Packers @ Giants Picks & Props

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Opposing offenses have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.. The predictive model expects Josh Jacobs to be much more involved in his offense's pass attack near the goal line this week (11.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (4.8% in games he has played).. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.. The New York Giants defense has yielded the 8th-most receiving TDs in football to RBs: 0.30 per game this year.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.. Romeo Doubs has been heavily involved in his team's pass game near the end zone, posting a Red Zone Target Share of 23.8% this year, which puts him in the 90th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.. After accruing 66.0 air yards per game last year, Romeo Doubs has shown good development this year, now averaging 85.0 per game.. Romeo Doubs's 57.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive usage) has been notably better this year than it was last year at 48.6.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.

The New York Giants may throw the ball less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup QB Jameis Winston.. The Giants are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the New York Giants offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.. While Wan'Dale Robinson has earned 12.5% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in New York's pass game near the end zone in this week's game at 27.5%.

The New York Giants may throw the ball less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup QB Jameis Winston.. The Giants are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the New York Giants offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.. The Giants offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.. The leading projections forecast Luke Musgrave to be a much bigger part of his team's air attack near the goal line in this contest (13.4% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (0.0% in games he has played).. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.. With an excellent 93.1% Adjusted Completion Rate (85th percentile) this year, Luke Musgrave places among the most reliable receivers in the league among TEs.

The New York Giants may throw the ball less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup QB Jameis Winston.. The Giants are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the New York Giants offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.. The Giants offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

The New York Giants may throw the ball less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup QB Jameis Winston.. The Giants are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the New York Giants offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.. The Giants offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.. Jordan Love's passing accuracy has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 65.9% to 69.9%.. With a lousy rate of only 0.00 rushing TDs per game (3rd percentile), Jordan Love rates among the weakest rushing QBs in the league this year.

Right now, the 5th-least pass-centric team in the league (58.9% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New York Giants.. The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. The Packers safeties grade out as the 4th-best group of safeties in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

With a 7-point advantage, the Packers are a massive favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.. The projections expect the Packers as the 5th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The predictive model expects the Packers to call the 10th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being called for in this game) generally correlate with decreased passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.. Romeo Doubs's 63.3% Adjusted Catch% this season indicates a remarkable decrease in his pass-catching ability over last season's 68.3% mark.

With a 7-point advantage, the Packers are a massive favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.. The projections expect the Packers as the 5th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The model projects the Packers offense to be the 5th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 28.95 seconds per snap.. Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being called for in this game) generally correlate with decreased passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.. Josh Jacobs's 80.8% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a significant drop-off in his pass-catching ability over last season's 88.4% figure.

The New York Giants may throw the ball less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup QB Jameis Winston.. The Giants are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the New York Giants offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.. With an exceptional 4.8 adjusted receptions per game (91st percentile) this year, Wan'Dale Robinson places among the best wide receivers in the game in the league.

The New York Giants may throw the ball less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup QB Jameis Winston.. The Giants are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the New York Giants offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.. The Giants offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.. The model projects Luke Musgrave to be a more integral piece of his offense's pass attack in this contest (13.5% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (5.0% in games he has played).. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.. With an excellent 93.1% Adjusted Completion Rate (85th percentile) this year, Luke Musgrave places among the most reliable receivers in the league among TEs.

Right now, the 5th-least pass-centric team in the league (58.9% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New York Giants.. The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. The Packers safeties grade out as the 4th-best group of safeties in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

With a 7-point advantage, the Packers are a massive favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.. The projections expect the Packers as the 5th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. With a 45.9% rate of passing the ball near the goal line (adjusted for context) this year, the 6th-least pass-oriented offense in the league in this respect has been the Green Bay Packers.. The predictive model expects the Packers to call the 10th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being called for in this game) generally correlate with decreased passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.

With a 7-point advantage, the Packers are a massive favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.. The projections expect the Packers as the 5th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The predictive model expects the Packers to call the 10th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being called for in this game) generally correlate with decreased passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.. Our trusted projections expect Jordan Love to throw 31.6 passes in this game, on average: the 9th-fewest out of all QBs.

Right now, the 5th-least pass-centric team in the league (58.9% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New York Giants.. The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. The Packers safeties grade out as the 4th-best group of safeties in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

Right now, the 5th-least pass-centric team in the league (58.9% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New York Giants.. The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

With a 7-point advantage, the Packers are a massive favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.. The projections expect the Packers as the 5th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The model projects the Packers offense to be the 5th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 28.95 seconds per snap.. Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being called for in this game) generally correlate with decreased passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.. Our trusted projections expect Jordan Love to throw 31.8 passes in this game, on average: the 10th-fewest out of all QBs.

With a 7-point advantage, the Packers are a massive favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.. The projections expect the Packers as the 5th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The predictive model expects the Packers to call the 10th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being called for in this game) generally correlate with decreased passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.. Our trusted projections expect Jordan Love to throw 31.6 passes in this game, on average: the 9th-fewest out of all QBs.

