Baltimore Orioles

5th in American League East (73 - 78)

Next Game

Tue, Sep 15 19:10 ET

BAL @ NYM Picks

MLB Picks
Total Bases
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+121)
Projection 1.92
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best hitter in MLB.. Pete Alonso is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Pete Alonso will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today... and even better, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.7°, Pete Alonso has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 26.5° figure in the last week.
Total Bases
Christian Encarnacion-Strand logo
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o1.5 Total Bases (+159)
Projection 1.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. In the last 7 days, Christian Encarnacion-Strand's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.9%.
Total Bases
Rece Hinds logo
Rece Hinds u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rece Hinds in the 17th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Rece Hinds is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today's game.. Citi Field grades out as the #28 field in baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.
Total Bases
Coby Mayo logo
Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.61
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Coby Mayo ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Coby Mayo will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Coby Mayo pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Over the last 7 days, Coby Mayo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.1% up to 25%.
Total RBIs
Christian Encarnacion-Strand logo
Christian Encarnacion-Strand o0.5 Total RBIs (+208)
Projection 0.57
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. In the last 7 days, Christian Encarnacion-Strand's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.9%.
Total RBIs
Juan Soto logo
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's matchup.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team playing today.
Total RBIs
Bo Bichette logo
Bo Bichette o0.5 Total RBIs (+212)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his batting average talent, Bo Bichette is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bo Bichette is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Pete Alonso logo
Pete Alonso o0.5 Total RBIs (+174)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best hitter in MLB.. Pete Alonso is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Pete Alonso will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today... and even better, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.7°, Pete Alonso has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 26.5° figure in the last week.
Total RBIs
Coby Mayo logo
Coby Mayo o0.5 Total RBIs (+189)
Projection 0.55
Best Odds
Pick made: 21 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Coby Mayo ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Coby Mayo will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Coby Mayo pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Over the last 7 days, Coby Mayo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.1% up to 25%.
Total RBIs
Francisco Lindor logo
Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (+207)
Projection 0.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. Francisco Lindor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

52% picking Baltimore

52%
48%

Total PicksBAL 80, NYM 75

Moneyline
BAL
NYM
Moneyline
Total

62% picking Baltimore vs NY Mets to go Over

62%
38%

Total PicksBAL 74, NYM 46

Total
Over
Under

BAL @ NYM · Props

GAME & PLAYER PROPS PROJECTIONS ANALYSIS BEST ODDS
TOTAL
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail New York Mets image thumbnail
Over 8.0 Total
8.86 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
9.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail New York Mets image thumbnail
Over 8.0 Total

PROJECTION

8.86 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
9.85% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o7.5 -125
Hard Rock Bet logo
SPREAD
New York Mets image thumbnail
NYM +1.5 spread
-0.42 PROJECTION
-1.9 DIFFERENCE
6.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
New York Mets image thumbnail
NYM +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

-0.42 PROJECTION
-1.9 DIFFERENCE
6.28% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-1.5 +165
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Leody Taveras logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
L. Taveras (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Leody Taveras logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
L. Taveras (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.1% EV

ANALYSIS

Leody Taveras is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Citi Field grades out as the #28 field in baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will bat from his worse side (0) today against Sean Manaea... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Manaea's large platoon split.

u0.5 +120
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Jackson Holliday logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Holliday (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jackson Holliday logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Holliday (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.3% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field projects as the #28 ballpark in MLB for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Sean Manaea will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jackson Holliday in today's game... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Manaea's large platoon split.. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Holliday in today's game.

u0.5 +150
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.89 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.89 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.24% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field projects as the #28 ballpark in MLB for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Juan Soto's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 98.7-mph mark last season has dropped off to 95.5-mph.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 15.5°, Juan Soto has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (9.3°) over the last two weeks.

u0.5 +160
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Coby Mayo logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Mayo (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Coby Mayo logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Mayo (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.02% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field grades out as the #28 field in baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Coby Mayo in today's game.. Sporting a .208 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Coby Mayo has performed in the 7th percentile.

u0.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Jackson (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Jackson (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.3% EV

ANALYSIS

Jeremiah Jackson is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.. Citi Field grades out as the #28 field in baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jeremiah Jackson in today's game.

u0.5 +120
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Jared Young logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Young (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Young logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Young (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.3% EV

ANALYSIS

19% of the time that Jared Young has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pinch hit for.. Citi Field projects as the #28 ballpark in MLB for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Jared Young's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, going from 15.9% on the season to 7.4% over the past two weeks.

u0.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
M. Semien (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
M. Semien (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.17% EV

ANALYSIS

Marcus Semien's BABIP skill is projected in the 21st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Marcus Semien is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.. Citi Field grades out as the #28 field in baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.

u0.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Pete Alonso logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
P. Alonso (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pete Alonso logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
P. Alonso (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.62% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field grades out as the #28 field in baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.. Pete Alonso's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 93.9-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 91.6-mph in the past 14 days.

u0.5 +182
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Christian Encarnacion-Strand logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Encarnacion-Strand (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Christian Encarnacion-Strand logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Encarnacion-Strand (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.4% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field grades out as the #28 field in baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Christian Encarnacion-Strand in today's matchup.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 16.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 10% over the past week.

u0.5 +140
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Carlos Narvaez logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Carlos Narvaez logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.46% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Because of Sean Manaea's large platoon split, Carlos Narvaez will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Carlos Narvaez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 13.8% to 20.7%.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Carlos Narvaez's true offensive talent to be a .285, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .064 difference between that mark and his actual .221 wOBA.. This year, Carlos Narvaez has an average exit velocity of 90.2 mph, which ranks among the best in MLB at the 78th percentile.

