Cleveland vs Tampa Bay Picks & Props
CLE vs TB Picks
MLB PicksEV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Jose Ramirez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best field in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs.. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.1% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme flyball hitters like Jose Ramirez tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Junior Caminero projects as the 15th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #3 park in MLB for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Junior Caminero will have an edge in today's matchup.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (39.7% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cedric Mullins has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (62% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best field in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs.. Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (40% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Cedric Mullins will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -12° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among every team in action today.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Ryan Vilade is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.. The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -12° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Today, Ryan Vilade is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.9% rate (98th percentile).. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the 2nd-strongest among every team in action today.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 8th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #3 park in MLB for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Yandy Diaz will have the upper hand in today's game.. Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best field in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs.. Batting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Batters such as Kyle Manzardo with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Drew Rasmussen who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Junior Caminero projects as the 15th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Tropicana Field grades out as the #3 park in MLB for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Parker Messick throws from, Junior Caminero will have an edge in today's matchup.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (39.7% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Cedric Mullins has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (62% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best field in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs.. Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (40% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Cedric Mullins will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jonathan Aranda's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 3rd-best field in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs.. Jonathan Aranda has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Jonathan Aranda will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
CLE vs TB Consensus Picks
CLE vs TB Props
| GAME & PLAYER PROPS | PROJECTIONS | ANALYSIS | BEST ODDS | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
MONEYLINE
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL
|
|||||||
|
SPREAD
CLE
+1.5 spread
-0.18
PROJECTION
-1.7
DIFFERENCE
5.16%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
J. DeLuca
(RF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.78
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
7.63%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
R. Vilade
(RF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.66
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
5.44%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
T. Bazzana
(2B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.80
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
3.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
B. Williamson
(2B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.78
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
2.99%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
Y. Diaz
(DH)
0.5 Total Hits
1.07
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
1.89%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
J. Caminero
(3B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.98
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
0.88%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
C. Simpson
(LF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.95
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
0.33%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
J. Aranda
(1B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.88
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
0.08%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
S. Kwan
(CF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.97
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-4.66%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
C. Mullins
(CF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.72
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
P. Halpin
(CF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.66
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.81%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
A. Martinez
(LF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.81
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-7.11%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HITS
P. Bailey
(C)
0.5 Total Hits
0.67
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-8.38%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
J. Ramirez
(3B)
1.5 Total Bases
1.76
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
14.23%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
J. Caminero
(3B)
1.5 Total Bases
1.92
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
13%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
C. Mullins
(CF)
1.5 Total Bases
1.29
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
11.4%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
J. DeLuca
(RF)
1.5 Total Bases
0.78
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
9.86%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
R. Vilade
(RF)
1.5 Total Bases
0.66
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
8.66%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
Y. Diaz
(DH)
1.5 Total Bases
1.77
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
8.54%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
J. Aranda
(1B)
1.5 Total Bases
0.88
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
5.95%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
P. Halpin
(CF)
1.5 Total Bases
1.05
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
5.59%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
B. Rocchio
(SS)
1.5 Total Bases
1.19
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-4.75%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
C. Simpson
(LF)
1.5 Total Bases
1.11
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.62%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
B. Williamson
(2B)
1.5 Total Bases
1.09
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-6.47%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL BASES
P. Bailey
(C)
1.5 Total Bases
0.67
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
K. Manzardo
(1B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.18
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
17.42%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
J. Aranda
(1B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.25%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL HOME RUNS
P. Bailey
(C)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
|
|||||||
|
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
D. Rasmussen
(SP)
5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.49
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-0.73%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
J. Caminero
(3B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.72
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
16.36%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
C. Mullins
(CF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.49
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
15.07%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
J. Aranda
(1B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.43
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
11.55%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
B. Rocchio
(SS)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.37
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
0.93%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
S. Kwan
(CF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.24
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-2.74%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
C. Simpson
(LF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.24
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-3.33%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
B. Williamson
(2B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.26
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.68%
EV
|
|||||||
|
TOTAL RBIS
