Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 17, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.
LAA
@
AZ
Tue, Jun 16 • 9:40 PM ET
BAL
@
SEA
Tue, Jun 16 • 9:40 PM ET
PIT
@
ATH
Tue, Jun 16 • 9:40 PM ET
Zack Gelof o0.5 Total Home Runs (+517)
Zack Gelof might not be the first name that comes up when talking about the power in the Athletics lineup, but he is slugging .600 over his last 13 games with three home runs and a 164 wRC+. He is also +517 to go deep today in arguably the best home run environment on the board. That's a big difference compared to teammates like Nick Kurtz, who is priced shorter than +200 in some spots. The launching pad that is Sutter Health Park is helping everyone these days, and the 85-degree temperatures are the hottest on the slate. Gelof is hitting 40% of his balls to center field, where the double-digit winds are providing a boost today, and more than 50% of his batted balls are getting in the air. This home run has a fair price of around +420, per the projections at Covers. From the starting pitcher to the bullpen, form, price, and hitting environment, there is a lot to like about Gelof today.
Look for the Athletics to tee off on Pirates righty Mitch Keller at the Sutter Health Park launching pad. He conveniently sports the ninth-highest xERA and ninth-lowest strikeout percentage among qualified starting pitchers, and Keller has fanned four or fewer batters in five of his past seven starts. The Athletics also pace the majors in wOBA while striking out at the fourth-lowest clip in baseball at home, and outfielder Tyler Soderstrom has posted a rock-solid .379 wOBA and .220 ISO against righties at Sutter Health the past two years and hits in the heart of the order.
TB
@
LAD
Tue, Jun 16 • 10:10 PM ET
Justin Wrobleski’s .243 BABIP, 77.9% strand rate, and 6.1% HR/FB rate are all begging for regression. Both bullpens have been atrocious - L.A. has the third-worst bullpen ERA (6.57) this month, while Tampa has the sixth-worst (5.63) - so I love the plus money on the Over with the wind blowing out to dead center.
With the wind blowing out in homer-friendly Dodger Stadium, Drew Rasmussen's profile (plenty of strikeouts, few walks, soft contact on the ground) is the perfect antidote. Justin Wrobleski, on the other hand, doesn't miss bats and allows loud contact in the air. He throws his slider 33% of the time, but the Rays destroy sliders (fifth in runs above average).
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
o8.5 (-105)
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
ATL (-112)
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
o8.5 (-110)
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
NYY (-135)
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
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