Alabama Crimson Tide
Picks

2nd in SEC (5 - 1)

Next Game

ALAAlabama

TENNTennessee

Sat, Oct 17 15:30 ET

ALA @ TENN Picks

NCAAF Picks

Game Prop

o29.5 Team Total (-120)

Best Odds

o19.5 -120

Pick made: 4 hours ago

o20.5 -115

o19.5 -120

o20.5 -125

o20.5 -118

o20.5 -120

o21.5 -105

o21.5 +103

o20.5 -125

o21.5 -105

Alabama's offense is one of the best in the country, and I'd take the Tide to hit the Over on their team total at 30.5 or better. Keelon Russell has put up an 80.9+ QBR in four straight games while accounting for 14 TDs. He's going to be a problem for a Tennessee defense that's susceptible to the pass. The Vols' defense ranks 70th in pass success rate (43.9%).

Total

o50.5 (-114)

Best Odds

o50.5 -114

Pick made: 4 hours ago

o50.5 -115

o50.5 -118

o50.5 -114

o51.0 -110

o51.0 -109

o51.0 -110

o50.5 -115

I like the Over at 51.5 or better, primarily because of Alabama's offense. Keelon Russell ranks third nationally in QBR (90.0) and has the Tide ranked No. 18 in the country in pass success rate (51.6%). But Tennessee's run game should help the Over hit, too. DeSean Bishop is top 10 nationally in rushing yards after contact (465) and runs of 10+ yards (18). He should help the Vols score 20+.

Spread

ALA -7.5 (-111)

Best Odds

-7.5 -110

Pick made: 6 hours ago

-7.5 -110

-7.5 -111

-7.5 -112

-7.5 -110

-7.5 -114

-7.5 -120

-7.5 -115

I like Alabama to cover up to -9.5 because of Tennessee's QB issue. The Crimson Tide are averaging 40 points per game against P4 defenses ranked outside the top five by SP+. Tennessee just struggled to score against an Arkansas defense that allowed 34+ to Utah, Georgia, and Texas A&M.

Spread

ALA -8.5 (-110)

Best Odds

-7.5 -110

Pick made: 2 days ago

-7.5 -110

-7.5 -111

-7.5 -112

-7.5 -110

-7.5 -114

-7.5 -120

-7.5 -115

3 LEG PARLAY

ALA -7.5

Spread

o50.5

Total

ALA 1st Half -5.5

1st Half Spread

Bet now

+307

Pick made: 4 hours ago

Coming off its loss to Georgia, I'm expecting Alabama to come out swinging against Tennessee. The Volunteers are starting George MacIntyre at QB, who had a 10.3 QBR in his first start last week against a bad Arkansas team. The Crimson Tide's pass rush should give him hell early and force mistakes. Keelon Russell's dual-threat will be a problem for Tennessee's defense.

Passing Yards

Keelon Russell u257.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Projection 238.5665 (Under)

Best Odds

u257.5 -115

Pick made: 5 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u257.5 -115

u246.5 -114

u244.5 -115

u237.5 -115

Rushing Yards

Keelon Russell o29.5 Rushing Yards (+100)

Projection 37.9495 (Over)

Best Odds

o24.5 -115

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o24.5 -115

o24.5 -117

o27.5 -114

o29.5 +100

o29.5 +105

o27.5 -115

o29.5 +100

o26.5 -120

Rushing Yards

Trae'shawn Brown o50.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Projection 58.4368 (Over)

Best Odds

o49.5 -110

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o54.5 -115

o59.5 +110

o49.5 -114

o49.5 -110

o59.5 -110

o50.5 -115

Receiving Yards

Braylon Staley o49.5 Receiving Yards (+130)

Projection 59.8515 (Over)

Best Odds

o35.5 -115

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o49.5 +130

o39.5 -115

o43.5 -109

o38.5 -112

o39.5 -110

o39.5 +104

o39.5 -114

o39.5 -115

o35.5 -115

Receiving Yards

Kaleb Edwards o16.5 Receiving Yards (-119)

Projection 23.346 (Over)

Best Odds

o16.5 -115

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o16.5 -115

o16.5 -119

o18.5 -114

o19.5 -110

o19.5 +106

o18.5 -114

o19.5 -115

Receiving Yards

Lotzeir Brooks o69.5 Receiving Yards (+107)

Projection 75.0449 (Over)

Best Odds

o59.5 -160

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o74.5 -135

o68.5 -115

o69.5 +107

o69.5 -114

o69.5 -120

o69.5 -113

o68.5 -114

o59.5 -160

Receiving Yards

Mike Matthews o57.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Projection 60.6183 (Over)

Best Odds

o54.5 -115

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o54.5 -115

o59.5 -102

o59.5 -114

o59.5 -115

o59.5 -108

o58.5 -113

o59.5 -120

o57.5 -115

Receptions

Braylon Staley o3.5 Receptions (-172)

