Tampa Bay Rays Picks
1st in American League East
(28 - 13)
Next Game
Wed, May 13
19:07 ET
TB @ TOR Picks
MLB Picks
Total Home Runs
George Springer o0.5 Total Home Runs (+425)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Despite a high ground-ball rate, Griffin Jax has been taken yard twice by George Springer in the past. And with Jax not pitching deep into his starts since converting from his role as a reliever, he'll give way to a Rays bullpen boasting the eighth-highest HR/9 in MLB.
Total Bases
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Spread
TOR -1.5 (+122)
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
In a season from hell, Dylan Cease has been one of the bright spots for Toronto, sitting second in the AL in strikeouts and having gone seven strong innings in consecutive appearances, allowing just three earned runs across those outings. With Tampa Bay right-hander Griffin Jax entering this one with a 5.00 ERA, expect Toronto to find some traction on offense and cover the run line.
3 LEG PARLAY
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Ernie Clement o0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Griffin Jax u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Ernie Clement is surging at the right time and has been racking up the hits. Meanwhile, the Blue Jays strike out less often than any other team, and will limit the Ks against Griffin Jax, who still doesn't pitch deep enough into games to make the Over viable.
Total Hits
Yandy Diaz u0.5 Total Hits (+205)
Projection 0.96
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Rogers Centre ranks as the #27 ballpark in the league for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dylan Cease will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yandy Diaz today.. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yandy Diaz today.. Yandy Diaz has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph dropping to 84.5-mph over the past 7 days.. In the last two weeks, Yandy Diaz's 3.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 9.9%.
Total Bases
Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre.. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.
Total Bases
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.82
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. The #3 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre.. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.
Total Bases
Daulton Varsho o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. The #3 stadium in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre.. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Griffin Jax in today's game.
Total Bases
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average ability.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The #3 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Cedric Mullins o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.33
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #3 stadium in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre.. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Cease today.. Cedric Mullins's launch angle this season (32.9°) is considerably higher than his 23.3° angle last season.
Total Bases
Jonathan Aranda o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 stadium in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre.. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.
Total Bases
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.65
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kazuma Okamoto is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre.. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.
Total Home Runs
Daulton Varsho o0.5 Total Home Runs (+650)
Projection 0.22
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. The #3 stadium in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre.. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.
Total Home Runs
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total Home Runs (+800)
Projection 0.15
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Cedric Mullins ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #3 stadium in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.. The 10th-shallowest centerfield dimensions among all parks are found in Rogers Centre.. The Rogers Centre roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 5° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Cease today.
