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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 7, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.23 |
+187 
|
o7.5 -112 
|
+1.5 -112
|
|
4.73 |
-200
|
u7.5 +101
|
-1.5 +101
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a loss.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
Philadelphia
- Under is 3-0-1 in Wheelers last 4 starts vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 7-1 in Wheelers last 8 starts as an underdog.
- Phillies are 7-1 in Wheelers last 8 starts with 4 days of rest.
Top Projection
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5 +230
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.72 |
+120 
|
o8.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.83 |
-129
|
u8.5 -116
|
-1.5 +158
|
NY Mets
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 8-2 in Mets last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0 in Mlodzinskis last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Pirates are 6-0 in Mlodzinskis last 6 home starts.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.54 |
+110
|
o8.5 -126
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
5.04 |
-116
|
u9.0 -118 
|
-1.5 +165
|
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Reds last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Washington
- Over is 9-0-1 in Cavallis last 10 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Cavallis last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cavallis last 4 starts vs. National League Central.
- Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5 +190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.51 |
+114
|
o7.5 -121
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
5.15 |
-122
|
u8.5 -125 
|
-1.5 +158
|
Atlanta
- Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Braves are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a win.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Over is 4-0 in Frieds last 4 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 vs. National League East.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Jazz Chisholm Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
o1.5 +185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.93 |
+238
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 +119
|
|
5.03 |
-260
|
u8.5 -103
|
-1.5 -125
|
Athletics
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts on grass.
- Red Sox are 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Red Sox are 5-0 in Tolles last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.50 |
+134
|
o8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -148
|
|
4.77 |
-142
|
u9.0 -120
|
-1.5 +136
|
LA Angels
- Under is 8-0-1 in Angels last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 road games.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 interleague games.
Miami
- Under is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 9-1 in Marlins last 10 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 9-1 in Marlins last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
+157
|
o8.0 -105
|
+1.5 -137
|
|
5.28 |
-166
|
u8.0 -108
|
-1.5 +128
|
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0-1 in Matthews' last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Twins last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 6-0 in Matthews' last 6 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. National League Central.
Milwaukee
- Under is 7-0 in Brewers last 7 overall.
- Under is 7-0 in Brewers last 7 on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Jake Bauers o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5 +190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.80 |
-138
|
o7.5 -112
|
-1.5 +125
|
|
4.24 |
+129
|
u8.0 -125
|
+1.5 -137
|
Cleveland
- Under is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Messicks last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Messicks last 5 starts as a road underdog.
Chi. White Sox
- Under is 7-0 in White Sox last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Schultzs last 5 home starts.
- White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
o0.5 +205
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.72 |
-161
|
o9.5 +105
|
-1.5 -103
|
|
4.58 |
+150
|
u9.5 -116
|
+1.5 -107
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
Kansas City
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in Lynch IVs last 5 interleague starts.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in Lynch IVs last 4 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
o1.5 +140
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.76 |
+129
|
o7.5 +105
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.36 |
-138
|
u7.5 -116
|
-1.5 +152
|
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0 in Orioles last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 on grass.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 road games.
Texas
- Over is 5-0 in Eovaldis last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Eovaldis last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-0 in Eovaldis last 6 starts overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League East.
Top Projection
Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
o1.5 +250
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.45 |
+153
|
o8.5 -116
|
+1.5 -142
|
|
5.08 |
-158
|
u9.0 -125
|
-1.5 +129
|
Colorado
- Over is 5-0 in Feltners last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Feltners last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.
- Over is 4-0 in Feltners last 4 starts as an underdog.
St. Louis
- Under is 7-0 in Leahys last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Leahys last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 8-0 in Leahys last 8 starts overall.
- Under is 5-0 in Leahys last 5 home starts.
Top Projection
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
o0.5 +165
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.62 |
-168
|
o8.5 -120
|
-1.5 -103
|
|
4.89 |
+158
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -107
|
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Sasakis last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Sasakis last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-1 in Dodgers last 7 vs. National League West.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in Sasakis last 5 starts.
Arizona
- Under is 7-0 in Kellys last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Kellys last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in Kellys last 4 starts vs. National League West.
Top Projection
Corbin Carroll o0.5 Total RBIs (+229)
o0.5 +229
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.84 |
+102
|
o8.5 -107
|
-1.5 +165
|
|
4.82 |
-108
|
u8.5 -103
|
+1.5 -183
|
Houston
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in Astros last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 vs. American League West.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
o1.5 +135
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.01 |
+105
|
o6.5 -126
|
-1.5 +180
|
|
4.41 |
-112
|
u7.0 -115
|
+1.5 -200
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 8-1 in Rays last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Seattle
- Over is 7-0-1 in Mariners last 8 during game 1 of a series.
- Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 3-0-2 in Gilberts last 5 starts overall.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Gilberts last 4 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
o0.5 +280
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.02 |
-128
|
o8.5 -102
|
-1.5 +129
|
|
4.38 |
+120
|
u8.5 -107
|
+1.5 -142
|
Detroit
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Monteros last 6 starts as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Tigers are 4-0 in Monteros last 4 starts vs. National League West.
San Francisco
- Over is 4-0-1 in Giants last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Top Projection
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
o0.5 +205
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.33 |
-130
|
o7.5 -114
|
-1.5 +130
|
|
|
3.92 |
+114
|
u7.5 +102
|
+1.5 -145
|
Atlanta
- Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-0 in Braves last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Braves are 10-1 in their last 11 games as a favorite.
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 vs. National League East.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.22 |
+140
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
|
4.20 |
-156
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +146
|
LA Angels
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 during game 2 of a series.
Miami
- Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.15 |
+190
|
o9.5 +102
|
+1.5 -102
|
|
|
5.22 |
-215
|
u9.5 -119
|
-1.5 +100
|
Athletics
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 21-4-2 in last 27 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1-1 in last 6 overall.
- Over is 4-1-1 in last 6 games as an underdog.
Boston
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 vs. American League West.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Red Sox are 11-1 in their last 12 games as an underdog.
- Red Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 vs. American League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.11 |
+135
|
o9.5 -110
|
+1.5 -145
|
|
|
6.17 |
-152
|
u10.0 -115
|
-1.5 +136
|
Toronto
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Scherzers last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 5-0 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Under is 10-1 in Phillies last 11 during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.85 |
+120
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
|
5.77 |
-140
|
u8.5 +100
|
-1.5 +162
|
NY Mets
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 8-2 in Mets last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1-1 in Mets last 8 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 games as a favorite.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.74 |
-131
|
o8.5 -114
|
-1.5 +115
|
|
|
4.30 |
+126
|
u8.5 +102
|
+1.5 -134
|
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games.
- Reds are 8-0 in Burns' last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-0 in Burns' last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Reds are 5-0 in Burns' last 5 starts vs. National League East.
Washington
- Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 20-7-1 in Nationals last 28 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.71 |
+134
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
|
4.58 |
-144
|
u8.0 -110
|
-1.5 +150
|
Minnesota
- Under is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Under is 7-0 in Brewers last 7 overall.
- Under is 7-0 in Brewers last 7 on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
5.93 |
-168
|
o9.5 -112
|
-1.5 -107
|
|
|
4.67 |
+146
|
u10.0 -125
|
+1.5 -110
|
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Cubs are 11-1 in their last 12 during game 2 of a series.
- Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
Kansas City
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
- Under is 10-1 in Royals last 11 during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.59 |
-122
|
o7.5 -121
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
|
4.12 |
+110
|
u8.0 -108
|
+1.5 -152
|
Cleveland
- Under is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Williams' last 4 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- White Sox are 7-2 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-2 in White Sox last 8 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+105
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
|
-- |
-116
|
u8.5 -124
|
-1.5 +170
|
Houston
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 overall.
- Over is 7-1 in Astros last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Astros last 8 games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Padres last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Padres last 4 vs. American League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-110
|
o7.5 -124
|
-1.5 +150
|
|
|
-- |
-103
|
u8.0 -110
|
+1.5 -175
|
Detroit
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 8-1-1 in Tigers last 10 overall.
- Over is 8-1-1 in Tigers last 10 on grass.
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+135
|
o8.5 -126
|
+1.5 -150
|
|
|
-- |
-152
|
u9.0 -115
|
-1.5 +146
|
Colorado
- Over is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games as a road underdog.
St. Louis
- Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 11-1 in Cardinals last 12 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 12-2 in Cardinals last 14 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.58 |
+124
|
o7.5 -105
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
|
4.18 |
-137
|
u7.5 -102
|
-1.5 +152
|
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0 in Orioles last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 games as a road favorite.
Texas
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League East.
- Over is 11-2 in Rangers last 13 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 games a home underdog.
- Over is 15-3 in Rangers last 18 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-168
|
o8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +100
|
|
|
-- |
+150
|
u8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -110
|
LA Dodgers
- Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Dodgers last 7 vs. National League West.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games as a home favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+105
|
o7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -207
|
|
|
-- |
-118
|
u7.5 -120
|
-1.5 +170
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 8-1 in Rays last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Seattle
- Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Mariners last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-131
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Reds are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog.
