LAD -112 o7.5
MIL +104 u7.5

San Diego @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

SD vs LAD Picks

MLB Picks
Total Bases
Shohei Ohtani logo Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
JD Yonke image
JD Yonke
Betting Analyst

An interesting thing about Tuesday’s 8-6 victory is that the Los Angeles Dodgers didn’t involve much help from Shohei Ohtani, who went 0-for-4 with four strikeouts. He won’t stay down for long as this is a wonderful opportunity for a bounce-back against Stephen Kolek, who has a 1.92 WHIP and 6.46 FIP against left-handed batters. Ohtani rakes against RHP (194 wRC+) and at home (187 wRC+). The San Diego Padres usually have an effective bullpen, but it has been used a fair amount in this series as each of its last two starting pitchers has lasted only five innings. The weather will favor hitters with a temperature of 80 degrees at time of first pitch and winds of 5 to 8 mph blowing out to right field.

Outs Recorded
Stephen Kolek logo Stephen Kolek u15.5 Outs Recorded (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Kolek’s 4.34 xFIP is well above his 3.50 ERA, and Los Angeles sends an elite lineup to the dish with a top-ranked .351 wOBA against righties and .370 mark at Dodgers Stadium.

Total RBIs
Gavin Sheets logo
Gavin Sheets o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
Gavin Sheets is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. Dodger Stadium projects as the #2 field in the league for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-shortest average fence height in the majors.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today.. Gavin Sheets has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last year's 87.8-mph figure.
Total RBIs
Jake Cronenworth logo
Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Jake Cronenworth has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (85% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Dodger Stadium projects as the #2 field in the league for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-shortest average fence height in the majors.
Total RBIs
Xander Bogaerts logo
Xander Bogaerts o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 5 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for righty home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-shortest average fence height in the majors.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today.. Emmet Sheehan will have the handedness advantage over Xander Bogaerts in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for righty home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-shortest average fence height in the majors.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Manny Machado logo
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for righty home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-shortest average fence height in the majors.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Elias Diaz logo
Elias Diaz o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for righty home runs.. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-shortest average fence height in the majors.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today.. Emmet Sheehan will have the handedness advantage over Elias Diaz today.
Total RBIs
Dalton Rushing logo
Dalton Rushing o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Dalton Rushing ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Dodger Stadium projects as the #2 field in the league for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-shortest average fence height in the majors.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the 4th-highest temperatures of all games today at 81°.
Total RBIs
Mookie Betts logo
Mookie Betts o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for righty home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-shortest average fence height in the majors.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Teoscar Hernandez logo
Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for righty home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-shortest average fence height in the majors.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Shohei Ohtani logo
Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total RBIs (+115)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. Dodger Stadium projects as the #2 field in the league for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-shortest average fence height in the majors.
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SD vs LAD Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

65% picking San Diego vs LA Dodgers to go Over

65%
35%

Total PicksSD 369, LAD 196

Total
Over
Under

SD vs LAD Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Elias Diaz Total Hits Props • San Diego

Elias Diaz
E. Diaz
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Dodger Stadium. Emmet Sheehan will have the handedness advantage over Elias Diaz today. Elias Diaz has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6.6% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last week's worth of games. In the past week, Elias Diaz's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.6-mph over the course of the season to 102.2-mph of late. Elias Diaz's launch angle of late (32° over the last 7 days) is significantly higher than his 17.9° seasonal mark.

Elias Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Dodger Stadium. Emmet Sheehan will have the handedness advantage over Elias Diaz today. Elias Diaz has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6.6% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last week's worth of games. In the past week, Elias Diaz's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.6-mph over the course of the season to 102.2-mph of late. Elias Diaz's launch angle of late (32° over the last 7 days) is significantly higher than his 17.9° seasonal mark.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

Jake Cronenworth
J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jake Cronenworth has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (85% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Dodger Stadium. Over the last 14 days, Jake Cronenworth has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 30.1° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.8°. In terms of plate discipline, Jake Cronenworth's talent is quite strong, posting a 1.36 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 90th percentile.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jake Cronenworth has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (85% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Dodger Stadium. Over the last 14 days, Jake Cronenworth has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 30.1° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.8°. In terms of plate discipline, Jake Cronenworth's talent is quite strong, posting a 1.36 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 90th percentile.

Gavin Sheets Total Hits Props • San Diego

Gavin Sheets
G. Sheets
first base 1B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Gavin Sheets has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last year's 87.8-mph figure. In the past week's worth of games, Gavin Sheets's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.7-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph of late. Gavin Sheets's launch angle lately (20.8° in the past 14 days) is considerably higher than his 16.3° seasonal figure. Gavin Sheets has recorded a .350 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 80th percentile.

