San Diego @ Philadelphia props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Otto Kemp will hold that advantage today. Otto Kemp has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 6.1% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the past 14 days.

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. Elias Diaz's launch angle this season (17°) is quite a bit better than his 7.3° figure last season. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.9°, Elias Diaz has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 28.5° angle in the last week's worth of games.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Cronenworth has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Jake Cronenworth has made notable gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 7.4% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the last 14 days. Jake Cronenworth has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 94.7-mph over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage against Dylan Cease in today's matchup. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Bryson Stott's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 16.2% to 20.9%.

Max Kepler is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage over Dylan Cease in today's game. Max Kepler will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. The Barrel% of Max Kepler has significantly improved, with an increase from 6.2% last year to 12.8% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average ability. Luis Arraez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. Luis Arraez has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. In the past two weeks, Luis Arraez has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 24.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 11.8°.

Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Gavin Sheets has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.7-mph average to last year's 90.8-mph average. Gavin Sheets's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, rising from 45.5% on the season to 56.3% over the last 7 days. In notching a .341 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Gavin Sheets grades out in the 78th percentile for offensive ability.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Bryce Harper will have the handedness advantage over Dylan Cease in today's game. Bryce Harper has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Bryce Harper will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have an edge in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today.

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. J.T. Realmuto has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 96.8-mph over the last week. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates J.T. Realmuto's true offensive skill to be a .329, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .037 gap between that mark and his actual .292 wOBA.

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will have an edge in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Jackson Merrill is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Jackson Merrill has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Jackson Merrill's launch angle lately (26.5° in the last two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 14° seasonal mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 10th-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his batting average talent. Trea Turner is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. Trea Turner will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Trea Turner has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.6-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 90.9-mph.

Jose Iglesias's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. Jose Iglesias will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Despite posting a .253 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jose Iglesias has had bad variance on his side given the .028 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .281.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best batter in the league. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage in today's game.

Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball. Edmundo Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 39.5% to 48.9%. Ranking in the 96th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.4 ft/sec this year, Edmundo Sosa is notably quick. Ranking in the 87th percentile, Edmundo Sosa has posted a .323 BABIP since the start of last season.

Manny Machado's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Manny Machado will have the upper hand in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today.

Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Martin Maldonado will have an edge in today's matchup. Martin Maldonado pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among every team in action today. Martin Maldonado's 93.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to assess power) ranks in the 76th percentile since the start of last season.

Alec Bohm's batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Alec Bohm is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. Alec Bohm will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Alec Bohm ranks in the 86th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .282.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Dylan Cease in today's game. Brandon Marsh has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage in today's game. Brandon Marsh has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 93.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Homers are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. Nick Castellanos will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Nick Castellanos has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 10% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week.

Bryce Johnson has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.