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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Sept. 8, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.42 |
+114 
|
o8.5 -110 
|
+1.5 -180 
|
|
4.68 |
-122 
|
u8.5 -102 
|
-1.5 +162
|
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Guardians are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
Baltimore
- Orioles are 5-0 in Youngs last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 5-0 in Orioles last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Youngs last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
- Orioles are 4-0 in Youngs last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
Top Projection
Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
o0.5+169
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.18 |
+125
|
o8.0 -115 
|
+1.5 -165
|
|
4.67 |
-134
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Kremers last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0 in Kremers last 5 starts overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Kremers last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Detroit
- Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Tigers last 7 home games.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Tigers last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 10-1 in Tigers last 11 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.88 |
+125
|
o8.5 -112
|
+1.5 -160
|
|
5.18 |
-135
|
u8.5 +100 
|
-1.5 +148
|
Houston
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Wesneskis last 5 starts as an underdog.
Philadelphia
- Phillies are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. American League West.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Phillies last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Phillies last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 7-1 in Painters last 8 starts on grass.
Top Projection
Bryce Harper o0.5 Total RBIs (+171)
o0.5+171
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.72 |
+120
|
o7.5 -125
|
+1.5 -178
|
|
4.07 |
-130
|
u8.0 -109
|
-1.5 +160 
|
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Mets last 6 games following a win.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Miami
- Over is 4-0-1 in Marlins last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Alcantaras last 4 home starts.
- Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Juan Soto o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
o0.5+187
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.83 |
+128
|
o7.5 -119
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.47 |
-136
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Detmers' last 7 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 8-1 in Detmers' last 9 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 6-1 in Detmers' last 7 starts vs. American League East.
Boston
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 on grass.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games following a win.
Top Projection
Patrick Sandoval o8.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+500)
o5.5-130
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.52 |
+296
|
o8.0 -110
|
+2.5 -125
|
|
5.60 |
-330
|
u8.5 -125
|
-2.5 +110
|
Colorado
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 interleague games.
- Over is 13-2-1 in Rockies last 16 interleague games as a favorite.
NY Yankees
- Under is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Schlittlers last 4 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Top Projection
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+175)
o1.5+175
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.08 |
+101
|
o8.0 -119
|
+1.5 -200
|
|
5.12 |
-111
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +150
|
Tampa Bay
- Rays are 8-0 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 4-0 in Peraltas last 4 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Rays last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Atlanta
- Braves are 8-0 in their last 8 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Smith-Shawvers last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 4-0 in Smith-Shawvers last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Braves last 4 during game 1 of a series.
Top Projection
Mike Yastrzemski o0.5 Total RBIs (+320)
o0.5+330
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.56 |
+131
|
o8.5 -102
|
+1.5 -162
|
|
4.91 |
-140
|
u8.5 -113
|
-1.5 +145
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Pirates last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Pirates last 5 games as a favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- White Sox are 4-0 in Burkes last 4 starts.
- Over is 6-1 in White Sox last 7 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
o0.5+200
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.22 |
-115
|
o9.0 -115
|
-1.5 +140
|
|
4.71 |
+105
|
u9.5 -124
|
+1.5 -156
|
Arizona
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 on grass.
- Under is 8-0 in Diamondbacks last 8 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-0 in Diamondbacks last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Kansas City
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Royals last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Royals are 4-0 in Wachas last 4 starts on grass.
- Over is 4-0 in Wachas last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Top Projection
Corbin Burnes u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-160)
u3.5-160
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.91 |
+190
|
o7.5 +100
|
+1.5 -115
|
|
4.33 |
-210
|
u7.5 -110
|
-1.5 +105
|
Chi. Cubs
- Over is 6-0 in Petersons last 6 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0 in Petersons last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 7-0 in Petersons last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in Petersons last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in Misiorowskis last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Misiorowskis last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Misiorowskis last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Brewers are 4-0 in Misiorowskis last 4 starts as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+281)
o0.5+281
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.10 |
+120
|
o7.5 -121
|
+1.5 -178
|
|
4.26 |
-130
|
u8.5 -125
|
-1.5 +160
|
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 8-0 in Rangers last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Rangers last 6 games following a win.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League West.
