Miami @ Brooklyn Picks & Props

In comparison to last year's 50.8% clip, Jalen Wilson's scoring prowess has regressed this year to 40.7%. The 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Nets. The Nets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

In comparison to last year's 14.2 rate, D'Angelo Russell's shots have fallen this year to 10.8 per game. In comparison to last season's 33.0 clip, D'Angelo Russell's playing time has dropped this season to 25.9 minutes per game. The 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Nets. The Nets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Nets. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a positive one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1). The Brooklyn Nets are expected to see an increase in possessions today from facing the 6th-fastest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 23 games (the Miami Heat). Ben Simmons has successfully made 1.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 more than he's sunk overall this season while at home. The matchup vs. the Heat may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (3rd-most in the NBA).

Jaime Jaquez Jr. has successfully made 50.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 5 games, 21.5% higher than he's made from three over the course of the season. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has averaged 29.4 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.7 higher than he's averaged overall this season. When it comes to 3-pointers, the Heat's outstanding 14.1 converted threes per game while playing on the road settles in as the 7th-most in the NBA this year. The 6th-most up-tempo tempo away offense in the league over the last 23 games has been the Miami Heat. Jaime Jaquez Jr. has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 24.1% higher than he's converted overall this year.

Ziaire Williams has converted 2.1 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 more than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Nets. This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SFs have tallied 5.8 3-point attempts per game (3rd-most in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, making this a favorable matchup. The Brooklyn Nets are expected to see an increase in possessions today from facing the 6th-fastest pace-of-play visiting team in the league over the last 23 games (the Miami Heat). Ziaire Williams has converted 2.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Noah Clowney has sunk 60.3% of his shots from the field over the last 12 games at home, 27.0% higher than he's made over the course of the year while at home. Noah Clowney has attempted 7.1 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year. Noah Clowney has tallied 29.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.7 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year. With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 8th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Nets. The matchup against the Miami Heat is a positive one for 3-point shots; the opposing team's starting PFs have put up the 2nd-highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (43.4%).

Keon Johnson has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (84th percentile). The 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Nets. The Nets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

Tyler Herro has attempted 12.2 threes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 2.0 more than he's attempted overall this season on the road. Out of all players in the league, Tyler Herro places in the 95th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 35.2 minutes per game this year. When it comes to 3-pointers, the Heat's outstanding 14.1 converted threes per game while playing on the road settles in as the 7th-most in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Brooklyn Nets is a favorable one for three-point shots; the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged the 2nd-most 3-pointers per game in the league this year (2.9). The 6th-most up-tempo tempo away offense in the league over the last 23 games has been the Miami Heat.

Out of all players in the NBA, Bam Adebayo ranks in the 82nd percentile for shots from the field, putting up 13.2 per game this year. Bam Adebayo has sunk 46.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 16.8% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the year on the road. Bam Adebayo has averaged 33.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 91st percentile. When it comes to 3-pointers, the Heat's outstanding 14.1 converted threes per game while playing on the road settles in as the 7th-most in the NBA this year. The matchup against Noah Clowney is a good one for treys; when facing fellow starting PFs this year, they have converted an enormous 40.3% of their three-pointers (93rd percentile).

The Heat will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from competing against the 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Brooklyn Nets). The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs vs. Nic Claxton has been remarkably low this year (2.7 free throw attempts per game: 20th percentile). Kel'el Ware ought to see a decline in output in all facets of the game on account of playing away from home in this matchup.

Duncan Robinson has made 3.2 threes per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made from downtown overall this season. Duncan Robinson has played 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.4 more than he's played in all games this year. When it comes to 3-pointers, the Heat's outstanding 14.1 converted threes per game while playing on the road settles in as the 7th-most in the NBA this year. This year, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 6.2 3-point attempts per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Brooklyn Nets, resulting in a positive matchup. The 6th-most up-tempo tempo away offense in the league over the last 23 games has been the Miami Heat.

The Heat will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from competing against the 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Brooklyn Nets). The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists). Haywood Highsmith will likely suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this contest.

Nic Claxton has converted just 9.1% of his three-point attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 20.0 rate last season. The 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Nets. The Nets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists). Nic Claxton has sunk 53.7% of his foul shots on his home court this year, placing him in the 10th percentile out of all players in the league. The faceoff with Kel'el Ware in regard to drawing fouls comes in at the 23rd percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs attempting just 2.8 foul shots per game this year.

When it comes to 3-pointers, the Heat's outstanding 14.1 converted threes per game while playing on the road settles in as the 7th-most in the NBA this year. The matchup vs. the Nets is a strong one; they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting SFs this year (19.5). The 6th-most up-tempo tempo away offense in the league over the last 23 games has been the Miami Heat. The matchup against the Brooklyn Nets is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.9 free throws per game this year (3rd-most in the NBA).

Nikola Jović has gone over 10.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Terry Rozier has gone over 9.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Day'Ron Sharpe has gone over 6.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.