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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 8, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.42 |
+115 
|
o8.5 -113 
|
+1.5 -180 
|
|
4.68 |
-125 
|
u8.5 +100 
|
-1.5 +160
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Guardians are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 5-0 in Youngs last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Youngs last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Youngs last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
o0.5+170
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.18 |
+125
|
o8.0 -115
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.67 |
-134 
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Kremers last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Kremers last 5 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Kremers last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Detroit
- Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 home games.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Tigers last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Royce Lewis o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
o1.5+180
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.88 |
+125
|
o8.5 -115
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
5.18 |
-135
|
u8.5 +100 
|
-1.5 +145
|
Houston
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Wesneskis last 5 starts as an underdog.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 7-1 in Painters last 8 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+167)
o0.5+167
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.72 |
+120
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -178 
|
|
4.07 |
-130
|
u8.0 -109
|
-1.5 +160
|
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 games following a win.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Miami
- Over is 4-0-1 in Marlins last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Alcantaras last 4 home starts.
- Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
o0.5+190
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.83 |
+126
|
o7.5 -118
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.47 |
-136
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Detmers' last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 8-1 in Detmers' last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 6-1 in Detmers' last 7 starts vs. American League East.
Boston
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games following a win.
Top Projection
Adley Rutschman o0.5 Total RBIs (+204)
o0.5+205
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.52 |
+295
|
o8.0 -110
|
+2.5 -125
|
|
5.60 |
-330
|
u8.5 -125
|
-2.5 +110
|
Colorado
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 interleague games.
- Over is 13-2-1 in Rockies last 16 interleague games as a favorite.
NY Yankees
- Under is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Top Projection
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
o0.5+230
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.08 |
+101
|
o8.5 +100
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
5.12 |
-111
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 8-0 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Peraltas last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Atlanta
- Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Smith-Shawvers last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Smith-Shawvers last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Top Projection
Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+179)
o0.5+179
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.56 |
+131
|
o8.5 -102
|
+1.5 -162
|
|
4.91 |
-141
|
u8.5 -110
|
-1.5 +145
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- White Sox are 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Munetaka Murakami u1.5 Total Bases (-166)
u1.5-166
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.22 |
-115
|
o9.0 -115
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.71 |
+105
|
u9.5 -122
|
+1.5 -156
|
Arizona
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 on grass.
- Under is 8-0 in Diamondbacks last 8 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Kansas City
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Royals are 4-0 in Wachas last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Wachas last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Corbin Burnes u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-150)
u3.5-140
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.91 |
+190
|
o7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -115
|
|
4.33 |
-210
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +105
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 6-0 in Petersons last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Petersons last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 7-0 in Petersons last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Petersons last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in Misiorowskis last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Misiorowskis last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Misiorowskis last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Misiorowskis last 4 starts as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+297)
o0.5+297
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.10 |
+120
|
o7.5 -127
|
+1.5 -178
|
|
4.26 |
-130
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +160
|
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-0 in Rangers last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 games following a win.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League West.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 overall.
- Over is 9-2 in Mariners last 11 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Corey Seager o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-115)
o1.5-115
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.94 |
+165
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.44 |
-180
|
u8.0 -114
|
-1.5 +125
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-2-2 in Nationals last 10 games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Under is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 home games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 vs. National League East.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+226)
o0.5+226
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.46 |
-175
|
o9.0 -139
|
-1.5 -113
|
|
3.88 |
+160
|
u9.5 -102 
|
+1.5 +100
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Athletics
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.24 |
-104
|
o7.0 -159
|
+1.5 -215
|
|
3.93 |
-105
|
u8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +170
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
o0.5+275
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.68 |
+275
|
o7.0 -182
|
+4.5 -286
|
|
5.76 |
-319
|
u8.5 -120
|
-4.5 +225
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.94 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.11 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Twins are 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Twins last 9 during game 3 of a series.
Detroit
- Tigers are 5-0 in Monteros last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 9-1 in Monteros last 10 starts as a home underdog.