Projection 4.832 (Over)

Best Odds

o3.5 -150

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o4.5 +105

o4.5 -102

o3.5 -172

o4.5 +110

o4.5 +109

o3.5 -150

o4.5 +120

Carries

DeSean Bishop o18.5 Carries (-105)

Projection 19.2168 (Over)

Best Odds

o17.5 -130

Pick made: 16 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o18.5 -105

o17.5 -130

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Spread

57% picking Alabama

57% 57%

43% 43%

Total Picks ALA 229, TENN 172

Spread

ALA

TENN

Spread

-7.5 -110

+7.5 +100

Total

45% picking Alabama vs Tennessee to go Under

55% 55%

45% 45%

Total PicksALA 140, TENN 116

Total

Over

Under

Total

50.5 -114

51.0 -110

ALA @ TENN · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS	PROJECTIONS				ANALYSIS	BEST ODDS
PASSING YARDS ALA K. Russell (QB) u257.5 Passing Yards 238.57 UNDER PROJECTION -18.9 DIFFERENCE 23.68% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds u257.5 -115 - u257.5 -115 - - - - u246.5 -114 u244.5 -115 u237.5 -115 ALA K. Russell (QB) u257.5 Passing Yards PROJECTION 238.57 UNDER PROJECTION -18.9 DIFFERENCE 23.68% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. u257.5 -115
RUSHING YARDS ALA K. Russell (QB) o29.5 Rushing Yards 37.95 OVER PROJECTION +8.4 DIFFERENCE 25.99% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o24.5 -115 - o24.5 -115 o24.5 -117 o27.5 -114 o29.5 +100 o29.5 +105 o27.5 -115 o29.5 +100 o26.5 -120 ALA K. Russell (QB) o29.5 Rushing Yards PROJECTION 37.95 OVER PROJECTION +8.4 DIFFERENCE 25.99% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o24.5 -115
RUSHING YARDS ALA T. Brown (RB) o50.5 Rushing Yards 58.44 OVER PROJECTION +7.9 DIFFERENCE 21.26% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook Best Odds o49.5 -110 - o54.5 -115 o59.5 +110 o49.5 -114 o49.5 -110 o59.5 -110 o50.5 -115 o50.5 -115 - ALA T. Brown (RB) o50.5 Rushing Yards PROJECTION 58.44 OVER PROJECTION +7.9 DIFFERENCE 21.26% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o49.5 -110
RECEIVING YARDS TENN B. Staley (WR) o49.5 Receiving Yards 59.85 OVER PROJECTION +10.4 DIFFERENCE 27.2% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds Hard Rock Bet Best Odds o35.5 -115 o49.5 +130 o39.5 -115 o43.5 -109 o38.5 -112 o39.5 -110 o39.5 +104 o39.5 -114 o39.5 -115 o35.5 -115 TENN B. Staley (WR) o49.5 Receiving Yards PROJECTION 59.85 OVER PROJECTION +10.4 DIFFERENCE 27.2% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o35.5 -115
RECEIVING YARDS ALA K. Edwards (TE) o16.5 Receiving Yards 23.35 OVER PROJECTION +6.8 DIFFERENCE 25.4% EV Rating: Star rating: 5 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o16.5 -115 - o16.5 -115 o16.5 -119 o18.5 -114 o19.5 -110 o19.5 +106 o18.5 -114 o19.5 -115 - ALA K. Edwards (TE) o16.5 Receiving Yards PROJECTION 23.35 OVER PROJECTION +6.8 DIFFERENCE 25.4% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o16.5 -115
RECEIVING YARDS ALA L. Brooks (WR) o69.5 Receiving Yards 75.04 OVER PROJECTION +5.5 DIFFERENCE 22.38% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds theScore Bet Best Odds o59.5 -160 o74.5 -135 o68.5 -115 o69.5 +107 o69.5 -114 o69.5 -120 o69.5 -113 o68.5 -114 o59.5 -160 - ALA L. Brooks (WR) o69.5 Receiving Yards PROJECTION 75.04 OVER PROJECTION +5.5 DIFFERENCE 22.38% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o59.5 -160
RECEIVING YARDS TENN M. Matthews (WR) o57.5 Receiving Yards 60.62 OVER PROJECTION +3.1 DIFFERENCE 17.62% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds bet365 Best Odds o54.5 -115 - o54.5 -115 o59.5 -102 o59.5 -114 o59.5 -115 o59.5 -108 o58.5 -113 o59.5 -120 o57.5 -115 TENN M. Matthews (WR) o57.5 Receiving Yards PROJECTION 60.62 OVER PROJECTION +3.1 DIFFERENCE 17.62% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o54.5 -115
RECEPTIONS TENN B. Staley (WR) o3.5 Receptions 4.83 OVER PROJECTION +1.3 DIFFERENCE 16.2% EV Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5 Best odds theScore Bet Best Odds o3.5 -150 - o4.5 +105 o4.5 -102 o3.5 -172 - o4.5 +110 o4.5 +109 o3.5 -150 o4.5 +120 TENN B. Staley (WR) o3.5 Receptions PROJECTION 4.83 OVER PROJECTION +1.3 DIFFERENCE 16.2% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o3.5 -150
RECEPTIONS TENN M. Matthews (WR) o3.5 Receptions 3.87 OVER PROJECTION +0.4 DIFFERENCE -2.82% EV Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5 Best odds Hard Rock Bet Best Odds o3.5 -120 - o3.5 -135 o3.5 -139 o3.5 -140 - o3.5 -129 o3.5 -145 o3.5 -135 o3.5 -120 TENN M. Matthews (WR) o3.5 Receptions PROJECTION 3.87 OVER PROJECTION +0.4 DIFFERENCE -2.82% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o3.5 -120
CARRIES TENN D. Bishop (RB) o18.5 Carries 19.22 OVER PROJECTION +0.7 DIFFERENCE 6.64% EV Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5 Best odds DraftKings Best Odds o17.5 -130 - o18.5 -105 o17.5 -130 - - - - - - TENN D. Bishop (RB) o18.5 Carries PROJECTION 19.22 OVER PROJECTION +0.7 DIFFERENCE 6.64% EV ANALYSIS There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later. o17.5 -130

