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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
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Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 17, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.99 |
-135 
|
o8.5 -120 
|
-1.5 +120
|
|
4.46 |
+123 
|
u9.0 -114 
|
+1.5 -134
|
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 7-1 in their last 8 overall.
- Brewers are 7-1 in their last 8 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Brewers last 9 games as a road underdog.
- Brewers are 7-1 in their last 8 games on grass.
Pittsburgh
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a home favorite.
- Pirates are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Pirates last 4 during game 3 of a series.
Top Projection
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5+215
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.79 |
-165
|
o9.0 -130
|
-1.5 -105
|
|
5.90 |
+145
|
u10.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -109 
|
LA Dodgers
- Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Cincinnati
- Reds are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 during game 4 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Reds last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Reds last 4 overall.
Top Projection
Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
o0.5+185
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.77 |
+235
|
o7.5 -114
|
+1.5 +100
|
|
4.83 |
-275
|
u7.5 -102 
|
-1.5 -114
|
Athletics
- Over is 7-0 in Springs' last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Over is 6-0 in Springs' last 6 starts during game 3 of a series.
- are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 7-1 in last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 7-0 in Rasmussens last 7 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Rays are 5-0 in Rasmussens last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Rays are 5-0 in Rasmussens last 5 starts on fieldturf.
- Rays are 6-0 in Rasmussens last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Top Projection
Shea Langeliers o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+120)
o1.5+120
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7.22 |
-164
|
o10.5 -118
|
-1.5 -108
|
|
5.65 |
+144
|
u11.0 -115
|
+1.5 -108
|
San Diego
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 overall.
- Over is 7-0 in Padres last 7 road games.
- Over is 8-0 in Padres last 8 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Padres last 6 vs. National League West.
Colorado
- Over is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 home games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Gordons last 6 starts vs. National League West.
- Over is 6-0 in Rockies last 6 games a home underdog.
- Over is 4-0-2 in Rockies last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.86 |
+130
|
o8.5 -128
|
+1.5 -162
|
|
5.00 |
-145
|
u9.0 -115
|
-1.5 +145
|
Kansas City
- Under is 7-0 in Royals last 7 games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Royals last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Royals are 5-0 in Lugos last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Lugos last 4 starts as a favorite.
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-0 in Astros last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Astros last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.06 |
+118
|
o8.0 -114
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
5.12 |
-130
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +160
|
Philadelphia
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
NY Mets
- Mets are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. National League East.
- Mets are 5-0 in McLeans last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0-2 in McLeans last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Mets are 4-0 in McLeans last 4 starts as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+193)
o0.5+193
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.15 |
+105
|
o8.5 -105
|
+1.5 -190
|
|
3.99 |
-116
|
u8.5 -113
|
-1.5 +170
|
Detroit
- Over is 4-0-1 in Tigers last 5 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Tigers last 4 on grass.
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 5-0 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 4-0 in White Sox last 4 games following a loss.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 on grass.
Top Projection
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total RBIs (+196)
o0.5+210
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.55 |
-134
|
o8.0 -113
|
-1.5 +125
|
|
4.12 |
+120
|
u8.5 -120
|
+1.5 -143
|
Boston
- Under is 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Grays last 5 road starts.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Texas
- Over is 5-0-2 in Rangers last 7 during game 3 of a series.
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Rangers are 4-0 in their last 4 games on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.21 |
-120
|
o7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
3.95 |
+110
|
u7.5 -110
|
+1.5 -159
|
Minnesota
- Over is 6-0 in Twins last 6 games following a win.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Twins last 4 on grass.
LA Angels
- Under is 6-1 in Angels last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Angels last 6 home games.
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 15-3 in Angels last 18 vs. American League Central.
Top Projection
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
o0.5+208
MIL
@
PIT
Thu, Sep 17 • 12:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as MLB's 17th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Extreme groundball bats like Oneil Cruz tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Harrison.. Oneil Cruz will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases
Brice Turang o1.5 Total Bases (+123)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Brice Turang is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 8th-best venue in the majors for run-scoring.. Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. The weather report projects temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
LAD
@
CIN
Thu, Sep 17 • 12:40 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Max Muncy o0.5 Total Home Runs (+275)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Brady Singer bleeds power to left-handed bats, in particular. He has given up an ISO of nearly .210 to go with 2.11 HR/9.
Max Muncy is a prime candidate to capitalize. He has smashed righties to the tune of a .241 ISO. He has generated barrels at a 16.7% clip while hitting the ball hard 55.6% of the time against Singer's two most-used pitches.
Total Home Runs
Sal Stewart o0.5 Total Home Runs (+416)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
There are a lot of home runs projecting +EV in this game, and a lot of those props are on the home side. Sal Stewart is closer to 23.3% probable (4.3x) to go yard today, per THE BAT, and he gets a righty-vs.-lefty matchup in a great setting. Justin Wrobleski has bounced between the rotation and bullpen and has posted a 7.09 ERA in the second half, with 13 homers allowed in just 33 innings. I do like this Under, as it's a great getaway spot for the Dodgers, but the Reds could surprise this afternoon with a great HR pitcher to target and a tired LAD bullpen.
