Houston @ Detroit Picks & Props

Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Hitting from the same side that Charlie Morton throws from, Carlos Correa faces a tough challenge today. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Carlos Correa in today's matchup. In the past week, Carlos Correa's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.8% down to 0%.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest. Charlie Morton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeremy Pena in today's matchup. Jeremy Pena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (32.9% — 75th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 5th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. In the last two weeks, Jeremy Pena's 22.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.5%.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Zach McKinstry will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 44.5% to 49.5%. Zach McKinstry has compiled a .322 BABIP this year, placing in the 80th percentile.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Riley Greene will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Over the last 14 days, Yainer Diaz's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.5-mph over the course of the season to 96.9-mph recently. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Yainer Diaz's true offensive skill to be a .328, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .031 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .297 wOBA.

Mauricio Dubon's batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Mauricio Dubon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 12.1% to 19.5%. In terms of plate discipline, Mauricio Dubon's skill is quite strong, sporting a 1.72 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 81st percentile.

Jahmai Jones is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Jahmai Jones will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Jahmai Jones will hold that advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Spencer Torkelson will hold the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Gleyber Torres will have the handedness advantage over Framber Valdez in today's game.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Taylor Trammell will have an edge in today's game. Taylor Trammell has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Detroit Tigers only has 1 same-handed RP. Taylor Trammell's launch angle of late (56° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 11.9° seasonal figure.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage over Charlie Morton in today's game.

Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.9°, Christian Walker has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 71° angle in the past 7 days. Christian Walker has been unlucky this year, compiling a .306 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .024 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Jose Altuve is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Over the last 14 days, Jose Altuve has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 6.2% to 12.5%.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Wenceel Perez will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to last season, Wenceel Perez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.1% to 22.2% this season. Over the past week, Wenceel Perez's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 22.2%.

Andy Ibanez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Andy Ibanez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Framber Valdez today. Andy Ibanez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Jake Rogers will have the upper hand today. Jake Rogers will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Jacob Melton will hold the platoon advantage over Charlie Morton in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jacob Melton has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Jacob Melton has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 7.4% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past week.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Framber Valdez throws from, Dillon Dingler will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Dillon Dingler will hold that advantage in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Dillon Dingler's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.1% up to 18.2%.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Javier Baez will have the handedness advantage over Framber Valdez in today's game. Javier Baez will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. With a .327 BABIP this year, Javier Baez finds himself in the 84th percentile.