SPREAD
LAC
-8.5 spread
-10.2
PROJECTION
-1.7
DIFFERENCE
1.88%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
LAC
-8.5 spread
Close Modal
-10.2
PROJECTION
-1.7
DIFFERENCE
1.88%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
-8.5
-125
TOTAL
42.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.0
DIFFERENCE
3.86%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
42.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.0
DIFFERENCE
3.86%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
u44.5
-110
MONEYLINE
LAC
-550 moneyline
LAC
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
2.77%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
LAC
-550 moneyline
Close Modal
LAC
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
2.77%
EV
There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.
-550
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.92 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
6.27%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.92 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
6.27%
EV
The Chargers have been the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.9% red zone pass rate.. The Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.. This year, the porous Tennessee Titans defense has been torched for a massive 77.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-largest rate in football.
-150
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.29 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
4.25%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
0.29 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
4.25%
EV
An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a huge -10-point underdog in this week's contest.. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league in the red zone (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Titans.. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Los Angeles's group of DTs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.
+420
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.41 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-6.88%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.41 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-6.88%
EV
The Chargers have been the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.9% red zone pass rate.. The Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.. The Titans pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (76.6%) versus WRs this year (76.6%).
+160
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.14 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-10.5%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
0.14 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-10.5%
EV
An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a huge -9.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league in the red zone (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Titans.. While Chig Okonkwo has received 4.3% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more important option in Tennessee's passing attack near the goal line in this week's game at 9.8%.. Chig Okonkwo grades out in the 75th percentile among tight ends this year with an impressive 8.3% of his team's air yards accumulated.. Chig Okonkwo's 27.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive usage) grades out among the best in the league: 75th percentile for tight ends.
+525
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.36 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-12.67%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
0.36 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-12.67%
EV
The Chargers have been the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.9% red zone pass rate.. The Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.. This year, the porous Tennessee Titans defense has been torched for a massive 77.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-largest rate in football.
+165
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.28 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-15.19%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.28 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-15.19%
EV
An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a huge -10-point underdog in this week's contest.. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league in the red zone (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Titans.. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.. Tony Pollard's 84.9% Adjusted Catch% this season illustrates a remarkable boost in his pass-catching skills over last season's 74.2% figure.. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Los Angeles's group of DTs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.
+190
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.15 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-25.06%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.15 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-25.06%
EV
The Chargers have been the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.9% red zone pass rate.. The Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.. Justin Herbert has been among the leading TD passers in football this year, averaging an impressive 2.00 per game while grading out in the 95th percentile.. The rushing touchdown column reads "0" on the back of Justin Herbert's trading card this year.. This year, the porous Tennessee Titans defense has been torched for a massive 77.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-largest rate in football.
+350
ANYTIME TOUCHDOWN
0.04 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
0.04 TDs
PROJECTION
-
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a huge -9.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league in the red zone (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Titans.. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.. As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Los Angeles's group of DTs has been tremendous this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.
+1000
RECEPTIONS MADE
1.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
4.11%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
1.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.9
DIFFERENCE
4.11%
EV
The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 59.3% pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect the Titans to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. Tony Pollard's 12.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 18.1.. This year, the fierce Chargers defense has yielded a measly 77.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 8th-smallest rate in the NFL.. As it relates to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's safety corps has been terrific this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the NFL.
u2.5
-178
RECEPTIONS MADE
2.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
2.95%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
2.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
2.95%
EV
With a 10-point advantage, the Chargers are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their typical approach.. Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers as the 8th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have just 126.4 plays on offense run: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.. The Chargers O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
u2.5
-133
RECEPTIONS MADE
3.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
2.09%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
3.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
2.09%
EV
The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 59.3% pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect the Titans to call the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The Chargers pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.9%) vs. wideouts this year (59.9%).. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's CB corps has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.
u3.5
-125
RECEPTIONS MADE
5.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
1.12%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
5.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
1.12%
EV
With a 10-point advantage, the Chargers are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their typical approach.. Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers as the 8th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have just 126.4 plays on offense run: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.. The Chargers O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
u5.5
-123
RECEPTIONS MADE
4.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
0.94%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
4.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
0.94%
EV
With a 10-point advantage, the Chargers are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their typical approach.. Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers as the 8th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have just 126.4 plays on offense run: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.. The Chargers O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
u4.5
-117
RECEPTIONS MADE
3.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-3.18%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
3.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-3.18%
EV
The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 59.3% pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect the Titans to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. The Chargers pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (59.9%) vs. wideouts this year (59.9%).. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's CB corps has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.
