MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 17, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

New York Mets logo NYM @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Fri, Apr 17 • 2:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
MB
Moises Ballesteros u0.5 Total Hits (+140)
Projection 0.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Moises Ballesteros is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.. This year, Moises Ballesteros has been pinch hit for in 49% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 7th-worst stadium in the game for LHB batting average.. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the New York Mets.. This season, there has been a decline in Moises Ballesteros's quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.96 ft/sec last year to 22.99 ft/sec currently.
Total Hits
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong u0.5 Total Hits (+173)
Projection 0.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 7th-worst stadium in the game for LHB batting average.. Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a lot of his flyballs (40% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-deepest RF fences today.. Among every team in action today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the New York Mets.. Over the last 7 days, Pete Crow-Armstrong's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 91.9 mph to 85.1 mph.
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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Fri, Apr 17 • 6:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Chase DeLauter logo
Chase DeLauter o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Chase DeLauter ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Chase DeLauter is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Progressive Field grades out as the #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Given Chris Bassitt's large platoon split, Chase DeLauter will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.
Total Bases
Samuel Basallo logo
Samuel Basallo u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Progressive Field has the 4th-highest fence height (on average) in the majors.. Samuel Basallo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 80th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Samuel Basallo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.. Samuel Basallo's footspeed has fallen off this season. His 25.65 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 23.24 ft/sec now.. Samuel Basallo has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, lifting balls between 23° and 34° just 5.3% of the time in the last 14 days.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Fri, Apr 17 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Edmundo Sosa logo
Edmundo Sosa u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Edmundo Sosa has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 26% of the time when starting against a southpaw since the start of last season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-worst park in the game for right-handed batting average.. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.1-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-strongest of the day for mound aces.. Edmundo Sosa's speed has dropped off this year. His 29.43 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.26 ft/sec now.
Total Bases
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2.01
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Austin Riley is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences in Major League Baseball — generally good for HRs.. This game is expected to have the 14th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst among all the teams in action today.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Fri, Apr 17 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Luis Garcia Jr. logo
Luis Garcia Jr. u0.5 Total Hits (+200)
Projection 0.94
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
52% of the time that Luis Garcia Jr. has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.. The #4 field in the majors for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Extreme flyball hitters like Luis Garcia Jr. tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Logan Webb.. Over the last week, Luis Garcia Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.9% down to 0%.
Total Hits
Will Brennan logo
Will Brennan u0.5 Total Hits (+150)
Projection 0.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Brennan in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Will Brennan is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.. The #4 field in the majors for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. Will Brennan will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Fri, Apr 17 • 6:45 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+123)
Projection 2.09
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as MLB's 11th-best home run hitter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand today.. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Oneil Cruz stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his home run ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez in today's matchup.. The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Lowe can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ New York Yankees logo NYY Fri, Apr 17 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Giancarlo Stanton logo
Giancarlo Stanton o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Giancarlo Stanton as the majors's 7th-best home run hitter.. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. In the league, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Giancarlo Stanton will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Giancarlo Stanton's launch angle this year (21.5°) is considerably better than his 18.5° mark last year.
Total Bases
Aaron Judge logo
Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 2.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in MLB.. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. In the league, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. This season, Aaron Judge has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 101.7 mph compared to last year's 99.1 mph mark.
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Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Fri, Apr 17 • 7:10 PM ET
6 Computer Picks
Total Hits
David Hamilton logo
David Hamilton u0.5 Total Hits (+133)
Projection 0.7
Best Odds
Pick made: 16 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Hamilton in the 16th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. David Hamilton is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to less offense.. David Hamilton has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will be challenged by baseball's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. David Hamilton will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup.
Total Home Runs
Gary Sanchez logo
Gary Sanchez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+575)
Projection 0.2
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Gary Sanchez as MLB's 14th-best home run hitter.. Gary Sanchez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this contest 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Gary Sanchez has big-time HR ability (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (27.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Janson Junk is a pitch-to-contact type (23rd percentile K%) — great news for Sanchez.. Over the past week, Gary Sanchez has displayed impressive power, recording a a 33.3% Barrel% (an advanced stat to measure power).
