North Carolina Tar Heels vs Michigan State Spartans Prediction, Picks, Prop Bets For November 27, 2025

UNC vs MSU Picks

MoneyLine

MSU (-105)

Best Odds

-115

Pick made: 2 months ago

-118

-115

-120

-115

-120

The Tar Heels only win against a power-conference foe came on November 7, when they still had the now injured Seth Trimble, and beat Kansas 87-74. They won tdue to their massive frontcourt which outscored the Jayhawks 48-20 in the paint and outrebounded them by a +12 margin. However, they won't replicate that against MSU who also have plenty of size up front and defend the rim at an high level while ranking eighth in the nation in rebounding rate. The Spartans boast a pair of victories against No. 22 Arkansas and No. 19 Kentucky. They held both of those teams to 66 points, proving they could shut down highly-efficient and up-tempo attacks. That's good news against a UNC offense that also fits that description.

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North Carolina Trends

North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 games (+13.25 Units / 2% ROI)

UNC

MSU

Game Line - MoneyLine - 1st Half

North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 37 games (+5.25 Units / 0% ROI)

UNC

MSU

Game Line - MoneyLine - Full Game

North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.74 Units / 11% ROI)

North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 37 games (+1.70 Units / 4% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1st Half

North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 37 games (+1.30 Units / 3% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - Full Game

North Carolina has only hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 37 games (-10.62 Units / -25% ROI)

North Carolina has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 37 games (-6.90 Units / -16% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1st Half

North Carolina has only hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 37 games (-4.95 Units / -12% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - Full Game

North Carolina have only covered the Spread in 17 of their last 37 games (-3.95 Units / -10% ROI)

UNC

MSU

Game Line - Spread - Full Game

North Carolina have only covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 37 games (-2.00 Units / -5% ROI)

UNC

MSU

Game Line - Spread - 1st Half

Michigan State Trends

Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 36 games (+22.80 Units / 2% ROI)

UNC

MSU

Game Line - MoneyLine - Full Game

Michigan State have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 36 games (+15.00 Units / 38% ROI)

UNC

MSU

Game Line - Spread - Full Game

Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - Full Game

Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+4.05 Units / 10% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1st Half

Michigan State has only hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 36 games (-16.60 Units / -42% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - Full Game

Michigan State has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 36 games (-9.50 Units / -23% ROI)

Over

Under

Game Line - Total - 1st Half

Michigan State have only covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 36 games (-6.95 Units / -17% ROI)

UNC

MSU

Game Line - Spread - 1st Half

Michigan State has only hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 36 games (-3.31 Units / -8% ROI)

Michigan State has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 36 games (-2.80 Units / -0% ROI)

UNC

MSU

Game Line - MoneyLine - 1st Half

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
1	yardduke	8-2-0	+5400
2	OMG1GERALD	9-1-0	+5350
3	greenhouse12	8-2-0	+5300
4	AlmightyDragon	7-3-0	+4950
5	alayne89	10-0-0	+4900
6	sleeper2239	4-6-0	+4650
7	Kozman06	9-1-0	+4650
8	PUSSYGALORE333	10-0-0	+4600
9	brandydump1	10-0-0	+4400
10	fat-freddie	8-2-0	+4350
All Tar Heels Money Leaders

Rank

Leader

L10

Units

yardduke

8-2-0

+5400

OMG1GERALD

9-1-0

+5350

greenhouse12

8-2-0

+5300

AlmightyDragon

7-3-0

+4950

alayne89

10-0-0

+4900

sleeper2239

4-6-0

+4650

Kozman06

9-1-0

+4650

PUSSYGALORE333

10-0-0

+4600

brandydump1

10-0-0

+4400

fat-freddie

8-2-0

+4350

All Tar Heels Money Leaders

Rank	Leader	L10	Units
1	chuluckus	7-3-0	+10000
2	Sandsaver727	5-5-0	+6300
3	Ollywood	4-6-0	+6300
4	AlmightyDragon	6-4-0	+5450
5	fragma8023	10-0-0	+5000
6	Geo Lazos	5-5-0	+4900
7	DavePaliwoda	7-3-0	+4800
8	lenny2098	6-4-0	+4700
9	sportsdool1123	5-5-0	+4400
10	Rebelair90	7-3-0	+4350
All Spartans Money Leaders

Rank

Leader

L10

Units

chuluckus

7-3-0

+10000

Sandsaver727

5-5-0

+6300

Ollywood

4-6-0

+6300

AlmightyDragon

6-4-0

+5450

fragma8023

10-0-0

+5000

Geo Lazos

5-5-0

+4900

DavePaliwoda

7-3-0

+4800

lenny2098

6-4-0

+4700

sportsdool1123

5-5-0

+4400

Rebelair90

7-3-0

+4350

All Spartans Money Leaders

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Consensus Picks

65% picking Michigan St.

61% picking North Carolina vs Michigan St. to go Over

UNC vs MSU Trends

North Carolina Trends

North Carolina has hit the 1H Moneyline in 26 of their last 37 games (+13.25 Units / 2% ROI)

North Carolina has hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 37 games (+5.25 Units / 0% ROI)

North Carolina has hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.74 Units / 11% ROI)

North Carolina has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 20 of their last 37 games (+1.70 Units / 4% ROI)

North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 37 games (+1.30 Units / 3% ROI)

North Carolina has only hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 37 games (-10.62 Units / -25% ROI)

North Carolina has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 16 of their last 37 games (-6.90 Units / -16% ROI)

North Carolina has only hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 37 games (-4.95 Units / -12% ROI)

North Carolina have only covered the Spread in 17 of their last 37 games (-3.95 Units / -10% ROI)

North Carolina have only covered the 1H Spread in 19 of their last 37 games (-2.00 Units / -5% ROI)

Michigan State Trends

Michigan State has hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 36 games (+22.80 Units / 2% ROI)

Michigan State have covered the Spread in 26 of their last 36 games (+15.00 Units / 38% ROI)

Michigan State has hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 36 games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)

Michigan State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+4.05 Units / 10% ROI)

Michigan State has only hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 36 games (-16.60 Units / -42% ROI)

Michigan State has only hit the 1H Game Total Over in 15 of their last 36 games (-9.50 Units / -23% ROI)

Michigan State have only covered the 1H Spread in 16 of their last 36 games (-6.95 Units / -17% ROI)

Michigan State has only hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 36 games (-3.31 Units / -8% ROI)

Michigan State has only hit the 1H Moneyline in 21 of their last 36 games (-2.80 Units / -0% ROI)

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