MLB Picks

Get free expert and computer MLB picks for every game on April 22, 2026. With over 25 years of betting experience, our analysts and predictive models help you find the best value.

STL @

MIA Wed, Apr 22 • 12:10 PM ET

8 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Kyle Stowers u0.5 Total Hits (+196)

Projection 0.91

Best Odds

u0.5 +196

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +196

u0.5 +190

u0.5 +176

u0.5 +185

LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. Kyle Stowers pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-deepest RF fences today.. The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of every team today.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.272) provides evidence that Kyle Stowers has been lucky since the start of last season with his .291 actual batting average.

+196 at DraftKings

Total Hits

Jakob Marsee u0.5 Total Hits (+180)

Projection 0.86

Best Odds

u0.5 +180

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +173

u0.5 +180

u0.5 +167

u0.5 +165

The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of every team today.

+180 at bet365

View 8 Picks

HOU @

CLE Wed, Apr 22 • 1:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Yordan Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases (+115)

Projection 2.07

Best Odds

o1.5 +115

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +112

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +115

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the league.. Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. The #3 field in baseball for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.. Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Yordan Alvarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee in today's game.

+115 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Kyle Manzardo u1.5 Total Bases (-235)

Projection 0.69

Best Odds

u1.5 -235

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -235

View 10 Picks

CIN @

TB Wed, Apr 22 • 1:10 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Ryan Vilade u0.5 Total Hits (+135)

Projection 0.66

Best Odds

u0.5 +135

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +121

u0.5 +120

u0.5 +135

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Vilade in the 12th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Tropicana Field as the 4th-worst venue in the game for righty BABIP.. Ryan Vilade hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 89th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 9th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup.. Among every team playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.. Ryan Vilade's footspeed has fallen off this season. His 27.54 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.69 ft/sec now.

+135 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+120)

Projection 1.93

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +117

o1.5 +110

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +112

o1.5 +120

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Junior Caminero is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 8° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Junior Caminero will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Williamson in today's matchup.. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

+120 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

BAL @

KC Wed, Apr 22 • 2:10 PM ET

1 Expert Pick 10 Computer Picks

Moneyline

KC (-124)

Best Odds

-130

Pick made: 4 hours ago

-136

-135

-130

-135

-130

Chris Bassitt has been hit hard in four starts, giving up 23 hits in 16 innings, while giving up 11 runs. The Royals are in desperate need of a win to snap their nine-game losing streak, and I say as home favorites, this line is telling you all you need to know.

Total Hits

Michael Massey u0.5 Total Hits (+150)

Projection 0.76

Best Odds

u0.5 +150

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +145

u0.5 +150

u0.5 +145

u0.5 +150

Michael Massey's BABIP talent is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Michael Massey is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today's game.. Today, Michael Massey is at a disadvantage facing the league's deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.1% rate (94th percentile).

+150 at bet365

View 11 Picks

TOR @

LAA Wed, Apr 22 • 3:07 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Jesus Sanchez u0.5 Total Hits (+152)

Projection 0.76

Best Odds

u0.5 +152

Pick made: 28 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +125

u0.5 +152

u0.5 +145

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Jesus Sanchez has been pulled from the game early 18% of the time.. Jesus Sanchez has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will be challenged by baseball's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jesus Sanchez today.. Jesus Sanchez's speed has dropped off this year. His 27.01 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25 ft/sec now.. In the last week's worth of games, Jesus Sanchez's swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 0% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

+152 at Caesars

Total Hits

Nathan Lukes u0.5 Total Hits (+175)

Projection 0.78

Best Odds

u0.5 +175

Pick made: 14 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +155

u0.5 +169

u0.5 +175

Nathan Lukes has been pinch hit for 35% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.. Nathan Lukes has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball batters like Nathan Lukes tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Soriano.. Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nathan Lukes today.. Nathan Lukes has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 5% rate last year has fallen off to 0% this season.