Washington
- Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Nationals last 6 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
Atlanta
- Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 6-0 in Braves last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Braves are 10-1 in their last 11 games as a favorite.
NY Yankees
- Over is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 vs. National League East.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League East.
- Under is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 interleague games as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+165
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-209
|
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Under is 4-0 in last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 21-4-2 in last 27 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1-1 in last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Boston
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 vs. American League West.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Red Sox are 11-1 in their last 12 games as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+146
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-183
|
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Blue Jays last 5 interleague games.
Philadelphia
- Over is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Mets last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 8-2 in Mets last 10 vs. a team with a losing record.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Pirates last 4 games a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 4-0 in Angels last 4 road games.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Angels last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Miami
- Marlins are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 overall.
- Under is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Marlins last 7 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-168
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
- Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
- Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Kansas City
- Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Royals last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games a home underdog.
- Royals are 5-1 in their last 6 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+188
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-265
|
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 4-1 in Twins last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 7-1 in Twins last 8 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 10-1 in Twins last 11 games as a road favorite.
Milwaukee
- Under is 7-0 in Brewers last 7 overall.
- Under is 7-0 in Brewers last 7 on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Brewers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 5-0 in Brewers last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Under is 6-0 in Guardians last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 road games.
- Under is 7-1 in Guardians last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-2 in Guardians last 10 road games.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- White Sox are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.
- White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Over is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 vs. National League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 road games.
- Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-1 in Rockies last 6 games as a road underdog.
St. Louis
- Under is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 12-2 in Cardinals last 14 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0 in Orioles last 6 vs. American League West.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Orioles last 5 on grass.
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 road games.
Texas
- Under is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League East.
- Over is 11-2 in Rangers last 13 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 games a home underdog.
- Over is 15-3 in Rangers last 18 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-107
|
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 8-1-1 in Tigers last 10 overall.
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Giants are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Under is 8-1 in Rays last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
Seattle
- Mariners are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Mariners last 8 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-131
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Dodgers last 7 vs. National League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 during game 3 of a series.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games as a favorite.
- Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
- Over is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games as a home favorite.
TOR
@
PHI
Fri, Aug 7 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+440)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
Strikeouts Thrown
Jose Soriano o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-105)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
NYM
@
PIT
Fri, Aug 7 • 6:40 PM ET
Moneyline
NYM (+115)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Pittsburgh Pirates are struggling at the dish, hitting .234 the past month while striking out at the fourth highest rate.
The New York Mets sit 15th in wOBA vs. righties over the last 30 days, and have shown good power with the fourth highest HR/FB rate.
I see plenty of value at this price. Bet to +100.
Total
u8.5 (-120)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Zac Thornton has his faults but has done an exceptional job at keeping the ball in the park. The Pirates rank 29th in hard hit rate against lefties the past month so they don’t profile as likely to change that.
Carmen Mlodzinski has also done a superb job of limiting homers (0.54 HR/9), and he has the seventh best bullpen by xFIP the past month backing him up.
Bet to -133.
CIN
@
WAS
Fri, Aug 7 • 6:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Abimelec Ortiz u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Abimelec Ortiz in the 10th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Nationals Park grades out as the #24 venue in MLB for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 3rd-best among every team on the slate today.
Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.61
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for HRs.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 5th-highest temperatures on the slate at 84°.. Bats such as Eugenio Suarez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Cade Cavalli who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
ATL
@
NYY
Fri, Aug 7 • 7:05 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (-126)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
I’m playing the Under because Fried gives this game a strong run-prevention base. His 49% ground-ball rate, .241 xwOBA allowed, e are elite indicators against a Braves lineup that is reliant on flyballs. The Yankees’ offense also been ugly recently. They were held to one run Wednesday, went 0-for-10 with runners in scoring position. Mahle is exploitable but he's still a more than capable arm to slow down a stagnant offense. You'll also get a well focused pitcher hopefully to make a strong impression with his new team. Playable to 8 at +100.
Moneyline
NYY (-131)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
I’m backing the New York Yankees moneyline for two units down to -145. There’s some anecdotal appeal in Max Fried facing his former team for the first time, but the matchup is the real reason. Fried has allowed only three barrels on 197 batted balls this season, with a .254 xSLG and 2.39 xERA. That profile plays well against an Atlanta Braves lineup that ranks fourth in barrel rate but is closer to average when forced to string hits together. Tyler Mahle is not a disaster, but his 4.07 xERA, 9.2% walk rate are easy pressure points for the Bronx Bombers.
