Cleveland Guardians

2nd in American League Central (40 - 42)

Next Game

CLECleveland Cleveland
at
Chicago CHCChi. Cubs
Tue, Jul 1 20:05 ET

CLE @ CHC Picks

MLB Picks
Spread
Chicago Cubs logo
CHC -1.5 (+125)
Best Odds
-1.5 +105 DraftKings
Pick made: 11 hours ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
-1.5  +105
-1.5  +105
-1.5  +102
-1.5  +105
-1.5  +105
-1.5  +102

The Guardians are reeling along a 7-15 stretch with an MLB low .265 wOBA and .123 ISO, and the club ranks 29th and 28th in the two metrics for the year against left-handed pitchers. As a result, I’m confident Chicago southpaw Matthew Boyd (2.65 ERA and 1.10 WHIP) can navigate his way through the Cleveland lineup efficiently enough for the Chicago bats to put numbers on the board. The North Siders are also 25-15 at home and sport a third-ranked wOBA and fourth-ranked ISO against right-handed pitchers, after all.

Read Full Analysis
Total RBIs
Lane Thomas logo
Lane Thomas o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +215 BetRivers
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  +210
 -
 -
o0.5  +210
o0.5  +202
o0.5  +215
As it relates to his home run skill, Lane Thomas ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Lane Thomas is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense.. Lane Thomas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game.. Lane Thomas pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
+215 at BetRivers
Total RBIs
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +135 DraftKings
Pick made: 1 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  +135
 -
 -
o0.5  +135
o0.5  +126
o0.5  +120
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.. Extreme flyball bats like Seiya Suzuki usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Gavin Williams.. Seiya Suzuki will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
+135 at DraftKings
Total RBIs
Carson Kelly logo
Carson Kelly o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +200 DraftKings
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  +200
 -
 -
o0.5  +200
o0.5  +196
o0.5  +200
The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Over the past 14 days, Carson Kelly's 58.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44%.. Based on Statcast metrics, Carson Kelly ranks in the 87th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .355.. Carson Kelly has put up a .363 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 88th percentile.
+200 at DraftKings
Total RBIs
Dansby Swanson logo
Dansby Swanson o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +160 BetMGM
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  +155
 -
 -
o0.5  +160
o0.5  +152
o0.5  +160
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today's game.. Checking in at the 77th percentile for power, Dansby Swanson has averaged 25.3 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.
+160 at BetMGM
Total RBIs
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +160 BetMGM
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  +140
 -
 -
o0.5  +160
o0.5  +152
o0.5  +135
Kyle Tucker projects as the 7th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Kyle Tucker will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Kyle Tucker usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Gavin Williams.
+160 at BetMGM
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Austin Hedges logo
Austin Hedges o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 1.1 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 +105 BetMGM
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  -110
 -
 -
o0.5  +105
o0.5  -106
 -
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense.. Austin Hedges will hold the platoon advantage over Matthew Boyd in today's game.. Austin Hedges pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Austin Hedges has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph figure.. Austin Hedges's 24.6° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in the majors: 97th percentile.
+105 at BetMGM
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Bo Naylor logo
Bo Naylor o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 -125 BetMGM
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  -150
 -
 -
o0.5  -125
o0.5  -133
 -
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense.. Bo Naylor's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (22.6°) is considerably higher than his 17.5° figure last year.. Bo Naylor's quickness has improved this year. His 26.57 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.15 ft/sec now.. When it comes to his batting average, Bo Naylor has suffered from bad luck this year. His .168 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .202.
-125 at BetMGM
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Johnathan Rodriguez logo
Johnathan Rodriguez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 -120 Caesars
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  -125
 -
 -
o0.5  -125
o0.5  -120
 -
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johnathan Rodriguez in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. The 6th-shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Wrigley Field.. Batting from the opposite that Matthew Boyd throws from, Johnathan Rodriguez will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like Johnathan Rodriguez are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Matthew Boyd.. Johnathan Rodriguez's speed has increased this season. His 26.82 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.31 ft/sec now.
-120 at Caesars
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
David Fry logo
David Fry o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +125 DraftKings
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  +125
 -
 -
o0.5  -160
o0.5  -167
 -
David Fry is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to more offense.. David Fry will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's matchup.. David Fry pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. David Fry has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.3-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph average.
+125 at DraftKings
Outs Recorded
Matthew Boyd logo
Matthew Boyd u17.5 Outs Recorded (-105)
Projection 16.2 (Under)
Best Odds
u17.5 +104 Caesars
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
u17.5  -110
 -
 -
u17.5  -105
u17.5  +104
 -
The Cleveland Guardians have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in future games. Nic Lentz projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be umping in this game.. With 6 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team's projected lineup, Matthew Boyd encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's game.. Given the 1.3 gap between Matthew Boyd's 2.65 ERA and his 3.95 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB this year and figures to negatively regress the rest of the season.
+104 at Caesars

