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What Is An MLB Computer Pick?
MLB picks are bet suggestions based on our computer's assessment of the game. Tons of betting data goes into a computer pick, including pitching matchups, injury reports, analytics, and even recent betting trends.
MLB Picks
Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on Aug. 4, 2026.
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Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.52 |
+130 
|
o8.5 -116 
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
5.25 |
-142
|
u8.5 +105
|
-1.5 +146 
|
LA Angels
- Under is 5-0 in Angels last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 18-7-2 in Angels last 27 vs. American League East.
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
Baltimore
- Over is 4-0 in Orioles last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Orioles last 4 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Orioles are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.34 |
+216
|
o8.5 -116
|
+1.5 +105
|
|
5.58 |
-240
|
u9.0 -115 
|
-1.5 -116
|
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Nationals last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 8-1 in Nationals last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
Philadelphia
- Under is 6-0 in Phillies last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Phillies are 4-0 in Luzardos last 4 starts during game 2 of a series.
- Phillies are 8-1 in Luzardos last 9 starts vs. National League East.
Top Projection
Kyle Schwarber o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-155)
o1.5 -140
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.68 |
+120
|
o9.0 -114 
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
5.24 |
-126
|
u9.5 -121
|
-1.5 +152
|
Athletics
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in last 5 overall.
Cincinnati
- Under is 5-0 in Singers last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Singers last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-0 in Singers last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Singers last 4 starts vs. American League West.
Top Projection
Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total RBIs (+164)
o0.5 +164
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.34 |
+134
|
o7.5 -112
|
+1.5 -161
|
|
4.60 |
-142
|
u7.5 +100
|
-1.5 +146
|
NY Mets
- Under is 9-0 in Mets last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 8-0 in Manaeas last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Manaeas last 6 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 5-0 in Mets last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Cleveland
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Francisco Lindor o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
o0.5 +210
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.10 |
+146
|
o8.0 -119
|
+1.5 -140
|
|
5.41 |
-161
|
u8.5 -115
|
-1.5 +126
|
St. Louis
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-0 in Cardinals last 6 interleague games.
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 4-0 in Weathers' last 4 interleague starts.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Weathers' last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
Top Projection
Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
o0.5 +215
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.31 |
+115
|
o8.5 -121
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.97 |
-125
|
u9.0 -110 
|
-1.5 +165
|
Chi. White Sox
- White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 8-0 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 vs. American League Central.
Top Projection
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+169)
o0.5 +169
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.48 |
+130
|
o9.0 -120
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
5.54 |
-137
|
u9.5 -120
|
-1.5 +140
|
Miami
- Under is 6-0 in Marlins last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 overall.
Atlanta
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
- Over is 5-0-2 in Sales last 7 starts as a home favorite.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 overall.
- Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Top Projection
Owen Caissie o1.5 Total Bases (+250)
o1.5 +250
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.63 |
+147
|
o7.5 -103
|
+1.5 -155
|
|
4.64 |
-155
|
u7.5 -105
|
-1.5 +150
|
Pittsburgh
- Under is 5-0 in Pirates last 5 during game 2 of a series.
- Pirates are 5-0 in Jones' last 5 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 5-1 in Pirates last 6 games as an underdog.
- Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Brewers are 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts as a home favorite.
- Brewers are 5-0 in Hendersons last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Brewers are 6-0 in Hendersons last 6 home starts.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
Top Projection
Henry Davis o0.5 Total RBIs (+277)
o0.5 +300
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.70 |
-140
|
o9.0 -115
|
-1.5 +114
|
|
4.45 |
+130
|
u9.5 -121
|
+1.5 -126
|
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Twins last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as a favorite.
Kansas City
- Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 during game 1 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Royals last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Royals are 7-1 in their last 8 home games.
Top Projection
Royce Lewis o0.5 Total RBIs (+166)
o0.5 +166
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.68 |
+173
|
o7.5 -120
|
+1.5 -125
|
|
4.95 |
-191
|
u8.0 -115
|
-1.5 +114
|
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 road games.
- Over is 4-1-2 in Giants last 7 vs. American League West.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
Texas
- Over is 11-1 in Rangers last 12 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Rangers last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 14-2 in Rangers last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Top Projection
Drew Gilbert o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+210)
o1.5 +210
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.12 |
-191
|
o8.5 -116
|
-1.5 -125
|
|
3.71 |
+183
|
u9.0 -120
|
+1.5 +109
|
LA Dodgers
- Under is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 games as a road favorite.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 8-0 in Assads last 8 starts as a home favorite.
