Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game May 14, 2026
DET
@
CLE
Fri, May 15 • 7:00 PM ET
James Harden has averaged 6.8 assists in the Eastern Conference semis, handing out 7+ in three of five games, including each of Cleveland’s two games at home. Evan Mobley has dished 5.2 helpers per game in the series against Detroit, and he’s reached 4+ assists in six straight contests.
Role players tend to step up at home, and both Sam Merrill and Max Strus have been more efficient from long range at home than on the road this season. Both three-point specialists averaged career-high makes from beyond the arc, and each hit the Over on their respective lines in Game 5.
SA
@
MIN
Fri, May 15 • 9:30 PM ET
De'Aaron Fox o16.5 Points Scored (-115)
Despite playing with sore ankles in Game 5, De’Aaron Fox topped his points prop for the third straight outing. So far in the postseason, Fox is second on the team in PITP (9.0) and sees a clearer path to the rim if the Minnesota Timberwolves continue to tinker with their rotation. Minnesota played rim protector Rudy Gobert a playoff-low 23 minutes in Game 5, opting to go small. With Wembanyama in high screen action, Fox finds easier looks inside with Gobert gone Friday. Projections sit at 17+ with a ceiling of 20 points.
The T-Wolves are suffering from bad starts versus the Spurs and head coach Chris Finch told reporters they need to do a better job being patient and create better shots. That could slow things down in Game 6. On top of Fox getting to the paint against a smaller Minnesota rotation, he should also find opportunities to find teammates on drive-and-kick and screen-and-roll options with Wemby.
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