Colts @ Jaguars Picks & Props

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the NFL (40.8 per game) this year. The model projects Alec Pierce to be a much bigger part of his offense's pass attack near the end zone in this week's game (16.5% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (8.2% in games he has played). After totaling 96.0 air yards per game last season, Alec Pierce has made big progress this season, currently boasting 115.0 per game. Alec Pierce's 60.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 43.8. When talking about pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the best in the NFL this year.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the NFL (40.8 per game) this year. When talking about pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the best in the NFL this year. The Jaguars defense has conceded the 3rd-most receiving TDs in football to TEs: 0.58 per game this year. Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-fewest touchdowns in the league (0.58 per game) vs. the Jaguars defense this year.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the NFL (40.8 per game) this year. When talking about pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the best in the NFL this year. Opposing offenses have rushed for the 3rd-fewest touchdowns in the league (0.58 per game) vs. the Jaguars defense this year.

The Jaguars have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game. The Colts defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (40.0 per game) this year. Jakobi Meyers has been a big part of his team's offense near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 19.2% this year, which ranks in the 80th percentile when it comes to WRs. Jakobi Meyers's 73.7% Adjusted Catch% this year shows a remarkable improvement in his receiving talent over last year's 68.4% mark. The Colts linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

The Jaguars have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game. The Colts defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (40.0 per game) this year. The predictive model expects Brenton Strange to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass attack near the end zone in this week's game (13.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (3.3% in games he has played). Brenton Strange has notched quite a few more air yards this year (43.0 per game) than he did last year (23.0 per game). Brenton Strange's 37.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive volume) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 21.9.

The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has been something of pass funnel this year, tempting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the most passes in the NFL (40.8 per game) this year. Jonathan Taylor's 15.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) ranks him among the league leaders: 81st percentile for RBs. When talking about pocket protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Indianapolis Colts profiles as the best in the NFL this year. Jonathan Taylor's receiving reliability have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 56.7% to 87.8%. Jonathan Taylor ranks in the 87th percentile among running backs as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an outstanding 0.15 per game.

The Jaguars have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game. The Colts defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (40.0 per game) this year. With a remarkable 11.5% Red Zone Target Share (88th percentile) this year, Travis Etienne has been among the pass-catching RBs with the most usage near the end zone in the NFL. Travis Etienne grades out in the 87th percentile among running backs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a remarkable 0.15 per game. The Colts linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

The Jaguars have run the 7th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a colossal 59.9 plays per game. The Colts defense has been something of pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (40.0 per game) this year. The Colts linebackers grade out as the 2nd-worst unit in the league this year in defending receivers.