u3.5
-124
RECEPTIONS MADE
3.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-10%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
3.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-10%
EV
An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a huge -10-point underdog in this week's contest.. With a top-tier 65.4% Route Participation% (77th percentile) this year, Chig Okonkwo has been among the tight ends with the most usage in the NFL.. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.
o2.5
-185
PASSING TOUCHDOWNS
0.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-13.48%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
0.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-13.48%
EV
An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a huge -10-point underdog in this week's contest.. At the present time, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league in the red zone (58.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Titans.. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.
o0.5
-186
PASSING TOUCHDOWNS
1.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-20.59%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
1.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-20.59%
EV
The Chargers have been the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) this year with a 60.9% red zone pass rate.. The Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.. Justin Herbert has attempted 38.1 passes per game this year, checking in at the 95th percentile among quarterbacks.. Justin Herbert has been among the leading TD passers in football this year, averaging an impressive 2.00 per game while grading out in the 95th percentile.. This year, the porous Tennessee Titans defense has been torched for a massive 77.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-largest rate in football.
o1.5
-174
PASSING COMPLETIONS
19.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.1
DIFFERENCE
2.38%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
19.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.1
DIFFERENCE
2.38%
EV
The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 59.3% pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect the Titans to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. This year, the daunting Chargers defense has conceded a feeble 65.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-lowest rate in football.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's CB corps has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.
u20.5
-125
PASSING COMPLETIONS
21.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-14.64%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
21.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-14.64%
EV
The Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.. Justin Herbert has attempted 38.1 passes per game this year, checking in at the 95th percentile among quarterbacks.. This year, the porous Tennessee Titans defense has been torched for a massive 77.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-largest rate in football.. As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Tennessee's collection of CBs has been terrible this year, profiling as the 7th-worst in the NFL.
o21.5
-130
PASSING ATTEMPTS
32.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.4
DIFFERENCE
2.88%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
32.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.4
DIFFERENCE
2.88%
EV
The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 59.3% pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect the Titans to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
u33.5
-116
PASSING ATTEMPTS
31.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
2.02%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
31.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
2.02%
EV
With a 10-point advantage, the Chargers are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their typical approach.. Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers as the 8th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have just 126.4 plays on offense run: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.
u32.5
-118
PASSING YARDS
196.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-9.9
DIFFERENCE
5.74%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
196.6 UNDER
PROJECTION
-9.9
DIFFERENCE
5.74%
EV
The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 59.3% pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect the Titans to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. This year, the daunting Chargers defense has conceded a feeble 65.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-lowest rate in football.. The Los Angeles Chargers pass defense has exhibited good efficiency this year, giving up 6.71 adjusted yards-per-target: the 2nd-fewest in the NFL.. When it comes to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Los Angeles's CB corps has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in football.
u206.5
-115
PASSING YARDS
252.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.4
DIFFERENCE
4.95%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
252.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.4
DIFFERENCE
4.95%
EV
The Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.. Justin Herbert has attempted 38.1 passes per game this year, checking in at the 95th percentile among quarterbacks.. Justin Herbert's 262.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year indicates a substantial boost in his throwing proficiency over last year's 218.0 figure.. This year, the porous Tennessee Titans defense has been torched for a massive 77.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 3rd-largest rate in football.. The Tennessee Titans pass defense has shown poor efficiency this year, surrendering 8.28 adjusted yards-per-target: the 7th-most in football.
o243.5
-112
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
0.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
3.77%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
0.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
3.77%
EV
With a 10-point advantage, the Chargers are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their typical approach.. Our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers as the 8th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 56.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have just 126.4 plays on offense run: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.. Opposing offenses have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.. The Chargers O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
u0.5
-135
INTERCEPTIONS THROWN
0.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.66%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
0.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.66%
EV
An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a huge -10-point underdog in this week's contest.. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.
o0.5
-140
RECEIVING YARDS
9.8 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.7
DIFFERENCE
6.6%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
9.8 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.7
DIFFERENCE
6.6%
EV
The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 59.3% pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect the Titans to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. Tony Pollard's 12.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been quite a bit lower this year than it was last year at 18.1.. Tony Pollard's ability to pick up extra yardage has declined this season, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 5.39 mark last season.. This year, the fierce Chargers defense has yielded a measly 77.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing RBs: the 8th-smallest rate in the NFL.
u13.5
-118
RECEIVING YARDS
66.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.8
DIFFERENCE
6.18%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
66.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.8
DIFFERENCE
6.18%
EV
The Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.. The Titans pass defense has yielded the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (76.6%) versus WRs this year (76.6%).. This year, the weak Titans defense has conceded the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing wideouts: a monstrous 10.08 yards.. As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Tennessee's collection of CBs has been terrible this year, profiling as the 7th-worst in the NFL.