ATH
@
BOS
Fri, Aug 7 • 7:10 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Caleb Durbin o2.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+155)
Luc LeBlanc
Betting Analyst
Total Bases
Jarren Duran o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Luc LeBlanc
Betting Analyst
Duran, finally above the dreaded Mendoza line, has compiled two or more total bases in three of four and four of six -- during which he's totaled 15 bases.
He faces a putrid A's team mired in an eight-game losing streak, who also rank second-last in baseball for runs allowed, hits allowed, BAA, ERA, and WHIP.
LAA
@
MIA
Fri, Aug 7 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Hits
MB
Moises Ballesteros u0.5 Total Hits (+155)
Projection 0.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Moises Ballesteros is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 8th-worst park in the league for lefty batting average.. Among all stadiums, LoanDepot Park's right field dimensions are the 4th-deepest.. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -9° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.
Total Bases
Kyle Stowers o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that George Klassen throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an edge today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
MIN
@
MIL
Fri, Aug 7 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Garrett Mitchell o1.5 Total Bases (+183)
Projection 1.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his BABIP talent, Garrett Mitchell is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Garrett Mitchell is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. The #7 ballpark in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. American Family Field has the 7th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. In MLB, American Family Field has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.
Total Bases
Ryan Jeffers o1.5 Total Bases (+147)
Projection 1.86
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. American Family Field projects as the #7 venue in baseball for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. American Family Field has the 7th-shallowest centerfield fences in the league.. In MLB, American Family Field has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.
CLE
@
CHW
Fri, Aug 7 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jo Adell o0.5 Total Home Runs (+325)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Jo Adell draws a strong matchup against Chicago White Sox left hander Noah Schultz, who has struggled since being called up, particularly against right handed hitters. The last 60 righties Schultz has faced own a .339 xBA, .573 xSLG and .374 xwOBA, while producing a 75% elevation rate. Adell owns the third highest matchup rating on Batters-Box today and has homered 25.7% of the time across 35 elite ratings. He has also been excellent against left handed pitching recently, posting a .893 SLG, 1.326 OPS and .554 wOBA over his last 30 at-bats. I would play his home run prop to +300.
Moneyline
CLE (-137)
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst
Chicago enters tonight in a difficult spot after being swept in Boston and playing 13 innings yesterday. The White Sox used seven relievers in that game and now turn to Noah Schultz, who owns a 5.82 ERA and rarely works deep into games. Chicago is 1-7 in his last eight appearances. Meanwhile, Parker Messick owns a 2.20 road ERA and has limited White Sox hitters to a .174 average in two matchups this season.
CHC
@
KC
Fri, Aug 7 • 8:10 PM ET
Total
u9.0 (+100)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Kevin Gausman hasn't allowed a homer in the past month, and his ability to limit walks should also help him keep traffic off the basepaths against a Kansas City Royals team that can really run.
I do project the Cubs for 5.2 runs against Lynch and a struggling batch of relievers, but my model still sees value backing this game to go Under the number.
Bet to -114.
Moneyline
CHC (-170)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Kevin Gausman’s 2.27 FIP the past 30 days indicates he has pitched much better than the 4.71 ERA, and the tide will start to turn in his Chicago Cubs debut.
The Cubs are a distant first in OPS and wOBA vs. lefties the last month, and should cause problems for Daniel Lynch in his first start of the season.
Bet to -182.
BAL
@
TEX
Fri, Aug 7 • 8:15 PM ET
Total
u7.5 (-120)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Baz is coming off his best outing of the season against a potent Phillies offense (6.1 IP, 1 ER), and should be able to stifle the bats of the Rangers, a team he’s found tremendous success against.
When looking at the MLB trends, it’s easy to see why the Under is a must-bet today - it’s hit in all six games when the Orioles play AL West opponents, and is 6-1 in Baltimore’s last seven road games.
Spread
BAL +1.5 (-168)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Eovaldi has regressed this year, and it won’t get any easier against the Orioles, who own a .316 xBA (.447 AVG) and .386 xwOBA against him across 43 plate appearances. If you’re looking for damage, Pete Alonso is a good place to start - he’s a career 3-for-4 against the righty with a .852 xSLG.
COL
@
STL
Fri, Aug 7 • 8:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Alec Burleson finds himself in an excellent spot to go deep against Colorado Rockies right hander Ryan Feltner. Over the last 60 left handed hitters Feltner has faced, he owns a 10.64 ERA while allowing a 13.6% barrel rate, .379 xBA, .763 xSLG and .412 xwOBA. Burleson has also been swinging a hot bat against right handed pitching, posting a .423 BA, .731 SLG and 1.231 OPS over his last 30 plate appearances. During that stretch, he is producing a 60% hard hit rate and 15% barrel rate. I like the big fella to leave the yard again tonight.
