MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on May 22, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

HOU @

CHC Fri, May 22 • 2:20 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Jake Meyers u0.5 Total Hits (+170)

Projection 0.8

Best Odds

u0.5 +170

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +143

u0.5 +170

u0.5 +150

u0.5 +155

The #5 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this game predicts the lowest temperature of the day at 57°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 11.3-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Jameson Taillon will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Meyers in today's matchup.. Jake Meyers has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball's 5th-deepest RF fences today.

+170 at bet365

Total Hits

Yordan Alvarez u0.5 Total Hits (+170)

Projection 0.84

Best Odds

u0.5 +170

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +161

u0.5 +170

u0.5 +157

u0.5 +155

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 5th-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this game predicts the lowest temperature of the day at 57°.. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 11.3-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. In today's matchup, Yordan Alvarez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.8% rate (75th percentile).. Typically, bats like Yordan Alvarez who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Jameson Taillon.

+170 at bet365

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STL @

CIN Fri, May 22 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Spencer Steer u0.5 Total Hits (+182)

Projection 0.87

Best Odds

u0.5 +182

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +182

u0.5 +162

u0.5 +160

Hitting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Spencer Steer will not have the upper hand in today's matchup.

+182 at bet365

Total Bases

JJ Wetherholt o1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Projection 1.97

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: 10 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +100

o1.5 +115

o1.5 +111

o1.5 +120

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, JJ Wetherholt ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. JJ Wetherholt is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Great American Ball Park grades out as the #1 stadium in baseball for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest right field fences in MLB.. This contest is expected to have the 13th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

+120 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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CLE @

PHI Fri, May 22 • 6:40 PM ET

1 Computer Pick

Total Hits

Angel Martinez u0.5 Total Hits (+170)

Projection 0.87

Best Odds

u0.5 +175

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +170

u0.5 +165

u0.5 +175

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits.. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which often leads to worse offense.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly correlated with lower temperatures, and the weather report for this game expects the 3rd-lowest temperature on the slate today at 58°.. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Angel Martinez today.. Angel Martinez's launch angle this year (14.3°) is significantly lower than his 19.1° mark last year.

+175 at Fanatics Sportsbook

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TB @

NYY Fri, May 22 • 7:05 PM ET

7 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Trent Grisham u0.5 Total Hits (+140)

Projection 0.74

Best Odds

u0.5 +141

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +141

u0.5 +140

Trent Grisham is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 85% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. Yankee Stadium grades out as the #25 field in baseball for LHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which often leads to less offense.. The weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.3-mph in this game, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hurlers.

+141 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Austin Wells o1.5 Total Bases (+230)

Projection 1.19

Best Odds

o1.5 +237

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +237

o1.5 +200

o1.5 +210

o1.5 +230

The #6 venue in the league for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's matchup.. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.. Austin Wells will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

+237 at DraftKings

View 7 Picks

PIT @

TOR Fri, May 22 • 7:07 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 7 Computer Picks

Spread

TOR -1.5 (+134)

Best Odds

-1.5 +134

Pick made: 8 hours ago

-1.5 +130

-1.5 +134

-1.5 +125

-1.5 +130

While Bubba Chandler is struggling with control (36:30 K/BB ratio), Kevin Gausman remains in elite form, pacing the Blue Jays with a pitching run value that ranks in the 93rd percentile at Baseball Savant. Take Toronto to cover and land the first punch in this series.

Total Bases

Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+150)

Projection 1.84

Best Odds

o1.5 +150

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +147

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +150

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as baseball's 13th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The Rogers Centre roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for offense.. Oneil Cruz will hold the platoon advantage over Kevin Gausman in today's matchup.. Oneil Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

+150 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 8 Picks

MIN @

BOS Fri, May 22 • 7:10 PM ET

4 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Willson Contreras u0.5 Total Hits (+170)

Projection 0.83

Best Odds

u0.5 +170

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +169

u0.5 +160

u0.5 +162

u0.5 +170

+170 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Hits

Jarren Duran u0.5 Total Hits (+202)

Projection 0.91

Best Odds

u0.5 +202

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +202

u0.5 +183

u0.5 +190

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. This contest is predicted to have the most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. Hitting from the same side that Connor Prielipp throws from, Jarren Duran faces a tough challenge in today's matchup.. With a .275 wOBA in the last 14 days, Jarren Duran has been struggling at the plate.. Jarren Duran has done a poor job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 5.4° mark is among the lowest in the league since the start of last season (7th percentile).