Consensus Picks

View all Consensus Picks

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.
Moneyline

75% picking Chi. Cubs

25%
75%

Total PicksCLE 220, CHC 646

Moneyline
CLE
CHC
Moneyline
+305
-186

Top User Picks

View all Top User Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.
Moneyline

'dude18555' picks Chi. Cubs at (-172)

dude18555 is #1 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (40-20-5) and +14610 units on the season.

Moneyline
CLE
CHC
Moneyline
+305
-186
Moneyline

'fleterod' picks Chi. Cubs at (-172)

fleterod is #1 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (50-30-1) and +17280 units on the season.

Moneyline
CLE
CHC
Moneyline
+305
-186
Total

'dude18555' picks Cleveland vs Chi. Cubs to go Under (8.0)

dude18555 is #1 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (40-20-5) and +14610 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -102
9 +108
Total

'fleterod' picks Cleveland vs Chi. Cubs to go Under (8.0)

fleterod is #1 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (50-30-1) and +17280 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -102
9 +108
Moneyline

'BIGGEDD17' picks Chi. Cubs at (-163)

BIGGEDD17 is #10 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (38-23-4) and +10160 units on the season.

Moneyline
CLE
CHC
Moneyline
+305
-186
Total

'alfimar10045' picks Cleveland vs Chi. Cubs to go Under (8.0)

alfimar10045 is #10 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (42-27-2) and +12820 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -102
9 +108
Moneyline

'alfimar10045' picks Cleveland at (160)

alfimar10045 is #10 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (42-27-2) and +12820 units on the season.

Moneyline
CLE
CHC
Moneyline
+305
-186
Total

'BIGGEDD17' picks Cleveland vs Chi. Cubs to go Over (8.5)

BIGGEDD17 is #10 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (38-23-4) and +10160 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -102
9 +108
Moneyline

'2YELLOWDOGS' picks Chi. Cubs at (-163)

2YELLOWDOGS is #2 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (35-17-2) and +16435 units on the season.

Moneyline
CLE
CHC
Moneyline
+305
-186
Total

'majikman19' picks Cleveland vs Chi. Cubs to go Under (8.0)

majikman19 is #2 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (43-24-5) and +12930 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -102
9 +108
Moneyline

'majikman19' picks Chi. Cubs at (-173)

majikman19 is #2 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (43-24-5) and +12930 units on the season.

Moneyline
CLE
CHC
Moneyline
+305
-186
Total

'mlevine' picks Cleveland vs Chi. Cubs to go Over (8.0)

mlevine is #3 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (42-27-1) and +16355 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -102
9 +108
Moneyline

'mlevine' picks Chi. Cubs at (-172)

mlevine is #3 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (42-27-1) and +16355 units on the season.

Moneyline
CLE
CHC
Moneyline
+305
-186
Moneyline

'HJLOPEZ' picks Chi. Cubs at (-174)

HJLOPEZ is #3 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (31-19-2) and +12485 units on the season.

Moneyline
CLE
CHC
Moneyline
+305
-186
Total

'HJLOPEZ' picks Cleveland vs Chi. Cubs to go Under (8.0)

HJLOPEZ is #3 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (31-19-2) and +12485 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -102
9 +108
Moneyline

'FBC456' picks Chi. Cubs at (-173)

FBC456 is #4 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (14-6-0) and +12210 units on the season.