Seattle
- Over is 5-0 in Mariners last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 overall.
- Over is 9-2 in Mariners last 11 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
o0.5+230
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.94 |
+166
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -135
|
|
4.44 |
-180
|
u8.0 -114
|
-1.5 +125
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Nationals last 6 overall.
- Over is 6-2-2 in Nationals last 10 games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Under is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 home games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 vs. National League East.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+228)
o0.5+228
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.46 |
-175
|
o9.0 -139
|
-1.5 -113
|
|
3.88 |
+160
|
u9.5 -105
|
+1.5 +100
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 starts as an underdog.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Blue Jays are 4-0 in Sorianos last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Athletics
- Over is 3-0-2 in Perkins' last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.24 |
-102
|
o7.0 -167
|
+1.5 -215
|
|
3.93 |
-105
|
u8.0 -120
|
-1.5 +170
|
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Cardinals last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
San Francisco
- Over is 5-0 in Giants last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a home favorite.
Top Projection
Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+270)
o0.5+270
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.68 |
+288
|
o7.0 -182
|
+4.5 -286
|
|
5.76 |
-319
|
u8.5 -120
|
-4.5 +225
|
Cincinnati
- Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 road games.
- Over is 5-0 in Reds last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Reds are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
LA Dodgers
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.94 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.11 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 5-0 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Twins are 4-0 in Matthews' last 4 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 7-1-1 in Twins last 9 during game 3 of a series.
Detroit
- Tigers are 5-0 in Monteros last 5 starts during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 5-0 in Tigers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 9-1 in Monteros last 10 starts as a home underdog.
- Tigers are 8-1 in Monteros last 9 starts as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
6.31 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.40 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 road games.
- Over is 6-2 in Blue Jays last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Blue Jays are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
Athletics
- Over is 6-0 in last 6 during game 3 of a series.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 overall.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 games as an underdog.
- Over is 8-1 in last 9 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.86 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
3.92 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Over is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 vs. National League West.
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 home games.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Giants last 4 games as a home favorite.
- Giants are 6-1 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.67 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.87 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Nationals last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 2-0-2 in Kents last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-2-2 in Nationals last 10 games as an underdog.
San Diego
- Under is 6-0-1 in Padres last 7 home games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Padres last 6 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 5-0 in Padres last 5 vs. National League East.
- Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.85 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.23 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Texas
- Over is 5-0-1 in Rangers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. American League West.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Rangers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Seattle
- Over is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 overall.
- Over is 9-2 in Mariners last 11 vs. American League West.
- Over is 4-1 in Mariners last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 6-2 in Mariners last 8 during game 2 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.49 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.26 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Cleveland
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Guardians are 6-0 in their last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 4-0 in Guardians last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Guardians are 6-1 in their last 7 road games.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-0 in Bazs last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-0 in Bazs last 5 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Bazs last 4 starts vs. American League Central.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.46 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.98 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mets last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
Miami
- Over is 4-0-1 in Marlins last 5 games as a favorite.
- Marlins are 4-0 in Junks last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
- Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
3.72 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
4.89 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Houston
- Under is 6-0 in Browns last 6 starts vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-2 in Astros last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 2-0-3 in Astros last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
Philadelphia
- Over is 5-0-1 in Sanchezs last 6 starts as a home favorite.
- Phillies are 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-0 in Sanchezs last 5 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Sanchezs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.19 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
5.48 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0 in Johnsons last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 7-0 in Johnsons last 7 starts overall.
Boston
- Red Sox are 8-0 in Bennetts last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 games as a favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Bennetts last 4 starts as a favorite.
Predicted Score
Team |
Predicted Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.27 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
|
|
6.04 |
-- |
-- |
-- |
Colorado
- Under is 7-0 in Rockies last 7 interleague games as an underdog.
- Rockies are 8-0 in Suganos last 8 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Rockies last 4 vs. American League East.
- Under is 4-0 in Suganos last 4 interleague starts.