o0.5 +107
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Bichette (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-6.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Bichette (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-6.65% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field grades out as the #28 field in baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Shane Baz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette in today's game.. Bo Bichette has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 6.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

u0.5 +182
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Baty (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Baty (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.87% EV

ANALYSIS

Brett Baty is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today's game.. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Brett Baty has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 27% of the time.. Citi Field projects as the #28 ballpark in MLB for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.

u0.5 +100
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Francisco Lindor logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
F. Lindor (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Francisco Lindor logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
F. Lindor (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.9% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field projects as the #28 ballpark in MLB for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Francisco Lindor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 16% to 10.4%.. Francisco Lindor has recorded a .250 BABIP this year, grading out in the 7th percentile.

u0.5 +160
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
A. Ewing (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-10.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
A. Ewing (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-10.04% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects A.J. Ewing as the 8th-best batter in MLB when assessing his BABIP talent.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, A.J. Ewing will have an edge in today's matchup.. A.J. Ewing has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. A.J. Ewing will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

o0.5 -165
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
C. Benge (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-13.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
C. Benge (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-13.13% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Carson Benge is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Carson Benge will have the upper hand in today's game.. Carson Benge has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.

o0.5 -190
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Pete Alonso logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
P. Alonso (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
13.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Pete Alonso logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
P. Alonso (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
13.22% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best hitter in MLB.. Pete Alonso is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Pete Alonso will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today... and even better, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.7°, Pete Alonso has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 26.5° figure in the last week.

o1.5 +121
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Christian Encarnacion-Strand logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Encarnacion-Strand (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Christian Encarnacion-Strand logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Encarnacion-Strand (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.96% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run talent, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. In the last 7 days, Christian Encarnacion-Strand's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.9%.

o1.5 +159
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Rece Hinds logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
R. Hinds (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.68 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Rece Hinds logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
R. Hinds (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.68 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.42% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rece Hinds in the 17th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Rece Hinds is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today's game.. Citi Field grades out as the #28 field in baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.

u1.5 -260
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Coby Mayo logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Mayo (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Coby Mayo logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Mayo (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.07% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run ability, Coby Mayo ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Coby Mayo will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Coby Mayo pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Over the last 7 days, Coby Mayo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.1% up to 25%.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Soto (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Soto (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's matchup.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Francisco Lindor logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
F. Lindor (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Francisco Lindor logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
F. Lindor (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.83% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. Francisco Lindor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Carlos Narvaez logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Narvaez (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Carlos Narvaez logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Narvaez (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.18% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Because of Sean Manaea's large platoon split, Carlos Narvaez will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Carlos Narvaez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 13.8% to 20.7%.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Carlos Narvaez's true offensive talent to be a .285, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .064 difference between that mark and his actual .221 wOBA.. This year, Carlos Narvaez has an average exit velocity of 90.2 mph, which ranks among the best in MLB at the 78th percentile.

o1.5 +300
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Bichette (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-0% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Bichette (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-0% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his batting average talent, Bo Bichette is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bo Bichette is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
A. Ewing (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
A. Ewing (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects A.J. Ewing as the 8th-best batter in MLB when assessing his BABIP talent.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, A.J. Ewing will have an edge in today's matchup.. A.J. Ewing has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team playing today.. A.J. Ewing will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 +190
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
C. Benge (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
C. Benge (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.82% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Carson Benge is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Carson Benge will have the upper hand in today's game.. Carson Benge has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.

o1.5 +160
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Jackson (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.79 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Jackson (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Considering Sean Manaea's large platoon split, Jeremiah Jackson will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

o1.5 +200
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
M. Semien (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.83 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
M. Semien (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (39% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today's game.. Compared to his seasonal average of 19°, Marcus Semien has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 26.7° angle over the past two weeks.. Despite posting a .278 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Marcus Semien has had bad variance on his side given the .038 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .316.

o1.5 +190
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Jared Young logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Young (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.79 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jared Young logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Young (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Jared Young is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Jared Young will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Baz today.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. Jared Young will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 +172
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Baty (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.69 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Baty (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.69 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run skill, Brett Baty ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Baz today.. Brett Baty has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. Brett Baty will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

o1.5 +240
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Jackson (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Jackson (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.68% EV

ANALYSIS

Jeremiah Jackson is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jeremiah Jackson in today's game.. Jeremiah Jackson's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 94.9-mph figure last season has lowered to 91.9-mph.

u0.5 -1000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Francisco Lindor logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
F. Lindor (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Francisco Lindor logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
F. Lindor (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.47% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Francisco Lindor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 16% to 10.4%.

u0.5 -700
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.21 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.21 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.69% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Juan Soto's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 98.7-mph mark last season has dropped off to 95.5-mph.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 15.5°, Juan Soto has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (9.3°) over the last two weeks.

u0.5 -500
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Leody Taveras logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
L. Taveras (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Leody Taveras logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
L. Taveras (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.82% EV

ANALYSIS

Leody Taveras is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will bat from his worse side (0) today against Sean Manaea... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Manaea's large platoon split.. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Leody Taveras in today's matchup.

u0.5 -1600
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Bichette (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Bichette (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.82% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Shane Baz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette in today's game.. Bo Bichette has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 6.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week's worth of games.. Bo Bichette's launch angle lately (-0.3° in the past week) is considerably lower than his 8.3° seasonal mark.

u0.5 -1600
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jackson Holliday logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Holliday (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jackson Holliday logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Holliday (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.82% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Sean Manaea will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jackson Holliday in today's game... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Manaea's large platoon split.. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Holliday in today's game.. Jackson Holliday has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last week.

u0.5 -1600
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
M. Semien (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
M. Semien (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.69% EV

ANALYSIS

Marcus Semien is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Shane Baz will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Semien in today's game.. This year, the hardest ball Marcus Semien has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 107.5 mph (a reliable stat to assess power), ranking in the 7th percentile.

u0.5 -1400
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Pete Alonso logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
P. Alonso (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pete Alonso logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
P. Alonso (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.97% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best hitter in MLB.. Pete Alonso is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Pete Alonso will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today... and even better, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.7°, Pete Alonso has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 26.5° figure in the last week.

o0.5 +320
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Christian Encarnacion-Strand logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Encarnacion-Strand (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.20 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-10.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Christian Encarnacion-Strand logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Encarnacion-Strand (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.20 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-10.78% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run talent, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. In the last 7 days, Christian Encarnacion-Strand's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.9%.

o0.5 +475
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Coby Mayo logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Mayo (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.21 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-11.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Coby Mayo logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Mayo (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.21 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-11.7% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run ability, Coby Mayo ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Coby Mayo will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Coby Mayo pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Over the last 7 days, Coby Mayo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.1% up to 25%.

o0.5 +400
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jared Young logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Young (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-21.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Young logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Young (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-21.4% EV

ANALYSIS

Jared Young is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Jared Young will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Baz today.. Jared Young will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.. In the past 7 days, Jared Young's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.3% up to 13.3%.

o0.5 +700
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
C. Benge (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-23.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
C. Benge (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-23.53% EV

ANALYSIS

Carson Benge is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Carson Benge will have the upper hand in today's game.. Carson Benge has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Carson Benge will hold that advantage today.. Over the past 7 days, Carson Benge's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.3-mph over the course of the season to 105.2-mph lately.

o0.5 +850
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Baty (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-24.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Baty (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-24.8% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run skill, Brett Baty ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Baz today.. Brett Baty has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brett Baty will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Brett Baty has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10.3% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week's worth of games.

o0.5 +850
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
A. Ewing (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
A. Ewing (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, A.J. Ewing ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, A.J. Ewing will have an edge in today's matchup.. A.J. Ewing has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. A.J. Ewing will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.. A.J. Ewing has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 92.3-mph.

o0.5 +950
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Rece Hinds logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
R. Hinds (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Rece Hinds logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
R. Hinds (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Rece Hinds will have the handedness advantage over Sean Manaea in today's game... and even better, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Rece Hinds has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .199 rate is quite a bit lower than his .229 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Utilizing Statcast data, Rece Hinds grades out in the 83rd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 26.000.

o0.5 +650
bet365 logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Sean Manaea logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
S. Manaea (SP) 6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
6.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Sean Manaea logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
S. Manaea (SP) 6.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

6.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.54% EV

ANALYSIS

It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Mark Ripperger) calling pitches in today's game.. The Baltimore Orioles have 7 bats in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today, which is especially problematic given his large platoon split.. Sean Manaea has used his slider 5.2% less often this year (29.7%) than he did last year (34.9%).. Among all SPs, Sean Manaea's fastball spin rate of 2052 rpm ranks in the 3rd percentile this year.

u6.5 -127
DraftKings logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Shane Baz logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
S. Baz (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
4.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-13.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Shane Baz logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
S. Baz (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

4.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-13.55% EV

ANALYSIS

Shane Baz has averaged 96.8 adjusted pitches per GS this year, placing in the 97th percentile.. Citi Field projects as the #9 field in MLB for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Shane Baz has relied on his curveball 5.9% more often this season (32.8%) than he did last season (26.9%).

o4.5 -128
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Christian Encarnacion-Strand logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Encarnacion-Strand (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Christian Encarnacion-Strand logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Encarnacion-Strand (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.86% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run talent, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. In the last 7 days, Christian Encarnacion-Strand's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.9%.

o0.5 +208
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.28% EV

ANALYSIS

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's matchup.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team playing today.

o0.5 +210
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Bichette (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
14.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Bichette (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
14.29% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his batting average talent, Bo Bichette is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bo Bichette is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +212
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Pete Alonso logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
P. Alonso (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Pete Alonso logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
P. Alonso (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.3% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best hitter in MLB.. Pete Alonso is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Pete Alonso will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today... and even better, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.7°, Pete Alonso has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 26.5° figure in the last week.

o0.5 +174
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Coby Mayo logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Mayo (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Coby Mayo logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Mayo (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.59% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run ability, Coby Mayo ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Coby Mayo will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Coby Mayo pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Over the last 7 days, Coby Mayo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.1% up to 25%.

o0.5 +189
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Francisco Lindor logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
F. Lindor (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
11.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Francisco Lindor logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
F. Lindor (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
11.4% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. Francisco Lindor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +215
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
M. Semien (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
M. Semien (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.77% EV

ANALYSIS

Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (39% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team playing today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today's game.. Compared to his seasonal average of 19°, Marcus Semien has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 26.7° angle over the past two weeks.. Despite posting a .278 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Marcus Semien has had bad variance on his side given the .038 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .316.

o0.5 +220
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Jackson (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Jackson (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.41% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Considering Sean Manaea's large platoon split, Jeremiah Jackson will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

o0.5 +285
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
C. Benge (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
C. Benge (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.44% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Carson Benge is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Carson Benge will have the upper hand in today's game.. Carson Benge has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.

o0.5 +203
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Gunnar Henderson logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
G. Henderson (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Gunnar Henderson logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
G. Henderson (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.03% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gunnar Henderson can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.. Gunnar Henderson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 10.7% to 15.1%.

o0.5 +232
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Leody Taveras logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
L. Taveras (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Leody Taveras logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
L. Taveras (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.49% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Leody Taveras's launch angle recently (43.5° over the past 7 days) is considerably higher than his 16.1° seasonal angle.

o0.5 +300
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Baty (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Baty (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.19% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run skill, Brett Baty ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Baz today.. Brett Baty has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. Brett Baty will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +260
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jared Young logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Young (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jared Young logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Young (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.9% EV

ANALYSIS

Jared Young is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Jared Young will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Baz today.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. Jared Young will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

o0.5 +210
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Rece Hinds logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
R. Hinds (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-8.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Rece Hinds logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
R. Hinds (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-8.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rece Hinds in the 17th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Rece Hinds is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today's game.. Citi Field grades out as the #28 field in baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.

u0.5 -320
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Christian Encarnacion-Strand logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Encarnacion-Strand (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
12.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Christian Encarnacion-Strand logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Encarnacion-Strand (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
12.8% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run talent, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. In the last 7 days, Christian Encarnacion-Strand's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.9%.

o1.5 +117
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Pete Alonso logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
P. Alonso (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.28 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Pete Alonso logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
P. Alonso (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.28 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.95% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best hitter in MLB.. Pete Alonso is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Pete Alonso will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today... and even better, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.7°, Pete Alonso has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 26.5° figure in the last week.

o1.5 -110
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Soto (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.32 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Soto (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.32 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.87% EV

ANALYSIS

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's matchup.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team playing today.

o1.5 -115
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Francisco Lindor logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
F. Lindor (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.13 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
10.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Francisco Lindor logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
F. Lindor (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.13 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
10.44% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. Francisco Lindor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o1.5 -110
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Bichette (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
9.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Bichette (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
9.21% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his batting average talent, Bo Bichette is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bo Bichette is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 -111
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Coby Mayo logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Mayo (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Coby Mayo logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Mayo (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.18% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run ability, Coby Mayo ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Coby Mayo will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Coby Mayo pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Over the last 7 days, Coby Mayo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.1% up to 25%.

o1.5 +114
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Jackson (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Jackson (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.36% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Considering Sean Manaea's large platoon split, Jeremiah Jackson will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

o1.5 +155
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
M. Semien (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
M. Semien (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.96% EV

ANALYSIS

Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (39% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team playing today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +120
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Leody Taveras logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
L. Taveras (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Leody Taveras logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
L. Taveras (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.81% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Leody Taveras's launch angle recently (43.5° over the past 7 days) is considerably higher than his 16.1° seasonal angle.

o1.5 +155
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
A. Ewing (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
A. Ewing (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.49% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects A.J. Ewing as the 8th-best batter in MLB when assessing his BABIP talent.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, A.J. Ewing will have an edge in today's matchup.. A.J. Ewing has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. A.J. Ewing will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 +114
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jared Young logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Young (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jared Young logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Young (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.93% EV

ANALYSIS

Jared Young is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Jared Young will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Baz today.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team playing today.. Jared Young will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 +112
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Rece Hinds logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
R. Hinds (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Rece Hinds logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
R. Hinds (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.35% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Rece Hinds will have the handedness advantage over Sean Manaea in today's game... and even better, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Rece Hinds has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .199 rate is quite a bit lower than his .229 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o1.5 +190
bet365 logo
  • Proj. Diff: Low to High
  • Proj. Diff: High to Low
  • Proj. Rating: Low to High
  • Proj. Rating: High to Low
  • +EV: Low to High
  • +EV: High to Low
TOTAL
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail New York Mets image thumbnail
Over 8.0 Total
8.86 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
9.85% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail New York Mets image thumbnail
Over 8.0 Total

PROJECTION

8.86 PROJECTION
+0.9 DIFFERENCE
9.85% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

o7.5 -125
Hard Rock Bet logo
SPREAD
New York Mets image thumbnail
NYM +1.5 spread
-0.42 PROJECTION
-1.9 DIFFERENCE
6.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
New York Mets image thumbnail
NYM +1.5 spread

PROJECTION

-0.42 PROJECTION
-1.9 DIFFERENCE
6.28% EV

ANALYSIS

There is no analysis available at the moment. Please check back later.

-1.5 +165
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Leody Taveras logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
L. Taveras (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.1% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Leody Taveras logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
L. Taveras (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.1% EV

ANALYSIS

Leody Taveras is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Citi Field grades out as the #28 field in baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will bat from his worse side (0) today against Sean Manaea... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Manaea's large platoon split.

u0.5 +120
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Jackson Holliday logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Holliday (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jackson Holliday logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Holliday (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
3.3% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field projects as the #28 ballpark in MLB for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Sean Manaea will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jackson Holliday in today's game... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Manaea's large platoon split.. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Holliday in today's game.

u0.5 +150
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.89 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.24% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.89 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
2.24% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field projects as the #28 ballpark in MLB for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Juan Soto's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 98.7-mph mark last season has dropped off to 95.5-mph.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 15.5°, Juan Soto has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (9.3°) over the last two weeks.

u0.5 +160
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Coby Mayo logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Mayo (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.02% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Coby Mayo logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Mayo (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.77 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
2.02% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field grades out as the #28 field in baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Coby Mayo in today's game.. Sporting a .208 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Coby Mayo has performed in the 7th percentile.

u0.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Jackson (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Jackson (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.3% EV

ANALYSIS

Jeremiah Jackson is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.. Citi Field grades out as the #28 field in baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jeremiah Jackson in today's game.

u0.5 +120
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL HITS
Jared Young logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Young (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Young logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Young (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.3% EV

ANALYSIS

19% of the time that Jared Young has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pinch hit for.. Citi Field projects as the #28 ballpark in MLB for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Jared Young's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, going from 15.9% on the season to 7.4% over the past two weeks.

u0.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
M. Semien (2B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.17% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
M. Semien (2B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
0.17% EV

ANALYSIS

Marcus Semien's BABIP skill is projected in the 21st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Marcus Semien is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.. Citi Field grades out as the #28 field in baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.

u0.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Pete Alonso logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
P. Alonso (1B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.62% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pete Alonso logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
P. Alonso (1B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-0.62% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field grades out as the #28 field in baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.. Pete Alonso's average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 93.9-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 91.6-mph in the past 14 days.

u0.5 +182
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
Christian Encarnacion-Strand logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Encarnacion-Strand (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Christian Encarnacion-Strand logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Encarnacion-Strand (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.87 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.4% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field grades out as the #28 field in baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Christian Encarnacion-Strand in today's matchup.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 16.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 10% over the past week.

u0.5 +140
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Carlos Narvaez logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total Hits
0.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.46% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Carlos Narvaez logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Narvaez (C) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.63 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-6.46% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Because of Sean Manaea's large platoon split, Carlos Narvaez will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Carlos Narvaez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 13.8% to 20.7%.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Carlos Narvaez's true offensive talent to be a .285, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .064 difference between that mark and his actual .221 wOBA.. This year, Carlos Narvaez has an average exit velocity of 90.2 mph, which ranks among the best in MLB at the 78th percentile.

o0.5 +107
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Bichette (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
1.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-6.65% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Bichette (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

1.07 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
-6.65% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field grades out as the #28 field in baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Shane Baz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette in today's game.. Bo Bichette has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 6.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week's worth of games.

u0.5 +182
DraftKings logo
TOTAL HITS
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Baty (3B) 0.5 Total Hits
0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Baty (3B) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.69 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-6.87% EV

ANALYSIS

Brett Baty is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in today's game.. When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Brett Baty has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 27% of the time.. Citi Field projects as the #28 ballpark in MLB for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.

u0.5 +100
BetMGM logo
TOTAL HITS
Francisco Lindor logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
F. Lindor (SS) 0.5 Total Hits
0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Francisco Lindor logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
F. Lindor (SS) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.96 PROJECTION
+0.5 DIFFERENCE
-6.9% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field projects as the #28 ballpark in MLB for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Francisco Lindor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 16% to 10.4%.. Francisco Lindor has recorded a .250 BABIP this year, grading out in the 7th percentile.

u0.5 +160
bet365 logo
TOTAL HITS
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
A. Ewing (CF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-10.04% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
A. Ewing (CF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.86 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-10.04% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects A.J. Ewing as the 8th-best batter in MLB when assessing his BABIP talent.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, A.J. Ewing will have an edge in today's matchup.. A.J. Ewing has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. A.J. Ewing will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

o0.5 -165
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL HITS
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
C. Benge (RF) 0.5 Total Hits
0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-13.13% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
C. Benge (RF) 0.5 Total Hits

PROJECTION

0.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
-13.13% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Carson Benge is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Carson Benge will have the upper hand in today's game.. Carson Benge has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.

o0.5 -190
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Pete Alonso logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
P. Alonso (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
13.22% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Pete Alonso logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
P. Alonso (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.92 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
13.22% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best hitter in MLB.. Pete Alonso is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Pete Alonso will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today... and even better, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.7°, Pete Alonso has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 26.5° figure in the last week.

o1.5 +121
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Christian Encarnacion-Strand logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Encarnacion-Strand (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Christian Encarnacion-Strand logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Encarnacion-Strand (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.96% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run talent, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. In the last 7 days, Christian Encarnacion-Strand's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.9%.

o1.5 +159
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Rece Hinds logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
R. Hinds (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
0.68 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.42% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Rece Hinds logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
R. Hinds (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.68 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
9.42% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rece Hinds in the 17th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Rece Hinds is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today's game.. Citi Field grades out as the #28 field in baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.

u1.5 -260
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL BASES
Coby Mayo logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Mayo (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.07% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Coby Mayo logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Mayo (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.61 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
9.07% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run ability, Coby Mayo ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Coby Mayo will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Coby Mayo pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Over the last 7 days, Coby Mayo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.1% up to 25%.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Soto (LF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Soto (LF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.68 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
6.41% EV

ANALYSIS

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's matchup.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Francisco Lindor logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
F. Lindor (SS) 1.5 Total Bases
1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.83% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Francisco Lindor logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
F. Lindor (SS) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
5.83% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. Francisco Lindor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
Carlos Narvaez logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Narvaez (C) 1.5 Total Bases
1.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetRivers
Best Odds
Carlos Narvaez logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Narvaez (C) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
4.18% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Because of Sean Manaea's large platoon split, Carlos Narvaez will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Carlos Narvaez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 13.8% to 20.7%.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Carlos Narvaez's true offensive talent to be a .285, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .064 difference between that mark and his actual .221 wOBA.. This year, Carlos Narvaez has an average exit velocity of 90.2 mph, which ranks among the best in MLB at the 78th percentile.

o1.5 +300
BetRivers logo
TOTAL BASES
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Bichette (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
1.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-0% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Bichette (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.53 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
-0% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his batting average talent, Bo Bichette is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bo Bichette is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 +140
bet365 logo
TOTAL BASES
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
A. Ewing (CF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.67% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
A. Ewing (CF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.29 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.67% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects A.J. Ewing as the 8th-best batter in MLB when assessing his BABIP talent.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, A.J. Ewing will have an edge in today's matchup.. A.J. Ewing has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team playing today.. A.J. Ewing will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 +190
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
C. Benge (RF) 1.5 Total Bases
1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
C. Benge (RF) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

1.42 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.82% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Carson Benge is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Carson Benge will have the upper hand in today's game.. Carson Benge has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.

o1.5 +160
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL BASES
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Jackson (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.79 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Jackson (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Considering Sean Manaea's large platoon split, Jeremiah Jackson will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

o1.5 +200
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
M. Semien (2B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.83 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
M. Semien (2B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.83 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (39% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today's game.. Compared to his seasonal average of 19°, Marcus Semien has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 26.7° angle over the past two weeks.. Despite posting a .278 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Marcus Semien has had bad variance on his side given the .038 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .316.

o1.5 +190
BetMGM logo
TOTAL BASES
Jared Young logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Young (1B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.79 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jared Young logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Young (1B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.79 PROJECTION
-0.7 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

Jared Young is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Jared Young will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Baz today.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. Jared Young will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 +172
DraftKings logo
TOTAL BASES
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Baty (3B) 1.5 Total Bases
0.69 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Baty (3B) 1.5 Total Bases

PROJECTION

0.69 PROJECTION
-0.8 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run skill, Brett Baty ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Baz today.. Brett Baty has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. Brett Baty will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

o1.5 +240
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Jackson (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.68% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Jackson (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-4.68% EV

ANALYSIS

Jeremiah Jackson is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jeremiah Jackson in today's game.. Jeremiah Jackson's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 94.9-mph figure last season has lowered to 91.9-mph.

u0.5 -1000
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Francisco Lindor logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
F. Lindor (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.47% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Francisco Lindor logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
F. Lindor (SS) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.15 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.47% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Francisco Lindor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 16% to 10.4%.

u0.5 -700
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.21 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.21 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-5.69% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Juan Soto's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 98.7-mph mark last season has dropped off to 95.5-mph.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 15.5°, Juan Soto has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (9.3°) over the last two weeks.

u0.5 -500
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Leody Taveras logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
L. Taveras (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Leody Taveras logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
L. Taveras (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.82% EV

ANALYSIS

Leody Taveras is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will bat from his worse side (0) today against Sean Manaea... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Manaea's large platoon split.. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Leody Taveras in today's matchup.

u0.5 -1600
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Bichette (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Bichette (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.82% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Shane Baz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bo Bichette in today's game.. Bo Bichette has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 6.6% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week's worth of games.. Bo Bichette's launch angle lately (-0.3° in the past week) is considerably lower than his 8.3° seasonal mark.

u0.5 -1600
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jackson Holliday logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Holliday (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.82% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds theScore Bet
Best Odds
Jackson Holliday logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Holliday (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-5.82% EV

ANALYSIS

Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Sean Manaea will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jackson Holliday in today's game... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Manaea's large platoon split.. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Holliday in today's game.. Jackson Holliday has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 6.6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last week.

u0.5 -1600
theScore Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
M. Semien (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.69% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
M. Semien (2B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-6.69% EV

ANALYSIS

Marcus Semien is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Shane Baz will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Semien in today's game.. This year, the hardest ball Marcus Semien has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 107.5 mph (a reliable stat to assess power), ranking in the 7th percentile.

u0.5 -1400
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Pete Alonso logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
P. Alonso (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.97% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Pete Alonso logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
P. Alonso (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.26 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-7.97% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best hitter in MLB.. Pete Alonso is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Pete Alonso will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today... and even better, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.7°, Pete Alonso has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 26.5° figure in the last week.

o0.5 +320
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Christian Encarnacion-Strand logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Encarnacion-Strand (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.20 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-10.78% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Christian Encarnacion-Strand logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Encarnacion-Strand (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.20 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-10.78% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run talent, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. In the last 7 days, Christian Encarnacion-Strand's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.9%.

o0.5 +475
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Coby Mayo logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Mayo (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.21 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-11.7% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Hard Rock Bet
Best Odds
Coby Mayo logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Mayo (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.21 PROJECTION
-0.3 DIFFERENCE
-11.7% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run ability, Coby Mayo ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Coby Mayo will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Coby Mayo pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Over the last 7 days, Coby Mayo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.1% up to 25%.

o0.5 +400
Hard Rock Bet logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Jared Young logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Young (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-21.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Jared Young logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Young (1B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-21.4% EV

ANALYSIS

Jared Young is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Jared Young will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Baz today.. Jared Young will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.. In the past 7 days, Jared Young's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.3% up to 13.3%.

o0.5 +700
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
C. Benge (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-23.53% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
C. Benge (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.09 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-23.53% EV

ANALYSIS

Carson Benge is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Carson Benge will have the upper hand in today's game.. Carson Benge has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Carson Benge will hold that advantage today.. Over the past 7 days, Carson Benge's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.3-mph over the course of the season to 105.2-mph lately.

o0.5 +850
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Baty (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-24.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Baty (3B) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.10 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-24.8% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run skill, Brett Baty ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Baz today.. Brett Baty has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Brett Baty will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. Brett Baty has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10.3% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week's worth of games.

o0.5 +850
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
A. Ewing (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
A. Ewing (CF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.07 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, A.J. Ewing ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, A.J. Ewing will have an edge in today's matchup.. A.J. Ewing has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. A.J. Ewing will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.. A.J. Ewing has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 92.3-mph.