+175 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

ATH @

SEA Wed, Apr 22 • 4:10 PM ET

6 Computer Picks

Hits+Runs+RBIs

Nick Kurtz o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+120)

Projection 1.86

Best Odds

o1.5 +120

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +120

o1.5 -105

o1.5 +115

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nick Kurtz as Major League Baseball's 9th-best home run batter.. Nick Kurtz is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game.. In MLB, T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Nick Kurtz will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert today.

+120 at bet365

Hits+Runs+RBIs

Shea Langeliers o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (+100)

Projection 1.99

Best Odds

o1.5 +100

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +100

o1.5 -110

o1.5 -105

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Shea Langeliers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. In MLB, T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.6-mph in this contest, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Shea Langeliers pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

+100 at bet365

View 6 Picks

MIL @

DET Wed, Apr 22 • 6:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Sal Frelick u0.5 Total Hits (+170)

Projection 0.85

Best Odds

u0.5 +170

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +160

u0.5 +170

u0.5 +156

u0.5 +165

Sal Frelick is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.. The 2nd-deepest centerfield fences in the league are found in Comerica Park.. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Sal Frelick in today's matchup.. Sal Frelick has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.1-mph dropping to 81.1-mph in the last 7 days.. Sal Frelick's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 41.1% to 29.1%.

+170 at bet365

Total Bases

Gary Sanchez o1.5 Total Bases (+185)

Projection 1.54

Best Odds

o1.5 +190

Pick made: 8 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +170

o1.5 +185

o1.5 +175

o1.5 +190

Gary Sanchez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 10th-best ballpark in the game for run-scoring.. Among all stadiums, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to better offense.. The Detroit Tigers outfield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

+190 at Fanatics Sportsbook

View 10 Picks

ATL @

WAS Wed, Apr 22 • 6:45 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Ozzie Albies u0.5 Total Hits (+202)

Projection 0.95

Best Odds

u0.5 +202

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +198

u0.5 +202

u0.5 +183

u0.5 +185

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 6th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Nationals Park grades out as the #28 park in the game for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will bat from his bad side (0) today against Zack Littell. Ozzie Albies will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

+202 at bet365

Total Bases

Joey Wiemer u1.5 Total Bases (-200)

Projection 0.8

Best Odds

u1.5 -200

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -200

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Wiemer in the 14th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

-200 at bet365

View 10 Picks

NYY @

BOS Wed, Apr 22 • 6:45 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Randal Grichuk u0.5 Total Hits (+148)

Projection 0.68

Best Odds

u0.5 +148

Pick made: 3 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +148

u0.5 +140

u0.5 +145

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 16th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Randal Grichuk is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today's game.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this game projects the lowest temperature on the slate at 46°.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.. Randal Grichuk will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

+148 at DraftKings

Total Hits

Giancarlo Stanton u0.5 Total Hits (+158)

Projection 0.77

Best Odds

u0.5 +158

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +158

u0.5 +150

u0.5 +146

u0.5 +140

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 14th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly connected with cold weather, and the weather report for this game projects the lowest temperature on the slate at 46°.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Boston Red Sox.. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Giancarlo Stanton in today's game.

+158 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

PHI @

CHC Wed, Apr 22 • 7:40 PM ET

6 Computer Picks

Total Hits

Edmundo Sosa u0.5 Total Hits (+115)

Projection 0.59

Best Odds

u0.5 +115

Pick made: 20 minutes ago

EV Model Rating

u0.5 +114

u0.5 +110

u0.5 +111

u0.5 +115

Edmundo Sosa is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.. Since the start of last season, Edmundo Sosa has been pulled from the game early in 26% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler.. The #8 ballpark in the league for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to drop to the 3rd-lowest level on the slate today at 53°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Out of all the teams in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Chicago Cubs.

