Bears @ Packers Picks & Props

A throwing game script is suggested by the Bears being a -6.5-point underdog in this game. The most plays in the league have been run by the Chicago Bears this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average). Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year. Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 10th-highest clip in football vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year (72.0% Adjusted Completion%).

A throwing game script is suggested by the Bears being a -6.5-point underdog in this game. The most plays in the league have been run by the Chicago Bears this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average). Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year. The Green Bay Packers pass defense has been gouged for the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (77.8%) versus tight ends this year (77.8%).

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. The model projects Christian Watson to be much more involved in his offense's passing attack near the end zone this week (17.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (7.7% in games he has played). Christian Watson has accumulated many more air yards this season (110.0 per game) than he did last season (63.0 per game). Christian Watson's 59.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been notably higher this year than it was last year at 38.5. With a terrific rate of 0.50 per game through the air (93rd percentile), Christian Watson has been as one of the leading receiving TD-scorers in the league when it comes to wideouts this year.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Josh Jacobs's 15.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that calculates high-value offensive usage) ranks him among the best in the league: 84th percentile for RBs. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-highest rate in football against the Chicago Bears defense this year (74.8% Adjusted Completion%). This year, the anemic Bears defense has allowed a massive 0.25 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing running backs: the 7th-largest rate in the NFL.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Bears being a -6.5-point underdog in this game. The most plays in the league have been run by the Chicago Bears this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average). Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume. D'Andre Swift's 14.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) ranks among the best in football: 80th percentile for running backs. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year.

A throwing game script is suggested by the Bears being a -6.5-point underdog in this game. The most plays in the league have been run by the Chicago Bears this year (a whopping 61.8 per game on average). Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume. As it relates to pass-blocking (and the strong effect it has on all air attack metrics), the O-line of the Chicago Bears profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year. Opposing teams have run for the 8th-fewest TDs in the league (0.75 per game) against the Green Bay Packers defense this year.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, and reduced ground volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency. Jordan Love is not much of a runner and has accounted for a measly 1.4% of his team's rush attempts near the end zone this year, placing him in the 18th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks. Jordan Love is positioned as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL this year with a stellar 67.9% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 81st percentile. The running touchdown field reads "0" on the back of Jordan Love's trading card this year. Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 4th-highest rate in football against the Chicago Bears defense this year (74.8% Adjusted Completion%).