate in the NFL.

At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.7% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Rams. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have 129.5 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. With a top-tier 9.2% Red Zone Target% (77th percentile) this year, Kyren Williams stands as one of the RB receiving threats with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football. Kyren Williams has notched quite a few more air yards this season (8.0 per game) than he did last season (-2.0 per game). With an excellent ratio of 0.16 per game through the air (88th percentile), Kyren Williams has been among the best receiving TD-scorers in the league among running backs this year.

The Panthers are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (60.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Panthers. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 129.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.4 per game) this year. The Panthers offensive line profiles as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

At the present time, the 3rd-most pass-focused team in football (64.7% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Rams. Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is forecasted by the projection model to have 129.5 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week. After accruing 75.0 air yards per game last year, Puka Nacua has been rising this year, now boasting 92.0 per game. Puka Nacua's 66.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive usage) puts him in the company of the best in football: 93rd percentile for WRs. Puka Nacua's ball-catching skills have improved this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 76.1% to 81.0%.

The Panthers are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (60.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Panthers. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 129.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.4 per game) this year. Rico Dowdle's 14.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in football: 78th percentile for RBs.

The Panthers are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating an extreme passing game script. At the moment, the 6th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the goal line (60.7% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Panthers. Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 129.5 plays on offense called: the 2nd-most on the slate this week. The model projects Bryce Young to attempt 35.7 passes in this contest, on average: the 3rd-most among all QBs. The Rams defense has been something of pass funnel this year, leading opposing QBs to attempt the 6th-most passes in the league (34.4 per game) this year.