Yankees vs Brewers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's MLB Game

Chris Hatfield - Contributor at Covers.com
Chris Hatfield • Betting Analyst 12+ years betting experience
Updated: May 10, 2026 , 10:26 AM ET • 4 min read

Carlos Rodon makes his season debut against a patient Brewers side that will wear him down.

MLB

Match starts: 2 hrs
NYY
56 %
MIL
44 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Milwaukee +105 Milwaukee +105
Read Analysis
Carlos Rodón (55) is relieved of his pitching duties.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Carlos Rodón (55) is relieved of his pitching duties.

The New York Yankees — one of the hottest teams in baseball — will look to avoid a sweep against the Milwaukee Brewers this afternoon.

New York got out to a lead last night only to see it dissolve in extra innings. Now it will send veteran Carlos Rodon to the mound to make his season debut, which introduces a high degree of volatility to the mix.

Read all about it in my Yankees vs. Brewers predictions and MLB picks for Sunday, May 10.

Who will win Yankees vs Brewers today: Brewers (+105)

There’s an element of fatigue at play, with the New York Yankees playing their ninth game in nine days. Carlos Rodon is also making his season debut after not being a picture of consistency last season.

Season debuts naturally carry uncertainty, and they are even more of a concern with pitchers like Rodon. His 9.3% walk rate ranked in the Bottom 30% of baseball last season, and he now faces a patient swinging team in the Milwaukee Brewers today. 

On the other side, Logan Henderson has posted a 1.46 expected ERA through his first two outings.

Covers COVERS INTEL: Logan Henderson has allowed zero barrels this season over 111 pitches thrown.

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Yankees vs Brewers Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (-133)

I’ve already mentioned the impressive metrics surrounding Henderson in a limited sample. Beyond that, though, the Brewers' bullpen, with a collective 1.33 WHIP and 3.46 ERA, is well rested.

Strong performances for their starters have given them a good amount of options to close this one out, including the emerging DL Hall, who has a ton of swing-and-miss.

On the other hand, while I’ve mentioned concerns about Rodon, he has enough to limit the damage and help keep this Under. Even if the Brewers do get to him, New York won't provide much else.

Chris Hatfield's 2026 Transparency Record
  • ML/RL bets: 14-14, +0.01 units
  • Over/Under bets: 18-11, +8.72 units

Yankees vs Brewers odds

  • Moneyline: Yankees -121 | Brewers +109
  • Run line: Yankees -1.5 (+140) | Brewers +1.5 (-155)
  • Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+111) | Under 8.5 (-133)

Yankees vs Brewers trend

The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the run line in five of their last six games at home (+6.10 Units / 85% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Brewers.

How to watch Yankees vs Brewers and game info

Location American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Date Sunday, May 10, 2026
First pitch 2:10 p.m. ET
TV YES, Brewers.TV
Yankees starting pitcher Carlos Rodon
(2025: 18-9, 3.09 ERA)
Brewers starting pitcher Logan Henderson
(0-1, 4.50 ERA)

Yankees vs Brewers latest injuries

Yankees vs Brewers weather

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Chris Hatfield - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Chris has always had a passion for three things: solving problems, sports, and writing. It’s no wonder then that he found himself attracted to the sports betting industry. You can find Chris betting every day. Whether it’s shot prop markets in Champions League Soccer qualifiers or NBA Summer League, he has no offseason. As an EV+ bettor, he especially values the insight gained through a data-driven approach.

His work has been featured on various websites such as SBNation, Rivals, Bleacher Report, and 247Sports. He has appeared on radio outlets such as ESPN 680 and The Sharp 600 podcast. You can listen to his own podcast, “What High School Did You Go To?” on Apple Podcast and Soundcloud.

Chris has carved out a niche as a college basketball originator with massive profitability success in that sport and stresses one piece of advice to sports bettors: exploit edges as broadly as possible and take advantage of them while they last. His preferred sportsbook is bet365 because of the range of markets you can find.

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