MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 21, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Minnesota Twins logo MIN @ Cleveland Guardians logo CLE Tue, Jul 21 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Rhys Hoskins logo
Rhys Hoskins o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Rhys Hoskins is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. Progressive Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in the league for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Humid weather has a small but significant link with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate today at 76%.. Rhys Hoskins has strong power (96th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (27.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kendry Rojas doesn't generate many whiffs (19th percentile K%) — great news for Hoskins.
Total Bases
Travis Bazzana logo
Travis Bazzana u1.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 0.93
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Progressive Field has the 4th-highest fences in Major League Baseball.. Travis Bazzana hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Tue, Jul 21 • 6:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Andy Pages logo
Andy Pages o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.82
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Andy Pages ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Andy Pages is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #8 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. HRs are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.
Total Bases
Mookie Betts logo
Mookie Betts o1.5 Total Bases (+148)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Mookie Betts is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #8 stadium in the majors for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. This game is forecasted to have the 12th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
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Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT @ New York Yankees logo NYY Tue, Jul 21 • 7:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Ben Rice logo
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.04
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Ben Rice is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions of the day at 82%.. Ben Rice will have the handedness advantage against Bubba Chandler in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Paul Goldschmidt logo
Paul Goldschmidt o1.5 Total Bases (+146)
Projection 1.67
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Among all parks, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report calls for the 2nd-most humid conditions of the day at 82%.. Paul Goldschmidt has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
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Tampa Bay Rays logo TB @ Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR Tue, Jul 21 • 7:07 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+390)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 minutes ago
Ethan Diamandas image
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst

 Kazuma Okamoto remains Toronto's top power threat and matches up well against Drew Rasmussen's vulnerable four-seam fastball, making him an appealing quarter-unit home run play.

Total Bases
Ernie Clement logo Ernie Clement o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
Ethan Diamandas image
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst

 Ernie Clement has recorded a hit in 16 of his last 20 games and remains Toronto's most consistent bat, making him a strong play to keep his streak going against Drew Rasmussen.

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Baltimore Orioles logo BAL @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Tue, Jul 21 • 7:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson logo
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.74
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for run-scoring.. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's right field fences are the shallowest.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 4th-most humid conditions on the slate at 76%.
Total Bases
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.87
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for run-scoring.. In Major League Baseball, Fenway Park's right field fences are the shallowest.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy connection with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 4th-most humid conditions on the slate at 76%.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Tue, Jul 21 • 7:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Austin Riley logo
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.81
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Austin Riley is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Truist Park grades out as the #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for overall righty offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today.
Total Bases
Fernando Tatis Jr. logo
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.17
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 16th-best batter in the majors.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Truist Park grades out as the #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for overall righty offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest elevation in the league, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate today.
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New York Mets logo NYM @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Tue, Jul 21 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Francisco Lindor logo
Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.79
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. American Family Field has the 5th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Despite posting a .305 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Francisco Lindor has suffered from bad luck given the .051 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .356.
Total Bases
Francisco Alvarez logo
Francisco Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+230)
Projection 1.4
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run skill.. American Family Field has the 5th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Francisco Alvarez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Ranking in the 78th percentile for power, Francisco Alvarez has hit 27.2 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.
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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Kansas City Royals logo KC Tue, Jul 21 • 7:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Bryce Eldridge logo
Bryce Eldridge o1.5 Total Bases (+121)
Projection 1.94
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Bryce Eldridge ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Eldridge has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (63% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.. The #10 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Lane Thomas logo
Lane Thomas o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.73
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Lane Thomas is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #10 stadium in the game for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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Chicago White Sox logo CHW @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Tue, Jul 21 • 8:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Kyle Higashioka logo
Kyle Higashioka u1.5 Total Bases (-300)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Higashioka in the 7th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Kyle Higashioka is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Globe Life Field as the worst field in the game for run-scoring.. The Globe Life Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -11° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Kyle Higashioka hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 6th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami logo
Munetaka Murakami o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.69
Best Odds
Pick made: 11 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Munetaka Murakami as the game's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Munetaka Murakami is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height in the majors.. Munetaka Murakami will hold the platoon advantage over Kumar Rocker today... and moreover, Rocker has a large platoon split.. Checking in at the 96th percentile, Munetaka Murakami has notched a .379 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
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Detroit Tigers logo DET @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Tue, Jul 21 • 8:05 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs logo CHC (-108)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

Both teams are 7-3 in their last 10 games, but it's the Cubs whom I trust more in this spot. They have been dialed in at the plate of late, and I'm expecting Framber Valdez to return to his struggles against a good-hitting Cubbies side. 