NY Yankees
- Under is 3-0-1 in Yankees last 4 vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 6-0 in Yankees last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
- Under is 5-1 in Warrens last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
CLE
@
BAL
Tue, Sep 8 • 6:35 PM ET
Strikeouts Thrown
Brandon Young u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+100)
Projection 3.35
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup in today's games is the Cleveland Guardians with a 18.3% underlying K%.. It is expected that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (James Jean) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.. Samuel Basallo, the Orioles's expected catcher today, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 5th-hottest temperature on the slate at 81°.. With 8 batters of opposing handedness in the opposing team's projected lineup, Brandon Young will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Jose Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jose Ramirez ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 5th-hottest temperature on the slate at 81°.. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (43% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game.
MIN
@
DET
Tue, Sep 8 • 6:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+173)
Projection 0.66
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Riley Greene ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand today.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.
Total RBIs
Gleyber Torres o0.5 Total RBIs (+222)
Projection 0.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Gleyber Torres ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Comerica Park has the 3rd-lowest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. The Minnesota Twins outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.
HOU
@
PHI
Tue, Sep 8 • 6:40 PM ET
Moneyline
HOU (+120)
Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Philadelphia's 21-9 run over its last 30 makes this uncomfortable, but the pitching matchup creates value. Hayden Wesneski has held opponents to a .530 OPS over the last 28 days and is coming off two dominant starts. Andrew Painter owns a 5.55 ERA, while left-handed hitters have posted an .812 OPS against him — a dangerous matchup with Yordan Alvarez anchoring Houston’s lineup.
Total Bases
Bryce Harper o1.5 Total Bases (+126)
Projection 1.78
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Bryce Harper projects as the 7th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-best stadium in the majors for run-scoring.. Batting from the opposite that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand in today's game.. Bryce Harper has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
NYM
@
MIA
Tue, Sep 8 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Juan Soto o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the league.. Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand in today's game.. Juan Soto hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Compared to last season, Juan Soto has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.2% to 18.4% this season.
Total Bases
Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Francisco Lindor has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 95.3-mph in the last week.. Francisco Lindor has been unlucky this year, putting up a .320 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .344 — a .024 deviation.. With a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Francisco Lindor is positioned in the 80th percentile for offensive ability.
LAA
@
BOS
Tue, Sep 8 • 6:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Andruw Monasterio o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Andruw Monasterio has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Reid Detmers throws from, Andruw Monasterio will have an edge in today's matchup.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today.
Total Bases
Andruw Monasterio o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.47
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Andruw Monasterio has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in MLB for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Reid Detmers throws from, Andruw Monasterio will have an edge in today's matchup.. The Los Angeles Angels infield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in action today.
COL
@
NYY
Tue, Sep 8 • 7:05 PM ET
Total Hits
Mickey Moniak u0.5 Total Hits (+125)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Mickey Moniak's BABIP ability is projected in the 25th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mickey Moniak is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.. When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Mickey Moniak has been pinch hit for 17% of the time.. Yankee Stadium ranks as the #24 park in the league for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which generally leads to lower offensive output.
Total Bases
Ben Rice o1.5 Total Bases (-110)
Projection 1.96
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ben Rice ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Yankee Stadium as the 10th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Among all stadiums, Yankee Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Gabriel Hughes throws from, Ben Rice will have an advantage in today's matchup.
TB
@
ATL
Tue, Sep 8 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.58
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Truist Park.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°.. Austin Riley hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases
Mike Yastrzemski o1.5 Total Bases (+300)
Projection 1.2
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Truist Park grades out as the #4 stadium in MLB for overall LHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 4th-shallowest.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is forecasted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 84°.
PIT
@
CHW
Tue, Sep 8 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.7
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #6 field in the league for boosting offensive stats to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. Miguel Vargas pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Miguel Vargas will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases
Colson Montgomery u1.5 Total Bases (-210)
Projection 0.73
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
AZ
@
KC
Tue, Sep 8 • 7:40 PM ET
Moneyline
KC (-101)
Joe Osborne
Senior Betting Analyst
This sets up as a sneaky spot to back the home dog. Corbin Burnes could be on a short leash in his season debut after a limited buildup, exposing an Arizona bullpen that used seven arms yesterday. KC ranks third in OPS at home over the past month and has won Michael Wacha’s last four starts. With a reliable bullpen behind him, the Royals are worth backing.
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his batting average ability, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The #5 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games on the slate at 96°.