ATH
@
TB
Thu, Sep 17 • 1:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (+314)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
Total Home Runs
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total Home Runs (+314)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
The No. 2 AL MVP candidate should be priced around 29.4% today to go yard against Jeffrey Springs this afternoon. All you're getting for this +EV price is one of the hottest hitters in baseball, who leads the AL in homers with 41. The Rays also have a lot of intel on the A's starter after Springs spent four seasons in Tampa Bay. He's a great HR target, as only two other pitchers in baseball have allowed more homers this year than Springs. The lefty has the 11th-worst HR/9 among MLB starters this year and the 25th-worst HR/FB. Caminero is on a tear right now and is slugging 80 points better at home this year than on the road. What a price!
SD
@
COL
Thu, Sep 17 • 3:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total Home Runs (+410)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Merrill has already taken Rockies starter Tanner Gordon deep once in his career, and the Friars star has posted a high-end .203 ISO against righties this season and an overall .260 mark across his past 113 plate appearances. Additionally, Gordon’s served up a .276 ISO to left-handed hitters as as starter at Coors Field this season.
Total Bases
Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (-135)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
KC
@
HOU
Thu, Sep 17 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total Home Runs (+464)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
The Kansas City catcher should be priced closer to 20.5% (4.9x) than the 5.5x that's available. Houston is rolling with a no-name opener and then a no-name bulk pitcher in Ethan Pecko, who has allowed five dingers in just 23 big-league innings this season. Pecko will have an 80+ pitch leash, so Salvador Perez could see him three times today. The Astros loved how Pecko finished the season last year in Triple-A, but it has not been an easy ride in 2026, as the right-hander owns a 4.94 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP in the tough Pacific Coast League. The Royals have a great pitching matchup indoors to go deep.
Total RBIs
Vinnie Pasquantino o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. Vinnie Pasquantino will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miguel Ullola in today's game.. Among every team playing today, the 13th-worst infield defense is that of the the Houston Astros.. Vinnie Pasquantino has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8.6% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past week.. Vinnie Pasquantino's launch angle this season (20.1°) is significantly higher than his 16.2° angle last season.
PHI
@
NYM
Thu, Sep 17 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
J.T. Realmuto o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.35
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. The weather report calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. J.T. Realmuto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. J.T. Realmuto has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 5.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the past 14 days.. J.T. Realmuto has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.4-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal figure of 92.5-mph.
Total Bases
Bryson Stott o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. The weather report calls for the 4th-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Bryson Stott will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan McLean in today's game.. Bryson Stott hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's shallowest CF fences today.
DET
@
CHW
Thu, Sep 17 • 7:40 PM ET
Outs Recorded
Framber Valdez o17.5 Outs Recorded (+103)
Ethan Diamandas
Betting Analyst
Play this to -110. Valdez has completed at least six innings in four straight starts and has the workload and recent efficiency to get through six again.
Total Hits
Tommy Pham u0.5 Total Hits (+182)
Projection 0.76
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 7th-most suitable for pitching of the day.. Typically, batters like Tommy Pham who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Framber Valdez.. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Tommy Pham ranks in just the 6th percentile with a 7.2° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in the game.. The standard deviation of Tommy Pham's launch angle since the start of last season (29.2°) is in the 25th percentile. A high deviation like this tends to lead to a lower rate of hits on balls in play.
BOS
@
TEX
Thu, Sep 17 • 8:05 PM ET
Total
u8.5 (-123)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 55%. Neither lineup has generated much power lately, with Boston carrying just a .119 ISO over the last week and Texas sitting at .106. The Red Sox bullpen has also been excellent, posting a 2.92 FIP without surrendering a homer recently. That gives the Under several ways to cash.
Moneyline
BOS (-139)
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Play up to 60%. Sonny Gray gives Boston the steadier starting point after posting a 2.40 FIP without allowing a homer across his last two outings. Texas has shown very little recent power, and its bullpen has been vulnerable. Even with Boston’s offense running somewhat cold, the pitching edge favors the visitors.
MIN
@
LAA
Thu, Sep 17 • 9:38 PM ET
Total Bases
Josh Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+265)
Projection 1.14
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day.. Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Josh Lowe will have an edge in today's matchup.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense projects as the 14th-weakest among every team playing today.
Total Bases
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+155)
Projection 1.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Mike Trout projects as the 6th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Angel Stadium has the lowest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of the day.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team playing today.
TB
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 22 • 1:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+305)
Projection 0.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Austin Wells generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total RBIs (+206)
Projection 0.55
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Yankee Stadium ranks as the #7 ballpark in the majors for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Cody Bellinger will have an edge in today's game.
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How To Use MLB Computer Picks
You can use the tables above to help with your bets during the MLB season. The first section includes free, computer-generated picks for daily Major League Baseball games. Baseball bettors can choose to follow the computer, fade the computer, or simply use our computer picks as one element of their betting strategy.
This page also tees up access to deeper betting trends. For example, if a club's run line is favored, you can check their ATS trends, potentially opening up some quality underdog bets.
If you're ready to get started with MLB betting, visit our dedicated page highlighting the best MLB betting sites.
Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
But it also comes with more risk, as each of those MLB picks must hit for your ticket to pay out. Our parlay calculator is a great tool to find out what your potential payout would be.
If you're looking for more MLB picks content, check out our consensus picks and prop bets pages to get your fix. While you're at it, head over to our MLB promos page to get the best bang for your buck.
MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
MLB Futures Picks
Lastly, prior to the season and even throughout the season, you can place futures bets on all the long-term awards and outcomes. You can lock in an MLB pick on who will win their division, which squad will win the World Series, or even who will win the Rookie of the Year, MVP, or Cy Young.
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