MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on July 26, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

Cleveland Guardians logo CLE @ Tampa Bay Rays logo TB Sun, Jul 26 • 12:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jonny DeLuca logo
Jonny DeLuca u1.5 Total Bases (-235)
Projection 0.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -12° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among every team in action today.. Over the last two weeks, Jonny DeLuca's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 84 mph to 77.7 mph.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jonny DeLuca's true offensive talent to be a .291, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .029 gap between that mark and his actual .320 wOBA.. Using Statcast metrics, Jonny DeLuca is in the 16th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .244.
Total Home Runs
Cedric Mullins logo
Cedric Mullins o0.5 Total Home Runs (+850)
Projection 0.14
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Cedric Mullins ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Cedric Mullins has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (62% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best field in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs.. Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (40% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Cedric Mullins will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
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Chicago Cubs logo CHC @ Pittsburgh Pirates logo PIT Sun, Jul 26 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Henry Davis logo
Henry Davis o1.5 Total Bases (+215)
Projection 1.5
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Henry Davis will hold that advantage in today's game.. Henry Davis has been unlucky this year, compiling a .269 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .047 gap.
Total Bases
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Over the past 14 days, Brandon Lowe's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.1%.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Boston Red Sox logo BOS Sun, Jul 26 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Wilyer Abreu logo
Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+166)
Projection 0.68
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in the league.. Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kevin Gausman today.
Total RBIs
Kazuma Okamoto logo
Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total RBIs (+184)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kazuma Okamoto in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Kazuma Okamoto is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Kazuma Okamoto will have the upper hand today.. Kazuma Okamoto pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.
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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Baltimore Orioles logo BAL Sun, Jul 26 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Drake Baldwin logo
Drake Baldwin o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2.06
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drake Baldwin in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Drake Baldwin is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.. The #6 field in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Drake Baldwin will have the handedness advantage against Shane Baz in today's game.. Drake Baldwin has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.5-mph average to last year's 94.2-mph EV.
Total Bases
Jackson Holliday logo
Jackson Holliday o1.5 Total Bases (+265)
Projection 1.42
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. The #6 field in the league for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. Jackson Holliday will have the handedness advantage against Reynaldo Lopez in today's game.. Extreme flyball batters like Jackson Holliday usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Reynaldo Lopez.. Jackson Holliday will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
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Arizona Diamondbacks logo AZ @ Washington Nationals logo WAS Sun, Jul 26 • 1:35 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Andres Chaparro logo
Andres Chaparro u0.5 Total Hits (+120)
Projection 0.62
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Andres Chaparro's BABIP talent is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Andres Chaparro has been pulled from the game early 71% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst park in baseball for RHB batting average.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams today.
Total Hits
Dylan Crews logo
Dylan Crews u0.5 Total Hits (+178)
Projection 0.88
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst park in baseball for RHB batting average.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams today.. Dylan Crews's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 92.9-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 86.9-mph in the last week.. Dylan Crews's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 37.2% on the season to 18.8% over the last 14 days.
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San Diego Padres logo SD @ Miami Marlins logo MIA Sun, Jul 26 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Hits
Jake Cronenworth logo
Jake Cronenworth u0.5 Total Hits (+180)
Projection 0.89
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -12° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Jake Cronenworth has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 9th-deepest LF fences today.. Jake Cronenworth will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Jake Cronenworth has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 5.8% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past two weeks' worth of games.
Total Hits
Kyle Stowers logo
Kyle Stowers u0.5 Total Hits (+185)
Projection 0.91
Best Odds
Pick made: a minute ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which tends to lead to less offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -12° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Kyle Stowers pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 80th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 4th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup.. In the last two weeks, Kyle Stowers's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.2% down to 0%.. Posting a 3.47 K/BB rate this year, Kyle Stowers has displayed bad plate discipline, checking in at the 20th percentile.
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Los Angeles Dodgers logo LAD @ New York Mets logo NYM Sun, Jul 26 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Mookie Betts logo
Mookie Betts o1.5 Total Bases (+134)
Projection 1.76
Best Odds
Pick made: 9 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. In the last week, Mookie Betts's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.4% up to 16.7%.. Mookie Betts's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 19.1% on the season to 33.3% in the last week.
Total Bases
Francisco Lindor logo
Francisco Lindor o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.78
Best Odds
Pick made: 22 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Citi Field.. Francisco Lindor will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Francisco Lindor has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 9.1% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last week's worth of games.
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Kansas City Royals logo KC @ Detroit Tigers logo DET Sun, Jul 26 • 1:40 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Kevin McGonigle logo
Kevin McGonigle o0.5 Total RBIs (+186)
Projection 0.64
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin McGonigle in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Kevin McGonigle is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Comerica Park is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Kevin McGonigle will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luinder Avila today.
Total RBIs
Gleyber Torres logo
Gleyber Torres o0.5 Total RBIs (+203)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. On average, the fence height at Comerica Park is the lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. The weather report expects temperatures in this contest to reach the 5th-highest level of all games on the slate today at 85°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
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Houston Astros logo HOU @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Sun, Jul 26 • 2:10 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Houston Astros logo HOU (-103)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

This matchup sits at flat pick 'em odds on the board. Houston’s bullpen leads the entire slate with an elite 23.4 percent K-BB rate over the last two weeks. Backing Ronel Blanco and the Astros at nearly even money against a struggling White Sox lineup (85 wRC+) offers strong value. 