Total Hits
Jake Rogers logo
Jake Rogers u0.5 Total Hits (+110)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 7 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Rogers in the 7th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Jake Rogers is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the slate.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 16.9-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the best among every team on the slate today.
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Miami Marlins logo MIA @ Houston Astros logo HOU Tue, Jul 21 • 8:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jeremy Pena logo
Jeremy Pena o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.77
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his batting average ability, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 19th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jeremy Pena is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Jeremy Pena pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Jeremy Pena will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Compared to last year, Jeremy Pena has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 41.7% to 47% this season.
Total Bases
Isaac Paredes logo
Isaac Paredes u1.5 Total Bases (-193)
Projection 0.84
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 5th-worst venue in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to righties.. Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-tallest average fence height among all major league stadiums.. Minute Maid Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.
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Washington Nationals logo WAS @ Colorado Rockies logo COL Tue, Jul 21 • 8:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Mickey Moniak logo
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Total Bases (-141)
Projection 2.52
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Mickey Moniak is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #1 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Curtis Mead logo
Curtis Mead o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.49
Best Odds
Pick made: 8 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Curtis Mead in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Curtis Mead is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #1 venue in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which generally leads to more offense.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level of the day at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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St. Louis Cardinals logo STL @ Los Angeles Angels logo LAA Tue, Jul 21 • 9:38 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.83
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°.. Mike Trout will have the handedness advantage over Matthew Liberatore in today's game.
Total RBIs
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+141)
Projection 0.72
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) among all major league parks.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°.. Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage against Walbert Urena in today's game.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ Seattle Mariners logo SEA Tue, Jul 21 • 9:40 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Cincinnati Reds logo CIN (-102)
Best Odds
Pick made: 10 hours ago
Chris Vasile image
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor

Let's dial up a bet on the Reds tonight behind Chase Burns and his excellent strikeout ability. The M's are the third-worst K team at home, and Burns has racked up 7+ Ks in 8 of his last 10 appearances. That'll be enough to help the Reds pick up the win. 

Total Bases
Eugenio Suarez logo
Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Total Bases (+195)
Projection 1.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest fence height (on average) among all parks.. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the 4th-highest level of all games on the slate at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.9% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ Tue, Jul 21 • 9:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Jack Perkins logo
Jack Perkins u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-125)
Projection 3.93
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Perkins to throw 77 pitches in today's game (6th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 20.1% underlying K%.. Hunter Wendelstedt grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be behind the plate today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-worst ballpark in the game for strikeouts.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.
Total Bases
Shea Langeliers logo
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Total Bases (-105)
Projection 2.1
Best Odds
Pick made: an hour ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Shea Langeliers projects as the 18th-best home run hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Chase Field grades out as the #3 ballpark in the league for overall righty offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Kohl Drake throws from, Shea Langeliers will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Thu, Jul 23 • 5:15 PM ET
6 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Game Prop
St. Louis Cardinals logo o2.5 Team Total (-115)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

The Cardinals are in a premium offensive spot against Zac Gallen, who enters the day with the second-worst pitcher rating in Batters-Box's current season model. Gallen has struggled to limit power and hard contact, carrying poorly rated matchup marks in ISO, hard contact rate, and ground ball rate. St. Louis counters with seven elite-rated hitters and an offense averaging more than 2.5 first five innings runs per game at home. The Cardinals have also been red hot lately, posting a 122 wRC+ over their last 12 games. With so many favorable individual matchups, backing the offense as a whole makes plenty of sense.

Earned Runs Allowed
Zac Gallen logo Zac Gallen o2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-141)
Best Odds
Pick made: 25 days ago
Colby Marchio image
Colby Marchio
Contributor

Zac Gallen has been one of the most vulnerable pitchers on the board, especially away from Arizona, where he owns a 7.68 ERA and 6.00 xERA while surrendering plenty of hard contact and barrels. Things do not get any easier against a Cardinals lineup loaded with seven elite-rated hitters according to Batters-Box. St. Louis has been one of the hotter offenses in baseball recently, producing a 122 wRC+, .782 OPS, and .345 wOBA over its last 12 games. With Gallen's struggles and the Cardinals continuing to swing hot bats, this sets up as an excellent spot to back St. Louis early and often.

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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: 29 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: 29 days ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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Every day our baseball analysts look for quality baseball picks to share. You can expect well-researched picks on the money, run line, totals, player props, and much more.

Free MLB Run Line Picks

Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.