Los Angeles
5th West32-19
Sacramento
15th West12-42
Los Angeles @ Sacramento Picks & Props
LAL vs SAC Picks
NBA Picks
Spread
Tom Oldfield
Betting Analyst
Friday’s win over the Timberwolves was the blueprint for how L.A. wants to play, with Luka Doncic carrying a heavy load, backed by strong contributions from Austin Reaves and Rui Hachimura, and I expect to see a similar formula against Sacramento. Though Luka is listed as questionable with a finger injury, it would be a surprise if he misses tonight’s contest, and I’m still laying the points with a Lakers team that went 45-35-2 ATS last season.
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Austin Reaves has cleared 29.5 points and assists easily in each of his first two outings. The Lakers guard should get plenty of touches with Luka Doncic (finger) listed as questionable and LeBron James (sciatica) still out.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 9th-least aggressive team in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Sacramento Kings.. The matchup against the Lakers is a hard one for shot attempts from the field; the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled the 6th-least shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.7).. The Lakers have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the league since the start of last season, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Sacramento Kings.. Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.7 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the league) vs. the Lakers, struggling to get to the free-throw line.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting SFs have tallied 6.1 three attempts per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, branding this as a favorable matchup.. As a team, the Los Angeles Lakers have been terrific at drawing fouls: 6th-best in the league since the start of last season, tallying 23.2 free throws per game.. The matchup vs. Sacramento may be a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a whopping 4.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Sacramento Kings are at home (7th-most in the league).
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 9th-least aggressive team in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Sacramento Kings.. The Lakers have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the league since the start of last season, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Sacramento Kings.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA since the start of last season.. The Lakers rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
LAL vs SAC Consensus Picks
72% picking L.A. Lakers vs Sacramento to go Over
Total PicksLAL 421, SAC 167
Total
Over
Under
LAL vs SAC Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
POINTS SCORED
Keon Ellis
(SG)
u6.5 Points Scored
4.8 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.7
DIFFERENCE
26.96%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Jake LaRavia
(PF)
o8.5 Points Scored
10.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.8
DIFFERENCE
19.02%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Marcus Smart
(PG)
o9.5 Points Scored
11.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
15.89%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Domantas Sabonis
(C)
o17.5 Points Scored
18.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
9.85%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Dennis Schroder
(PG)
o12.5 Points Scored
13.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
9.25%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Rui Hachimura
(PF)
o16.5 Points Scored
17.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
7.15%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Austin Reaves
(SG)
o28.5 Points Scored
28.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-0.01%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
DeMar DeRozan
(SF)
o21.5 Points Scored
22.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-0.4%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Gabe Vincent
(PG)
o9.5 Points Scored
10.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-1.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Malik Monk
(SG)
u13.5 Points Scored
13.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-3.33%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Deandre Ayton
(C)
o16.5 Points Scored
16.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.63%
EV
|
|||||||
|
POINTS SCORED
Zach LaVine
(SG)
o21.5 Points Scored
21.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-8.83%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Deandre Ayton
(C)
o10.5 Total Rebounds
12.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
21.01%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Keon Ellis
(SG)
u2.5 Total Rebounds
1.8 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
20.56%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Marcus Smart
(PG)
o1.5 Total Rebounds
2.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
10.84%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Rui Hachimura
(PF)
u5.5 Total Rebounds
5.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
0.67%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
DeMar DeRozan
(SF)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
4.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-1.4%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Dennis Schroder
(PG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
2.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-2.07%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Zach LaVine
(SG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
3.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.14%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jake LaRavia
(PF)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
4.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-6.07%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Gabe Vincent
(PG)
o1.5 Total Rebounds
1.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-6.86%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Austin Reaves
(SG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-7.59%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Domantas Sabonis
(C)
u13.5 Total Rebounds
13.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
-8.01%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Malik Monk
(SG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
2.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-9.86%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Keon Ellis
(SG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
20.87%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Malik Monk
(SG)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
1.8 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
14.34%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Zach LaVine
(SG)
u3.5 3-Pointers Made
2.8 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
10.81%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Austin Reaves
(SG)
o3.5 3-Pointers Made
3.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
9.73%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Marcus Smart
(PG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
6.75%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Rui Hachimura
(PF)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
3.09%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Domantas Sabonis
(C)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-3.86%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
DeMar DeRozan
(SF)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
1.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-4.68%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Gabe Vincent
(PG)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-6.18%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Dennis Schroder
(PG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
3-POINTERS MADE
Jake LaRavia
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.21%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Rui Hachimura
(PF)
u1.5 Total Assists
1.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
21.56%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Austin Reaves
(SG)
u8.5 Total Assists
7.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.2
DIFFERENCE
15.81%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Keon Ellis
(SG)
u1.5 Total Assists
0.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
15.65%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Marcus Smart
(PG)
o3.5 Total Assists
4.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.4
DIFFERENCE
15.51%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Domantas Sabonis
(C)
o4.5 Total Assists
6.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.6
DIFFERENCE
14.54%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Dennis Schroder
(PG)
o3.5 Total Assists
4.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.4
DIFFERENCE
12.5%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Malik Monk
(SG)
o3.5 Total Assists