+202 at bet365

View 4 Picks

NYM @

MIA Fri, May 22 • 7:10 PM ET

7 Computer Picks

Total Hits

MJ Melendez u0.5 Total Hits (-104)

Projection 0.45

Best Odds

u0.5 -104

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 -104

u0.5 -135

MJ Melendez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. MJ Melendez has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (85% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today's game.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes in Major League Baseball, which often leads to less offense.. In today's game, MJ Melendez is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.3% rate (94th percentile).. Extreme flyball batters like MJ Melendez tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Eury Perez.

-104 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Otto Lopez o1.5 Total Bases (+130)

Projection 1.75

Best Odds

o1.5 +130

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +118

o1.5 +120

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 13th-best hitter in the league when assessing his batting average talent.. Otto Lopez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for offense.. Otto Lopez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball bats like Otto Lopez tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tobias Myers.

+130 at DraftKings

View 7 Picks

DET @

BAL Fri, May 22 • 7:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Gage Workman u0.5 Total Hits (+153)

Projection 0.78

Best Odds

u0.5 +153

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +153

u0.5 +144

u0.5 +150

Gage Workman is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-lowest temperature on the schedule today at 59°.. Gage Workman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.. Gage Workman has been cold recently, putting up a .276 wOBA in the last two weeks.

+153 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+185)

Projection 1.54

Best Odds

o1.5 +185

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +160

o1.5 +185

o1.5 +140

o1.5 +160

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Taylor Ward is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 10th-best field in the league for run-scoring.. Taylor Ward has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Taylor Ward will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

+185 at bet365

View 10 Picks

WAS @

ATL Fri, May 22 • 7:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Dominic Smith u0.5 Total Hits (+202)

Projection 0.93

Best Odds

u0.5 +202

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +202

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 10.9-mph in this game, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for pitchers.. Dominic Smith's 5.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 24th percentile since the start of last season.

+202 at bet365

Total Bases

James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+125)

Projection 2.02

Best Odds

o1.5 +125

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +125

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP skill.. James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Truist Park ranks as the #6 ballpark in MLB for left-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. This matchup is forecasted to have the 14th-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

+125 at bet365

View 10 Picks

LAD @

MIL Fri, May 22 • 7:40 PM ET

8 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+110)

Projection 2.37

Best Odds

o1.5 +110

Pick made: 4 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +100

o1.5 -105

o1.5 -115

o1.5 -104

o1.5 +110

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles American Family Field as the 4th-best field in MLB for left-handed home runs.. The 7th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums are found in American Family Field.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.

+110 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total RBIs

Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+172)

Projection 0.64

Best Odds

o0.5 +185

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o0.5 +170

o0.5 +185

o0.5 +175

o0.5 +172

o0.5 +165

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Kyle Tucker ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. The American Family Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Kyle Tucker will have the handedness advantage against Logan Henderson today.

+185 at bet365

View 8 Picks

SEA @

KC Fri, May 22 • 7:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-101)

Projection 2.15

Best Odds

o1.5 -101

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -101

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -125

o1.5 -107

o1.5 -105

As it relates to his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 6th-best field in baseball for run-scoring.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.

-101 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Jac Caglianone o1.5 Total Bases (+182)

Projection 1.42

Best Odds

o1.5 +182

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +158

o1.5 +182

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +165

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jac Caglianone in the 83rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-most favorable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Jac Caglianone will have the handedness advantage over Logan Gilbert in today's game.. Jac Caglianone may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.. Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-weakest infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.

