Houston Rockets

1st in Southwest (15 - 5)

Next Game

Sat, Dec 6 20:30 ET

HOU @ DAL Picks

NBA Picks
Points Scored
Kevin Durant logo Kevin Durant o25.5 Points Scored (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Kevin Durant has cashed the Over in points in two of his last three outings, scoring 28 points last time out in a revenge game against the Phoenix Suns on Friday evening. He also had 24 points on Wednesday while dropping 32 on the Utah Jazz at the beginning of the week. While KD only had 21 earlier this season against the Mavs, he cooked them in 2024-25. Across four meetings, he averaged 28.3 PPG. Dallas is not playing well, and Durant cashed the Over in his last game on the road on Monday.

Points Scored
Max Christie logo
Max Christie u9.5 Points Scored (-123)
Projection 7.87 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The matchup vs. the Rockets is a hard one; they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SGs over the last 20 games (12.6).. The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 2nd-slowest pace team in the league this year (the Rockets).. The Mavericks have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).. Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-fewest in the league) against the Houston Rockets, struggling to draw fouls.
Points Scored
RS
Reed Sheppard o10.5 Points Scored (-112)
Projection 12.26 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This matchup is a positive one for scoring; the other team has posted the 30th-highest Field Goal% in the NBA over the last 14 games when the Mavericks have the home court advantage (44.7%).. The Rockets will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from competing against the 4th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Mavericks).. Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Rockets grade out best in in the league with 16.1 offensive boards per game this year.
Points Scored
Kevin Durant logo
Kevin Durant u25.5 Points Scored (-111)
Projection 23.71 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Rockets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year as it relates to three-point attempts.. The matchup vs. Dallas is a hard one for three-pointers; when the Mavericks are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have averaged the least treys per game in the NBA this year (0.8).. The Houston Rockets have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA this year.
Points Scored
Anthony Davis logo
Anthony Davis o19.5 Points Scored (-104)
Projection 21.32 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 43 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.. With respect to getting to the free-throw line, the Mavericks's remarkable 27.9 free throw attempts per game while playing at home rates 5th-best in the league over the last 10 games.
Points Scored
Naji Marshall logo
Naji Marshall u11.5 Points Scored (-102)
Projection 10.53 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 2nd-slowest pace team in the league this year (the Rockets).. The Mavericks have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
3-Pointers Made
Max Christie logo
Max Christie u1.5 3-Pointers Made (+120)
Projection 1.42 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 31 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The matchup against the Rockets is a difficult one for three-point attempts; opposing starting SGs have tallied the least three attempts per game in the NBA over the last 20 games (4.7).. The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 2nd-slowest pace team in the league this year (the Rockets).. The Mavericks have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Total Assists
Max Christie logo
Max Christie u1.5 Total Assists (+145)
Projection 1.35 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Dallas Mavericks will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 2nd-slowest pace team in the league this year (the Rockets).. The Mavericks have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
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Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

69% picking Houston vs Dallas to go Over

69%
31%

Total PicksHOU 220, DAL 99

Total
Over
Under

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

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'Sandsaver727' is picking Dallas to cover (+10.5)

Sandsaver727 is #1 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (14-6-0) and +8450 units on the season.

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HOU
DAL
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'Sandsaver727' picks Houston vs Dallas to go Under (221.5)

Sandsaver727 is #1 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (14-6-0) and +8450 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'mjpalli' is picking Houston to cover (-8.5)

mjpalli is #2 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (12-4-0) and +8050 units on the season.

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HOU
DAL
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'mjpalli' picks Houston vs Dallas to go Over (224.5)

mjpalli is #2 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (12-4-0) and +8050 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'Hoosier' picks Houston vs Dallas to go Over (224.5)

Hoosier is #3 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (18-6-0) and +6700 units on the season.

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Over
Under
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'Hoosier' is picking Dallas to cover (+8.5)

Hoosier is #3 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (18-6-0) and +6700 units on the season.

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HOU
DAL
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'YAL15M' picks Houston vs Dallas to go Under (224.5)

YAL15M is #4 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (11-7-1) and +5900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'Enelra18' picks Houston vs Dallas to go Over (224.5)

Enelra18 is #4 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (13-3-0) and +6550 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'YAL15M' is picking Dallas to cover (+8.5)

YAL15M is #4 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (11-7-1) and +5900 units on the season.

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HOU
DAL
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'Enelra18' is picking Dallas to cover (+8.5)

Enelra18 is #4 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (13-3-0) and +6550 units on the season.

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HOU
DAL
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'Alan Palmer' picks Houston vs Dallas to go Over (224.5)

Alan Palmer is #5 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (13-7-0) and +6350 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'Alan Palmer' is picking Dallas to cover (+8.5)

Alan Palmer is #5 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (13-7-0) and +6350 units on the season.

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HOU
DAL
Total

'glen2003' picks Houston vs Dallas to go Over (224.5)

glen2003 is #5 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (9-10-0) and +5800 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'glen2003' is picking Houston to cover (-8.5)

glen2003 is #5 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (9-10-0) and +5800 units on the season.

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HOU
DAL
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'deweyay9' is picking Dallas to cover (+8.5)

deweyay9 is #6 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (16-6-0) and +5750 units on the season.

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HOU
DAL
Total

'deweyay9' picks Houston vs Dallas to go Over (224.5)

deweyay9 is #6 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (16-6-0) and +5750 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'CC95531' is picking Houston to cover (-8.5)

CC95531 is #6 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (12-7-0) and +5850 units on the season.

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HOU
DAL
Total

'CC95531' picks Houston vs Dallas to go Over (224.5)

CC95531 is #6 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (12-7-0) and +5850 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'HOTTIE' is picking Dallas to cover (+8.5)

HOTTIE is #7 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (7-2-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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HOU
DAL
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'sleeper2239' is picking Houston to cover (-8.5)

sleeper2239 is #8 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (15-8-0) and +5650 units on the season.

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HOU
DAL
Total

'sleeper2239' picks Houston vs Dallas to go Under (224.5)

sleeper2239 is #8 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (15-8-0) and +5650 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
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'derekpderek' is picking Houston to cover (-10.0)

derekpderek is #9 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (15-7-0) and +5200 units on the season.

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HOU
DAL
Total

'derekpderek' picks Houston vs Dallas to go Over (221.5)

derekpderek is #9 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (15-7-0) and +5200 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Spread

'simoncald' is picking Houston to cover (-8.5)

simoncald is #9 on picking games that Houston is in with a record of (10-4-0) and +5500 units on the season.

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HOU
DAL
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