R. Vilade
(RF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.34
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-6.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J. Caminero
(3B)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.35
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
14.11%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J. Ramirez
(3B)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.15
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
13.54%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
T. Bazzana
(2B)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.69
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
10.9%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
C. Mullins
(CF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.64
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
7.66%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Y. Diaz
(DH)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.17
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
4.22%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J. DeLuca
(RF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.57
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
2.44%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
P. Bailey
(C)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.30
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
2.21%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
C. Simpson
(LF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.43
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
2.1%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
B. Williamson
(2B)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.33
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-1.21%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
S. Kwan
(CF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.61
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-3.53%
EV
|
|||||||
|
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
R. Vilade
(RF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.33
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-6.05%
EV
|
|||||||
- Proj. Diff: Low to High
- Proj. Diff: High to Low
- Proj. Rating: Low to High
- Proj. Rating: High to Low
- +EV: Low to High
- +EV: High to Low
MONEYLINE
TOTAL
SPREAD
CLE
+1.5 spread
-0.18
PROJECTION
-1.7
DIFFERENCE
5.16%
EV
TOTAL HITS
J. DeLuca
(RF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.78
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
7.63%
EV
TOTAL HITS
R. Vilade
(RF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.66
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
5.44%
EV
TOTAL HITS
T. Bazzana
(2B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.80
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
3.08%
EV
TOTAL HITS
B. Williamson
(2B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.78
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
2.99%
EV
TOTAL HITS
Y. Diaz
(DH)
0.5 Total Hits
1.07
PROJECTION
+0.6
DIFFERENCE
1.89%
EV
TOTAL HITS
J. Caminero
(3B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.98
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
0.88%
EV
TOTAL HITS
C. Simpson
(LF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.95
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
0.33%
EV
TOTAL HITS
J. Aranda
(1B)
0.5 Total Hits
0.88
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
0.08%
EV
TOTAL HITS
S. Kwan
(CF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.97
PROJECTION
+0.5
DIFFERENCE
-4.66%
EV
TOTAL HITS
C. Mullins
(CF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.72
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.62%
EV
TOTAL HITS
P. Halpin
(CF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.66
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-5.81%
EV
TOTAL HITS
A. Martinez
(LF)
0.5 Total Hits
0.81
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
-7.11%
EV
TOTAL HITS
P. Bailey
(C)
0.5 Total Hits
0.67
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
-8.38%
EV
TOTAL BASES
J. Ramirez
(3B)
1.5 Total Bases
1.76
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
14.23%
EV
TOTAL BASES
J. Caminero
(3B)
1.5 Total Bases
1.92
PROJECTION
+0.4
DIFFERENCE
13%
EV
TOTAL BASES
C. Mullins
(CF)
1.5 Total Bases
1.29
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
11.4%
EV
TOTAL BASES
J. DeLuca
(RF)
1.5 Total Bases
0.78
PROJECTION
-0.7
DIFFERENCE
9.86%
EV
TOTAL BASES
R. Vilade
(RF)
1.5 Total Bases
0.66
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
8.66%
EV
TOTAL BASES
Y. Diaz
(DH)
1.5 Total Bases
1.77
PROJECTION
+0.3
DIFFERENCE
8.54%
EV
TOTAL BASES
J. Aranda
(1B)
1.5 Total Bases
0.88
PROJECTION
-0.6
DIFFERENCE
5.95%
EV
TOTAL BASES
P. Halpin
(CF)
1.5 Total Bases
1.05
PROJECTION
-0.5
DIFFERENCE
5.59%
EV
TOTAL BASES
B. Rocchio
(SS)
1.5 Total Bases
1.19
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-4.75%
EV
TOTAL BASES
C. Simpson
(LF)
1.5 Total Bases
1.11
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.62%
EV
TOTAL BASES
B. Williamson
(2B)
1.5 Total Bases
1.09
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-6.47%
EV
TOTAL BASES
P. Bailey
(C)
1.5 Total Bases
0.67
PROJECTION
-0.8
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
K. Manzardo
(1B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.18
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
17.42%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
J. Aranda
(1B)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.12
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-5.25%
EV
TOTAL HOME RUNS
P. Bailey
(C)
0.5 Total Home Runs
0.08
PROJECTION
-0.4
DIFFERENCE
-30%
EV
STRIKEOUTS THROWN
D. Rasmussen
(SP)
5.5 Strikeouts Thrown
5.49
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
-0.73%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
J. Caminero
(3B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.72
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
16.36%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
C. Mullins
(CF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.49
PROJECTION
0.0
DIFFERENCE
15.07%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
J. Aranda
(1B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.43
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
11.55%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
B. Rocchio
(SS)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.37
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
0.93%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
S. Kwan
(CF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.24
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-2.74%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
C. Simpson
(LF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.24
PROJECTION
-0.3
DIFFERENCE
-3.33%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
B. Williamson
(2B)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.26
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-4.68%
EV
TOTAL RBIS
R. Vilade
(RF)
0.5 Total RBIs
0.34
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-6.22%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J. Caminero
(3B)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.35
PROJECTION
+0.9
DIFFERENCE
14.11%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J. Ramirez
(3B)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.15
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
13.54%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
T. Bazzana
(2B)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.69
PROJECTION
+0.2
DIFFERENCE
10.9%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
C. Mullins
(CF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.64
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
7.66%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
Y. Diaz
(DH)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
2.17
PROJECTION
+0.7
DIFFERENCE
4.22%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
J. DeLuca
(RF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.57
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
2.44%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
P. Bailey
(C)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.30
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
2.21%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
C. Simpson
(LF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.43
PROJECTION
-0.1
DIFFERENCE
2.1%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
B. Williamson
(2B)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.33
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-1.21%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
S. Kwan
(CF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.61
PROJECTION
+0.1
DIFFERENCE
-3.53%
EV
HITS+RUNS+RBIS
R. Vilade
(RF)
1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs
1.33
PROJECTION
-0.2
DIFFERENCE
-6.05%
EV
Recent Form Trends
Rays are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. American League Central.
Guardians are 7-0 in Messicks last 7 starts as an underdog.
Over is 4-0-1 in Rays last 5 home games.
Guardians are 6-0 in Messicks last 6 starts as a road underdog.
Under is 6-0 in Messicks last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0-1 in Rays last 5 on fieldturf.
Under is 7-0 in Guardians last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 games as an underdog.
ROI Trends
Check back shortly to see trends for each team.