Moneyline
CLE
CHC
Moneyline
+305
-186
Total

'FBC456' picks Cleveland vs Chi. Cubs to go Over (8.0)

FBC456 is #4 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (14-6-0) and +12210 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -102
9 +108
Moneyline

'pervertido2704' picks Chi. Cubs at (-174)

pervertido2704 is #4 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (32-14-0) and +16135 units on the season.

Moneyline
CLE
CHC
Moneyline
+305
-186
Total

'pervertido2704' picks Cleveland vs Chi. Cubs to go Under (8.0)

pervertido2704 is #4 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (32-14-0) and +16135 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -102
9 +108
Moneyline

'nbahoops' picks Chi. Cubs at (-173)

nbahoops is #5 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (45-29-2) and +15735 units on the season.

Moneyline
CLE
CHC
Moneyline
+305
-186
Total

'nbahoops' picks Cleveland vs Chi. Cubs to go Under (8.0)

nbahoops is #5 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (45-29-2) and +15735 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -102
9 +108
Moneyline

'lusvegasluva' picks Chi. Cubs at (-174)

lusvegasluva is #5 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (40-20-5) and +12145 units on the season.

Moneyline
CLE
CHC
Moneyline
+305
-186
Total

'lusvegasluva' picks Cleveland vs Chi. Cubs to go Under (8.0)

lusvegasluva is #5 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (40-20-5) and +12145 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -102
9 +108
Moneyline

'teslaxyz' picks Chi. Cubs at (-163)

teslaxyz is #6 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (50-29-3) and +15080 units on the season.

Moneyline
CLE
CHC
Moneyline
+305
-186
Moneyline

'bjs129' picks Cleveland at (146)

bjs129 is #6 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (34-34-6) and +11340 units on the season.

Moneyline
CLE
CHC
Moneyline
+305
-186
Total

'greenhouse12' picks Cleveland vs Chi. Cubs to go Over (8.0)

greenhouse12 is #7 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (43-30-2) and +14355 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -102
9 +108
Moneyline

'greenhouse12' picks Chi. Cubs at (-172)

greenhouse12 is #7 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (43-30-2) and +14355 units on the season.

Moneyline
CLE
CHC
Moneyline
+305
-186
Total

'hotgames' picks Cleveland vs Chi. Cubs to go Under (8.0)

hotgames is #7 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (40-17-6) and +10900 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -102
9 +108
Moneyline

'tapnitruc' picks Chi. Cubs at (-163)

tapnitruc is #8 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (32-24-2) and +13590 units on the season.

Moneyline
CLE
CHC
Moneyline
+305
-186
Total

'redsox99' picks Cleveland vs Chi. Cubs to go Under (8.0)

redsox99 is #8 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (36-31-6) and +10840 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -102
9 +108
Moneyline

'redsox99' picks Chi. Cubs at (-174)

redsox99 is #8 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (36-31-6) and +10840 units on the season.

Moneyline
CLE
CHC
Moneyline
+305
-186
Moneyline

'cheeser' picks Cleveland at (158)

cheeser is #9 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (29-20-2) and +13010 units on the season.

Moneyline
CLE
CHC
Moneyline
+305
-186
Total

'cheeser' picks Cleveland vs Chi. Cubs to go Under (8.0)

cheeser is #9 on picking games that Chi. Cubs are in with a record of (29-20-2) and +13010 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -102
9 +108
Total

'CRS' picks Cleveland vs Chi. Cubs to go Under (8.5)

CRS is #9 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (39-25-6) and +10430 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total
8.5 -102
9 +108
Moneyline

'CRS' picks Chi. Cubs at (-189)

CRS is #9 on picking games that Cleveland is in with a record of (39-25-6) and +10430 units on the season.

Moneyline
CLE
CHC
Moneyline
+305
-186

Pages Related to This Topic

Ohio Sports Betting
MLB Betting Sites
Best Ohio Sportsbook Promotions
Best Ohio Betting Apps
Ohio Online Casinos
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.