+182 at bet365

View 10 Picks

$Texas Rangers logo$ TEX @

LAA Fri, May 22 • 9:38 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Evan Carter u0.5 Total Hits (+127)

Projection 0.68

Best Odds

u0.5 +130

Pick made: 55 seconds ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +127

u0.5 +110

u0.5 +119

u0.5 +130

Evan Carter is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Angel Stadium ranks as the #21 venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Evan Carter will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.. Evan Carter's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 41.4% to 35.2%.. Evan Carter has been cold recently, struggling to the tune of a .268 wOBA in the past two weeks.

+130 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+145)

Projection 1.7

Best Odds

o1.5 +145

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +128

o1.5 +132

o1.5 +130

o1.5 +145

Mike Trout projects as the 6th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Among all parks, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Mike Trout will hold that advantage today.. Mike Trout has made significant strides with his Barrel%, upping his 15.5% rate last year to 22.4% this year.

+145 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

COL @

AZ Fri, May 22 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Hunter Goodman u0.5 Total Hits (+190)

Projection 0.76

Best Odds

u0.5 +190

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +144

u0.5 +190

u0.5 +143

u0.5 +135

Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. In MLB, Chase Field's CF fences are the 3rd-deepest.. Mike Soroka will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Goodman in today's game.. Hunter Goodman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. By putting up a 5.85 K/BB rate this year, Hunter Goodman has shown poor plate discipline, placing in the 5th percentile.

+190 at bet365

Total Hits

Jake McCarthy u0.5 Total Hits (+200)

Projection 0.92

Best Odds

u0.5 +200

Pick made: 2 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +191

u0.5 +200

u0.5 +179

u0.5 +185

Jake McCarthy hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. Jake McCarthy will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.. Jake McCarthy's 5.6% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) ranks in the 24th percentile since the start of last season.. Jake McCarthy's 84.3-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in MLB since the start of last season: 7th percentile.. Jake McCarthy has notched a .285 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 17th percentile.

+200 at bet365

View 10 Picks

ATH @

SD Fri, May 22 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Brent Rooker o1.5 Total Bases (+150)

Projection 1.75

Best Odds

o1.5 +154

Pick made: 18 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +154

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +125

o1.5 +145

Brent Rooker projects as the 16th-best home run hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brent Rooker is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. In the league, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Brent Rooker hits many of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Brent Rooker's launch angle this season (20.3°) is quite a bit better than his 16.4° mark last season.

+154 at DraftKings

Total Bases

Zack Gelof o1.5 Total Bases (+200)

Projection 1.4

Best Odds

o1.5 +200

Pick made: 6 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +199

o1.5 +195

o1.5 +190

o1.5 +200

When estimating his home run talent, Zack Gelof ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the league, Petco Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. Zack Gelof has strong power (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's usually a big "IF" (29.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Walker Buehler has a pitch-to-contact profile (12th percentile K%) — great news for Gelof.. Zack Gelof hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Zack Gelof has been hot recently, bashing 4 HRs in the last two weeks.

+200 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

CHW @

SF Fri, May 22 • 10:15 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Munetaka Murakami u0.5 Total Hits (+140)

Projection 0.78

Best Odds

u0.5 +155

Pick made: 6 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +148

u0.5 +155

u0.5 +148

u0.5 +140

Oracle Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to less offense.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of all games on the slate at 58°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Munetaka Murakami in today's matchup.. Munetaka Murakami ranks in the 7th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (35% rate this year).

+155 at bet365

Total Bases

Jarred Kelenic o1.5 Total Bases (+265)

Projection 1.21

Best Odds

o1.5 +265

Pick made: 44 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +246

o1.5 +265

o1.5 +230

o1.5 +225

In MLB, Oracle Park's right field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.9-mph in this match-up, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.. Considering Trevor McDonald's large platoon split, Jarred Kelenic will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.

+265 at bet365

View 10 Picks

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