Kansas City @ Denver Picks & Props

This week's line implies a passing game script for the Broncos, who are -4-point underdogs. The projections expect the Broncos as the 5th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 60.0% red zone pass rate. The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The Broncos O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing attack stats across the board.

This week's line implies a passing game script for the Broncos, who are -4-point underdogs. The projections expect the Broncos as the 5th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 60.0% red zone pass rate. The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The Broncos O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing attack stats across the board.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 62.2% of their chances: the 3rd-greatest frequency on the slate this week. The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.2% red zone pass rate. Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are expected by the predictive model to run 66.8 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week. The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game. In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Chiefs ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 62.2% of their chances: the 3rd-greatest frequency on the slate this week. The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.2% red zone pass rate. Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are expected by the predictive model to run 66.8 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week. The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game. In regards to protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all pass game statistics), the O-line of the Chiefs ranks as the 6th-best in the league this year.

This week's line implies a passing game script for the Broncos, who are -4-point underdogs. The projections expect the Broncos as the 5th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 60.0% red zone pass rate. The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The Broncos O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing attack stats across the board.

This week's line implies a passing game script for the Broncos, who are -4-point underdogs. The projections expect the Broncos as the 5th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics. The model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 60.0% red zone pass rate. The model projects this game to see the 2nd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.2 plays, given the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The Broncos O-line grades out as the 3rd-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a strong influence on all passing attack stats across the board.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 62.2% of their chances: the 3rd-greatest frequency on the slate this week. The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.2% red zone pass rate. Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are expected by the predictive model to run 66.8 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week. The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game. Travis Kelce has been a big part of his team's pass game near the end zone, earning a Red Zone Target Share of 15.8% this year, which ranks in the 78th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Kansas City Chiefs to pass on 62.2% of their chances: the 3rd-greatest frequency on the slate this week. The projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs to be the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in the league near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 63.2% red zone pass rate. Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Kansas City Chiefs are expected by the predictive model to run 66.8 total plays in this contest: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week. The Kansas City Chiefs have run the 10th-most plays in the league this year, averaging a whopping 58.9 plays per game. In this week's game, Patrick Mahomes is predicted by our trusted projection set to total the 3rd-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 38.5.