Baltimore @ Texas Picks & Props

The #3 venue in baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. In the majors, Globe Life Field's centerfield dimensions are the 7th-deepest. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -12° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.

Cedric Mullins will have the handedness advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Cedric Mullins usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi. Cedric Mullins has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89-mph to 95.5-mph over the past 7 days. Cedric Mullins's launch angle this season (24.7°) is significantly higher than his 21.5° angle last season.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Colton Cowser's BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Colton Cowser will have an advantage in today's game. In the past week, Colton Cowser's 58.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.3%. Placing in the 78th percentile, Colton Cowser sports a .333 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Ezequiel Duran's BABIP skill is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ezequiel Duran will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sam Haggerty in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Sam Haggerty will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Sam Haggerty has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.5-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 92-mph. Sam Haggerty has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .231 BA is considerably lower than his .267 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Gary Sanchez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Gary Sanchez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.3-mph average to last year's 90-mph average. Gary Sanchez has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102.7-mph average over the past week to his seasonal figure of 95.3-mph.

Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 44.3% to 49.3%. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Josh Jung has had bad variance on his side this year. His .284 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .312.

Ramon Laureano's BABIP ability is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Ramon Laureano has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 11.5% seasonal rate to 20% over the last 7 days. Over the last week, Ramon Laureano's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.1-mph over the course of the season to 107.2-mph lately. Ramon Laureano has posted a .369 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 91st percentile.

Ramon Urias has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 6.5% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past 7 days. Ramon Urias has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.1-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 93-mph. Ramon Urias's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, going from 45.3% on the season to 66.7% in the past week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an advantage in today's matchup. Ryan O'Hearn has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.2-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91-mph figure. Ryan O'Hearn's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 40.8% to 47.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jackson Holliday is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Jackson Holliday will have the handedness advantage over Nathan Eovaldi in today's game. Jackson Holliday has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11.5% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the past 14 days. Jackson Holliday has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 95.6-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage over Nathan Eovaldi today. Gunnar Henderson has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98.2-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 92.9-mph average. Gunnar Henderson has been unlucky this year, notching a .342 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .362 — a .020 discrepancy.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today's game. Jonah Heim has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 88.8-mph EV. Compared to last season, Jonah Heim has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 38.4% to 43.9% this season. In the past 14 days, Jonah Heim's 55.2% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.9%.

Josh Smith is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Josh Smith will have an advantage in today's matchup. Josh Smith is likely to have an edge against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Baltimore Orioles only has 1 same-handed RP. Josh Smith will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. With a .279 batting average this year, Josh Smith finds himself in the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's game. Adolis Garcia has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.1-mph average to last year's 91-mph EV. Adolis Garcia's launch angle this season (20.2°) is quite a bit higher than his 14.8° figure last season.

Alejandro Osuna is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Alejandro Osuna will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alejandro Osuna stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Alejandro Osuna will hold that advantage today. Alejandro Osuna has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.4% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last two weeks.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Marcus Semien ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage today. Marcus Semien has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 8.1% seasonal rate to 15.8% over the past week. Marcus Semien has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.3-mph to 91.2-mph over the last week.

Evan Carter has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.