Total RBIs
Isaac Paredes logo
Isaac Paredes o0.5 Total RBIs (+193)
Projection 0.65
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Isaac Paredes is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #8 field in the majors for boosting offensive stats to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (46.4% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 99th percentile with a 23.9° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in the majors.
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Colorado Rockies logo COL @ Milwaukee Brewers logo MIL Sun, Jul 26 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Jackson Chourio logo
Jackson Chourio o1.5 Total Bases (-119)
Projection 2.29
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jackson Chourio's batting average ability is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Chourio is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. American Family Field grades out as the #9 venue in the game for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense.
Total Bases
William Contreras logo
William Contreras o1.5 Total Bases (+101)
Projection 1.99
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. American Family Field grades out as the #9 venue in the game for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 4th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Built 602 feet above sea level, American Family Field has the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums, which often leads to better offense.
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Athletics Athletics logo ATH @ Minnesota Twins logo MIN Sun, Jul 26 • 2:10 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Connor Prielipp logo
Connor Prielipp u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-147)
Projection 2.96
Best Odds
Pick made: 29 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Connor Prielipp to have a pitch count today, projecting a maximum of 47 pitches.. It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Chad Fairchild) behind the plate in this game.. The #7 park in the game for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which generally leads to higher offensive output.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 93°.
Total Bases
Brooks Lee logo
Brooks Lee o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.53
Best Odds
Pick made: 37 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of the day at 93°.. The Athletics outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among all the teams today.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Brooks Lee will hold that advantage in today's game.
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Cincinnati Reds logo CIN @ St. Louis Cardinals logo STL Sun, Jul 26 • 2:15 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total Bases
Sal Stewart logo
Sal Stewart o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 1.89
Best Odds
Pick made: 23 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Sal Stewart ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Sal Stewart is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games today at 93°.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.
Total Bases
Alec Burleson logo
Alec Burleson o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.63
Best Odds
Pick made: 24 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Among all major league stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the hottest weather of all games today at 93°.. The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of every team playing today.
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Seattle Mariners logo SEA @ Texas Rangers logo TEX Sun, Jul 26 • 2:35 PM ET
1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks
Moneyline
Seattle Mariners logo SEA (-107)
Best Odds
Pick made: 12 hours ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Betting against Jacob deGrom requires caution, but Texas’s overall bullpen metrics have cratered recently, sitting at a 166 ERA- and 5.15 xFIP. Seattle’s pitching group remains far more reliable with Logan Gilbert taking the ball. Getting Seattle near pick 'em odds (-104) offers strong value.

Total RBIs
Wyatt Langford logo
Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total RBIs (+247)
Projection 0.54
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Globe Life Field has the 5th-lowest average fence height.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 5th-worst among all the teams today.. Wyatt Langford will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
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Los Angeles Angels logo LAA @ San Francisco Giants logo SF Sun, Jul 26 • 4:05 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.66
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 19.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters.. Mike Trout will hold the platoon advantage over Carson Whisenhunt in today's game.. With a .358 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Mike Trout is positioned in the 88th percentile for offensive skills.
Total Bases
Mike Trout logo
Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.9
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 6th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 19.2-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for batters.. Mike Trout will hold the platoon advantage over Carson Whisenhunt in today's game.. With a .358 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Mike Trout is positioned in the 88th percentile for offensive skills.
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New York Yankees logo NYY @ Philadelphia Phillies logo PHI Sun, Jul 26 • 7:20 PM ET
10 Computer Picks
Total RBIs
Bryson Stott logo
Bryson Stott o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.51
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Because of Will Warren's large platoon split, Bryson Stott will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.. Bryson Stott has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Brandon Marsh logo
Brandon Marsh o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.56
Best Odds
Pick made: 3 minutes ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Marsh is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.. Given Will Warren's large platoon split, Brandon Marsh will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.. Brandon Marsh has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
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Toronto Blue Jays logo TOR @ Chicago Cubs logo CHC Thu, Aug 6 • 2:20 PM ET
4 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total Home Runs
Kazuma Okamoto logo Kazuma Okamoto o0.5 Total Home Runs (+365)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Okamoto's hitting profile perfectly matches up well against Imanaga’s stuff. The Cubs starter throws a heavy dose of the fastball and gets barreled up at a 10.4% rate. The Jays third baseman barrels the ball better than anyone in the Blue Jays lineup with a 13.5% barrel rate, while owning a 63.2% hard hit rate against the four-seamer. 