+115 at Fanatics Sportsbook

Total Bases

Edmundo Sosa u1.5 Total Bases (-300)

Projection 0.59

Best Odds

u1.5 -300

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -300

Edmundo Sosa is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.. Since the start of last season, Edmundo Sosa has been pulled from the game early in 26% of his appearances when starting against lefty hurler.. Wrigley Field ranks as the #26 field in the league for overall righty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The league's 7th-highest average fence height can be found at Wrigley Field.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this game to drop to the 3rd-lowest level on the slate today at 53°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).

-300 at bet365

View 6 Picks

PIT @ $Texas Rangers logo$ TEX Wed, Apr 22 • 8:05 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+135)

Projection 1.92

Best Odds

o1.5 +135

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +107

o1.5 +135

o1.5 -115

o1.5 +110

Oneil Cruz projects as the 11th-best home run batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. The Globe Life Field roof is expected to be closed today, making conditions in this match-up 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Oneil Cruz will have an edge today.

+135 at bet365

Total Bases

Josh Jung u1.5 Total Bases (-200)

Projection 0.87

Best Odds

u1.5 -200

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -200

Josh Jung is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Globe Life Field as the worst field in the league for run-scoring.. Hitting from the same side that Braxton Ashcraft throws from, Josh Jung meets a tough challenge in today's matchup.. Josh Jung hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 6th-deepest CF fences today.. Josh Jung has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 9% rate last year has fallen to 1.8% this season.

-200 at bet365

View 10 Picks

SD @

COL Wed, Apr 22 • 8:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Manny Machado o1.5 Total Bases (-105)

Projection 2.58

Best Odds

o1.5 -105

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 -125

o1.5 -105

o1.5 -135

o1.5 -118

o1.5 -115

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Manny Machado is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Coors Field as the best park in the league for run-scoring.. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The weather forecast forecasts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

-105 at bet365

Total Bases

Jake Cronenworth o1.5 Total Bases (+150)

Projection 1.88

Best Odds

o1.5 +150

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +121

o1.5 +150

o1.5 -115

o1.5 +116

o1.5 +125

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The weather forecast forecasts the best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today's matchup.. Jake Cronenworth is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.

+150 at bet365

View 10 Picks

CHW @

AZ Wed, Apr 22 • 9:40 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Everson Pereira u1.5 Total Bases (-190)

Projection 0.86

Best Odds

u1.5 -190

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -190

The league's 10th-highest average fence height can be found at Chase Field.. Everson Pereira hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-deepest CF fences today.. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense profiles as the strongest out of all the teams today.. Everson Pereira will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Everson Pereira's speed has fallen off this season. His 28.31 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 26.88 ft/sec now.

-190 at bet365

Total Bases

Miguel Vargas o1.5 Total Bases (+117)

Projection 1.83

Best Odds

o1.5 +117

Pick made: 1 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +117

o1.5 +110

o1.5 +105

o1.5 +113

o1.5 +110

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in the league for right-handed batting average.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

+117 at DraftKings

View 10 Picks

LAD @

SF Wed, Apr 22 • 9:45 PM ET

10 Computer Picks

Total Bases

Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Total Bases (+150)

Projection 1.64

Best Odds

o1.5 +150

Pick made: 2 hours ago

EV Model Rating

o1.5 +137

o1.5 +150

o1.5 +120

o1.5 +135

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Teoscar Hernandez has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of every team today.

+150 at bet365

Total Bases

Rafael Devers u1.5 Total Bases (-260)

Projection 0.71

Best Odds

u1.5 -260

Pick made: an hour ago

EV Model Rating

u1.5 -260

The league's tallest fence height (on average) can be found at Oracle Park.. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 5th-lowest temperature of the day at 59°.. Rafael Devers has struggled with his Barrel%; his 15.8% rate last season has dropped off to 10% this season.. Rafael Devers's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 96.3-mph average last year has fallen to 89.7-mph.. In the past 7 days, Rafael Devers's 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.1%.

-260 at bet365

View 10 Picks

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