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Fri, Apr 17 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Ceddanne Rafaela logo
Ceddanne Rafaela u0.5 Total Hits (+175)
Projection 0.85
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-coldest weather on the schedule today at 57°.. Batting from the same side that Casey Mize throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela will have a tough matchup today.. Ceddanne Rafaela's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 89.5-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 80.1-mph over the last 7 days.
Total Hits
Matt Vierling logo
Matt Vierling u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Matt Vierling is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.. When starting against a southpaw since the start of last season, Matt Vierling has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 30% of the time.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-coldest weather on the schedule today at 57°.. Matt Vierling will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Houston Astros logo HOU Fri, Apr 17 • 8:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Minute Maid Park profiles as the #6 field in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.. Jordan Walker has a ton of pop (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (28.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Peter Lambert struggles to strike batters out (19th percentile K%) — great news for Walker.
Total Bases
Yordan Alvarez logo
Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+103)
Projection 2.06
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the game.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. The #6 field in the game for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the 2nd-shallowest in Major League Baseball.. The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for offense.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Fri, Apr 17 • 8:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
11% of the time that Byron Buxton has started against a left-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. Target Field has the 9th-deepest CF fences in Major League Baseball.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the 2nd-coldest weather of all games today at 46°.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.. Over the past 7 days, Byron Buxton's 13.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 34%.
Total Bases
Elly De La Cruz logo
Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 5th-best park in the game for run-scoring.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in the league, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 16.6-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for bats.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Fri, Apr 17 • 8:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (-145)
Projection 2.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors.. Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Coors Field projects as the #1 park in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total Bases
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Kyle Tucker projects as the 16th-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Coors Field projects as the #1 park in MLB for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an advantage today.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Fri, Apr 17 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Adam Frazier logo
Adam Frazier u0.5 Total Hits (+127)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Adam Frazier ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Adam Frazier is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.. Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-least humidity of all games on the slate at 28%.. The San Diego Padres infield defense projects as the 4th-best among every team in action today.. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Adam Frazier has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 8th-best batter in MLB.. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. Angel Stadium profiles as the #7 venue in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In Major League Baseball, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Mike Trout has strong power (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (28.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Matt Waldron is a pitch-to-contact type (18th percentile K%) — great news for Trout.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Fri, Apr 17 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Nathan Lukes logo
Nathan Lukes u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
40% of the time that Nathan Lukes has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.. Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF fences among all major league parks.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks.. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nathan Lukes today.. Compared to his seasonal figure of 22.1°, Nathan Lukes has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-5°) over the last 14 days.
Total Bases
Jose Fernandez logo
Jose Fernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 hours ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jose Fernandez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the game for RHB batting average.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Jose Fernandez will have the handedness advantage against Eric Lauer in today's matchup.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Fri, Apr 17 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Cal Raleigh logo
Cal Raleigh u0.5 Total Hits (+110)
Projection 0.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cal Raleigh's BABIP talent is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the worst stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average.. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The Texas Rangers outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams in action today.
Total Hits
Brendan Donovan logo
Brendan Donovan u0.5 Total Hits (+155)
Projection 0.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the worst stadium in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average.. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This game is predicted to have the 2nd-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The Texas Rangers outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams in action today.. Over the last week, Brendan Donovan's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.1% down to 0%.
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Athletics Athletics logo ATH Fri, Apr 17 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Carlos Cortes logo
Carlos Cortes u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.71
Best Odds
Pick made: 44 seconds ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Cortes in the 10th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Carlos Cortes is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today's game.. This year, Carlos Cortes has been pulled from the game early in 45% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Carlos Cortes hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 89th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game's 10th-deepest CF fences today.
Total Hits
Lawrence Butler logo
Lawrence Butler u0.5 Total Hits (+144)
Projection 0.8
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Lawrence Butler is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Lawrence Butler has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and will be challenged by MLB's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's game.. There has been a decrease in Lawrence Butler's average exit velocity this season, from 90.5 mph last year to 87.9 mph now. There has been a significant decline in Lawrence Butler's launch angle from last season's 9.2° to 1.3° this season.
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