3.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
10.9%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Zach LaVine
(SG)
o2.5 Total Assists
3.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
1.48%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jake LaRavia
(PF)
u2.5 Total Assists
2.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
0.82%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
DeMar DeRozan
(SF)
o4.5 Total Assists
4.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-0.19%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Gabe Vincent
(PG)
o2.5 Total Assists
2.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-8.88%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL ASSISTS
Deandre Ayton
(C)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-9.42%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
POINTS SCORED
Keon Ellis
(SG)
u6.5 Points Scored
4.8 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.7
DIFFERENCE
26.96%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Jake LaRavia
(PF)
o8.5 Points Scored
10.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.8
DIFFERENCE
19.02%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Marcus Smart
(PG)
o9.5 Points Scored
11.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
15.89%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Domantas Sabonis
(C)
o17.5 Points Scored
18.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
9.85%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Dennis Schroder
(PG)
o12.5 Points Scored
13.3 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.8
DIFFERENCE
9.25%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Rui Hachimura
(PF)
o16.5 Points Scored
17.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
7.15%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Austin Reaves
(SG)
o28.5 Points Scored
28.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-0.01%
EV
POINTS SCORED
DeMar DeRozan
(SF)
o21.5 Points Scored
22.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-0.4%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Gabe Vincent
(PG)
o9.5 Points Scored
10.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-1.08%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Malik Monk
(SG)
u13.5 Points Scored
13.4 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
-3.33%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Deandre Ayton
(C)
o16.5 Points Scored
16.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.63%
EV
POINTS SCORED
Zach LaVine
(SG)
o21.5 Points Scored
21.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-8.83%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Deandre Ayton
(C)
o10.5 Total Rebounds
12.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.5
DIFFERENCE
21.01%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Keon Ellis
(SG)
u2.5 Total Rebounds
1.8 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
20.56%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Marcus Smart
(PG)
o1.5 Total Rebounds
2.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.1
DIFFERENCE
10.84%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Rui Hachimura
(PF)
u5.5 Total Rebounds
5.0 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
0.67%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
DeMar DeRozan
(SF)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
4.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-1.4%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Dennis Schroder
(PG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
2.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-2.07%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Zach LaVine
(SG)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
3.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.14%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Jake LaRavia
(PF)
o3.5 Total Rebounds
4.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-6.07%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Gabe Vincent
(PG)
o1.5 Total Rebounds
1.5 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.0
DIFFERENCE
-6.86%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Austin Reaves
(SG)
o4.5 Total Rebounds
5.0 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-7.59%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Domantas Sabonis
(C)
u13.5 Total Rebounds
13.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
-8.01%
EV
TOTAL REBOUNDS
Malik Monk
(SG)
o2.5 Total Rebounds
2.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-9.86%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Keon Ellis
(SG)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.1 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
20.87%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Malik Monk
(SG)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
1.8 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
14.34%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Zach LaVine
(SG)
u3.5 3-Pointers Made
2.8 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
10.81%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Austin Reaves
(SG)
o3.5 3-Pointers Made
3.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
9.73%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Marcus Smart
(PG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
6.75%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Rui Hachimura
(PF)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.2 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
3.09%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Domantas Sabonis
(C)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
0.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-3.86%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
DeMar DeRozan
(SF)
o0.5 3-Pointers Made
1.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
-4.68%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Gabe Vincent
(PG)
u2.5 3-Pointers Made
2.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-6.18%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Dennis Schroder
(PG)
o1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.6 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-6.62%
EV
3-POINTERS MADE
Jake LaRavia
(PF)
u1.5 3-Pointers Made
1.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-7.21%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Rui Hachimura
(PF)
u1.5 Total Assists
1.5 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.0
DIFFERENCE
21.56%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Austin Reaves
(SG)
u8.5 Total Assists
7.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-1.2
DIFFERENCE
15.81%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Keon Ellis
(SG)
u1.5 Total Assists
0.9 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
15.65%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Marcus Smart
(PG)
o3.5 Total Assists
4.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.4
DIFFERENCE
15.51%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Domantas Sabonis
(C)
o4.5 Total Assists
6.1 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.6
DIFFERENCE
14.54%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Dennis Schroder
(PG)
o3.5 Total Assists
4.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+1.4
DIFFERENCE
12.5%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Malik Monk
(SG)
o3.5 Total Assists
3.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
10.9%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Zach LaVine
(SG)
o2.5 Total Assists
3.4 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
1.48%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Jake LaRavia
(PF)
u2.5 Total Assists
2.3 UNDER
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
0.82%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
DeMar DeRozan
(SF)
o4.5 Total Assists
4.8 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-0.19%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Gabe Vincent
(PG)
o2.5 Total Assists
2.9 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
-8.88%
EV
TOTAL ASSISTS
Deandre Ayton
(C)
o1.5 Total Assists
1.7 OVER
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-9.42%
EV
LAL vs SAC Trends
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LAL vs SAC Top User Picks
L.A. Lakers Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | sportbug | 8-2-0 | +10500 |
| 2 | shogun2164 | 8-2-0 | +10470 |
| 3 | greengrocer | 7-3-0 | +9800 |
| 4 | HOTTIE | 7-3-0 | +9150 |
| 5 | mikeg1827 | 5-5-0 | +9100 |
| 6 | mrplus96 | 8-2-0 | +9100 |
| 7 | pervertido2704 | 5-5-0 | +8900 |
| 8 | charro23 | 6-4-0 | +8640 |
| 9 | klavsgr | 6-4-0 | +8100 |
| 10 | kaitospapa | 8-2-0 | +8050 |
| All Lakers Money Leaders | |||
Sacramento Team Leaders
| Rank | Leader | L10 | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | buffalo2007 | 6-4-0 | +11400 |
| 2 | mollydog | 8-2-0 | +11250 |
| 3 | hobo | 8-2-0 | +11150 |
| 4 | Octavio | 7-3-0 | +10100 |
| 5 | bjs129 | 8-2-0 | +10100 |
| 6 | johnmartellejr | 6-4-0 | +9100 |
| 7 | Layne17 | 6-4-0 | +9000 |
| 8 | ceesey | 6-4-0 | +8700 |
| 9 | stephenng | 8-2-0 | +8250 |
| 10 | seattle-8 | 4-6-0 | +8150 |
| All Kings Money Leaders | |||