Total
o8.5 (-115)
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor
I don't have any faith in these respective pitching staffs on Friday night. Kyle Leahy carries a 5.19 xERA into this one, well above his actual ERA of 3.44. The Rockies are 11th in OPS since the All-Star break. Ryan Feltner owns a 5.75 ERA and has struggled just to stay in the majors over his brief career. The bullpens are both Bottom 5 by ERA over the last 30 days. I'd play this at -125, or to +100 if the line rises to 9.
LAD
@
AZ
Fri, Aug 7 • 9:40 PM ET
Moneyline
LAD (-168)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Merrill Kelly has been one of the worst starters in the majors, ranking in the bottom percentile in xERA and xBA.
The Dodgers have feasted on the four-seamer vs. righties, ranking fourth in team average and fifth in SLG against that pitch this season.
Total
u9.5 (-126)
Chris Faria
Betting Analyst
Roki Sasaki has a stingy 2.25 ERA over his last four starts, and the Diamondbacks are batting just .225 against his favored four-seamer this season.
The Under has cashed in four straight starts for Sasaki, while the Under is 3-1-1 in Merrill Kelly's last five outings.
HOU
@
SD
Fri, Aug 7 • 9:40 PM ET
FirstInning Total
FirstInning o0.5 (+105)
Robert Criscola
Publishing Editor
There's a good chance that both Ronel Blanco and Robbie Ray get sent to the showers early on Friday night, so I'm loving the plus odds on the YRFI line. Blanco has allowed 3+ runs in each of his first three starts since recovering from Tommy John surgery. Ray's xERA (4.47) is over a full point higher than his actual one (3.08), with tons of blue ink on his Baseball Savant page. With both offenses in the Top 6 in OPS since the break, YRFI is playable to -115.
Total Bases
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.9
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield fences among all stadiums.. Among all stadiums, Petco Park has the lowest average fence height.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage today.
TB
@
SEA
Fri, Aug 7 • 9:45 PM ET
Moneyline
TB (+105)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
Drew Rasmussen of the Tampa Bay Rays has been incredible this year, sporting a career-low 4.3% walk rate and 3.14 xERA across 117 innings pitched. Truly outstanding stuff. We’re catching him during the best stint of his campaign tonight, too, having thrown 13 frames of shutout baseball across his last two starts.
Total
u6.5 (+109)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
One of the biggest reasons I love the Rays in this spot is because of Mr. Rasmussen, so it’s no surprise we’re rocking with the plus-money Under in this situation. Looking at the MLB trends, the Under is 8-1 in the Rays’ last nine road games against a team with a winning record - that’ll play tonight.
DET
@
SF
Fri, Aug 7 • 10:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Rafael Devers o0.5 Total Home Runs (+388)
Colby Marchio
Contributor
Rafael Devers immediately stands out as one of my favorite hitter looks on Friday. The Giants slugger enters the matchup with an elite Batters-Box rating and covers over 76% of Keider Montero’s arsenal. Devers has been seeing the ball extremely well, posting a .320 BA, 10% strikeout rate and .913 OPS while making 89% contact. Meanwhile, Montero has struggled to limit quality contact against left-handed hitters on the road, allowing a 64% elevation rate and 37.7% hard-hit rate. With Devers owning the hottest bat in San Francisco’s lineup, I am trusting him at home. Take this down to +350.
Total Bases
Rafael Devers o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The shallowest RF fences in the majors are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for bats.. Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Keider Montero today.
CLE
@
CHW
Sat, Aug 8 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
CLE (-122)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Gavin Williams faces Anthony Kay in an evenly priced pick 'em spot. In their past 14 days, Cleveland holds a decisive edge in overall run prevention, boasting a 3.78 bullpen SIERA and a 25.8% strikeout rate compared to Chicago's 4.33 SIERA. With identical moneyline odds, trust the stronger pitching staff to pull it out.
DET
@
SF
Sat, Aug 8 • 7:15 PM ET
Moneyline
DET (-105)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Detroit enters as the hottest offense in this split, leading the majors across the past 14 days with a scorching 146 wRC+ and a .380 wOBA. Youngster Jackson Jobe opposes Landen Roupp. Given Detroit’s massive offensive baseline compared to San Francisco’s average 101 wRC+, laying a short -113 on the Tigers is a great spot.
TB
@
SEA
Sat, Aug 8 • 9:50 PM ET
Moneyline
SEA (-116)
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
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MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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