Dallas Mavericks Picks
4th in Southwest
(6 - 4)
Next Game
Mon, Nov 9
20:00 ET
IND @ DAL Picks
NBA Picks
Moneyline
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
I price the Pacers closer to a 46% underdog, making the 42% market price an attractive buy. Daniel Gafford's expected 20-25-minute limit leaves Dallas vulnerable inside, creating opportunities for Ivica Zubac and Pascal Siakam. T.J. McConnell's return also softens the blow of Tyrese Haliburton's absence, giving Indiana another capable playmaker to generate easy looks for its big men.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Consensus Picks
More Consensus61% picking Indiana vs Dallas to go Over
Total PicksIND 28, DAL 18
Total
Over
Under
IND @ DAL · Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
POINTS SCORED
I. Zubac
(C)
o9.5 Points Scored
11.02 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
19.88%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
D. Gafford
(C)
u9.5 Points Scored
8.74 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
10.45%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
A. Nesmith
(SF)
o11.5 Points Scored
11.70 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-8.09%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
K. Oubre Jr.
(SF)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
3.96 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
A. Nembhard
(SG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
3.28 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
15.75%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
I. Zubac
(C)
o8.5 Total Rebounds
9.04 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
12.9%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
A. Nesmith
(SF)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
3.83 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
3.3%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
P. Siakam
(PF)
o6.5 Total Rebounds
6.56 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-3.34%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
O. Toppin
(PF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
4.55 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-7.91%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
C. Flagg
(SF)
u6.5 Total Assists
5.23 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.3
DIFFERENCE
24.49%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
P. Siakam
(PF)
o3.5 Total Assists
3.59 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.1%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
A. Nembhard
(SG)
u6.5 Total Assists
6.44 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-11.63%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
P. Siakam
(PF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.55 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
5.13%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
C. Flagg
(SF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.36 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-1.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
O. Toppin
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.46 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-1.79%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
A. Nesmith
(SF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.89 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
P. Washington
(PF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.63 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-13.57%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
POINTS SCORED
I. Zubac
(C)
o9.5 Points Scored
11.02 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
19.88%
EV
POINTS SCORED
D. Gafford
(C)
u9.5 Points Scored
8.74 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
10.45%
EV
POINTS SCORED
A. Nesmith
(SF)
o11.5 Points Scored
11.70 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-8.09%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
K. Oubre Jr.
(SF)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
3.96 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
22%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
A. Nembhard
(SG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
3.28 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
15.75%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
I. Zubac
(C)
o8.5 Total Rebounds
9.04 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
12.9%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
A. Nesmith
(SF)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
3.83 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
3.3%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
P. Siakam
(PF)
o6.5 Total Rebounds
6.56 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-3.34%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
O. Toppin
(PF)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
4.55 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-7.91%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
C. Flagg
(SF)
u6.5 Total Assists
5.23 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.3
DIFFERENCE
24.49%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
P. Siakam
(PF)
o3.5 Total Assists
3.59 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.1%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
A. Nembhard
(SG)
u6.5 Total Assists
6.44 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-11.63%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
P. Siakam
(PF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.55 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
5.13%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
C. Flagg
(SF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.36 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-1.08%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
O. Toppin
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.46 PUSH
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-1.79%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
A. Nesmith
(SF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.89 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.08%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
P. Washington
(PF)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.63 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-13.57%
EV
IND @ DAL · Trends
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Top User Picks
More Picks'whosat' picks Indiana vs Dallas to go Under (222.5)
whosat is #6 on picking games that Dallas are in with a record of (7-2-0) and +4250 units on the season.
Total
Over
Under
'SJALEXANDR20' picks Indiana vs Dallas to go Over (222.5)
SJALEXANDR20 is #8 on picking games that Indiana is in with a record of (7-3-0) and +3700 units on the season.
Total
Over
Under