Gavin Sheets

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Gavin Sheets has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last year's 87.8-mph figure. In the past week's worth of games, Gavin Sheets's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.7-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph of late. Gavin Sheets's launch angle lately (20.8° in the past 14 days) is considerably higher than his 16.3° seasonal figure. Gavin Sheets has recorded a .350 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 80th percentile.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

Xander Bogaerts
X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Emmet Sheehan will have the handedness advantage over Xander Bogaerts in today's matchup. Xander Bogaerts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Xander Bogaerts has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 4.3% seasonal rate to 10% in the last week's worth of games. Xander Bogaerts's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 11.7% on the season to 25% over the last week.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Emmet Sheehan will have the handedness advantage over Xander Bogaerts in today's matchup. Xander Bogaerts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Xander Bogaerts has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 4.3% seasonal rate to 10% in the last week's worth of games. Xander Bogaerts's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 11.7% on the season to 25% over the last week.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Total Hits Props • San Diego

Fernando Tatis Jr.
F. Tatis Jr.
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Emmet Sheehan will have the handedness advantage over Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Fernando Tatis Jr. has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.9-mph to 96.8-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Fernando Tatis Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Emmet Sheehan will have the handedness advantage over Fernando Tatis Jr. in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Fernando Tatis Jr. has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.9-mph to 96.8-mph in the past week's worth of games.

Dalton Rushing Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Dalton Rushing
D. Rushing
catcher C • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Dodger Stadium. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today. Dalton Rushing will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Stephen Kolek in today's matchup. Dalton Rushing will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Dalton Rushing

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Dodger Stadium. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today. Dalton Rushing will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Stephen Kolek in today's matchup. Dalton Rushing will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Bryce Johnson Total Hits Props • San Diego

Bryce Johnson
B. Johnson
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Dodger Stadium. The switch-hitting Bryce Johnson will bat from his bad side (0) today against Emmet Sheehan Extreme groundball bats like Bryce Johnson usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Emmet Sheehan. By putting up a .281 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Bryce Johnson grades out in the 93rd percentile.

Bryce Johnson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Dodger Stadium. The switch-hitting Bryce Johnson will bat from his bad side (0) today against Emmet Sheehan Extreme groundball bats like Bryce Johnson usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Emmet Sheehan. By putting up a .281 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Bryce Johnson grades out in the 93rd percentile.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

Manny Machado
M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Emmet Sheehan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado today. Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Last year, Manny Machado had an average launch angle of 6.4° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 10.1°.

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Emmet Sheehan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Manny Machado today. Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Last year, Manny Machado had an average launch angle of 6.4° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 10.1°.

Brandon Lockridge Total Hits Props • San Diego

Brandon Lockridge
B. Lockridge
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lockridge in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Batting from the same side that Emmet Sheehan throws from, Brandon Lockridge meets a tough challenge today. Brandon Lockridge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Brandon Lockridge are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Emmet Sheehan. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.9 ft/sec this year, Brandon Lockridge is notably fast.

Brandon Lockridge

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lockridge in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Batting from the same side that Emmet Sheehan throws from, Brandon Lockridge meets a tough challenge today. Brandon Lockridge hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Brandon Lockridge are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Emmet Sheehan. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.9 ft/sec this year, Brandon Lockridge is notably fast.

Andy Pages Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Andy Pages
A. Pages
center outfield CF • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Andy Pages is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup. Stephen Kolek will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andy Pages in today's matchup. There has been a significant decline in Andy Pages's launch angle from last year's 20.6° to 16.8° this year. Despite posting a .361 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Andy Pages has had some very good luck given the .027 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .334.

Andy Pages

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Andy Pages is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup. Stephen Kolek will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andy Pages in today's matchup. There has been a significant decline in Andy Pages's launch angle from last year's 20.6° to 16.8° this year. Despite posting a .361 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Andy Pages has had some very good luck given the .027 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .334.

Max Muncy Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Max Muncy
M. Muncy
third base 3B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Max Muncy is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Max Muncy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Stephen Kolek in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Max Muncy are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Stephen Kolek. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Max Muncy's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 41.2% on the season to 60.9% over the past two weeks.

Max Muncy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Max Muncy is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Max Muncy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Stephen Kolek in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Max Muncy are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Stephen Kolek. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Max Muncy's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 41.2% on the season to 60.9% over the past two weeks.