Right now, the 5th-least pass-centric team in the league (58.9% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New York Giants.. The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. Opposing offenses have thrown for the 10th-fewest yards in football (just 213.0 adjusted yards per game) against the Packers defense this year.. This year, the stout Green Bay Packers defense has allowed the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing teams: a measly 6.6 yards.. The Packers safeties grade out as the 4th-best group of safeties in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

With a 7-point advantage, the Packers are a massive favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.. The projections expect the Packers as the 5th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The predictive model expects the Packers to call the 10th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being called for in this game) generally correlate with decreased passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.. Jordan Love has tallied a mere 0.30 interceptions per game this year, checking in at the 76th percentile among quarterbacks.

The New York Giants may throw the ball less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup QB Jameis Winston.. The Giants are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the New York Giants offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.. Jameis Winston has registered 0.96 interceptions per game last year, ranking in the 8th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

Right now, the 5th-least pass-centric team in the league (58.9% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the New York Giants.. The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.. The Packers pass defense has displayed good efficiency against RBs this year, yielding 4.58 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.. The Packers safeties grade out as the 4th-best group of safeties in the league this year in defending pass-catchers.

With a 7-point advantage, the Packers are a massive favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.. The projections expect the Packers as the 5th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The predictive model expects the Packers to call the 10th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being called for in this game) generally correlate with decreased passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.. Romeo Doubs's 63.3% Adjusted Catch% this season indicates a remarkable decrease in his pass-catching ability over last season's 68.3% mark.

With a 7-point advantage, the Packers are a massive favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.. The projections expect the Packers as the 5th-least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 52.8% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.. The predictive model expects the Packers to call the 10th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.6 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.. Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being called for in this game) generally correlate with decreased passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.. Luke Musgrave comes in as one of the weakest TEs in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 2nd percentile.

The New York Giants may throw the ball less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup QB Jameis Winston.. The Giants are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the New York Giants offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.. The predictive model expects Wan'Dale Robinson to notch 9.6 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 95th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

The New York Giants may throw the ball less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup QB Jameis Winston.. The Giants are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. The predictive model expects the New York Giants offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.. Opposing offenses have averaged 38.7 pass attempts per game against the Packers defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.. The Giants offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing offense stats across the board.

Opposing offenses have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense this year: 10th-most in the NFL.. This week, Josh Jacobs is anticipated by our trusted projection set to slot into the 87th percentile when it comes to running backs with 4.0 targets.. Josh Jacobs's 18.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been notably better this season than it was last season at 12.8.. In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack metrics), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers ranks as the 9th-best in the NFL this year.. Josh Jacobs grades out as one of the best RBs in the pass game this year, averaging a terrific 23.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 93rd percentile.

The predictive model expects the New York Giants offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.. The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

With a 7-point advantage, the Packers are a massive favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.. The predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to be the 5th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 47.2% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being called for in this game) generally correlate with decreased passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.. Jordan Love has run for significantly more yards per game (14.0) this year than he did last year (6.0).. This year, the imposing New York Giants run defense has conceded a paltry 5.78 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing run game: the 32nd-best rate in the NFL.

At the present time, the 7th-most run-centric offense in the NFL (41.1% context-neutralized) according to the model is the New York Giants.. The predictive model expects the New York Giants offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.. The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

With a 7-point advantage, the Packers are a massive favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.. The predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to be the 5th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 47.2% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being called for in this game) generally correlate with decreased passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.. Jordan Love has been a much bigger part of his offense's rushing attack this year (9.6% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (3.9%).. The Giants safeties profile as the 32nd-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

The model projects the Packers offense to be the 5th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 28.95 seconds per snap.

With a 7-point advantage, the Packers are a massive favorite in this week's contest, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.. The predictive model expects the Green Bay Packers to be the 5th-most run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 47.2% run rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.. Windy weather conditions (like the 18-mph being called for in this game) generally correlate with decreased passing effectiveness, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.. In this week's contest, Josh Jacobs is expected by the model to finish in the 98th percentile when it comes to running backs with 21.0 rush attempts.. This year, the imposing New York Giants run defense has conceded a paltry 5.78 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing run game: the 32nd-best rate in the NFL.

The New York Giants may throw the ball less this week (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling out backup QB Jameis Winston.. The Giants are a heavy 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.. Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Giants to run on 46.8% of their opportunities: the 3rd-highest frequency among all teams this week.. Opposing teams have run for the 2nd-fewest adjusted yards in the NFL (just 87.0 per game) vs. the Packers defense this year.. When it comes to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Green Bay's unit has been fantastic this year, profiling as the best in football.

At the present time, the 7th-most run-centric offense in the NFL (41.1% context-neutralized) according to the model is the New York Giants.. The predictive model expects the New York Giants offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.. The weather forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.