- Cubs are 6-0 in Assads last 6 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.
- Cubs are 4-0 in Assads last 4 starts as an underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.41 |
+114
|
o8.5 +101
|
+1.5 -183
|
|
4.62 |
-126
|
u8.5 -112
|
-1.5 +164
|
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Blue Jays are 5-1 in their last 6 road games.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 home games.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 6-0 in Astros last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Top Projection
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total RBIs (+187)
o0.5 +187
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.61 |
-138
|
o11.0 -106
|
-1.5 +112
|
|
5.80 |
+129
|
u11.5 -121
|
+1.5 -121
|
Tampa Bay
- Under is 6-0-1 in Rays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 7-1 in Rays last 8 games as a favorite.
Colorado
- Under is 4-0 in Hughes' last 4 starts on grass.
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Hughes' last 4 starts overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Rockies last 5 overall.
Top Projection
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
o0.5 +125
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.61 |
+125
|
o7.5 -126
|
+1.5 -170
|
|
4.27 |
-135
|
u8.0 -108
|
-1.5 +152
|
Detroit
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 overall.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 games as a favorite.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Tigers last 7 on grass.
Seattle
- Over is 6-0-1 in Mariners last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Mariners last 5 games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 vs. American League Central.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
Top Projection
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total Home Runs (+625)
o0.5 +625
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.74 |
+120
|
o8.5 -116
|
+1.5 -175
|
|
4.69 |
-126
|
u9.0 -121
|
-1.5 +160
|
San Diego
- Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 2 of a series.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 overall.
- Padres are 8-1 in their last 9 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Diamondbacks are 5-0 in Rodriguezs last 5 starts vs. National League West.
- Under is 4-0-2 in Rodriguezs last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Top Projection
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+162)
o0.5 +162
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+105
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
Toronto
- Blue Jays are 5-0 in Ceases last 5 starts as a road favorite.
- Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-0 in Blue Jays last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Over is 6-1 in Blue Jays last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Houston
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 5-0 in Astros last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 5-1 in Astros last 6 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-103
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-121
|
-- |
-- |
LA Dodgers
- Under is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 8-2 in Dodgers last 10 during game 3 of a series.
Chi. Cubs
- Cubs are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League West.
- Cubs are 7-1 in their last 8 during game 3 of a series.
- Under is 4-0 in Imanagas last 4 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
- Under is 9-1-1 in Imanagas last 11 starts vs. National League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
San Francisco
- Over is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games as a favorite.
- Over is 3-0-3 in Giants last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 road games.
- Under is 5-1-2 in Giants last 8 overall.
Texas
- Over is 11-1 in Rangers last 12 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 4-0 in Rangers last 4 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
- Over is 14-2 in Rangers last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. National League West.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
+124
|
-- |
-- |
Tampa Bay
- Under is 7-0 in Rays last 7 games as a favorite.
- Under is 7-0 in Martinezs last 7 starts on grass.
- Under is 6-0-1 in Rays last 7 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-0 in Martinezs last 6 interleague starts.
Colorado
- Rockies are 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Rockies are 5-0 in Suganos last 5 home starts.
- Over is 9-1 in Rockies last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
- Under is 4-0 in Suganos last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
LA Angels
- Under is 5-1 in Angels last 6 games as a favorite.
- Under is 18-7-2 in Angels last 27 vs. American League East.
- Under is 6-0 in Angels last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 4-1 in Angels last 5 games as a road underdog.
Baltimore
- Under is 6-1 in Orioles last 7 vs. American League West.
- Orioles are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a home favorite.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 games as an underdog.
- Over is 5-1 in Orioles last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+101
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-126
|
-- |
-- |
NY Mets
- Under is 6-0-1 in Mets last 7 during game 2 of a series.
- Mets are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite.
- Mets are 4-0 in McLeans last 4 starts as a road favorite.
- Under is 4-0 in Mets last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Cleveland
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League East.
- Under is 3-0-1 in Cecconis last 4 starts as a home underdog.
- Guardians are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Guardians last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-142
|
-- |
-- |
Athletics
- Over is 5-0 in last 5 games as an underdog.
- Over is 4-0 in last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 7-1 in last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in last 7 vs. a team with a losing record.
