Houston @ Arizona Picks & Props

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF fences among all major league parks. Dry weather has a small but significant link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-driest conditions on the slate at 30%. From last season to this one, Ketel Marte's flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 96.8 mph to 94.4 mph. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Ketel Marte's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 94.4 mph to 88.5 mph. Ketel Marte has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .290 rate is a good deal higher than his .265 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF fences among all major league parks. Dry weather has a small but significant link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-driest conditions on the slate at 30%. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 6.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past two weeks. Posting a .250 BABIP this year, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is positioned in the 10th percentile.

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF fences among all major league parks. Dry weather has a small but significant link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-driest conditions on the slate at 30%. Batting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Jose Altuve will not have the upper hand today. Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. In the last week, Jose Altuve's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.6% down to 0%.

Taylor Trammell has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in the league for LHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Taylor Trammell will have the upper hand in today's game. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Bats such as Zack Short with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Zac Gallen who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in the league for LHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.312) implies that Cooper Hummel has suffered from bad luck this year with his .275 actual wOBA.

Yainer Diaz is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today's game. Dry weather has a small but significant link with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-driest conditions on the slate at 30%. Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Yainer Diaz will not have the upper hand today. Yainer Diaz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 3rd-deepest CF fences today. Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yainer Diaz in today's game.

Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks. Christian Walker has been unlucky this year, notching a .293 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .034 gap.

Victor Caratini is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in the league for LHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks. Victor Caratini has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 98.2-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.6-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in the league for LHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Corbin Carroll will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Colton Gordon throws from, James McCann will have an edge today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and James McCann will hold that advantage in today's game. James McCann's quickness has gotten better this year. His 25.15 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.47 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks. Mauricio Dubon's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 12.1% to 21.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in the league for LHB batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Extreme groundball bats like Alek Thomas generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Colton Gordon. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Alek Thomas will hold that advantage today. Alek Thomas has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.4-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.4-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks. Chas McCormick's launch angle this season (25.8°) is considerably higher than his 15.1° mark last year. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.282) may lead us to conclude that Chas McCormick has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .261 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Blaze Alexander will hold the platoon advantage against Colton Gordon in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Blaze Alexander tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Colton Gordon.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Randal Grichuk will have the handedness advantage over Colton Gordon in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Randal Grichuk will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Geraldo Perdomo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 13% to 20.3%. Geraldo Perdomo has recorded a .279 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in MLB for right-handed batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Eugenio Suarez will hold the platoon advantage against Colton Gordon in today's matchup.

Jose Herrera has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.