- Tigers are 8-1 in Monteros last 9 starts as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.31 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.40 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Over is 6-2 in Blue Jays last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Athletics
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 overall.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 games as an underdog.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.86 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.92 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. National League West.
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Giants are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.67 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.87 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Kents last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-2-2 in Nationals last 10 games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Under is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 home games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 vs. National League East.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.85 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.23 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Seattle
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 overall.
- Over is 9-2 in Mariners last 11 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-2 in Mariners last 8 during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.49 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.26 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Guardians are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0 in Bazs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Bazs last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.46 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.98 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Miami
- Over is 4-0-1 in Marlins last 5 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 4-0 in Junks last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.72 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.89 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Browns last 6 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0-1 in Sanchezs last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Phillies are 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.19 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.48 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Johnsons last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts overall.
Boston
- Red Sox are 8-0 in Bennetts last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Bennetts last 4 starts as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.27 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
6.04 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Rockies are 8-0 in Suganos last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Suganos last 4 interleague starts.
NY Yankees
- Under is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Under is 5-1 in Warrens last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
CLE
@
BAL
Tue, Sep 8 • 6:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Travis Bazzana o1.5 Total Bases (+184)
Projection 1.48
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Travis Bazzana is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 5th-hottest temperature on the slate at 81°.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Young throws from, Travis Bazzana will have an advantage today.. Travis Bazzana hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Travis Bazzana has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 4.5% seasonal rate to 10% in the last week.
Total Bases
Pete Alonso o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.96
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. In the majors, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's centerfield dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 5th-hottest temperature on the slate at 81°.. Pete Alonso will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
MIN
@
DET
Tue, Sep 8 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Max Clark u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Maxwell Clark is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.. The #9 venue in the majors for suppressing base hits to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.. Maxwell Clark has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Over the past week, Maxwell Clark's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal mark of 87.9 mph to 72.5 mph.. Over the past 7 days, Maxwell Clark's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.4%.
Total RBIs
Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Royce Lewis ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Extreme flyball bats like Royce Lewis tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Anderson.. Royce Lewis has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 11.5% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the past 7 days.
HOU
@
PHI
Tue, Sep 8 • 6:40 PM ET
Moneyline
HOU (+120)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Philadelphia's 21-9 run over its last 30 makes this uncomfortable, but the pitching matchup creates value. Hayden Wesneski has held opponents to a .530 OPS over the last 28 days and is coming off two dominant starts. Andrew Painter owns a 5.55 ERA, while left-handed hitters have posted an .812 OPS against him — a dangerous matchup with Yordan Alvarez anchoring Houston’s lineup.
Total RBIs
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+167)
Projection 0.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 7th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best stadium in the majors for run-scoring.. Batting from the opposite that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
NYM
@
MIA
Tue, Sep 8 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the league.. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand in today's game.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Compared to last season, Juan Soto has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.2% to 18.4% this season.
Total Bases
Carson Benge o1.5 Total Bases (+162)
Projection 1.54
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Benge in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Carson Benge is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Batting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Carson Benge will have an edge in today's game.. Carson Benge has recorded a .335 BABIP this year, grading out in the 91st percentile.
LAA
@
BOS
Tue, Sep 8 • 6:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Andruw Monasterio o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Andruw Monasterio has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Reid Detmers throws from, Andruw Monasterio will have an edge in today's matchup.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today.
Total Bases
Andruw Monasterio o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.47
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Andruw Monasterio has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Reid Detmers throws from, Andruw Monasterio will have an edge in today's matchup.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today.
COL
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 8 • 7:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Connor Norby o0.5 Total RBIs (+339)
Projection 0.35
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Connor Norby has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (68% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Among all stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Connor Norby's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, increasing from 18.5% on the season to 33.3% in the last week.
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as MLB's 13th-best home run hitter.. Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Among all stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Hunter Goodman has hit 41.5 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 100th percentile for power.
TB
@
ATL
Tue, Sep 8 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+180)
Projection 1.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°.. Austin Riley hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Tampa Bay Rays.. Austin Riley will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Matt Olson o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.81
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Matt Olson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Truist Park grades out as the #4 stadium in MLB for overall LHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.
