Los Angeles @ Detroit props

The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Lions have run the 5th-most plays in football last year, totaling a colossal 60.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) last year. Our trusted projections expect Jahmyr Gibbs to notch 5.3 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 96th percentile among running backs.

The leading projections forecast the Detroit Lions to run the 4th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.9 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics. The Lions have run the 5th-most plays in football last year, totaling a colossal 60.4 plays per game. This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency. The Rams defense has been a prominent pass funnel last year, causing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the NFL (36.2 per game) last year. Sam LaPorta profiles as one of the best TE receiving threats last year, averaging a stellar 6.2 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 98th percentile.

This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Lions, who are favored by 3.5 points. The Rams pass defense has surrendered the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (56.8%) to wide receivers last year (56.8%).

With a lackluster 68.8% Adjusted Catch% (2nd percentile) last year, Kyren Williams stands as one of the worst possession receivers in the league when it comes to running backs. Last year, the strong Lions defense has surrendered a mere 69.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the best rate in football.

The Rams are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.9% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate among all teams this week. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The Rams have run the 7th-most plays in the league last year, averaging a colossal 60.1 plays per game. Colby Parkinson comes in as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among tight ends, hauling in an excellent 80.9% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, checking in at the 81st percentile.

The Rams are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to a passing game script. Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 62.9% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate among all teams this week. Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 131.8 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics. The Rams have run the 7th-most plays in the league last year, averaging a colossal 60.1 plays per game. Puka Nacua ranks as one of the leading WRs in the league last year, averaging an impressive 6.6 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 96th percentile.

Jameson Williams has gone over 2.5 in 9 of his last 10 games.

David Montgomery has gone over 1.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Davis Allen has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Blake Corum has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.

Demarcus Robinson has gone over 2.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Cooper Kupp has gone over 5.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Kalif Raymond has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.