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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Oct. 2, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.79 |
+135 
|
o6.5 -125
|
+1.5 -170 
|
|
4.32 |
-150 
|
u7.0 -115 
|
-1.5 +150 
|
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
- White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 7-0 in White Sox last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Under is 5-0 in Messicks last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Guardians are 7-0 in their last 7 games following a loss.
Top Projection
Randal Grichuk u0.5 Total Hits (+135)
u0.5+140
CHW
@
CLE
Sat, Oct 3 • 1:00 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Parker Messick o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
Total Home Runs
Randal Grichuk o0.5 Total Home Runs (+475)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
ATL
@
LAD
Sat, Oct 3 • 4:00 PM ET
Hits Allowed
Tarik Skubal u4.5 Hits Allowed (-120)
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst
Atlanta hit 10 points lower against left-handed pitching this season while losing roughly 20 points of slugging percentage. The Braves posted a .696 OPS against southpaws, 5% below league average, compared to a .730 OPS and above-average production against right-handers.
Skubal has allowed four or fewer hits in six of his 10 starts as a Dodger, including four of his last six.
Total Home Runs
Matt Olson o0.5 Total Home Runs (-10421)
Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst
NYY
@
TB
Sat, Oct 3 • 6:30 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Drew Rasmussen o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+115)
Dustin Saracini
Senior Analyst
There's no other way to put this: Drew Rasmussen was one of the best pitchers in baseball this season, and he's dominated the New York Yankees throughout his career. He owns a 1.81 ERA and 70 punchouts in 11 appearances, including a 6 2/3 inning, 11-strikeout performance the last time he faced the pinstripes. Rasmussen owns the lowest walk rate (4.8%), xBA (.227), and wOBA (.243) of his career - the Yankees will have to earn it come Saturday night, and I'm not convinced they're up for the task.
Total Bases
Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
SD
@
MIL
Sat, Oct 3 • 8:30 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Jacob Misiorowski o7.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-149)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
Misiorowski was one of my four pre-playoff World Series MVP bets, largely because of the numbers he can put up across multiple starts in a series. The soon-to-be Cy Young winner finished 2026 with 252 strikeouts in 174.2 innings, a 38% strikeout rate and a 37% whiff rate. That's backed by metrics that place his fastball velocity at the literal top of the sport. The four-seamer is the foundation, used 63.4% of the time at 100.6 mph, but the curveball adds another swing-and-miss weapon with a 44.3% whiff rate. Misiorowski struck out San Diego 10 times over seven innings in their earlier meeting and cleared 7.5 strikeouts in 19 of 30 starts. I believe this number is at least one full strikeout too low due to concerns over a potentially reduced workload. However, the adrenaline of making his playoff debut in front of a home crowd should offset any concerns about his pitch count.
Total Bases
Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (+119)
Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
Milwaukee Brewers' youngster Jackson Chourio gets the platoon edge and a pitch mix that gives him several paths to quality contact. Robbie Ray’s four-seam fastball and sinker make up nearly 50% of his arsenal, and Chourio has handled both pitches well, batting .331 with a .618 slugging percentage against four-seamers and .286 against sinkers. His overall Statcast profile includes a .265 expected batting average and .344 xwOBA. Chourio has overperformed those metrics for much of the season, and I've been fading him regularly enough to be well aware of that gap. Ray’s changeup and curveball have been his better run-value offerings, but Chourio has still posted a .310 average against changeups and .414 against curveballs. His .291 batting average and relatively low strikeout rate give him multiple-hit upside across four or five plate appearances.
Our experts and prediction models are hard at work analyzing the data. Check back shortly for today's picks, or explore our Computer Picks for inspiration.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
Free Computer Picks by Odds Shark
More MLB Picks & Betting Tools
NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