PIT
@
CHW
Tue, Sep 8 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Munetaka Murakami o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Munetaka Murakami projects as the 2nd-best home run batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Munetaka Murakami is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #6 ballpark in MLB for boosting offensive stats to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Dingers are generally more common at fields with shallow fences, and Guaranteed Rate Field has the 4th-shallowest among all parks.. Batting from the opposite that Bubba Chandler throws from, Munetaka Murakami will have an edge today.
Total Bases
Munetaka Murakami u1.5 Total Bases (-166)
Projection 0.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
In the last week, Munetaka Murakami's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 19.4% down to 11.1%.. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Munetaka Murakami's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 100.1 mph to 97.2 mph.. In the last 14 days, Munetaka Murakami's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.8%.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Munetaka Murakami's true offensive skill to be a .335, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .019 disparity between that mark and his actual .354 wOBA.. Placing in the 9th percentile, Munetaka Murakami has put up a .214 batting average this year.
AZ
@
KC
Tue, Sep 8 • 7:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+154)
Projection 0.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 96°.
Total Hits
Kyle Isbel u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Kyle Isbel ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Kyle Isbel is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.. Kyle Isbel has been pulled from the game early 15% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.. In MLB, Kauffman Stadium's right field dimensions are the deepest.. Extreme flyball batters like Kyle Isbel usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Corbin Burnes.
CHC
@
MIL
Tue, Sep 8 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. The #8 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. Among all stadiums, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense.
Total RBIs
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+281)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Michael Busch ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Michael Busch is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. The #8 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. In the league, American Family Field's CF dimensions are the 7th-shallowest.. Among all stadiums, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.
TEX
@
SEA
Tue, Sep 8 • 9:40 PM ET
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Randy Arozarena o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-120)
Projection 2.08
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. On average, the fence height at T-Mobile Park is the 10th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks.. Batting from the opposite that Cody Bradford throws from, Randy Arozarena will have an edge in today's game.
Hits+Runs+RBIs
Corey Seager o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-115)
Projection 2.17
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Corey Seager projects as the 13th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. On average, the fence height at T-Mobile Park is the 10th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks.. Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Corey Seager will have an edge in today's matchup.
WAS
@
SD
Tue, Sep 8 • 9:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+228)
Projection 0.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, CJ Abrams ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. The weather forecast expects the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Batting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, CJ Abrams will have an advantage today.
Total RBIs
Dylan Crews o0.5 Total RBIs (+236)
Projection 0.51
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dylan Crews is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. The weather forecast expects the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Dylan Crews hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Dylan Crews has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.7-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 90.3-mph EV.
TOR
@
ATH
Tue, Sep 8 • 9:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
George Springer o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #2 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. In the league, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+117)
Projection 0.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 4th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average ability.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #2 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. In the league, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
STL
@
SF
Tue, Sep 8 • 9:45 PM ET
Total Bases
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+163)
Projection 1.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Out of every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.. Jordan Walker has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.5-mph to 96-mph in the last week's worth of games.
Total Bases
Nolan Gorman o1.5 Total Bases (+260)
Projection 1.24
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Landen Roupp throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge today.. Nolan Gorman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.. Extreme groundball hitters like Nolan Gorman are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Landen Roupp.. Out of every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.
CIN
@
LAD
Tue, Sep 8 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Enrique Hernandez u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Enrique Hernandez in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Enrique Hernandez is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.. Enrique Hernandez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 51% of the time when starting against a southpaw this year.. The #10 venue in the majors for suppressing BABIP to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-best among every team in action today.
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Dodger Stadium projects as the #3 park in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 96°.. Teoscar Hernandez will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo today.
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Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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NRFI/YRFI MLB Picks
A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
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MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
You simply choose whether this outcome will happen or not. Keeping up to date on daily pitching matchups and batters on a hot streak can give you a huge boost when placing player prop bets.
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