Baltimore Orioles

3rd in American League East (13 - 15)

Next Game

Tue, Apr 28 18:35 ET

HOU @ BAL Picks

MLB Picks
Total
Houston Astros logo Baltimore Orioles logo o9.0 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 1 hours ago
Joe Osborne image
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst

Kai-Wei Teng is starting for Houston and hasn’t completed three innings in any appearance this season, so the Astros will likely lean heavily on a bullpen that’s been awful in recent weeks. On the other side, Shane Baz limps into tonight's game after allowing four earned runs in consecutive starts. We also have an avalanche of Over trends, with it cashing in eight of the Astros’ last nine and in seven straight for the Orioles.

Total Home Runs
Pete Alonso logo Pete Alonso o0.5 Total Home Runs (+490)
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

It’s a good day to back the Polar Bear, Pete Alonso, on Dinger Tuesday at a price near +500. The weather is shifting again, but Camden Yards remains a solid setting for right-handed power with the wind blowing out. Alonso also carries a 33% opposite-field fly-ball rate, and Camden has one of the shallowest right-field fences, per THE BAT. He’ll face Kai-Wei Teng, who is making his first start after working in a multi-inning relief role. His MLB track record isn't impressive, and his command has been inconsistent. The Baltimore Orioles could also see plenty of a vulnerable Houston Astros bullpen, which boosts the outlook for power. Houston's relievers own the worst ERA in baseball.  The fair price here sits around +430.

Total Hits
Adley Rutschman logo
Adley Rutschman u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-lowest temperature on the slate at 59°.. The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Kai-Wei Teng
Total Hits
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso u0.5 Total Hits (+166)
Projection 0.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-lowest temperature on the slate at 59°.. Hitting from the same side that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Pete Alonso will have a disadvantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Samuel Basallo logo
Samuel Basallo u1.5 Total Bases (-186)
Projection 0.75
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Samuel Basallo has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (85% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-lowest temperature on the slate at 59°.. In today's game, Samuel Basallo is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.3% rate (84th percentile).
Total Bases
Dylan Beavers logo
Dylan Beavers u1.5 Total Bases (-235)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-lowest temperature on the slate at 59°.
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.12
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the league.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Yordan Alvarez will have the handedness advantage against Shane Baz in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.
Total Bases
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.59
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 14th-best home run batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Pete Alonso has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Among every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Houston Astros.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Pete Alonso will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Coby Mayo logo
Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.3
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Coby Mayo ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Houston Astros.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Coby Mayo will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Isaac Paredes logo
Isaac Paredes o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.
Total RBIs
Coby Mayo logo
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total RBIs (+265)
Projection 0.45
Best Odds
Pick made: 26 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Coby Mayo ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Among every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Houston Astros.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Coby Mayo will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs
Isaac Paredes logo
Isaac Paredes o0.5 Total RBIs (+211)
Projection 0.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Among all the teams today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

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Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Freakwater 8-2-0 +7845
2 fleterod 9-1-0 +7410
3 rinv49 6-4-0 +6850
4 BammBamm64 8-2-0 +6765
5 Jerrybook 4-6-0 +6735
6 moodjaja 8-2-0 +6395
7 norronpatron 4-6-0 +5690
8 Varart 9-1-0 +5585
9 dispnum1 6-4-0 +5460
10 popthebubble 8-2-0 +5440
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