PIT 6.0 o43.0
BAL -6.0 u43.0
SEA -7.0 o44.5
ATL 7.0 u44.5
TEN 3.5 o34.0
CLE -3.5 u34.0
MIA -2.5 o41.5
NYJ 2.5 u41.5
NO 8.0 o41.5
TB -8.0 u41.5
IND -2.0 o47.0
JAC 2.0 u47.0
WAS -1.5 o44.0
MIN 1.5 u44.0
CIN 6.0 o53.0
BUF -6.0 u53.0
DEN -7.5 o40.0
LV 7.5 u40.0
CHI 7.0 o44.5
GB -7.0 u44.5
LA -8.5 o47.5
ARI 8.5 u47.5
HOU 3.5 o41.5
KC -3.5 u41.5
PHI -2.5 o41.5
LAC 2.5 u41.5
Final Dec 4
DAL 30 4.0 o55.0
DET 44 -4.0 u55.0
Bears 1st NFC North9-3
Packers 2nd NFC North8-3

Bears @ Packers Picks & Props

CHI vs GB Picks

NFL Picks
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Chicago Bears logo CHI +6.5 (-108)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Rohit Ponnaiya image
Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

The Packers are 6-3-1 in their last 10 games but have gone 3-7 ATS during that span. The Bears are 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 contests. They are coming off their best win of the year after beating the defending Super Bowl champion Eagles on the road. Ben Johnson has Chicago's offense firing on all cylinders. The line has played much better over the last few weeks with the RB duo of Kyle Monangai and D'Andre Swift piling up yards. Meanwhile, their defense leads the NFL with 2.2 takeaways per game. Spotting them nearly a touchdown is too much, especially in a divisional game which tend to be competitive.

Score a Touchdown
Colston Loveland logo Colston Loveland Score a Touchdown (Yes: +425)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

I’m fully buying into this Bears offense. Kyle Monangai was the best value last week, but his number has moved too much for Week 14, so I’m turning to another rookie: Coltson Loveland at +425. Loveland has two red-zone targets over his last three games and turned one into a touchdown. He’s contributing outside the red zone as well — he tied for the team lead with six targets against the Eagles and led all Bears pass catchers with 63 air yards. Cole Kmet found the end zone last week, but at +425, I’m happy to back the tight end running 70% of the routes and lining up all over the formation. I’m riding Ben Johnson’s offense weekly from here on out.

Receptions Made
Christian Watson logo
Christian Watson u3.5 Receptions Made (-105)
Projection 3.03 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 6.5 points.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 53.7% of their plays: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. The model projects the Packers to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.5 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
Passing Completions
Caleb Williams logo
Caleb Williams o17.5 Passing Completions (-115)
Projection 19.56 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
A throwing game script is suggested by the Bears being a -6.5-point underdog in this game.. At just 27.84 seconds per snap, the Bears offense checks in as the 5th-quickest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 10th-highest clip in football vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year (72.0% Adjusted Completion%).
Passing Yards
Caleb Williams logo
Caleb Williams o189.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Projection 200.93 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
A throwing game script is suggested by the Bears being a -6.5-point underdog in this game.. At just 27.84 seconds per snap, the Bears offense checks in as the 5th-quickest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.
Receiving Yards
Rome Odunze logo
Rome Odunze o38.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 54.54 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: yesterday
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
A throwing game script is suggested by the Bears being a -6.5-point underdog in this game.. At just 27.84 seconds per snap, the Bears offense checks in as the 5th-quickest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.
Receiving Yards
D'Andre Swift logo
D'Andre Swift o11.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 17.96 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
A throwing game script is suggested by the Bears being a -6.5-point underdog in this game.. At just 27.84 seconds per snap, the Bears offense checks in as the 5th-quickest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.. With a sizeable 48.0% Route% (82nd percentile) this year, D'Andre Swift rates as one of the pass-catching running backs with the most usage in the NFL.. The projections expect D'Andre Swift to accrue 3.2 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 80th percentile when it comes to running backs.. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.
Receiving Yards
Luther Burden III logo
Luther Burden III o41.5 Receiving Yards (-111)
Projection 48.15 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
A throwing game script is suggested by the Bears being a -6.5-point underdog in this game.. At just 27.84 seconds per snap, the Bears offense checks in as the 5th-quickest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.
Receiving Yards
Luke Musgrave logo
Luke Musgrave o10.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Projection 14.36 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
This year, the poor Chicago Bears pass defense has conceded a massive 86.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing tight ends: the 2nd-worst rate in football.. The Bears pass defense has shown poor efficiency versus TEs this year, giving up 8.20 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 7th-most in football.. When it comes to linebackers rushing the passer, Chicago's LB corps has been awful this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.
Receiving Yards
Christian Watson logo
Christian Watson u52.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Projection 47.32 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Packers, who are favored by 6.5 points.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Packers to pass on 53.7% of their plays: the 7th-lowest clip among all teams this week.. The model projects the Packers to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 64.5 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. Christian Watson's 9.9 adjusted yards per target this year shows a material drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 10.9 mark.. Christian Watson's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season indicates a remarkable drop-off in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 5.1% figure.
Receiving Yards
Josh Jacobs logo
Josh Jacobs o15.5 Receiving Yards (-108)
Projection 18.38 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 38 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In this contest, Josh Jacobs is predicted by the model to place in the 82nd percentile when it comes to running backs with 3.3 targets.. Josh Jacobs has been a key part of his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 11.3% this year, which places him in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs.. Josh Jacobs rates as one of the leading pass-catching running backs this year, averaging an outstanding 20.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.. When it comes to linebackers rushing the passer, Chicago's LB corps has been awful this year, grading out as the 2nd-worst in football.
Rushing Yards
Caleb Williams logo
Caleb Williams o18.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 23.48 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 17 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The predictive model expects the Bears to be the 10th-most run-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 41.0% run rate.. At just 27.84 seconds per snap, the Bears offense checks in as the 5th-quickest paced in football (in a neutral context) this year.
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CHI vs GB Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Spread