3 LEG PARLAY
Dansby Swanson profile picture
Dansby Swanson u0.5 Total Hits
Total Hits
Dylan Cease profile picture
Dylan Cease o6.5 Strikeouts Thrown
Strikeouts Thrown
George Springer profile picture
George Springer o1.5 Total Bases
Total Bases
Bet now
Pick made: one month ago
Mike DiStefano image
Mike DiStefano
Betting Analyst

Swanson is just 1-for-6 against Cease in his career. Cease has electric stuff, leading the American League with 110 Ks, while ranking in the 97th percentile in K-rate. Springer is turning a corner with a 1.089 OPS over his last nine games.

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Atlanta Braves logo ATL @ Chicago White Sox logo CHW Thu, Aug 20 • 2:10 PM ET
5 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Atlanta Braves logo Chicago White Sox logo o8.5 (-105)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Atlanta and Chicago send two of the best lineups in baseball to the dish, and they respectively rank eighth and third in wOBA against lefties for the campaign. The two clubs have also trended to the Over, and I'm particularly expecting White Sox southpaw Anthony Kay to struggle considering he's saddled with the fifth-highest xERA in baseball among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings this year.

Moneyline
Atlanta Braves logo ATL (-112)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

I'm fading Chicago White Sox lefty Anthony Kay on Thursday. He's sporting the fifth-highest xERA among the 100 pitchers with at least 60 innings, after all. Plus, the Atlanta Braves enter ranked eighth in wOBA against southpaws for the season and sixth in overall xwOBA across the past 14 days.

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Boston Red Sox logo BOS @ New York Yankees logo NYY Sat, Aug 29 • 1:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 10 Computer Picks
Total
Boston Red Sox logo New York Yankees logo o8.5 (-110)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

The Yankees rank Top-3 in OPS, ISO, OBP, xWOBA, and hard hit rate when facing left-handed pitching. The Red Sox have hit righties very well over the past four weeks, sitting ninth in wOBA, ninth in ISO, and fourth in batting average. Play the Over to -120.

Moneyline
New York Yankees logo NYY (-135)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Todd Cordell image
Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst

Ranger Suarez has started four games against teams ranking Top-10 in OPS vs. left-handed pitching, allowing 13 runs and posting a 6.13 ERA during those games. The New York Yankees lead the majors in OPS against lefties so they’re a prime candidate to cause Suarez problems. Playable to -145.

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San Francisco Giants logo SF @ Atlanta Braves logo ATL Mon, Aug 31 • 6:05 PM ET
2 Expert Picks 1 Computer Pick
Total
San Francisco Giants logo Atlanta Braves logo o7.5 (-116)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and are fourth in xwOBA while averaging 5.5 runs per game across the past 30 days, and the Braves ranks ninth in wOBA against right-handed pitchers and third in overall xwOBA, so I think this total is too low.

Moneyline
San Francisco Giants logo SF (+124)
Best Odds
Pick made: one month ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

The Braves have dropped five of six while averaging just 2.8 runs per game and ranking 29th in wOBA without Ronald Acuna Jr. (hamstring), and it’s been a smoke-and-mirrors start for veteran lefty Martin Perez, and there’s serious statistical correction ahead of his .230 BABIP and 80.2% strand rate considering they’re both high-end marks about pitchers with at least 60 innings this season. San Francisco is just the offense to kick-start the regression, too. The Giants are pacing the majors in wOBA and fourth in xwOBA over the past 30 days, after all.

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Run lines are what other sports like football and basketball refer to as point spreads. Run lines even the odds between two teams, offering bettors as close to an even matchup as possible. Our analysts research vital stats, pitching matchups, injuries, and more to give you the best possible edge before making your MLB run line bets.

Free MLB Totals Picks

Covers’ analysts make MLB Over/Under picks throughout the baseball season. Betting on MLB Over/Unders means choosing whether you think the combined total runs scored in a game will be Over or Under a specific run total set by oddsmakers.

Free MLB Moneyline Picks

Betting on the MLB moneyline means picking which team will win a game outright. While less common than picking the run line or even a prop, our analysts will always look for high-value baseball moneyline picks if they feel it’s the best bet.

Free MLB Prop Picks

There’s always value in MLB props. Our team scours through game, team, and player props to try and find opportunity and value. From strikeouts to home runs, expect well-researched MLB prop picks from Covers.

MLB Consensus Picks

Covers’ consensus MLB picks show you the odds and predictions that our vibrant community of bettors and players are making. Try our picks on with our free MLB contests for a chance at prizes and more.

Best Baseball Betting Sites

If you’re ready to bet on MLB picks, you first need to find the right sportsbook. The best MLB betting sites offer secure banking, best odds, bonuses, and reliable customer service.

More Free Picks

Covers’ staff of sports betting fans also offers a wide array of free picks for the NFL, NBA, NHL, NCAA basketball, and NCAA football.

MLB Free Picks FAQs

When do we release our MLB picks?

Covers’ MLB picks release on game day. Some significant matchups like playoff games release in the days leading up to the game.

What kinds of MLB picks do we make?

Covers provides free MLB picks covering many markets, including run lines, totals, moneylines, player props, and more.