Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 25, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
ATH
@
TEX
Sat, Apr 25 • 7:05 PM ET
PIT
@
MIL
Sat, Apr 25 • 7:10 PM ET
u8.5 (-133)
While I expect the Brewers to get to Keller, I am not expecting a high-run output. Milwaukee ranks fourth-worst in both ISO and xwOBA, and third-worst in xwOBAcon.
The Brewers have made up for that by drawing walks and ranking fifth in generating runs on the basepaths. Even so, I can’t see them posting a big number.
Misiorowski’s biggest issue has been home runs, but the Pirates rank just 20th in ISO.
Both bullpens rank in the top half of the league in xFIP and are rested after yesterday’s game. They’ll limit damage in the late innings to push this total Under.
MIL (-134)
Jacob Misiorowski has shown some nasty stuff to start the season.
He ranks in the 98th percentile in fastball velocity, whiff rate, and strikeout rate.
Add in an extension that sits in the 99th percentile, and it’s problematic for a Pittsburgh lineup that has the seventh-highest whiff rate in the majors. The Pirates also chase a fair amount, but have the fifth-lowest chase contact rate.
Mitch Keller is outperforming his xERA and xFIP by nearly a full run. He’s facing a serious platoon disadvantage, and his command issues will be exploited by a Brewer lineup ranked second in walk rate.
NYY
@
HOU
Sat, Apr 25 • 7:10 PM ET
u8.5 (+115)
Ryan Weathers' breaking ball has given him a strong putaway pitch, and I think it shows up again tonight. His last outing was dynamite, and I think his chase rate and whiff rate, which both rank in the top 70% of baseball, will play well against an offense that has struggled in 2026.
While I expect the Yankees' bats to succeed against Burrows, I also expect they'll cool off to some degree and revert to their 2025 swing-and-miss metrics.
NYY -1.5 (+110)
New York ranks 11th in baseball in barrels and hard-hit rate, sits well below the league average in chase rate, and generates elite exit velocity when they make contact. For starters, I don't need to tell you that this Yankees lineup is elite against the fastball, but it's a story here given how much Burrows throws it.
Perhaps a bigger story? Burrows posted a chase rate in the 78th percentile of baseball, and New York had one of the lowest chase rates in the sport. This is a direct strength versus a strength, and I'll take the Yankees' bats in that fight more often than not.
I projected this spread to be juiced to -110 and would play it to that.
LAA
@
KC
Sat, Apr 25 • 7:10 PM ET
DET
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CIN
Sat, Apr 25 • 7:15 PM ET
DET (-105)
The Detorit Tigers have found a nice rhythm since getting swept in Minnesota earlier this month, and that uptick in form has translated to a 10-4 mark in their last 14 games. Meanwhile, the Reds have had erratic outings from tonight’s starter Brady Singer, who enters with a 5.32 ERA and could be vulnerable against a potent Detroit lineup.
Jack Flaherty racked up walks in Boston on Monday, but he’s only allowed two earned runs across his last 15 innings of work, so I’m riding with the Tigers, who’ve won six of the past nine meetings between these teams.
o9.5 (+100)
These squads crushed eight homers last night, so look for the scoreboard to be busy again here. The Over is 5-1 in the Tigers’ last six games – and it has cashed easily in their past four matchups against the Reds.
The visitors rank 10th in the majors in hits, and they’ve scored 34 runs across their past six contests. Cincinnati is trending up at the plate too, with 6+ runs in four of its last five outings. With both starting pitchers searching for their best stuff, we should see the batters on top after the lineups combined for 17 runs and 22 hits last night.
CHC
@
LAD
Sat, Apr 25 • 7:15 PM ET
o9.5 (+100)
The Los Angeles Dodgers rank 1st in average, 2nd in OBP, and 4th in runs per game. They also hit the ball as hard as anybody, and Rea has not induced a lot of soft contact. Chicago Cubs should score plenty of runs as well. They have plated at least six runs in six consecutive road games, and 4+ in eight of 10 away dates this season. Dodgers starter Roki Sasaki is sporting a 6.11 ERA and allowing more than two homers per nine innings, which doesn’t set up well facing a Cubs team that slots 5th in homers.
LAD (-140)
Colin Rea has pitched very well for the Chicago Cubs but his two best starts came against an 8-18 Philadelphia Phillies team. There are also a couple of concerns in his numbers. For one, he ranks 26th among today’s projected starters in soft contact rate. He’s not generating much. That’s not a great recipe heading into a matchup with the Los Angeles Dodgers, who rank first in hard hit rate against righties this season.
PHI
@
ATL
Sat, Apr 25 • 7:15 PM ET
u8.5 (+100)
The Phillies will have Wheeler on a pitch count, but their key relievers should be rested and able to handle the increased workload.
Braves starter Bryce Elder has a 1.50 ERA this season and a WHIP below 1.000. His strikeout rate is at a career high, while his hit, walk, and homer rates are at career lows.
Play the Under tonight.
ATL (-119)
COL
@
NYM
Sun, Apr 26 • 4:40 PM ET
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