Arizona vs Texas Tech Picks & Props
ARIZ vs TTU Picks
NCAAF PicksTexas Tech has cashed the Under in the first quarter in 10 of its last 13 games. The offense could struggle out of the gates again, given Arizona's stingy defensive statistics.
Arizona is riding high after a dominant win over Iowa State and owns a 34-7 victory over Cincinnati, the same team that just handed Texas Tech a brutal loss. With the Wildcats riding a five-game winning streak, this underdog looks worthy of a sprinkle against the Red Raiders.
Take the underdog with the massive QB advantage at +3 or better. Will Hammond has 13 turnover-worthy passes to pair with only eight big-time throws (per PFF), so no wonder TTU ranks 137th in passing explosiveness. Noah Fifita averages 9.2 yards per attempt and ranks second among Big 12 passers with 114.5 total PPA.
Good as long as it stays at 53.5 or above. Arizona's defense (14th in EPA per play, 11th in success rate) is much better than the market is accounting for, and TTU's defense checks in at 16th in EPA per play allowed and 10th in PFF's team defense grade.
Texas Tech has cashed the First Half Under in eight of its last 13 games. Given Hammond's turnover-prone ways and overall offensive issues, the defense should be the focal point over the second half of the season.
ARIZ vs TTU Consensus Picks
ARIZ vs TTU Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
PASSING YARDS
TTU
W. Hammond
(QB)
o209.5 Passing Yards
241.98 OVER
PROJECTION
+32.5
DIFFERENCE
27.2%
EV
|
|||||||
|
PASSING YARDS
N. Fifita
(QB)
o249.5 Passing Yards
266.67 OVER
PROJECTION
+17.2
DIFFERENCE
22.61%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
TTU
W. Hammond
(QB)
u17.5 Rushing Yards
12.65 UNDER
PROJECTION
-4.8
DIFFERENCE
23.59%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
TTU
J. Williams
(RB)
u70.5 Rushing Yards
66.84 UNDER
PROJECTION
-3.7
DIFFERENCE
22.3%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RUSHING YARDS
ARIZ
K. Reescano
(RB)
u39.5 Rushing Yards
36.92 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.6
DIFFERENCE
13.53%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
TTU
J. Williams
(RB)
o19.5 Receiving Yards
27.98 OVER
PROJECTION
+8.5
DIFFERENCE
26.64%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
TTU
C. Eakin
(WR)
o32.5 Receiving Yards
45.66 OVER
PROJECTION
+13.2
DIFFERENCE
26.03%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
TTU
K. Johnson
(WR)
o62.5 Receiving Yards
76.93 OVER
PROJECTION
+14.4
DIFFERENCE
25.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
ARIZ
I. Mizell
(WR)
o81.5 Receiving Yards
93.20 OVER
PROJECTION
+11.7
DIFFERENCE
24.27%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
TTU
T. Carter Jr.
(TE)
o25.5 Receiving Yards
31.21 OVER
PROJECTION
+5.7
DIFFERENCE
21.9%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEIVING YARDS
TTU
M. Hudson
(WR)
u29.5 Receiving Yards
27.43 UNDER
PROJECTION
-2.1
DIFFERENCE
13.73%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
TTU
M. Hudson
(WR)
u2.5 Receptions
2.00 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
16.47%
EV
|
|||||||
|
RECEPTIONS
TTU
K. Johnson
(WR)
o4.5 Receptions
5.00 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
2.27%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
Recent Form Trends
Red Raiders are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Under is 5-0 in Red Raiders last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-0 in Red Raiders last 5 games on fieldturf.
Red Raiders are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Red Raiders last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Red Raiders last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Under is 7-1 in Wildcats last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Red Raiders are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.