61% picking Chicago

61%
39%

Total Picks CHI 445, GB 283

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CHI
GB

CHI vs GB Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Josh Jacobs Score a Touchdown Props • Green Bay

Josh Jacobs
J. Jacobs
running back RB • Green Bay
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.77
Best Odds
Prop
Score a Touchdown
Projection
0.77
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Josh Jacobs's 15.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the best in the league: 84th percentile for RBs. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-highest rate in football against the Chicago Bears defense this year (74.8% Adjusted Completion%). This year, the anemic Bears defense has allowed a massive 0.25 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing running backs: the 7th-largest rate in the NFL.

Josh Jacobs logo

Josh Jacobs

Prop: 0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection: 0.77
Prop:
0.5 Score a Touchdown
Projection:
0.77

Josh Jacobs's 15.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the best in the league: 84th percentile for RBs. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-highest rate in football against the Chicago Bears defense this year (74.8% Adjusted Completion%). This year, the anemic Bears defense has allowed a massive 0.25 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing running backs: the 7th-largest rate in the NFL.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

CHI vs GB Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'bobalten5000' is picking Green Bay to cover (-6.5)

bobalten5000 is #10 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (0-0-0) and +4450 units on the season.

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'jenjay23' is picking Chicago to cover (+6.5)

jenjay23 is #2 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (11-1-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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'jenjay23' picks Chicago vs Green Bay to go Over (45.5)

jenjay23 is #2 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (11-1-0) and +5700 units on the season.

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'Sandsaver727' is picking Chicago to cover (+6.5)

Sandsaver727 is #3 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (7-5-0) and +5200 units on the season.

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'Sandsaver727' picks Chicago vs Green Bay to go Under (46.5)

Sandsaver727 is #3 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (7-5-0) and +5200 units on the season.

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'Jhusagic' picks Chicago vs Green Bay to go Over (44.5)

Jhusagic is #5 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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'Jhusagic' is picking Green Bay to cover (-6.5)

Jhusagic is #5 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +4750 units on the season.

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'adamort22' is picking Chicago to cover (+6.5)

adamort22 is #6 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (9-2-1) and +4700 units on the season.

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'adamort22' picks Chicago vs Green Bay to go Under (45.5)

adamort22 is #6 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (9-2-1) and +4700 units on the season.

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'CJONES1068' picks Chicago vs Green Bay to go Under (46.5)

CJONES1068 is #7 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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'CJONES1068' is picking Green Bay to cover (-6.5)

CJONES1068 is #7 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (9-3-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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'Roundrobinking' picks Chicago vs Green Bay to go Over (45.5)

Roundrobinking is #8 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (10-1-0) and +4700 units on the season.

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'Roundrobinking' is picking Chicago to cover (+5.5)

Roundrobinking is #8 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (10-1-0) and +4700 units on the season.

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'dberry963' picks Chicago vs Green Bay to go Over (44.5)

dberry963 is #8 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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'dberry963' is picking Chicago to cover (+6.5)

dberry963 is #8 on picking games that Chicago is in with a record of (8-4-0) and +4650 units on the season.

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'CaliGold' is picking Chicago to cover (+6.5)

CaliGold is #9 on picking games that Green Bay is in with a record of (10-2-0) and +4520 units on the season.

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