Los Angeles 1st NFC West10-7
Detroit 1st NFC North15-2
NBC

Los Angeles @ Detroit props

Ford Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jahmyr Gibbs Receptions Made Props • Detroit

Jahmyr Gibbs
J. Gibbs
running back RB • Detroit
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.6
Best Odds

The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Lions have run the 5th-most plays in football last year, totaling a colossal 60.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) last year. Our trusted projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to notch 5.3 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile among running backs.

Jahmyr Gibbs

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.6
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.6

The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Lions have run the 5th-most plays in football last year, totaling a colossal 60.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) last year. Our trusted projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to notch 5.3 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile among running backs.

Sam LaPorta Receptions Made Props • Detroit

Sam LaPorta
S. LaPorta
tight end TE • Detroit
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.6
Best Odds

The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Lions have run the 5th-most plays in football last year, totaling a colossal 60.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) last year. Sam LaPorta profiles as one of the best TE receiving threats last year, averaging a stellar 6.2 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 98th percentile.

Sam LaPorta

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.6
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.6

The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Lions have run the 5th-most plays in football last year, totaling a colossal 60.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) last year. Sam LaPorta profiles as one of the best TE receiving threats last year, averaging a stellar 6.2 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 98th percentile.

Kyren Williams Receptions Made Props • L.A. Rams

Kyren Williams
K. Williams
running back RB • L.A. Rams
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.3
Best Odds

With a lackluster 68.8% Adjusted Catch% (2nd percentile) last year, Kyren Williams stands as one of the worst possession receivers in the league when it comes to running backs. Last year, the strong Lions defense has surrendered a mere 69.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the best rate in football.

Kyren Williams

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.3
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.3

With a lackluster 68.8% Adjusted Catch% (2nd percentile) last year, Kyren Williams stands as one of the worst possession receivers in the league when it comes to running backs. Last year, the strong Lions defense has surrendered a mere 69.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the best rate in football.

Colby Parkinson Receptions Made Props • L.A. Rams

Colby Parkinson
C. Parkinson
tight end TE • L.A. Rams
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.6
Best Odds

The Rams are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.9% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate among all teams this week. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The Rams have run the 7th-most plays in the league last year, averaging a colossal 60.1 plays per game. Colby Parkinson comes in as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among tight ends, hauling in an excellent 80.9% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, checking in at the 81st percentile.

Colby Parkinson

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.6
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.6

The Rams are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.9% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate among all teams this week. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The Rams have run the 7th-most plays in the league last year, averaging a colossal 60.1 plays per game. Colby Parkinson comes in as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among tight ends, hauling in an excellent 80.9% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, checking in at the 81st percentile.

Amon-Ra St. Brown Receptions Made Props • Detroit

Amon-Ra St. Brown
A. St. Brown
wide receiver WR • Detroit
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6.9
Best Odds

The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Lions have run the 5th-most plays in football last year, totaling a colossal 60.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) last year. Amon-Ra St. Brown comes in as one of the leading WRs in the NFL last year, averaging an impressive 8.8 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.

Amon-Ra St. Brown

Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6.9
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6.9

The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Lions have run the 5th-most plays in football last year, totaling a colossal 60.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) last year. Amon-Ra St. Brown comes in as one of the leading WRs in the NFL last year, averaging an impressive 8.8 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.

Puka Nacua Receptions Made Props • L.A. Rams

Puka Nacua
P. Nacua
wide receiver WR • L.A. Rams
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.8
Best Odds

The Rams are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.9% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate among all teams this week. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The Rams have run the 7th-most plays in the league last year, averaging a colossal 60.1 plays per game. Puka Nacua ranks as one of the leading WRs in the league last year, averaging an impressive 6.6 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 96th percentile.

Puka Nacua

Prop: 5.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 5.8
Prop:
5.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
5.8

The Rams are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.9% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate among all teams this week. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The Rams have run the 7th-most plays in the league last year, averaging a colossal 60.1 plays per game. Puka Nacua ranks as one of the leading WRs in the league last year, averaging an impressive 6.6 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 96th percentile.

Jameson Williams Receptions Made Props • Detroit

Jameson Williams
J. Williams
wide receiver WR • Detroit
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.69
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Jameson Williams has gone over 2.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

David Montgomery Receptions Made Props • Detroit

David Montgomery
D. Montgomery
running back RB • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.40
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

David Montgomery has gone over 1.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Blake Corum Receptions Made Props • L.A. Rams

Blake Corum
B. Corum
running back RB • L.A. Rams
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
0.41
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Blake Corum has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Demarcus Robinson Receptions Made Props • L.A. Rams

Demarcus Robinson
D. Robinson
wide receiver WR • L.A. Rams
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.84
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Demarcus Robinson has gone over 2.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Cooper Kupp Receptions Made Props • L.A. Rams

Cooper Kupp
C. Kupp
wide receiver WR • L.A. Rams
Prop
5.5
Receptions Made
Projection
5.21
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Cooper Kupp has gone over 5.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Kalif Raymond Receptions Made Props • Detroit

Kalif Raymond
K. Raymond
wide receiver WR • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Receptions Made
Projection
1.42
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Kalif Raymond has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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