Detroit @ New York Picks & Props

Out of every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Anthony Volpe's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 17% on the season to 26.9% in the last 14 days. Anthony Volpe has been unlucky this year, putting up a .287 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .310 — a .023 deviation.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Will Warren) in today's game. Wenceel Perez pulls many of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today. Wenceel Perez has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.2-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 90.6-mph mark. Wenceel Perez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 14.1% to 20.7%.

Trey Sweeney will have the handedness advantage over Will Warren in today's game... and even better, Warren has a large platoon split. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today. Trey Sweeney has been unlucky this year, posting a .253 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .286 — a .033 discrepancy.

Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Austin Wells will have the upper hand in today's game. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage in today's game. Austin Wells has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.6-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 93.6-mph. Austin Wells's launch angle this season (21°) is a considerable increase over his 16.9° mark last year.

When assessing his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Riley Greene will have the handedness advantage over Will Warren in today's game... and even better, Warren has a large platoon split. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today. Riley Greene has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 92.8-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Zach McKinstry will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Will Warren in today's game... and moreover, Warren has a large platoon split. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 44.5% to 50%. In notching a .326 BABIP this year, Zach McKinstry grades out in the 83rd percentile.

Dillon Dingler's BABIP skill is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today. Dillon Dingler has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.7-mph EV. In the past 14 days, Dillon Dingler's 75% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 51.7%. Dillon Dingler has put up a .283 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Considering Will Warren's large platoon split, Parker Meadows will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today. Parker Meadows has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .202 figure is a fair amount lower than his .247 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Parker Meadows is notably toolsy, checking in at the 86th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.78 ft/sec this year.

Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Ryan McMahon will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ryan McMahon will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ryan McMahon has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.2-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 93.2-mph mark. Last season, Ryan McMahon had an average launch angle of 10.7° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 14.2°.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Trent Grisham will have the handedness advantage over Casey Mize today. Trent Grisham pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Casey Mize today. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Gleyber Torres has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today. Gleyber Torres's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 16.6% to 19.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Ben Rice is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Ben Rice will have an edge today. Ben Rice pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.8% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Colt Keith is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Because of Will Warren's large platoon split, Colt Keith will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today. Colt Keith has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.2-mph average to last season's 87.8-mph figure.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in Major League Baseball. Aaron Judge is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Aaron Judge's launch angle recently (22.2° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 19° seasonal angle.

Cody Bellinger's batting average talent is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Cody Bellinger will have the handedness advantage against Casey Mize in today's matchup. Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Out of every team today, the 5th-worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers. Giancarlo Stanton will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Giancarlo Stanton has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 20.9% seasonal rate to 26.3% over the last two weeks.

Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today. Over the last two weeks, Spencer Torkelson has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 36.2° compared to his seasonal mark of 20.1°. Spencer Torkelson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 17.6% to 23.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Kerry Carpenter will have the handedness advantage over Will Warren in today's game... and even more favorably, Warren has a large platoon split. Kerry Carpenter pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences today. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams today.