Teoscar Hernandez Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Teoscar Hernandez
T. Hernandez
right outfield RF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Teoscar Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Teoscar Hernandez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.6% up to 27.3%. Teoscar Hernandez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.5-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 92.9-mph.

Teoscar Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Teoscar Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the past week's worth of games, Teoscar Hernandez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.6% up to 27.3%. Teoscar Hernandez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.5-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 92.9-mph.

Shohei Ohtani Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Shohei Ohtani
S. Ohtani
designated hitter DH • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Compared to his seasonal mark of 13°, Shohei Ohtani has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.4°) in the last two weeks. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Shohei Ohtani has had some very good luck this year. His .423 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .384.

Shohei Ohtani

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Compared to his seasonal mark of 13°, Shohei Ohtani has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.4°) in the last two weeks. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Shohei Ohtani has had some very good luck this year. His .423 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .384.

Freddie Freeman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Freddie Freeman
F. Freeman
first base 1B • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Freddie Freeman has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 10.2% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last 7 days. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.346) provides evidence that Freddie Freeman has been very fortunate this year with his .401 actual wOBA.

Freddie Freeman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Freddie Freeman has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 10.2% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last 7 days. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.346) provides evidence that Freddie Freeman has been very fortunate this year with his .401 actual wOBA.

Michael Conforto Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Michael Conforto
M. Conforto
left outfield LF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Dodger Stadium. Michael Conforto will hold the platoon advantage over Stephen Kolek in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Michael Conforto will hold that advantage today. In the past 14 days, Michael Conforto's 22.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16%. Michael Conforto's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 40.6% to 46.7%.

Michael Conforto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 5th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors are found in Dodger Stadium. Michael Conforto will hold the platoon advantage over Stephen Kolek in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Michael Conforto will hold that advantage today. In the past 14 days, Michael Conforto's 22.2% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16%. Michael Conforto's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 40.6% to 46.7%.

Mookie Betts Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Mookie Betts
M. Betts
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Batting from the same side that Stephen Kolek throws from, Mookie Betts will have a tough matchup today. Mookie Betts has notched a .264 BABIP this year, placing in the 18th percentile.

Mookie Betts

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Batting from the same side that Stephen Kolek throws from, Mookie Betts will have a tough matchup today. Mookie Betts has notched a .264 BABIP this year, placing in the 18th percentile.

Tommy Edman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Tommy Edman
T. Edman
second base 2B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage today. Tommy Edman has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.3-mph average to last season's 88.1-mph EV. Tommy Edman has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 103.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 90.3-mph. Tommy Edman has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .249 mark is quite a bit lower than his .283 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Tommy Edman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage today. Tommy Edman has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.3-mph average to last season's 88.1-mph EV. Tommy Edman has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 103.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 90.3-mph. Tommy Edman has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .249 mark is quite a bit lower than his .283 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • San Diego

Luis Arraez
L. Arraez
first base 1B • San Diego
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

10% of the time that Luis Arraez has started against a left-handed pitcher this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. Luis Arraez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Emmet Sheehan in today's game. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 87.9-mph EV last year has lowered to 85.1-mph. Luis Arraez's launch angle recently (4.7° over the last week) is quite a bit lower than his 12.8° seasonal angle.

Luis Arraez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

10% of the time that Luis Arraez has started against a left-handed pitcher this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. Luis Arraez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Emmet Sheehan in today's game. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 87.9-mph EV last year has lowered to 85.1-mph. Luis Arraez's launch angle recently (4.7° over the last week) is quite a bit lower than his 12.8° seasonal angle.

Hyeseong Kim Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

Hyeseong Kim
H. Kim
second base 2B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.63
(Season avg.)
Best Odds

Hyeseong Kim has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Sabster611 9-1-0 +23405
2 Infinite-H 8-2-0 +22730
3 Bigboys9 6-4-0 +20690
4 CJONES1068 8-2-0 +14925
5 Enelra18 5-5-0 +13770
6 Ollywood 8-2-0 +13087
7 dude18555 5-5-0 +13040
8 vlkvlk2012 2-8-0 +12910
9 Moneyman00 6-4-0 +12810
10 dawoodman 9-1-0 +12745
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LA Dodgers Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 boedad 6-4-0 +18965
2 OMREBEL02 3-7-0 +17440
3 Alexandr1966 4-6-0 +16740
4 papa1963 8-2-0 +15029
5 cjrissgoodin 9-1-0 +14810
6 mikers 5-5-0 +14555
7 lusvegasluva 2-8-0 +14310
8 glen2003 4-6-0 +13375
9 dogeatdog 4-6-0 +13335
10 brandydump1 6-4-0 +13125
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