Cincinnati
- Under is 4-0 in Reds last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Lowders last 7 starts as an underdog.
- Under is 5-1 in Lowders last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Under is 4-1 in Reds last 5 home games.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+129
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
Washington
- Nationals are 6-0 in their last 6 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Nationals last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Nationals are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a favorite.
- Over is 6-1 in Irvins last 7 starts with 5 days of rest.
Philadelphia
- Under is 4-0-1 in Phillies last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Phillies last 6 games as a home underdog.
- Under is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 on grass.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+124
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
St. Louis
- Under is 5-0 in Cardinals last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 games as a road underdog.
- Under is 4-0 in Cardinals last 4 interleague games as an underdog.
NY Yankees
- Under is 4-0 in Warrens last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
- Under is 6-1 in Yankees last 7 interleague games as a favorite.
- Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 overall.
- Under is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+119
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-155
|
-- |
-- |
Chi. White Sox
- Over is 5-1 in White Sox last 6 games as an underdog.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 vs. American League East.
- Over is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games as a road underdog.
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Under is 5-0 in Red Sox last 5 games as a favorite.
- Red Sox are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a home favorite.
- Under is 7-1 in Red Sox last 8 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+114
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
Miami
- Under is 5-0 in Marlins last 5 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Marlins last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 4-0 in Marlins last 4 games as a road underdog.
Atlanta
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.
- Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games as a favorite.
- Braves are 5-0 in Holmes' last 5 starts on grass.
- Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-107
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
Minnesota
- Over is 8-0 in Twins last 8 games as a road favorite.
- Under is 5-0-1 in Twins last 6 during game 2 of a series.
- Over is 6-0-1 in Twins last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Under is 5-1 in Twins last 6 games as an underdog.
Kansas City
- Over is 5-0 in Camerons last 5 starts as a favorite.
- Over is 9-0 in Camerons last 9 home starts.
- Over is 4-0 in Camerons last 4 starts as a home favorite.
- Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a home underdog.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-116
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-137
|
-- |
-- |
Pittsburgh
- Over is 5-0 in Skenes' last 5 starts vs. National League Central.
- Over is 4-0-1 in Skenes' last 5 starts as an underdog.
- Pirates are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. National League Central.
- Over is 5-0 in Skenes' last 5 starts as a favorite.
Milwaukee
- Over is 3-0-1 in Brewers last 4 games as an underdog.
- Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Brewers last 5 overall.
- Under is 6-2 in Brewers last 8 during game 3 of a series.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
+124
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-175
|
-- |
-- |
Detroit
- Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 overall.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 games as a favorite.
- Over is 5-0-1 in Tigers last 6 on grass.
- Tigers are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Seattle
- Over is 3-0-1 in Mariners last 4 games as a favorite.
- Under is 6-1 in Mariners last 7 games as a home underdog.
- Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games as a home underdog.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Mariners last 9 overall.
Predicted Score
Team |
Pred. Score |
ML |
Total |
Run Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-- |
-112
|
-- |
-- |
|
|
-- |
-131
|
-- |
-- |
San Diego
- Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 road games.
- Padres are 7-1 in their last 8 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Padres last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Arizona
- Under is 3-0-1 in Diamondbacks last 4 home games.
- Under is 4-0 in Diamondbacks last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Diamondbacks are 4-0 in their last 4 overall.
- Under is 4-0 in Bratts last 4 starts on grass.
LAA
@
BAL
Tue, Aug 4 • 6:35 PM ET
Total Bases
Josh Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+270)
Projection 1.36
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Josh Lowe's BABIP ability is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #9 park in the game for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Josh Lowe's true offensive talent to be a .308, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .050 deviation between that figure and his actual .258 wOBA.
Total Bases
Coby Mayo o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.57
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his home run talent, Coby Mayo ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. The weather report projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Among all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Angels.. Coby Mayo will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
WAS
@
PHI
Tue, Aug 4 • 6:40 PM ET
Spread
PHI -1.5 (-103)
Kyle LaRusic
Publishing Editor
Projected Phils' starter Jesus Luzardo got blasted in his last time out, but before that he had given up just one earned run or less in six straight outings. I think he finds his form against the Nats on Tuesday. Our projections also have the Phillies scoring 5.78 runs, which will provide enough of a cushion to cover.
Total RBIs
CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+253)
Projection 0.42
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, CJ Abrams ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #9 park in the game for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Long-balls are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in the majors.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°.
