Aaron Jones Sr. Score a Touchdown Props • Minnesota
At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Vikings are underdogs in this week's game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan. Right now, the most pass-heavy offense in the NFL in the red zone (65.0% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Minnesota Vikings. Our trusted projections expect the Minnesota Vikings offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.92 seconds per snap. Opposing teams have averaged 37.7 pass attempts per game versus the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL. Aaron Jones has notched a monstrous 4.0 air yards per game this year: 94th percentile among running backs. (That may not sound like a lot, but most RBs have negative air yards because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage).