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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 11, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.04 |
-112 
|
o6.5 -137
|
-1.5 +152
|
|
3.57 |
+104 
|
u7.0 -105
|
+1.5 -175 
|
Pittsburgh
- Over is 5-0 in Skenes' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Miami
- Under is 10-1 in Marlins last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.25 |
+109
|
o8.5 -107
|
+1.5 -190 
|
|
4.57 |
-120
|
u8.5 -103
|
-1.5 +165
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-1 in Guardians last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 overall.
Detroit
- Over is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 home games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
o0.5 +170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.78 |
-161
|
o9.0 -105
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
3.99 |
+146
|
u9.5 -131
|
+1.5 -115 
|
Chi. Cubs
- Under is 6-0 in Imanagas last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 games as a road favorite.
Washington
- Under is 6-0 in Nationals last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Nationals last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Nationals last 8 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.50 |
+114
|
o8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
5.38 |
-126
|
u8.5 -118
|
-1.5 +160
|
Seattle
- Under is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 games following a loss.
- Over is 5-0 in Woos last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Mariners are 4-0 in Woos last 4 starts as a favorite.
NY Yankees
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 4-0 in Weathers' last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Yankees are 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss.
Top Projection
Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
o1.5 +175
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.86 |
+130
|
o7.0 -115
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.18 |
-142
|
u7.5 -124
|
-1.5 +158
|
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Red Sox last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Blue Jays last 6 home games.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+100)
o1.5 +100
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.14 |
+114
|
o8.5 -107
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
4.85 |
-126
|
u8.5 -103
|
-1.5 +165
|
NY Mets
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 road games.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 games as an underdog.
Atlanta
- Over is 5-0 in Perezs last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Perezs last 5 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Perezs last 4 starts vs. National League East.
- Over is 4-1 in Braves last 5 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Francisco Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
o1.5 +180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.67 |
+101
|
o9.5 -102
|
-1.5 +158
|
|
5.05 |
-112
|
u9.5 -110
|
+1.5 -170 
|
Baltimore
- Over is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Orioles are 7-0 in Youngs last 7 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Orioles are 5-0 in Youngs last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
Minnesota
- Under is 7-0-1 in Twins last 8 during game 2 of a series.
- Twins are 7-0 in Obers last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Twins are 6-0 in Obers last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Obers last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.67 |
+140
|
o8.0 -114
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
4.56 |
-148
|
u8.5 -116
|
-1.5 +140
|
Cincinnati
- Under is 6-0 in Reds last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Reds last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 6-0 in Burkes last 6 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Burkes last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-2 in White Sox last 5 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Burkes last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
o0.5 +221
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.00 |
-161
|
o8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +105
|
|
3.38 |
+146
|
u8.5 -116
|
+1.5 -116
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 6-0 in Phillies last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Phillies last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Phillies last 6 on grass.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Phillies last 7 games vs. a right-handed starter.
St. Louis
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pallantes last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pallantes last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Pallantes last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 8-1 in Pallantes last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+169)
o0.5 +169
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.00 |
-142
|
o9.0 -110
|
-1.5 +115
|
|
4.13 |
+124
|
u9.5 -126
|
+1.5 -131
|
Texas
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Rangers are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Rangers are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
LA Angels
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 8-1 in Angels last 9 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Angels last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 vs. American League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.72 |
-137
|
o7.5 -107
|
-1.5 +129
|
|
4.09 |
+124
|
u7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -142
|
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Brewers are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 road games.
- Brewers are 7-2 in their last 9 vs. National League West.
San Diego
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Padres are 5-0 in Buehlers last 5 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5 +175
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.39 |
+158
|
o9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -131
|
|
5.63 |
-175
|
u9.5 -120
|
-1.5 +125
|
Colorado
- Rockies are 7-0 in Suganos last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Rockies are 8-0 in Suganos last 8 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rockies are 4-0 in Suganos last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Arizona
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Diamondbacks last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 14-5 in Diamondbacks last 19 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.63 |
-160
|
o9.5 -126
|
-1.5 +102
|
|
5.76 |
+140
|
u10.0 -106
|
+1.5 -116
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 8-0 in Martinezs last 8 starts on grass.
- Under is 8-0 in Martinezs last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
Athletics
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1-1 in last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
Top Projection
Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total Home Runs (+353)
o0.5 +375
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.23 |
-183
|
o7.5 -116
|
-1.5 -110
|
|
3.64 |
+168
|
u8.0 -114
|
+1.5 -102
|
Houston
- Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Browns last 4 starts vs. National League West.
- Astros are 4-0 in Browns last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Giants last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-1-2 in Giants last 7 vs. American League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.52 |
+226
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 +105
|
|
5.59 |
-265
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 -118
|
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Wachas last 4 starts vs. National League West.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games as an underdog.
LA Dodgers
- Under is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
- Over is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Orioles are 8-2 in their last 10 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Bazs last 5 starts vs. American League Central.
Minnesota
- Over is 4-0-1 in Matthews' last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Matthews' last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Twins last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
Philadelphia
- Over is 6-0 in Phillies last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-0 in Phillies last 6 games as a favorite.
- Phillies are 7-0 in Wheelers last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 6-0 in Phillies last 6 on grass.
St. Louis
- Under is 8-0 in Leahys last 8 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Leahys last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Leahys last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Leahys last 5 starts as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-191
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+158
|
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League West.
- Rays are 7-0 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Rays last 5 games as a road underdog.
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 games a home underdog.
- Under is 4-1-1 in last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+134
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Rockies are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Feltners last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Arizona
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Kellys last 5 starts vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Kellys last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Kellys last 4 starts as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Astros last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Astros are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
San Francisco
- Over is 6-1 in Giants last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+109
|
-- |
-- |
Milwaukee
- Over is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Brewers last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Brewers last 4 road games.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 4-0 in Padres last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Padres are 9-1 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Guardians last 5 games as a road underdog.
Detroit
- Over is 3-0-2 in Tigers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 home games.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Tigers last 4 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-131
|
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 6-0 in Pirates last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Miami
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 10-1 in Marlins last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-161
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Cubs last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Petersons last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Petersons last 4 starts on grass.
Washington
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Nationals last 8 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
Seattle
- Over is 4-0-1 in Millers last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Mariners last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 during game 2 of a series.
NY Yankees
- Over is 5-0 in Warrens last 5 starts with 6 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Warrens last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-131
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
Boston
- Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Red Sox last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Red Sox last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Suarezs last 5 starts.
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Blue Jays last 6 home games.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+124
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 road games.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 games as an underdog.
Atlanta
- Braves are 9-0 in their last 9 during game 3 of a series.
- Braves are 9-1 in their last 10 home games.
- Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 vs. National League East.
- Braves are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Under is 6-0 in Reds last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Reds last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Lowders last 4 starts as a road underdog.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 6-1-1 in White Sox last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 5-1 in Rangers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Rangers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
LA Angels
- Under is 8-1 in Angels last 9 games as an underdog.
- Under is 7-1 in Angels last 8 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+173
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-219
|
-- |
-- |
Kansas City
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 5-0 in Royals last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Lynch IVs last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 6-0 in Lynch IVs last 6 interleague starts.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Dodgers last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as an underdog.
PIT
@
MIA
Tue, Aug 11 • 6:40 PM ET
Moneyline
MIA (+101)
Jon Metler
Betting Analyst
This is not the same Paul Skenes we've seen over the last two seasons. His fastball has lost some velocity, down 2 mph from his rookie season, and the way the Marlins are constructing this lineup takes away one of his biggest weapons: his slider, which is devastating on the outer half of the plate against right-handed bats. Miami is expected to stack the lineup with six left-handed bats. Otto Lopez and Xavier Edwards at the top of the order are also low-strikeout hitters who work counts and put the ball in play. Skenes has struggled to work deep into games lately, rarely making it to the sixth inning, and the Marlins have the lineup construction to drive up his pitch count and force an early exit. Polymarket has Miami trading at 50 cents, but I make them closer to 54 cents, which is why I'm backing the Marlins.
Total Bases
Heriberto Hernandez u1.5 Total Bases (-260)
Projection 0.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Heriberto Hernandez is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Paul Skenes will have the handedness advantage over Heriberto Hernandez today.. Heriberto Hernandez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (44.9% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.
CLE
@
DET
Tue, Aug 11 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Spencer Torkelson will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Riley Greene is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. Batting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Riley Greene will have an advantage in today's game.. Riley Greene will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
CHC
@
WAS
Tue, Aug 11 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Hits
Andres Chaparro u0.5 Total Hits (+130)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Total Hits
Nasim Nunez u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nasim Nunez in the 9th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Nasim Nunez is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today's game.. Out of every team in action today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs.
SEA
@
NYY
Tue, Aug 11 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Spencer Jones u1.5 Total Bases (-230)
Projection 0.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Total Home Runs
Taylor Ward o0.5 Total Home Runs (+575)
Projection 0.19
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today's game.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Taylor Ward will have an edge in today's game.
