Cleveland Guardians Picks
1st in American League Central
(28 - 22)
Next Game
Wed, May 20
18:40 ET
CLE @ DET Picks
MLB Picks
Total
o7.5 (-112)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Recent meetings between these AL Central rivals have produced runs, and this matchup sets up similarly. Bibee has improved, but he’s still been less effective away from home, while Detroit scores over four runs per game at Comerica Park. Cleveland’s bats are also red-hot right now, averaging more than seven runs over the last three contests, making the Over appealing at this number.
Moneyline
CLE (-117)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
The Guardians are one of the hottest teams in baseball, winning seven of their last 10 games and four straight on the road. Tanner Bibee has pitched much better lately despite his ugly record, allowing just four earned runs over his last two starts. With Cleveland’s offense exploding for 29 runs in four games and Detroit likely using a bullpen approach, the value is on the Guardians.
Total Hits
Dillon Dingler u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
Projection 0.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
In the league, Comerica Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this matchup forecasts the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 55°.. Batting from the same side that Tanner Bibee throws from, Dillon Dingler will not have the upper hand in today's game.. Out of all the teams today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Cleveland Guardians.. Dillon Dingler's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to assess power) has been 107.8 mph this year, placing in the 25th percentile.
Total Hits
Jose Ramirez u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this matchup forecasts the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 55°.. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 10th-deepest RF fences today.. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Ramirez in today's matchup.. Checking in at the 16th percentile, Jose Ramirez has put up a .246 BABIP this year.
Total Bases
Kyle Manzardo u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this matchup forecasts the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 55°.. Today, Kyle Manzardo is at a disadvantage facing the league's 2nd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.2% rate (83rd percentile).. Kyle Manzardo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.. Kyle Manzardo's launch angle this season (17.1°) is a significant dropoff from his 21.5° angle last year.
Total Bases
Daniel Schneemann u1.5 Total Bases (-187)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daniel Schneemann in the 24th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. In the league, Comerica Park's CF dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this matchup forecasts the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 55°.. Daniel Schneemann will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.. Daniel Schneemann has compiled a .219 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 15th percentile.
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.35
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Comerica Park as the 10th-best park in baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense.
Total RBIs
Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Comerica Park as the 10th-best park in baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense.
Total RBIs
Dillon Dingler o0.5 Total RBIs (+211)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dillon Dingler's BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Dillon Dingler is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Comerica Park as the 10th-best park in baseball for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Dillon Dingler will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total RBIs (+238)
Projection 0.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin McGonigle in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Kevin McGonigle is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Kevin McGonigle will have an edge today.
Total RBIs
Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense.
Total RBIs
Chase DeLauter o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Chase DeLauter's batting average talent is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Chase DeLauter is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.. Comerica Park has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation often leads to better offense.
