MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on June 11, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Thu, Jun 11 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o1.5 Total Bases (-120)
Projection 2.58
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the game's 5th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to better offense.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 89°.
Total Bases
Josh Bell logo
Josh Bell o1.5 Total Bases (+138)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the lowest average fence height.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast expects the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 89°.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Josh Bell will get to bat from his strong side against Keider Montero in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 15th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ New York Mets logo NYM Thu, Jun 11 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Nathan Church logo
Nathan Church o1.5 Total Bases (+210)
Projection 1.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Church in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. The shallowest CF fences in the league are found in Citi Field.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 90°.. Nathan Church will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Scott in today's game.. Extreme flyball hitters like Nathan Church generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Christian Scott.
Total Bases
Jordan Walker logo
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games today at 90°.. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the New York Mets.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Thu, Jun 11 • 1:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Otto Lopez logo
Otto Lopez o0.5 Total RBIs (+214)
Projection 0.47
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average ability.. Otto Lopez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Otto Lopez will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Otto Lopez is in the 88th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .282.. Checking in at the 86th percentile, Otto Lopez has put up a .368 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
Total RBIs
Nolan Arenado logo
Nolan Arenado o0.5 Total RBIs (+178)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 14 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
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Texas Rangers logo TEX @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Thu, Jun 11 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total Home Runs (+525)
Projection 0.25
Best Odds
Pick made: 34 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 5th-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 22.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total Home Runs
Josh Jung logo
Josh Jung o0.5 Total Home Runs (+650)
Projection 0.17
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Josh Jung is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to more offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects for the 2nd-most favorable hitting conditions of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 22.7-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for bats.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Thu, Jun 11 • 3:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Carson Kelly logo
Carson Kelly o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.91
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Carson Kelly is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense.. Carson Kelly has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 95.3-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.7-mph figure.. Carson Kelly has recorded a .340 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 77th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Bases
Dansby Swanson logo
Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.86
Best Odds
Pick made: 2 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. The #1 ballpark in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to better offense.. Dansby Swanson's launch angle lately (24.9° over the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 16° seasonal figure.. Despite posting a .273 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dansby Swanson has experienced some negative variance given the .060 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .333.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Thu, Jun 11 • 6:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Spread
Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD -1.5 (+112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 13 hours ago
Trevor Knapp image
Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor

Mitch Keller has been tagged for a .312/.389/.634 slash line against the Dodgers, and with LA southpaw Justin Wrobleski ranking in the 98th percentile in pitching run value at Baseball Savant, I’m more than comfortable laying the run line with the defending champs.
 

Total Hits
Davis Wendzel logo
Davis Wendzel u0.5 Total Hits (+160)
Projection 0.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 20 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Wendzel in the 1st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Davis Wendzel is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.. HRs are generally less common at stadiums with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest among all major league parks.. This matchup is projected to have the 10th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Thu, Jun 11 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jackson Holliday logo
Jackson Holliday o1.5 Total Bases (+177)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°.. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Jackson Holliday will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Jackson Holliday hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total Bases
Taylor Ward logo
Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 7th-best stadium in the league for run-scoring.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast predicts the hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°.. Taylor Ward has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Jun 11 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jacob Gonzalez logo
Jacob Gonzalez o1.5 Total Bases (+205)
Projection 1.32
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #7 field in the majors for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Guaranteed Rate Field has the least fair ground in MLB — generally good for homers.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jacob Gonzalez will hold that advantage today.. In the past 14 days, Jacob Gonzalez has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .392.. Jacob Gonzalez has displayed some good exit velocity statistics in recent games, averaging 98.1-mph on his flyballs in the last 14 days.
Total RBIs
Miguel Vargas logo
Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.74
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #7 ballpark in the league for boosting offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Miguel Vargas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Martin Perez today.. Miguel Vargas pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 days ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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