PASSING YARDS

ALA

K. Russell (QB) u257.5 Passing Yards

238.57 UNDER PROJECTION

-18.9 DIFFERENCE

23.68% EV

Rating:

u257.5 -115

u246.5 -114

u244.5 -115

u237.5 -115

RUSHING YARDS

ALA

K. Russell (QB) o29.5 Rushing Yards

37.95 OVER PROJECTION

+8.4 DIFFERENCE

25.99% EV

Rating:

o24.5 -115

o24.5 -117

o27.5 -114

o29.5 +100

o29.5 +105

o27.5 -115

o29.5 +100

o26.5 -120

RUSHING YARDS

ALA

T. Brown (RB) o50.5 Rushing Yards

58.44 OVER PROJECTION

+7.9 DIFFERENCE

21.26% EV

Rating:

o49.5 -110

o54.5 -115

o59.5 +110

o49.5 -114

o49.5 -110

o59.5 -110

o50.5 -115

RECEIVING YARDS

TENN

B. Staley (WR) o49.5 Receiving Yards

59.85 OVER PROJECTION

+10.4 DIFFERENCE

27.2% EV

Rating:

o35.5 -115

o49.5 +130

o39.5 -115

o43.5 -109

o38.5 -112

o39.5 -110

o39.5 +104

o39.5 -114

o39.5 -115

o35.5 -115

RECEIVING YARDS

ALA

K. Edwards (TE) o16.5 Receiving Yards

23.35 OVER PROJECTION

+6.8 DIFFERENCE

25.4% EV

Rating:

o16.5 -115

o16.5 -119

o18.5 -114

o19.5 -110

o19.5 +106

o18.5 -114

o19.5 -115

RECEIVING YARDS

ALA

L. Brooks (WR) o69.5 Receiving Yards

75.04 OVER PROJECTION

+5.5 DIFFERENCE

22.38% EV

Rating:

o59.5 -160

o74.5 -135

o68.5 -115

o69.5 +107

o69.5 -114

o69.5 -120

o69.5 -113

o68.5 -114

o59.5 -160

RECEIVING YARDS

TENN

M. Matthews (WR) o57.5 Receiving Yards

60.62 OVER PROJECTION

+3.1 DIFFERENCE

17.62% EV

Rating:

o54.5 -115

o59.5 -102

o59.5 -114

o59.5 -115

o59.5 -108

o58.5 -113

o59.5 -120

o57.5 -115

RECEPTIONS

TENN

B. Staley (WR) o3.5 Receptions

4.83 OVER PROJECTION

+1.3 DIFFERENCE

16.2% EV

Rating:

o3.5 -150

o4.5 +105

o4.5 -102

o3.5 -172

o4.5 +110

o4.5 +109

o3.5 -150

o4.5 +120

RECEPTIONS

TENN

M. Matthews (WR) o3.5 Receptions

3.87 OVER PROJECTION

+0.4 DIFFERENCE

-2.82% EV

Rating:

o3.5 -120

o3.5 -135

o3.5 -139

o3.5 -140

o3.5 -129

o3.5 -145

o3.5 -135

o3.5 -120

CARRIES

TENN

D. Bishop (RB) o18.5 Carries

19.22 OVER PROJECTION

+0.7 DIFFERENCE

6.64% EV

Rating:

o17.5 -130

o18.5 -105

o17.5 -130

ALA @ TENN · Trends

Alabama Trends

Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+4.50 Units / 5% ROI)

