NBA Picks

Free NBA Expert and Computer Picks For Every Game March 4, 2026

Oklahoma City Thunder logo OKC @ New York Knicks logo NY Wed, Mar 4 • 7:00 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Landry Shamet logo
Landry Shamet o8.5 Points Scored (-106)
Projection 9.87 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -106 DraftKings
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o8.5  -106
o8.5  -110
o8.5  -110
 -
o8.5  -110
The Thunder have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the New York Knicks.. The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
-106 at DraftKings
Total Rebounds
OG Anunoby logo
OG Anunoby o4.5 Total Rebounds (+108)
Projection 5.52 (Over)
Best Odds
o4.5 +108 DraftKings
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o4.5  +108
o4.5  -105
o4.5  +108
 -
o4.5  -110
The Thunder have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more possessions for the New York Knicks.. The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
+108 at DraftKings
View 3 Picks
Charlotte Hornets logo CHA @ Boston Celtics logo BOS Wed, Mar 4 • 7:30 PM ET
3 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Miles Bridges logo
Miles Bridges o12.5 Points Scored (-110)
Projection 14.46 (Over)
Best Odds
o12.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o12.5  -115
o12.5  -110
o12.5  -122
 -
o12.5  -125
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.. This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.9 foul shots per game (8th-most in the NBA) vs. the Celtics, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.
-110 at bet365
Points Scored
Moussa Diabate logo
Moussa Diabate o7.5 Points Scored (-110)
Projection 8.92 (Over)
Best Odds
o7.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o7.5  -111
o7.5  -110
o7.5  -125
 -
o7.5  -120
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Charlotte Hornets grade out best in in the NBA with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
-110 at bet365
View 3 Picks
Utah Jazz logo UTA @ Philadelphia 76ers logo PHI Wed, Mar 4 • 7:30 PM ET
4 Computer Picks
Points Scored
IC
Isaiah Collier u13.5 Points Scored (-120)
Projection 11.28 (Under)
Best Odds
u13.5 -120 bet365
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
 -
u13.5  -120
 -
 -
 -
With respect to treys, the Jazz's lackluster 33.0% rate of converted threes while playing away from home ranks 4th-fewest in the NBA this year.
-120 at bet365
Points Scored
Andre Drummond logo
Andre Drummond o8.5 Points Scored (-130)
Projection 10.54 (Over)
Best Odds
o8.5 -120 FanDuel
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o8.5  -122
o8.5  -130
o8.5  -120
 -
o8.5  -127
The 4th-fastest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the 76ers.. The 76ers will likely get a boost in opportunities today from being pitted against the most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Jazz).. Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the 76ers grade out 10th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
-120 at FanDuel
View 4 Picks
Portland Trail Blazers logo POR @ Memphis Grizzlies logo MEM Wed, Mar 4 • 8:00 PM ET
5 Computer Picks
Points Scored
JW
Jaylen Wells o12.5 Points Scored (+102)
Projection 13.99 (Over)
Best Odds
o12.5 +102 FanDuel
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o12.5  -108
o12.5  -125
o12.5  +102
 -
o12.5  -109
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.. The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.. The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies.
+102 at FanDuel
Points Scored
DC
Donovan Clingan u13.5 Points Scored (-114)
Projection 12.04 (Under)
Best Odds
u13.5 -107 DraftKings
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
u13.5  -107
u13.5  -112
u13.5  -114
 -
u13.5  -115
When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Trail Blazers's unimpressive 33.7% rate of drained threes settles in as the 2nd-weakest in the league this year.
-107 at DraftKings
View 5 Picks
Atlanta Hawks logo ATL @ Milwaukee Bucks logo MIL Wed, Mar 4 • 9:30 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Ryan Rollins logo
Ryan Rollins o12.5 Points Scored (-107)
Projection 15.53 (Over)
Best Odds
o12.5 -107 DraftKings
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
o12.5  -107
o13.5  -120
o12.5  -108
 -
o12.5  -113
In terms of three-point shots, the Milwaukee Bucks's exceptional 40.5% rate of sunk threes as the home team comes in as the highest in the NBA this year.. The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Atlanta Hawks).
-107 at DraftKings
Points Scored
Kevin Porter Jr. logo
Kevin Porter Jr. o14.5 Points Scored (-120)
Projection 17.67 (Over)
Best Odds
o14.5 -115 bet365
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o14.5  -120
o14.5  -115
o14.5  -120
 -
o14.5  -125
In terms of three-point shots, the Milwaukee Bucks's exceptional 40.5% rate of sunk threes as the home team comes in as the highest in the NBA this year.. The matchup against the Hawks is a positive one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PGs have averaged the 5th-most threes per game in the NBA this year (2.8).. The Milwaukee Bucks are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from facing the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Atlanta Hawks).
-115 at bet365
View 6 Picks
Indiana Pacers logo IND @ LA Clippers logo LAC Wed, Mar 4 • 10:30 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Points Scored
Andrew Nembhard logo
Andrew Nembhard u16.5 Points Scored (-112)
Projection 13.49 (Under)
Best Odds
u16.5 -112 bet365
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u16.5  -117
u16.5  -112
u16.5  -118
 -
u16.5  -121
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have shot 42.1% on shot attempts from the field (8th-weakest in the league) vs. the Clippers, marking this as a hard matchup.. The Indiana Pacers are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the LA Clippers).. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA as the away team with only 7.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.. This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have attempted 2.9 foul shots per game (8th-lowest in the league) against the Clippers, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.
-112 at bet365
Points Scored
Aaron Nesmith logo
Aaron Nesmith u11.5 Points Scored (-110)
Projection 9.24 (Under)
Best Odds
u11.5 -110 bet365
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u11.5  -114
u11.5  -110
 -
 -
u11.5  -113
This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied 11.6 shot attempts per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the LA Clippers, resulting in a tough matchup.. The Indiana Pacers are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the LA Clippers).. Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA as the away team with only 7.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
-110 at bet365
View 6 Picks

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