Philadelphia @ Dallas Picks & Props

A throwing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a -3.5-point underdog in this game. Our trusted projections expect the Dallas Cowboys to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.9% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics. At the present time, the 9th-most pass-oriented team in football near the goal line (58.9% adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Dallas Cowboys. The 10th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Cowboys this year (a monstrous 58.8 per game on average). The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year. Jalen Hurts has been one of the top touchdown throwers in the NFL this year, averaging a remarkable 1.60 per game while grading out in the 76th percentile. Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 3rd-highest rate in the NFL versus the Dallas Cowboys defense this year (76.1% Adjusted Completion%). This year, the feeble Dallas Cowboys defense has allowed a colossal 2.30 passing touchdowns per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 2nd-highest rate in the league.

The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may slide. The Dallas Cowboys defense has been a bit of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 7th-most passes in the NFL (37.4 per game) this year. Saquon Barkley has been an integral part of his team's passing attack near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 17.9% this year, which ranks him in the 96th percentile among RBs. As it relates to air yards, Saquon Barkley ranks in the lofty 78th percentile among running backs this year, accruing an impressive 1.0 per game. (considering most of their targets come behind the line of scrimmage, that is much more notable than it appears since most RBs average negative air yards). Saquon Barkley's 19.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) ranks him among the best in the NFL: 92nd percentile for RBs.