CHC
@
MIL
Tue, Sep 8 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Pete Crow-Armstrong o1.5 Total Bases (+154)
Projection 1.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. The #8 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. Among all stadiums, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense.
Total RBIs
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total RBIs (+226)
Projection 0.5
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. The #8 field in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. Among all stadiums, American Family Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to more offense.
TEX
@
SEA
Tue, Sep 8 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Randy Arozarena o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. On average, the fence height at T-Mobile Park is the 10th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Dingers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all parks.. Batting from the opposite that Cody Bradford throws from, Randy Arozarena will have an edge in today's game.
Total Hits
Josh Naylor u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.92
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Josh Naylor is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be a downgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the worst park in the league for left-handed batting average.. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations in MLB, which generally leads to worse offense.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the best pitching conditions of all games today.. Cody Bradford will hold the platoon advantage over Josh Naylor in today's game.
WAS
@
SD
Tue, Sep 8 • 9:40 PM ET
Moneyline
WAS (+162)
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
The Nationals have dropped five straight games and have seen their market price fall, trading at just 37% today in a matchup where I think they can be competitive. James Wood is back and has gone 6-for-19 with three extra-base hits since returning, giving a boost to an offense that was the highest-scoring in baseball in the first half. San Diego starter Casey Mize is not a pitcher I want to back as a 67% favorite. He's struggled since coming over from Detroit, owning a 6.67 ERA with eight homers allowed over 27 innings. His strikeouts are way down, and he's allowed five homers with just five strikeouts over his last three starts. His 6.05 xFIP is the worst of any San Diego pitcher in the second half with at least 20 innings. The Nationals are going with a questionable opener, but every other arm is basically available. With the market giving them just a 37% chance to win, THE BAT's 42% fair price gives us enough value to take a shot on the Nats.
Total Bases
Abimelec Ortiz o1.5 Total Bases (+220)
Projection 1.27
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Abimelec Ortiz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.. In MLB, Petco Park's centerfield dimensions are the shallowest.. Petco Park has the 5th-shortest fence height (on average) among all stadiums.. The weather forecast expects the 4th-most suitable hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Hitting from the opposite that Casey Mize throws from, Abimelec Ortiz will have an edge in today's game.
TOR
@
ATH
Tue, Sep 8 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-106)
Projection 2.03
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 4th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average ability.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #2 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. In the league, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases (-104)
Projection 2
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George Springer is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #2 stadium in baseball for boosting home runs to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.. In the league, Sutter Health Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate at 92°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
STL
@
SF
Tue, Sep 8 • 9:45 PM ET
Total RBIs
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+174)
Projection 0.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Out of every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.. Jordan Walker has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.5-mph to 96-mph in the last week's worth of games.
Total Bases
Jordan Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+163)
Projection 1.59
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his home run skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jordan Walker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.4-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hitters.. Out of every team today, the 3rd-worst infield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.. Jordan Walker has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.5-mph to 96-mph in the last week's worth of games.
CIN
@
LAD
Tue, Sep 8 • 10:10 PM ET
Total Bases
Tyler Stephenson o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.41
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Dodger Stadium projects as the #3 park in Major League Baseball for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all parks, Dodger Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 96°.
Total Bases
Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-hottest weather on the schedule today at 92°.. Teoscar Hernandez will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Lodolo today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage today.
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Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
It's simple: if you bet the White Sox moneyline over the Red Sox and Chicago wins, you win your bet.
Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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A new and emerging MLB betting market is the NRFI/YRFI bet. These are quick-hitters in which you make a wager on the O/U total of the first inning, typically set at 0.5 runs. Thus, the bet is coined as No Run First Inning or Yes Run First Inning. No need to wait a couple of hours to cash a bet when it could be done in 20 minutes or less.
First Five Innings MLB Picks
The above options, moneyline, run line, and Over/Under, can also be placed on the first five innings of a game rather than the full game. Many experienced bettors will use this approach because, typically, this will take bullpens out of the equation and make your job researching the game easier. After all, you can just focus on the starting pitchers.
MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
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MLB Player Props
Player props are a great way to hone in on an individual matchup for a game. These types of wagers will be individualized for a player: Will Shohei Ohtani hit a home run? Will Gerrit Cole get seven strikeouts? Will Paul Skenes allow two earned runs?
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