o0.5 +950
bet365 logo
TOTAL HOME RUNS
Rece Hinds logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
R. Hinds (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs
0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Rece Hinds logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
R. Hinds (RF) 0.5 Total Home Runs

PROJECTION

0.11 PROJECTION
-0.4 DIFFERENCE
-30% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Rece Hinds will have the handedness advantage over Sean Manaea in today's game... and even better, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Rece Hinds has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .199 rate is quite a bit lower than his .229 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Utilizing Statcast data, Rece Hinds grades out in the 83rd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 26.000.

o0.5 +650
bet365 logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Sean Manaea logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
S. Manaea (SP) 6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
6.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.54% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Sean Manaea logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
S. Manaea (SP) 6.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

6.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.54% EV

ANALYSIS

It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Mark Ripperger) calling pitches in today's game.. The Baltimore Orioles have 7 bats in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today, which is especially problematic given his large platoon split.. Sean Manaea has used his slider 5.2% less often this year (29.7%) than he did last year (34.9%).. Among all SPs, Sean Manaea's fastball spin rate of 2052 rpm ranks in the 3rd percentile this year.

u6.5 -127
DraftKings logo
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
Shane Baz logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
S. Baz (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown
4.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-13.55% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds FanDuel
Best Odds
Shane Baz logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
S. Baz (SP) 4.5 Strikeouts Thrown

PROJECTION

4.65 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-13.55% EV

ANALYSIS

Shane Baz has averaged 96.8 adjusted pitches per GS this year, placing in the 97th percentile.. Citi Field projects as the #9 field in MLB for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.. Shane Baz has relied on his curveball 5.9% more often this season (32.8%) than he did last season (26.9%).

o4.5 -128
FanDuel logo
TOTAL RBIS
Christian Encarnacion-Strand logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Encarnacion-Strand (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.86% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Christian Encarnacion-Strand logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Encarnacion-Strand (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.57 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.86% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run talent, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. In the last 7 days, Christian Encarnacion-Strand's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.9%.

o0.5 +208
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.28% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Soto (LF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
15.28% EV

ANALYSIS

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's matchup.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team playing today.

o0.5 +210
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Bichette (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
14.29% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Bichette (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.54 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
14.29% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his batting average talent, Bo Bichette is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bo Bichette is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage today.

o0.5 +212
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Pete Alonso logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
P. Alonso (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.3% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Pete Alonso logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
P. Alonso (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.62 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
13.3% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best hitter in MLB.. Pete Alonso is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Pete Alonso will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today... and even better, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.7°, Pete Alonso has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 26.5° figure in the last week.

o0.5 +174
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Coby Mayo logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Mayo (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.59% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Coby Mayo logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Mayo (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.55 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
12.59% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run ability, Coby Mayo ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Coby Mayo will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Coby Mayo pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Over the last 7 days, Coby Mayo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.1% up to 25%.

o0.5 +189
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Francisco Lindor logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
F. Lindor (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
11.4% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Francisco Lindor logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
F. Lindor (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.50 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
11.4% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. Francisco Lindor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +215
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
M. Semien (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.77% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
M. Semien (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.47 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
8.77% EV

ANALYSIS

Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (39% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team playing today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today's game.. Compared to his seasonal average of 19°, Marcus Semien has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 26.7° angle over the past two weeks.. Despite posting a .278 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Marcus Semien has had bad variance on his side given the .038 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .316.

o0.5 +220
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Jackson (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.41% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds Fanatics Sportsbook
Best Odds
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Jackson (2B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.37 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
8.41% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Considering Sean Manaea's large platoon split, Jeremiah Jackson will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

o0.5 +285
Fanatics Sportsbook logo
TOTAL RBIS
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
C. Benge (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Carson Benge logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
C. Benge (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
6.44% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Carson Benge is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Carson Benge will have the upper hand in today's game.. Carson Benge has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.

o0.5 +203
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Gunnar Henderson logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
G. Henderson (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.03% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Gunnar Henderson logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
G. Henderson (SS) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.40 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
4.03% EV

ANALYSIS

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gunnar Henderson can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.. Gunnar Henderson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 10.7% to 15.1%.

o0.5 +232
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Leody Taveras logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
L. Taveras (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Leody Taveras logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
L. Taveras (CF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.32 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
0.49% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Leody Taveras's launch angle recently (43.5° over the past 7 days) is considerably higher than his 16.1° seasonal angle.

o0.5 +300
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Baty (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.19% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Brett Baty logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Baty (3B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.38 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-1.19% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run skill, Brett Baty ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Baz today.. Brett Baty has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. Brett Baty will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

o0.5 +260
bet365 logo
TOTAL RBIS
Jared Young logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Young (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.9% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jared Young logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Young (1B) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.44 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.9% EV

ANALYSIS

Jared Young is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Jared Young will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Baz today.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. Jared Young will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

o0.5 +210
DraftKings logo
TOTAL RBIS
Rece Hinds logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
R. Hinds (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs
0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-8.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds Caesars
Best Odds
Rece Hinds logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
R. Hinds (RF) 0.5 Total RBIs

PROJECTION

0.34 PROJECTION
-0.2 DIFFERENCE
-8.93% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rece Hinds in the 17th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Rece Hinds is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today's game.. Citi Field grades out as the #28 field in baseball for righty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the best for pitching on the slate today.

u0.5 -320
Caesars logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Christian Encarnacion-Strand logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Encarnacion-Strand (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
12.8% EV
Rating: Star rating: 4 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Christian Encarnacion-Strand logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Encarnacion-Strand (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.94 PROJECTION
+0.4 DIFFERENCE
12.8% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run talent, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. In the last 7 days, Christian Encarnacion-Strand's 40% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.9%.