ATH
@
CIN
Tue, Aug 4 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Tyler Soderstrom o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.2
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Tyler Soderstrom is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. The #5 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 83°.. Tyler Soderstrom will hold the platoon advantage over Brady Singer today... and even more favorably, Singer has a huge platoon split.
Total Bases
Lawrence Butler o1.5 Total Bases (+154)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The #5 field in baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 83°.. Given Brady Singer's huge platoon split, Lawrence Butler will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.. Lawrence Butler has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. Among every team playing today, the 4th-worst outfield defense belongs to the Cincinnati Reds.
NYM
@
CLE
Tue, Aug 4 • 6:40 PM ET
Total Bases
A.J. Ewing o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.6
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects A.J. Ewing as the 9th-best batter in the league as it relates to his BABIP talent.. A.J. Ewing is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. The #3 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. A.J. Ewing has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs
Rhys Hoskins o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.63
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Rhys Hoskins is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Progressive Field profiles as the #3 stadium in baseball for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. Because of Sean Manaea's large platoon split, Rhys Hoskins will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Rhys Hoskins pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
STL
@
NYY
Tue, Aug 4 • 7:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+219)
Projection 0.53
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. In MLB, Yankee Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Weathers throws from, Ivan Herrera will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Ivan Herrera has put up a .367 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 92nd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total RBIs
Ben Rice o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.68
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Ben Rice ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. In MLB, Yankee Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.. Ben Rice will have the handedness advantage over Hunter Dobbins in today's game.. The St. Louis Cardinals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Ben Rice is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game.
CHW
@
BOS
Tue, Aug 4 • 7:10 PM ET
Total Hits
Randal Grichuk u0.5 Total Hits (+141)
Projection 0.74
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
This year, Randal Grichuk has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 67% of his appearances when starting against lefty on the mound.. Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the strongest out of every team playing today.. Randal Grichuk will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.. Randal Grichuk's average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 92.5-mph mark last season has dropped to 90.4-mph.
Total RBIs
Caleb Durbin o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.56
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Caleb Durbin is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 stadium in the game for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 4th-hottest temperature of all games today at 82°.. Caleb Durbin pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Caleb Durbin will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
MIA
@
ATL
Tue, Aug 4 • 7:15 PM ET
Total Bases
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+165)
Projection 1.75
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Truist Park ranks as the #5 stadium in MLB for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Austin Riley hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.
Total Bases
Javier Sanoja o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.52
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Truist Park ranks as the #5 stadium in MLB for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Javier Sanoja's launch angle recently (27.1° in the past two weeks) is significantly higher than his 13.4° seasonal figure.
PIT
@
MIL
Tue, Aug 4 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Henry Davis o1.5 Total Bases (+267)
Projection 1.36
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
American Family Field profiles as the #6 ballpark in baseball for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the lowest average fence height among all parks.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 5th-most favorable hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Henry Davis's launch angle recently (44.3° in the last 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 19.9° seasonal mark.
Total Bases
Spencer Horwitz o1.5 Total Bases (+190)
Projection 1.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. The #6 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.. In Major League Baseball, American Family Field's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. American Family Field has the lowest average fence height among all parks.
MIN
@
KC
Tue, Aug 4 • 7:40 PM ET
Total Bases
John Rave u1.5 Total Bases (-245)
Projection 0.69
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects John Rave in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. John Rave is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.. This year, John Rave has been pinch hit for in 31% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. John Rave pulls many of his flyballs (35.2% — 83rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's deepest RF fences today.. As it relates to his home runs, John Rave has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His 17.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 10.1.
Total Bases
Kody Clemens o1.5 Total Bases (-111)
Projection 2.2
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Kody Clemens ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kody Clemens is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The #7 field in Major League Baseball for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
SF
@
TEX
Tue, Aug 4 • 8:05 PM ET
Total Bases
Jake Burger o1.5 Total Bases (+170)
Projection 1.64
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Globe Life Field has the 2nd-lowest fences in MLB.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage today.. Jake Burger has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.2% seasonal rate to 19.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games.. Jake Burger has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.9-mph figure.