o58.5
-112
RECEIVING YARDS
15.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.7
DIFFERENCE
5.65%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
15.2 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.7
DIFFERENCE
5.65%
EV
The Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.. The Titans linebackers grade out as the worst collection of LBs in the league this year in regard to pass rush.
o11.5
-110
RECEIVING YARDS
42.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.6
DIFFERENCE
5.21%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
42.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+3.6
DIFFERENCE
5.21%
EV
An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a huge -10-point underdog in this week's contest.. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.
o35.5
-112
RECEIVING YARDS
49.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.1
DIFFERENCE
3.38%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
49.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.1
DIFFERENCE
3.38%
EV
The Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.. The Titans linebackers grade out as the worst collection of LBs in the league this year in regard to pass rush.
o47.5
-110
RECEIVING YARDS
39.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
0.81%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
39.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
0.81%
EV
An extreme passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a huge -9.5-point underdog in this week's contest.. When it comes to pass-blocking (and the strong impact it has on all passing game stats), the offensive line of the Tennessee Titans ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.
o35.5
-118
RECEIVING YARDS
27.7 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
-1.28%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
27.7 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
-1.28%
EV
The leading projections forecast the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-least pass-heavy team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 59.3% pass rate.. Our trusted projections expect the Titans to call the 8th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.. Chig Okonkwo's 72.0% Adjusted Completion Rate this year illustrates a remarkable diminishment in his pass-catching ability over last year's 76.1% rate.. Chig Okonkwo's skills in grinding out extra yardage have tailed off this year, compiling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.87 figure last year.. The Chargers defense has allowed the 3rd-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (just 37.0) to tight ends this year.
u28.5
-135
RUSHING YARDS
13.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.3
DIFFERENCE
7.36%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
13.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.3
DIFFERENCE
7.36%
EV
At the present time, the 10th-most run-centric team in the league (40.7% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Tennessee Titans.. This year, the formidable Chargers run defense has allowed a meager 4.93 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's rushing attack: the 24th-best rate in football.
o5.5
-109
RUSHING YARDS
51.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.3
DIFFERENCE
7.1%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
51.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+12.3
DIFFERENCE
7.1%
EV
At the present time, the 10th-most run-centric team in the league (40.7% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Tennessee Titans.. The leading projections forecast Tony Pollard to garner 12.9 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs.. This year, the formidable Chargers run defense has allowed a meager 4.93 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposition's rushing attack: the 24th-best rate in football.
o37.5
-110
RUSHING YARDS
23.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.2
DIFFERENCE
6.89%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
23.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+6.2
DIFFERENCE
6.89%
EV
With a 10-point advantage, the Chargers are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their typical approach.. The Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.. In this week's contest, Justin Herbert is anticipated by the projections to garner the 8th-most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 5.0. . Justin Herbert has rushed for significantly more yards per game (30.0) this year than he did last year (19.0).. Opposing teams have rushed for the 2nd-most adjusted yards in the NFL (152 per game) against the Tennessee Titans defense this year.
o13.5
-118
RUSHING YARDS
69.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-8.2
DIFFERENCE
6.43%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
69.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-8.2
DIFFERENCE
6.43%
EV
At the present time, the 3rd-least run-oriented team in the NFL (35.1% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have just 126.4 plays on offense run: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
u77.5
-114
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
12.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.1
DIFFERENCE
5.36%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
12.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+2.1
DIFFERENCE
5.36%
EV
At the present time, the 10th-most run-centric team in the league (40.7% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Tennessee Titans.. The leading projections forecast Tony Pollard to garner 12.9 carries this week, on average, ranking him in the 75th percentile when it comes to running backs.
o10.5
-110
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
5.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
4.17%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
5.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
4.17%
EV
With a 10-point advantage, the Chargers are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their typical approach.. The Chargers have called the 2nd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.. In this week's contest, Justin Herbert is anticipated by the projections to garner the 8th-most rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 5.0. . After making up 11.4% of his team's run game usage last year, Justin Herbert has been called on more in the running game this year, now accounting for 16.5%.. When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Tennessee's collection of safeties has been atrocious this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in football. in football.
o3.5
-148
RUSHING ATTEMPTS
16.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.3
DIFFERENCE
3.68%
EV
Rating:
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
16.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.3
DIFFERENCE
3.68%
EV
At the present time, the 3rd-least run-oriented team in the NFL (35.1% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Chargers.. Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is expected by the projections to have just 126.4 plays on offense run: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
u17.5
-118