Chicago @ Chicago Picks & Props

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 15-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for mound aces. Out of every team today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox. Michael Busch will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Despite posting a .386 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Busch has experienced some positive variance given the .042 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .344.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 15-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for mound aces. Batting from the same side that Aaron Civale throws from, Seiya Suzuki will be in a tough position in today's game. Out of every team today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox. Seiya Suzuki will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Seiya Suzuki has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.3-mph dropping to 85.2-mph over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Miguel Vargas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Miguel Vargas will hold that advantage today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Over the past week, Dansby Swanson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.4% up to 16.7%. Over the last week, Dansby Swanson's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.1-mph over the course of the season to 105.7-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chase Meidroth in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Chase Meidroth is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Chase Meidroth has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Chase Meidroth will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Matt Shaw has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Matt Shaw's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.4% up to 18.8%. Matt Shaw has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 86.2-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 83.3-mph average.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Aaron Civale today. In the last 7 days, Ian Happ's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9% up to 17.6%.

Carson Kelly is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Carson Kelly has made notable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.6% rate last year to 11.8% this season. Carson Kelly's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 13.7% to 17.6%.

When estimating his batting average talent, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Nico Hoerner has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Over the past 14 days, Nico Hoerner's 63.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48.5%. Nico Hoerner has posted a .285 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Andrew Benintendi will have the handedness advantage against Cade Horton in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 8th-best hitter in the game. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an edge in today's game. Kyle Tucker pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Lenyn Sosa has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences today. Lenyn Sosa will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. There has been a significant improvement in Lenyn Sosa's launch angle from last season's 12.4° to 19° this year. Grading out in the 86th percentile, Lenyn Sosa sports a .328 BABIP this year.

Mike Tauchman is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Mike Tauchman will hold the platoon advantage against Cade Horton in today's matchup. Mike Tauchman has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Mike Tauchman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Teel in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Kyle Teel is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Kyle Teel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Horton today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Batting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the upper hand in today's game. Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Colson Montgomery will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Horton in today's game. Colson Montgomery will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Colson Montgomery has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.3-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 90.2-mph.

Homers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks. This game is projected to have the most humid conditions of all games on the slate (89%); there is a small yet noteworthy connection with increased offense (and decreased Ks) when the weather is humid. Josh Rojas will have the handedness advantage over Cade Horton in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.206) suggests that Josh Rojas has experienced some negative variance this year with his .173 actual batting average.