ALA

TENN

Game Line - Moneyline - FT

Compare odds

Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.05 Units / 23% ROI)

ALA

TENN

Game Line - Spread - 1H

Compare odds

Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.75 Units / 37% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1Q

Compare odds

Alabama have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)

ALA

TENN

Game Line - Spread - FT

Compare odds

Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+2.00 Units / 3% ROI)

ALA

TENN

Game Line - Moneyline - 1H

Compare odds

Alabama has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 1 of their last 6 away games (-3.25 Units / -50% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1Q

Compare odds

Alabama has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 15 games (-2.60 Units / -15% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1H

Compare odds

Alabama has only hit the Game Total Under in 2 of their last 6 away games (-2.40 Units / -36% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - FT

Compare odds

Alabama has only hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 15 games (-1.90 Units / -11% ROI)

Tennessee Trends

Tennessee has hit the Team Total Under in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 87% ROI)

Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 59% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1H

Compare odds

Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - FT

Compare odds

Tennessee has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+3.00 Units / 2% ROI)

ALA

TENN

Game Line - Moneyline - 1Q

Compare odds

Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.30 Units / 15% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1Q

Compare odds

Tennessee has only hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.50 Units / -57% ROI)

Tennessee has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.08 Units / -42% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1H

Compare odds

Tennessee have only covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.05 Units / -41% ROI)

ALA

TENN

Game Line - Spread - 1H

Compare odds

Tennessee has only hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.85 Units / -41% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - FT

Compare odds

Tennessee have only covered the Spread in 5 of their last 14 games (-4.95 Units / -32% ROI)

ALA

TENN

Game Line - Spread - FT

Compare odds

Tennessee have only covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 13 games (-4.75 Units / -31% ROI)

ALA

TENN

Game Line - Spread - 1Q

Compare odds

swtknguy is #9 on picking games that Alabama is in with a record of (4-1-0) and +3950 units on the season.

Spread

ALA

TENN

Spread

-7.5 -110

+7.5 +100

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Alabama Crimson Tide Picks

Next Game

ALA @ TENN Picks

Consensus Picks

57% picking Alabama

45% picking Alabama vs Tennessee to go Under

ALA @ TENN · Props

ALA @ TENN · Trends

Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+4.50 Units / 5% ROI)

Alabama have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.05 Units / 23% ROI)

Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.75 Units / 37% ROI)

Alabama have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)

Alabama has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+2.00 Units / 3% ROI)

Alabama has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 1 of their last 6 away games (-3.25 Units / -50% ROI)

Alabama has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 15 games (-2.60 Units / -15% ROI)

Alabama has only hit the Game Total Under in 2 of their last 6 away games (-2.40 Units / -36% ROI)

Alabama has only hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 15 games (-1.90 Units / -11% ROI)

Tennessee has hit the Team Total Under in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 87% ROI)

Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 59% ROI)

Tennessee has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)

Tennessee has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+3.00 Units / 2% ROI)

Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.30 Units / 15% ROI)

Tennessee has only hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.50 Units / -57% ROI)

Tennessee has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.08 Units / -42% ROI)

Tennessee have only covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 13 games (-6.05 Units / -41% ROI)

Tennessee has only hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.85 Units / -41% ROI)

Tennessee have only covered the Spread in 5 of their last 14 games (-4.95 Units / -32% ROI)

Tennessee have only covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 13 games (-4.75 Units / -31% ROI)

Top User Picks

'puntpat' picks Alabama vs Tennessee to go Over (53.5)

'puntpat' is picking Alabama to cover (-7.5)

'Paintedface' picks Alabama vs Tennessee to go Over (56.5)

'Paintedface' is picking Alabama to cover (-4.5)

'COFFEE29' is picking Alabama to cover (-6.5)

'Jerrybook' picks Alabama vs Tennessee to go Over (56.5)

'Jerrybook' is picking Tennessee to cover (+4.5)

'Nittanymac5800' is picking Alabama to cover (-7.5)

'Nittanymac5800' picks Alabama vs Tennessee to go Over (53.5)

'JAL25' picks Alabama vs Tennessee to go Under (56.5)

'JAL25' is picking Tennessee to cover (+8.5)

'Big_Blue' picks Alabama vs Tennessee to go Under (56.5)

'Big_Blue' is picking Alabama to cover (-6.5)

'timstutler25' is picking Tennessee to cover (+8.5)

'timstutler25' picks Alabama vs Tennessee to go Under (51.5)

'swtknguy' picks Alabama vs Tennessee to go Under (53.5)

'swtknguy' is picking Alabama to cover (-6.5)

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Alabama Crimson Tide
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