Total Bases
Brandon Nimmo o1.5 Total Bases (+116)
Projection 1.8
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 2nd-lowest fences in MLB.. Hitting from the opposite that Blade Tidwell throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an advantage in today's game.. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Nimmo can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
LAD
@
CHC
Tue, Aug 4 • 8:05 PM ET
Total RBIs
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+231)
Projection 0.49
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. Wrigley Field has the 7th-shallowest left field fences among all major league stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs
Alex Bregman o0.5 Total RBIs (+236)
Projection 0.47
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Alex Bregman will have the upper hand today.. Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.. Alex Bregman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
TOR
@
HOU
Tue, Aug 4 • 8:10 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Yainer Diaz o0.5 Total Home Runs (+850)
Projection 0.13
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The #8 ballpark in the league for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Yainer Diaz will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Yainer Diaz has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 5.8% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the past week's worth of games.. In the last week's worth of games, Yainer Diaz's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 102.4-mph recently.
Total Bases
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+132)
Projection 1.77
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 3rd-best batter in baseball when assessing his batting average skill.. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.. Despite posting a .307 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been unlucky given the .060 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .367.. Based on Statcast metrics, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is in the 100th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .327.. As it relates to plate discipline, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.'s ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.3 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 93rd percentile.
TB
@
COL
Tue, Aug 4 • 8:40 PM ET
Total Bases
Taylor Walls o1.5 Total Bases (+185)
Projection 1.46
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Coors Field profiles as the #1 park in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. There has been a significant improvement in Taylor Walls's launch angle from last season's 14.9° to 19.3° this season.
Total Bases
Hunter Goodman o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.19
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Hunter Goodman as the game's 13th-best home run hitter.. Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.. Coors Field profiles as the #1 park in the league for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The Tampa Bay Rays infield defense grades out as the weakest out of all the teams in action today.
DET
@
SEA
Tue, Aug 4 • 9:40 PM ET
Total Hits
Dominic Canzone u0.5 Total Hits (+190)
Projection 0.83
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Dominic Canzone has been pinch hit for 27% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. The #1 venue in the league for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. Dominic Canzone has been lucky this year, posting a .361 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .334 — a .027 difference.
Total Bases
Zach McKinstry o1.5 Total Bases (+260)
Projection 1.19
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
T-Mobile Park has the 5th-shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest among all major league stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Emerson Hancock throws from, Zach McKinstry will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of every team today.. Zach McKinstry has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 89.3-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 85.3-mph EV.
SD
@
AZ
Tue, Aug 4 • 9:40 PM ET
Total RBIs
Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+162)
Projection 0.72
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Chase Field ranks as the #4 venue in baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Manny Machado will have an advantage in today's game.
Total Bases
Xander Bogaerts o1.5 Total Bases (+175)
Projection 1.48
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Xander Bogaerts's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Chase Field ranks as the #4 venue in baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Eduardo Rodriguez throws from, Xander Bogaerts will have the upper hand in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Xander Bogaerts's true offensive ability to be a .328, suggesting that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .041 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .287 wOBA.
TOR
@
CHC
Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer.
Total Hits
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits (-130)
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst
ATL
@
CHW
Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-105)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.
Moneyline
ATL (-112)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.
BOS
@
NYY
Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
Total
o8.5 (-110)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.
Moneyline
NYY (-135)
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.
SF
@
ATL
Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
Total
o7.5 (-116)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.
Moneyline
SF (+124)
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.
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Moneyline
This is the most common and easiest wager for a bettor to make when it comes to MLB picks. Basically, to win an MLB moneyline pick, you just have to choose which team will win the game.
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Run line
The run line is another name for a point spread that you may be more familiar with in NBA and NFL betting. A point spread varies in the NFL and NBA from as little as 0.5 points up to double-digit spreads. A baseball run line is almost always a 1.5-point spread.
The favorite will be -1.5 while the underdog will be +1.5. At the end of the game, if you take away 1.5 runs from the favorite or add 1.5 runs to the underdog and they end up winning the game, you win your MLB pick against the spread.
Totals (Over/Under)
Another common wager is to bet on the total in baseball, which is a bet on the total runs scored in the baseball game. You are simply choosing whether the final score will be Over or Under that total. Betting the Over/Under on a matchup is a great way to get started in MLB score predictions.
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MLB Picks And Parlays
If you want to combine multiple games into one mega wager, you may consider making a parlay bet. A parlay is when you pick two or more MLB games on one single betting ticket, which will increase the payout of your bet.
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MLB Free Picks FAQs
When do we release our MLB picks?
Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.
What kinds of MLB picks do we make?
Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.