BOS
@
TOR
Tue, Aug 11 • 7:07 PM ET
Total Bases
Alejandro Kirk u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.97
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Kazuma Okamoto o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.05
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Kazuma Okamoto ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kazuma Okamoto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. Because of Patrick Sandoval's large platoon split, Kazuma Okamoto will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Kazuma Okamoto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
NYM
@
ATL
Tue, Aug 11 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Francisco Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.79
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run skill, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Francisco Alvarez is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Francisco Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage against Martin Perez in today's game.. Francisco Alvarez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2.12
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Martin Perez today.
BAL
@
MIN
Tue, Aug 11 • 7:40 PM ET
Total
u9.5 (-114)
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor
Play to -125. The Orioles are 21st in OPS since the All-Star break, while the Twins are 27th. Minnesota starter Bailey Ober's big weakness is inducing strikeouts (10th percentile), but Baltimore loves to go fishing (24%). Brandon Young is due for regression based on xERA, but the Twins are not the team that will bring it. Furthermore, these bullpens are both Top 10 by xERA over the last 30 days.
Total Bases
Jackson Holliday o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Jackson Holliday is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Ober throws from, Jackson Holliday will have an advantage in today's game.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams playing today.
CIN
@
CHW
Tue, Aug 11 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Brenton Doyle u0.5 Total Hits (+135)
Projection 0.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Total Bases
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.88
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Sal Stewart is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report projects the 2nd-highest humidity of all games today at 87%.. Sal Stewart has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.
PHI
@
STL
Tue, Aug 11 • 7:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Trea Turner hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs
Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 96°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand today.
TEX
@
LAA
Tue, Aug 11 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total RBIs
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 7th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Cody Bradford throws from, Mike Trout will have the upper hand today.. Mike Trout will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
MIL
@
SD
Tue, Aug 11 • 9:40 PM ET
Moneyline
MIL (-135)
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor
Play to -150. Walker Buehler has an ERA north of 5.00 due in part to his pitiful chase rate (10th percentile) and whiff rate (11th percentile). Unfortunately for him, the Brewers offense is Top 5 in both areas. Milwaukee is also 11th in OPS since the All-Star break. Buehler's opposite number, southpaw Kyle Harrison, figures to give the Padres fits based on their season-long OPS vs. lefties (.672, 27th).
Total Bases
Ty France u1.5 Total Bases (-220)
Projection 0.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most favorable for pitching of all games today.. Ty France has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and will be challenged by the game's 6th-deepest RF fences in today's game.
COL
@
AZ
Tue, Aug 11 • 9:40 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Mitch Bratt o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+128)
Projection 4.71
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Colorado Rockies have 4 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Connor Norby, Jordan Beck, Hunter Goodman, Ezequiel Tovar).. Doug Eddings profiles as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be behind the plate today.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-lowest humidity of all games on the slate today at 40%.. Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Mitch Bratt will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today's matchup.. Lars Nootbaar will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
TB
@
ATH
Tue, Aug 11 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total Home Runs (+395)
Projection 0.28
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Tyler Soderstrom is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Tyler Soderstrom will have an advantage in today's game.
Total Home Runs
Jeff McNeil o0.5 Total Home Runs (+720)
Projection 0.14
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jeff McNeil has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (93% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather forecast predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 96°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 16.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.. Jeff McNeil will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez in today's matchup.. Jeff McNeil will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
HOU
@
SF
Tue, Aug 11 • 9:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand today.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Rafael Devers will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Isaac Paredes o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.62
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Carson Whisenhunt throws from, Isaac Paredes will have an advantage in today's game.. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.
KC
@
LAD
Tue, Aug 11 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (-118)
Projection 2.28
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the majors.. Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have the upper hand today.. Shohei Ohtani is certain to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the entire game since none of the available options for the Kansas City Royals share his handedness.. Shohei Ohtani will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Freddie Freeman o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-145)
Projection 2.37
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 12th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average ability.. Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Freddie Freeman will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Wacha in today's matchup.. Freddie Freeman is certain to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game as none of the available options for the Kansas City Royals share his handedness.. Freddie Freeman will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.
STL
@
CIN
Mon, Aug 17 • 1:40 PM ET
Total Bases
JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.
Total RBIs
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+153)
Projection 0.67
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #1 field in MLB for boosting home runs to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy link with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-least humidity on the slate today at 89%.. Because of Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Nolan Gorman will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
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Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
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MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
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