o1.5 +117
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Pete Alonso logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
P. Alonso (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.28 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.95% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Pete Alonso logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
P. Alonso (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.28 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.95% EV

ANALYSIS

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Pete Alonso ranks as the 15th-best hitter in MLB.. Pete Alonso is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Pete Alonso will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea today... and even better, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.7°, Pete Alonso has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 26.5° figure in the last week.

o1.5 -110
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Soto (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.32 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.87% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Juan Soto logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Soto (LF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.32 PROJECTION
+0.8 DIFFERENCE
11.87% EV

ANALYSIS

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge in today's matchup.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team playing today.

o1.5 -115
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Francisco Lindor logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
F. Lindor (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.13 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
10.44% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Francisco Lindor logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
F. Lindor (SS) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.13 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
10.44% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. Francisco Lindor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

o1.5 -110
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Bichette (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
9.21% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Bo Bichette logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
B. Bichette (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

2.09 PROJECTION
+0.6 DIFFERENCE
9.21% EV

ANALYSIS

When estimating his batting average talent, Bo Bichette is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bo Bichette is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Bo Bichette will hold that advantage today.

o1.5 -111
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Coby Mayo logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Mayo (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.18% EV
Rating: Star rating: 3 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Coby Mayo logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
C. Mayo (3B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.83 PROJECTION
+0.3 DIFFERENCE
9.18% EV

ANALYSIS

When assessing his home run ability, Coby Mayo ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Coby Mayo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Coby Mayo will hold the platoon advantage against Sean Manaea in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Coby Mayo pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Over the last 7 days, Coby Mayo's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.1% up to 25%.

o1.5 +114
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Jackson (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.36% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Jeremiah Jackson logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
J. Jackson (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.51 PROJECTION
0.0 DIFFERENCE
2.36% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Considering Sean Manaea's large platoon split, Jeremiah Jackson will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

o1.5 +155
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
M. Semien (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.96% EV
Rating: Star rating: 2 out of 5
Best odds BetMGM
Best Odds
Marcus Semien logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
M. Semien (2B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.74 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
1.96% EV

ANALYSIS

Marcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (39% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team playing today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today's game.

o1.5 +120
BetMGM logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Leody Taveras logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
L. Taveras (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.81% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Leody Taveras logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
L. Taveras (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.41 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-2.81% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Leody Taveras's launch angle recently (43.5° over the past 7 days) is considerably higher than his 16.1° seasonal angle.

o1.5 +155
bet365 logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
A. Ewing (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.49% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
A.J. Ewing logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
A. Ewing (CF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.64 PROJECTION
+0.1 DIFFERENCE
-3.49% EV

ANALYSIS

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects A.J. Ewing as the 8th-best batter in MLB when assessing his BABIP talent.. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, A.J. Ewing will have an edge in today's matchup.. A.J. Ewing has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the weakest among every team playing today.. A.J. Ewing will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 +114
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Jared Young logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Young (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.93% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds DraftKings
Best Odds
Jared Young logo
New York Mets image thumbnail
J. Young (1B) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.67 PROJECTION
+0.2 DIFFERENCE
-3.93% EV

ANALYSIS

Jared Young is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Jared Young will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Baz today.. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 5th-weakest among every team playing today.. Jared Young will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

o1.5 +112
DraftKings logo
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Rece Hinds logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
R. Hinds (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.35% EV
Rating: Star rating: 1 out of 5
Best odds bet365
Best Odds
Rece Hinds logo
Baltimore Orioles image thumbnail
R. Hinds (RF) 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs

PROJECTION

1.35 PROJECTION
-0.1 DIFFERENCE
-5.35% EV

ANALYSIS

In the league, Citi Field's CF fences are the shallowest.. Rece Hinds will have the handedness advantage over Sean Manaea in today's game... and even better, Manaea has a large platoon split.. Rece Hinds has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .199 rate is quite a bit lower than his .229 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

o1.5 +190
bet365 logo

Top User Picks

More Picks

User Picks

Our user picks are made by you, our valued users - we highlight the best user picks, sharing the users who are on a hot streak.

Moneyline

'MatroxSD' picks Baltimore at (109)

MatroxSD is #10 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (31-28-4) and +9430 units on the season.

Moneyline
BAL
NYM
Moneyline
Total

'MatroxSD' picks Baltimore vs NY Mets to go Over (8.0)

MatroxSD is #10 on picking games that NY Mets are in with a record of (31-28-4) and +9430 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Total

'any007' picks Baltimore vs NY Mets to go Under (8.0)

any007 is #4 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (57-49-5) and +11790 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'any007' picks Baltimore at (109)

any007 is #4 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (57-49-5) and +11790 units on the season.

Moneyline
BAL
NYM
Moneyline
Moneyline

'pittsburghphil' picks NY Mets at (-125)

pittsburghphil is #5 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (76-62-5) and +11675 units on the season.

Moneyline
BAL
NYM
Moneyline
Total

'pittsburghphil' picks Baltimore vs NY Mets to go Over (8.0)

pittsburghphil is #5 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (76-62-5) and +11675 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under
Moneyline

'dispnum1' picks NY Mets at (-131)

dispnum1 is #9 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (74-68-5) and +10145 units on the season.

Moneyline
BAL
NYM
Moneyline
Total

'dispnum1' picks Baltimore vs NY Mets to go Under (8.0)

dispnum1 is #9 on picking games that Baltimore is in with a record of (74-68-5) and +10145 units on the season.

Total
Over
Under

Pages Related to This Topic