DeSean Bishop Rushing Yards Props • Tennessee
D. Bishop
running back RB • Tennessee
Tennessee @ Florida Picks & Props
TENN vs FLA Picks
NCAAF Picks
MoneyLine
FLA (+154)
Jason Ence
Betting Analyst
Tennessee ranks 120th in success against the run, 117th in missed tackle rate, and 95th in yards allowed after contact. The Vols also have problems with mobile quarterbacks.
Florida showed life last week, and Jaden Baugh is a tank who will cause problems for the Vols. He leads a rushing attack that had a 54% success rate against Mississippi, which ranked Top 15 nationally.
The Gators are getting key players back from injury on both sides of the ball, and would love nothing more than to beat their hated rivals in The Swamp. The Vols will put up points, but the Gators will get enough of their own to get the win.
Passing Yards
JA
Joey Aguilar o272.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst
Aguilar has been a good fit in Josh Heupel's system, throwing for 2,941 yards and 22 touchdown passes this season. Florida's strength is its defense, but this tumultuous season is wearing on the unit as the Gators enter this game ranked 73rd in success rate on dropbacks and 68th in EPA per dropback. Aguilar is averaging 294.1 passing yards per game and has topped this number in five of his last nine games.
Receptions
BS
Braylon Staley u5.5 Receptions (-102)
Projection 4.8057 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receptions
CB
Chris Brazzell II u4.5 Receptions (-104)
Projection 4.3444 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Passing Yards
JA
Joey Aguilar u275.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 242.8732 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Passing Yards
DJ Lagway o229.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Projection 237.0656 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
MK
Miles Kitselman o21.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 28.1369 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
JB
Jadan Baugh o16.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 21.9024 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
BS
Braylon Staley u75.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 67.0366 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Receiving Yards
CB
Chris Brazzell II u71.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 65.5549 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Receiving Yards
MM
Mike Matthews o48.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Projection 52.3713 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Rushing Yards
DB
DeSean Bishop o58.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Projection 74.2743 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
TENN vs FLA Consensus Picks
TENN vs FLA Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Star Thomas Rushing Yards Props • Tennessee
S. Thomas
running back RB • Tennessee
Jadan Baugh Rushing Yards Props • Florida
J. Baugh
running back RB • Florida
TENN vs FLA Trends
Tennessee Trends
Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 43% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.65 Units / 0% ROI)
TENN
FLA
Tennessee has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 48% ROI)
Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.75 Units / 47% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has only hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.80 Units / -57% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has only hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 13 games (-8.00 Units / -56% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has only hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 13 games (-4.20 Units / -29% ROI)
Over
Under
Tennessee has only hit the Team Total Over in 1 of their last 5 games (-3.55 Units / -63% ROI)
Tennessee have only covered the Spread in 6 of their last 13 games (-1.70 Units / -12% ROI)
TENN
FLA
Florida Trends
Florida has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+5.50 Units / 3% ROI)
TENN
FLA
Florida has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.80 Units / 6% ROI)
TENN
FLA
Florida has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.75 Units / 48% ROI)
Florida have covered the 1Q Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.15 Units / 27% ROI)
TENN
FLA
Florida has only hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (-6.60 Units / -21% ROI)
TENN
FLA
Florida has only hit the Team Total Over in 2 of their last 9 games (-6.40 Units / -60% ROI)
Florida has only hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 13 games (-5.90 Units / -41% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 13 games (-4.35 Units / -29% ROI)
Over
Under
Florida has only hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 13 games (-2.00 Units / -13% ROI)
Over
Under