Philadelphia 2nd NFC East11-6
Dallas 1st NFC East12-5
NBC

Philadelphia @ Dallas props

AT&T Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Analysis

Dallas Goedert Receptions Made Props • Philadelphia

Dallas Goedert
TE • Philadelphia
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.4
Best Odds
Over
-120

The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 1.1% more towards the passing game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Johnson now calling the plays. This game's line implies a passing game script for the Eagles, who are -3.5-point underdogs. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. With an extraordinary 86.8% Route Participation Rate (98th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert rates among the tight ends with the most usage in the league. This week, Dallas Goedert is anticipated by the projections to secure a spot in the 93rd percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.0 targets.

Dallas Goedert

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.4
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.4

The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 1.1% more towards the passing game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Johnson now calling the plays. This game's line implies a passing game script for the Eagles, who are -3.5-point underdogs. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. With an extraordinary 86.8% Route Participation Rate (98th percentile) this year, Dallas Goedert rates among the tight ends with the most usage in the league. This week, Dallas Goedert is anticipated by the projections to secure a spot in the 93rd percentile when it comes to TEs with 6.0 targets.

D'Andre Swift Receptions Made Props • Philadelphia

D'Andre Swift
RB • Philadelphia
Prop
2.5
Receptions Made
Projection
2.9
Best Odds
Over
+105

The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 1.1% more towards the passing game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Johnson now calling the plays. This game's line implies a passing game script for the Eagles, who are -3.5-point underdogs. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. The model projects D'Andre Swift to accrue 3.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 81st percentile among running backs. D'Andre Swift is positioned as one of the leading RB receiving threats this year, averaging a fantastic 3.0 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 87th percentile.

D'Andre Swift

Prop: 2.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 2.9
Prop:
2.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
2.9

The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles offensive approach to skew 1.1% more towards the passing game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Brian Johnson now calling the plays. This game's line implies a passing game script for the Eagles, who are -3.5-point underdogs. This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness. The model projects D'Andre Swift to accrue 3.7 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 81st percentile among running backs. D'Andre Swift is positioned as one of the leading RB receiving threats this year, averaging a fantastic 3.0 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 87th percentile.

A.J. Brown Receptions Made Props • Philadelphia

A.J. Brown
WR • Philadelphia
Prop
6.5
Receptions Made
Projection
6
Best Odds
Under
-121

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 28.60 seconds per play. Opposing offenses have averaged 31.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL. This year, the tough Dallas Cowboys defense has allowed a measly 58.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 3rd-lowest rate in the league. As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Dallas's LB corps has been excellent this year, profiling as the 4th-best in the league.

A.J. Brown

Prop: 6.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 6
Prop:
6.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
6

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles offense to be the 7th-slowest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 28.60 seconds per play. Opposing offenses have averaged 31.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Cowboys defense this year: 3rd-fewest in the NFL. This year, the tough Dallas Cowboys defense has allowed a measly 58.2% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 3rd-lowest rate in the league. As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, Dallas's LB corps has been excellent this year, profiling as the 4th-best in the league.

Jake Ferguson Receptions Made Props • Dallas

Jake Ferguson
TE • Dallas
Prop
4.5
Receptions Made
Projection
4.1
Best Odds
Under
-136

A rushing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest. Jake Ferguson's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 84.5% to 73.7%. The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends profile as the 4th-best group of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to pass rush.

Jake Ferguson

Prop: 4.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 4.1
Prop:
4.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
4.1

A rushing game script is suggested by the Cowboys being a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest. Jake Ferguson's ball-catching skills have declined this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate shrinking from 84.5% to 73.7%. The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends profile as the 4th-best group of DEs in the NFL this year when it comes to pass rush.

Tony Pollard Receptions Made Props • Dallas

Tony Pollard
RB • Dallas
Prop
3.5
Receptions Made
Projection
3.6
Best Odds
Over
+108

The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys offensive approach to skew 7.2% more towards the passing game than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 62.1% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest clip on the slate this week. With respect to a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.89 seconds per snap, the model projects the Cowboys as the 10th-fastest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time. The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (41.9 per game) this year. Tony Pollard's receiving talent has gotten a boost this season, compiling 3.5 adjusted receptions compared to just 2.4 last season.

Tony Pollard

Prop: 3.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 3.6
Prop:
3.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
3.6

The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys offensive approach to skew 7.2% more towards the passing game than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 62.1% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest clip on the slate this week. With respect to a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.89 seconds per snap, the model projects the Cowboys as the 10th-fastest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time. The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (41.9 per game) this year. Tony Pollard's receiving talent has gotten a boost this season, compiling 3.5 adjusted receptions compared to just 2.4 last season.

CeeDee Lamb Receptions Made Props • Dallas

CeeDee Lamb
WR • Dallas
Prop
7.5
Receptions Made
Projection
7.5
Best Odds
Over
-115

The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys offensive approach to skew 7.2% more towards the passing game than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 62.1% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest clip on the slate this week. With respect to a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.89 seconds per snap, the model projects the Cowboys as the 10th-fastest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time. The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (41.9 per game) this year. CeeDee Lamb's receiving talent has gotten a boost this year, notching 7.5 adjusted catches vs just 6.2 last year.

CeeDee Lamb

Prop: 7.5 Receptions Made
Projection: 7.5
Prop:
7.5 Receptions Made
Projection:
7.5

The leading projections forecast the Dallas Cowboys offensive approach to skew 7.2% more towards the passing game than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer now calling the plays. Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cowboys to pass on 62.1% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest clip on the slate this week. With respect to a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.89 seconds per snap, the model projects the Cowboys as the 10th-fastest in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time. The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, leading opposing teams to attempt the most passes in football (41.9 per game) this year. CeeDee Lamb's receiving talent has gotten a boost this year, notching 7.5 adjusted catches vs just 6.2 last year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

Weather Forecast